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Climate change / extreme weather thread

Two dead, dozens injured as heavy rains batter Dera Bugti

Two people were killed and over two dozen injured as heavy rains accompanied by thunderstorms and lightning battered Sui and other areas of Dera Bugti district on Wednesday.

The torrential rains caused widespread destruction, leading to the collapse of roofs and boundary walls of numerous houses.

Floodwaters inundated human settlements, forcing residents to seek shelter elsewhere.

“Two people have been reported dead and over two dozen injured due to the collapse of a mud house in Sui town,” Muhammad Ejaz, deputy commissioner of Dera Bugti, told Dawn.

The deceased and injured were transported to PPL Sui Hospital for treatment.

Hospital officials reported that the condition of at least six injured individuals was critical, with severe head injuries resulting from collapsing roofs.

DAWN
 

Punjab and Sindh brace for potential flooding as NDMA issues alert​


The National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) activated the National Emergency Operation Centre (NEOC) in response to heavy rainfall and potential flooding in Punjab and Sindh.

According to the NDMA’s monsoon report, weather conditions originating in eastern India could affect Pakistani regions, adding that early warnings are being issued to all provinces regularly.

The report indicated moderate to heavy rains are expected in upper areas of the Sutlej, Ravi, and Chenab rivers from July 2. An alert for lightning strikes in southern and central Punjab and Islamabad from July 5 to 7 has also been issued.

The NDMA warned that expected rains could lead to a flood situation in the Sutlej River, with water levels potentially reaching 50,000 cusecs by July 5 and escalating to 120,000 cusecs by July 10, indicating a high-level flood.

The NDMA assured that all possible measures are being taken to ensure public safety. Residents are urged to stay informed, monitor weather reports, and adhere to evacuation orders from local authorities.

Awareness messages highlight that floods can lead to various diseases due to germs and pose electrocution risks from fallen power lines. Residents in flood-prone areas are advised to prepare evacuation plans, identify safe locations, and pack emergency kits.

Travellers are advised to avoid unnecessary travel during severe weather and potential floods.

The NDMA is coordinating with federal and provincial departments to manage and prepare for the potential emergency. The public is urged to stay alert and follow local administration instructions.

 

'Deafening silence' on climate change criticised by CBI, which says being pro-growth means being pro-green​

The "deafening silence" on climate change during the election campaign has been criticised by major business group the CBI.

But the next government cannot claim to be pro-growth without also being pro-green, Rain Newton-Smith, chief executive of the CBI, will tell a conference in London today.

With just three days to go until the general election, she will highlight the "deafening silence from all the parties about the issues of climate change, biodiversity loss, net zero and our planet".

But there is a risk in trying to "separate the economy from net zero", she will say, adding: "Whoever forms the next government can't be pro-growth and deliver for our people, planet and communities, without being pro-green."

In February, research by CBI economists found the 9% growth in the UK's net zero economy had far exceeded general GDP growth of around just 0.1% in the last year, indicating the need for a clear green plan to attract private investment.

The research suggested the next government could add as much as £57bn to the economy from green growth by 2030.

Green issues were high up the agenda during the last UK general election in 2019, after protests by Extinction Rebellion (XR), school strikes led by Greta Thunberg and a ban on fracking had all been making headlines.

But while last time parties were clamouring to come up with the biggest tree-planting pledge, this year it has been made a wedge issue, dividing the parties.

 

Macroeconomic impacts of climate change​

What happens to an economy when it is hot outside? Globally, record-breaking temperatures have been witnessed in the past few years. Evidence shows that heat waves dampen economic output, causing GDP losses and exacerbating further global inequality. Similarly, projections for the US economy show that rising temperatures could reduce economic growth by up to one-third over the next century.

Nonetheless, the assumption that the economic damage from global warming is only confined to the agriculture sector is no longer true as climate change and environmental degradation pose significant risks to macroeconomy and financial systems. For example, climate change will affect individual and household income, sectors of the economy, energy markets, inflation variability, financial markets, innovation, and rising public debt, among others.

While rising global temperatures have profound impacts on economies all over the world, the phenomenon is still poorly understood due to the complexity of climate-related risks and their interactions with the real economy.

