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Are Azhar Ali and Fawad Alam actually performing or not?

Junaids

Senior T20I Player
Joined
Jan 12, 2013
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I wrote in an earlier thread that one very dangerous feature in geriatric batsmen comes when they start to reach a point where their average looks misleadingly good because they have rare huge innings interspersed with much more frequent failures.

This happened to both Misbah-ul-Haq and Younis Khan in away Tests from 2012-17, and put the team under huge pressure, resulting in a SENA output of 2 Tests won and 8 lost.

Unfortunately both Azhar Ali and Fawad Alam have slipped into precisely that routine. In the last 12 months, these are their outputs:

Azhar Ali
34
0 and 18
20
141* and 31
5 and 38
93 and 37
51 and 31*
0 and 33

Fawad Alam
0
21 and 0*
9 and 102
2 and 16
109 and 4*
45 and 12

On the face of it, Azhar Ali is averaging 44.33 this last 12 months and Fawad Alam is averaging 35.56. But the reality is much worse:

Scores under 10:
Azhar 3/14
Fawad 3/11

Scores under 20:
Azhar 5/14
Fawad 5/11

Scores over 40:
Azhar 3/14
Fawad 3/11

When a Test batsman gets out for less than 20 he basically drops his team into trouble. And both Azhar Ali and Fawad Alam are doing this with great regularity.

I'm not suggesting that the answer is someone like Imran Butt. What I am saying is that it's totally useless to deliver 2 centuries in 11 innings like Fawad Alam if you also get out for 21 or less in 7 of those 11 innings.

When Gordon Greenidge was dropped forever one Test after making his highest Test score of 226, the West Indies selectors explained precisely why. They could not carry on picking several veteran batsmen (Greenidge, Haynes and Viv Richards) who were now no longer reliably reaching 30 in at least 50% of their innings.

Pakistan now has a similar problem of their own making.

Azhar and Fawad are two very good batsmen who are in that end-of-career stage in which they keep their averages largely intact but drop their team in trouble on half the occasions that they go out to bat.
 
Fawad has been average but somehow people won’t shut up about how great he has been.

He is untouchable these days and it is a sin to highlight his average returns because everyone has fallen in love with him, but the reality is that he is producing the same output that cost Shafiq his place in the side.

Azhar has been pretty good over the last 12 months. He has done well to recover from the torrid 2018-19 patch, but his best days are certainly behind him and he is not going to scale the 2016-17 heights again.
 
Fawad has played 11 innings since his comeback, but two of them he barely got a chance to bat. Those were when he scored 0* and 4*.

Of the remaining 9 innings 2 were in England, and 4 were in New Zealand where Pakistani players usually struggle. Not to mention he was coming back after 10 years.

Against South Africa he has averaged 56, and his average would have been even better had he not got run out.

As far Azhar goes he should open. Pakistan as of now have no solid test opener prospects in domestics. He can take one of those spots.
 
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