Scientific studies are being conducted to estimate the impact of global warming on different sectors of the economy. Nonetheless, there is a consensus that macroprudential measures are critical to mitigate climate-related risks, as without mitigation measures, physical risks from climate change-driven natural hazards — heat waves, windstorms, floods, and droughts — are likely to increase significantly.

 
You cannot stop using fossil fuels. Solar energy is not enough to drive industries. Without industries, no country can feed its millions and billions of people.

This is a one way streak. No one will give up comforts of life to save the planet.
 
Dwindling snow patches on Scottish hills are 'very visible record' of climate change

The number of snow patches across a huge swathe of Scotland still surviving this summer has fallen to 90 - the third lowest on records going back 50 years.

It is far lower than the highs of more than 2,000 recorded in the 1970s and 1980s.

The two lowest years have also fallen this century, with just 31 in 2003 and 53 in 2017.

Iain Cameron, who now leads the survey, said: "It tells you very much that there's less snow than there used to be. There's no doubt about that."

He added: "I'm not shocked by it, unfortunately. The trajectory of the last few years is just [too little] snow".

The survey covers the Cairngorms and surrounding hills, but not the Ben Nevis area - everything east of the major A9 road that runs from north to south.

Any surviving patch of snow is included, whether one or one hundred metres long.


 

Hurricane Beryl makes landfall in Mexican coast​


Hurricane Beryl, a Category 2 storm, made landfall in Mexico's top tourist destinations early on Friday, triggering a red alert in the region following its deadly trail of destruction across several Caribbean islands.

The storm, expected to bring with it a dangerous surge and potentially damaging waves, is packing winds of up to 110 mph (175 kph) the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) said, as it entered the northeast of Tulum in the Yucatan Peninsula.

Hurricane Beryl, the first of the 2024 Atlantic season, was at one point a Category 5 storm, making it the earliest Category 5 storm on record. This extraordinary storm season is believed by scientists to be fueled by climate change.

Beryl is about 5 miles (10 km) east of Tulum, a popular Mexican resort.

Hurricane conditions are affecting the Yucatan Peninsula, and a hurricane warning has been issued for the coast from Puerto Costa Maya to Cancun, including Cozumel.

Mexico's civil protection agency has issued a red alert, signalling a maximum hazard threat. The agency has advised residents to remain in their homes or seek refuge in storm shelters.

Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador echoed this advice, urging those in the storm's path to seek shelter. He emphasized the importance of prioritizing life over material possessions in a social media post.

In Quintana Roo, home to Cancun, Governor Mara Lezama posted a video of Tulum's downtown showing strong winds and rain already affecting the region. He urged residents to take all necessary precautions as the storm's impact is expected to be felt across the state.

Schools in Quintana Roo have been closed and the Mexico's defense ministry has opened around 120 storm shelters in the area.

Before reaching Mexico, Hurricane Beryl wreaked havoc in the Caribbean. It swept through Jamaica, Grenada, St. Vincent, the Grenadines, and northern Venezuela, claiming at least 11 lives, bringing down buildings and uprooting trees.

The death toll may rise as more information becomes available.

 

2024 could be world's hottest year as June breaks records​


Last month was the hottest June on record, the EU's climate change monitoring service said on Monday, continuing a streak of exceptional temperatures that some scientists said puts 2024 on track to be the world's hottest recorded year.

Every month since June 2023 - 13 months in a row - has ranked as the planet's hottest since records began, compared with the corresponding month in previous years, the European Union's Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) said in a monthly bulletin.

The latest data suggest 2024 could outrank 2023 as the hottest year since records began after human-caused climate change and the El Nino natural weather phenomenon both pushed temperatures to record highs in the year so far, some scientists said.

"I now estimate that there is an approximately 95% chance that 2024 beats 2023 to be the warmest year since global surface temperature records began in the mid-1800s," said Zeke Hausfather, a research scientist at Berkeley Earth.

The changed climate has already unleashed disastrous consequences around the world in 2024.

More than 1,000 people died in fierce heat during the haj pilgrimage last month. Heat deaths were recorded in New Dehli, which endured an unprecedentedly long heatwave, and amongst Greek tourists.

Friederike Otto, a climate scientist at Imperial College London's Grantham Institute, said there was a "high chance" 2024 would rank as the hottest year on record.

"El Nino is a naturally occurring phenomenon that will always come and go. We can't stop El Nino, but we can stop burning oil, gas, and coal," she said.

The natural El Nino phenomenon, which warms the surface waters in the eastern Pacific Ocean, tends to raise global average temperatures.

That effect subsided in recent months, with the world now in neutral conditions before cooler La Nina conditions are expected to form later this year.

Greenhouse gas emissions from burning fossil fuels are the main cause of climate change.

Despite promises to curb global warming, countries have so far failed collectively to reduce these emissions, pushing temperatures steadily higher for decades.

In the 12 months ending in June, the world's average temperature was the highest on record for any such period, at 1.64 degrees Celsius above the average in the 1850-1900 pre-industrial period, C3S said.

 
PMD warns of urban flooding as intense monsoon rains to begin across Pakistan

The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) has forecasted an escalation in monsoon activities across various parts of the country starting from today.

The incoming monsoon currents from the Arabian Sea are expected to particularly affect Sindh and eastern Balochistan initially, before expanding to upper and central regions from 11th to 15th July.

In Azad Jammu and Kashmir, heavy rainfalls accompanied by thunderstorms are anticipated from 11th to 16th July. Islamabad and Punjab are also bracing for significant downpours with potential heavy falls around Islamabad, Rawalpindi, and Murree, among others, during the same period.

The weather conditions in Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa will mirror those of the northern areas with expected rains and thunderstorms across multiple districts from 11th to 15th July. However, Balochistan will experience mainly hot and humid weather, with rain forecasted only in its eastern parts around mid-July.

The met office also highlighted risks of urban flooding in northeastern Punjab, and landslides in hilly regions such as Murree, Galliyat, and AJK due to heavy rainfall.

Authorities have been put on high alert, with advisories for farmers, travellers, and tourists to take necessary precautions during this period.

EXPRESS TRIBUNE
 
Dozens missing as landslide sweeps buses into river

Rescuers are searching for more than 60 missing people in Nepal after a massive landslide swept two buses into a river.

Some spoke of their terrifying ordeal, with one saying he was "thrown out of the window of the bus into the river".

Only three people appeared to have survived the accident, which took place in the early hours of Friday.

Authorities said the landslide had been triggered by heavy rains.

Nepal, along with other parts of South Asia, is in the midst of the monsoon season and has seen heavy rainfall in recent weeks, triggering floods and landslides that have affected millions.

The accident took place at 03:30 local time (21:45 GMT Thursday) on Friday in Chitwan along the Narayanghat-Mugling highway, about 100km (60 miles) from the capital Kathmandu.

Survivor Nandan Das told the BBC's Nepali Service that the bus had been on the road for about an hour and a half when it "started rolling down all of a sudden into the river... I felt like I was going to die".

He said he managed to swim to safety even though it was "very dark at night... I found the river full of huge boulders and some foliage.

"We were chanting the name of God and swam and swam and swam. God saved us.

"I did not know if I was swimming out to the river or inward... but I came to the bank at last. Then I started climbing the slope."

He said that he and another survivor reached the highway at the same time, and were shortly joined by a third person. They managed to get help from a driver, who called the police.

Another survivor, Jogishwar Raya, described the bus as "trembling and overturning four or five times before plunging into the river".

He said he managed to swim out of the bus, but his family members were still missing.

"My son, daughter-in-law , grandson, and a granddaughter were on the same bus. Out of five family members, I was alone to survive; the rest vanished," he said.

Nepal's Prime Minister Pushpa Kamal Dahal has called for all government agencies to join in the search and rescue operation.

Scores of people are estimated to have died this monsoon season, with key highways blocked and some bridges swept away by swollen rivers.

Authorities have urged residents in the south-east of the country to be on alert as the Koshi river, which courses through Nepal and India, is flowing above the danger level.

Nepal also often sees deadly crashes due to poorly maintained roads and reckless driving.

BBC
 
At least 12 people were killed and 27 others injured in various incidents during torrential rains across multiple cities in Punjab, according to official reports

In line with directives from Chief Minister Maryam Nawaz Sharif, the Provincial Disaster Management Authority (PDMA) has released a flood alert fact sheet detailing the monsoon rain situation, and water levels in rivers, barrages, and dams across Punjab.

A PDMA spokesperson reported that in the past 24 hours, heavy rainfall was recorded in Lahore, Sargodha, Toba Tek Singh, Faisalabad, Kot Addu, and Bahawalpur.

The storms resulted in the deaths of 12 individuals, damage to 14 houses, and injuries to 27 people. Among the deceased were five children, three women, and four men. The PDMA noted that three people were killed by lightning strikes in Narowal and Multan.

The statement also mentioned that, according to government directives, financial assistance would be provided to the bereaved families. The monsoon rains are expected to continue across the province until July 15.

The PDMA assured that preparations are complete for potential flooding in various districts, with tents ready for flood victims. Urban flooding is anticipated in Lahore, Sialkot, Faisalabad, and Gujranwala, prompting major city administrations to stay on alert.

Source: The Express Tribune
 
Most cities to be 5-6 degrees Celsius warmer by 2080

A web app created by a professor at the University of Maryland in the US predicts the future climate of the cities as it would be about six decades later and it does not paint a good picture. It would not be rather far-fetched if the future scenario is termed apocalyptic. The app shows the expected climate conditions of more than 40,000 cities across the world, including many cities of Pakistan too.

Pakistan’s own Ministry of Climate Change and Environmental Coordination has already warned that many regions in the country would become uninhabitable soon due to harsh weather conditions.

The app, https://fitzlab.shinyapps.io/cityapp/ draws parallel by giving the future climate of a city through the example of another city having the weather conditions right now that any specific city will have in about six decades.

The app, developed by Matthew Fitzpatrick, an ecologist at the University of Maryland, has used the data of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change of the UN whose job is to advance scientific knowledge of climate change caused by human activities. It matches 40,581 places around the globe to nearby locations currently experiencing their future predicted climate in 2080.

The climate conditions in various cities of Pakistan, according to the app, would be on average 5 to 6 degree Celsius warmer in summers which is quite horrible but if the government takes steps to reduce emissions, the same change comes down to 1 to 2 degree Celsius. However that depends on the steps our state and society take which right now appears to be a far-fetched dream. The app also shows the predicted climate of a city in case the greenhouse gasses emissions are controlled and in that case there is a visible difference.

According to the app, for higher emissions, summers in Lahore are expected to be 4.7 degree Celsius warmer by 2080 and 21.2pc wetter. Winters are expected to be 5.2 degree Celsius warmer and 16.1pc wetter than what Lahore’s weather is right now. Climate conditions most similar to Lahore in 2080 can be seen right now in Khairpur, Sindh, which means that Lahore would be as hot as Khairpur is right now.

But if we reduced emissions, Lahore’s weather would be warmer by only 1.5 degree Celsius in 2080 and 19.2pc wetter while winters are expected to be 1.6 degree Celsius warmer and 12pc wetter. And its conditions about 60 years later can now be found in Dajal in South Punjab right now instead of Khairpur.

In Faisalabad, summers are expected to be 5.6 degree Celsius warmer and 22.1pc wetter in 2080 while winters are expected to be 5.6 degree Celsius warmer and 15pc wetter. Climate conditions most similar to Faisalabad in 2080 can be found today in Chowki Jamali, Balochistan.

In case of reduced emissions, Faisalabad’s weather would be 1.7 degree Celsius warmer and 26.9pc wetter while winters would be 1.8 degree Celsius warmer and 9.3pc wetter. It’s twin place would also change from Balochistan to Dajal in Punjab.

For higher emissions, summers in Multan are expected to be 5.2 degree Celsius warmer and 5.2pc drier. Winters are expected to be 5.7 degree Celsius warmer and 8.2pc wetter. Climate conditions most similar to Multan in 2080 can right now be found in Chowki Jamali, Balochistan.

In case of reduced emissions, Multan’s climate would 1.8 degree Celsius warmer and 11.9pc drier while winters are expected to be 1.9 degree Celsius warmer and 9.2pc wetter. In that case, its twin city would be Sohbatpur in Balochistan instead of Chowki Jamali.

The weather in Rawalpindi/Islamabad is likely to be 5.1 degree Celsius warmer and 4pc drier in summers while in winters it would be 5.4pc warmer and 11.3pc wetter. Weather conditions in Rawalpindi of 2080 can now be found in Mirpur, Azad Kashmir.

In case of reduced emissions, the climate of Islamabad/Rawalpindi would be warmer by 1.6 degree Celsius and 10.5pc drier while winters are expected to be 1.7 degree Celsius warmer and 10.6pc wetter.

Summers in Karachi are expected to be 3.3 degree Celsius warmer and whopping 18.2pc drier in the next 60 years. Winters are expected to be 5 degree warmer and 0.4pc wetter. It weather is likely to be like that of present-day Al Bahah in Saudi Arabia.

But if we reduce emissions, Karachi’s climate is expected to be 1.1 degree Celsius warmer and 17.3pc wetter while winters are expected to be 1.7 degree warmer and 2.9pc wetter. The best climate analogue shows that conditions most similar to Karachi can today be found in Mukalla, Yemen.

Peshawar is expected to be 5.8 degree Celsius warmer and 4.5pc drier in summers while in winters it would be 5.5 degree warmer and 9.2pc wetter by 2080. Its conditions would be similar to that of Sibbi of the current times.

In case of reduced emissions, summers in Peshawar are expected to be 1.8 degree Celsius warmer and 2.3pc wetter while winters are expected to be 1.7 degree warmer and 7.7pc wetter. Its twin city in 2080 would change to Harnoli of today instead of Sibbi.

Summers in Quetta are expected to be 5.5 degree Celsius warmer and 10.3pc wetter while the winters are expected to be 5.5 degree warmer and 2.1pc drier. The conditions that are expected to be in Quetta can be found in Jalalabad of Afghanistan today.

A report, National Adaptation Plan 2023, by the Ministry of Climate Change and Environmental Coordination published last year says many regions in the country would become uninhabitable soon. “Pakistan’s projected temperature increase is expected to be higher than the global average. Temperature increases of 1.4°–3.7°C are projected by the 2060s and increases of 6.0°C by the 2090s (gure 2.2.1), with projected increases higher during winter and in the north. The frequency of hot days and hot nights is expected to rise significantly, and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has issued a warning that the frequency and severity of extreme heatwaves are expected to rise in the region due to climate change,” it says.

In an interview, Fitzpatrick said that taking in view the data of weather changes in the last two millennia, it’s obvious that rapid warming of earth began about 150 years ago and accelerated especially in the mid-20th century. He said the climate change had not been caused by natural factors but mainly contributed by human factors, including greenhouse gases and burning of fossil fuel. He said if the current pattern continued, by the end of the current century, there would be unprecedented changes and Antarctica might lose all its ice and turn into a tropical forest.

Mr Fitzpatrick said this tragedy could be averted by controlling fossil fuel consumption but humans were running out of time.

DAWN
 

London must prepare for floods and heatwaves - report​


London must better prepare for severe floods and heatwaves, a report has warned.

The London Climate Resilience Review, published on Wednesday, called for a "reset moment" for the capital following the general election.

Emma Howard Boyd CBE, chairwoman of the review, said preparing London for more frequent and extreme climate risks was "non-negotiable". The report highlighted opportunities for investment in London but warned that time was running out to act on climate resilience.

A government spokesperson said it welcomed the review and understood the "urgent need" to prepare for and adapt to changes posed by the climate emergency.

The review said that in July 2022, when London hit 40°C, there was a 50% increase in water consumption, while reservoirs were at their lowest for 30 years and wildfires pushed the London Fire Brigade to its limits.

It recommended that an official heat plan be created for London to enable the city to better deal with severe floods and heatwaves.

The independent report was commissioned by the Mayor of London and looked at the capital's preparedness for heatwaves, floods, droughts, wildfires, storms, sea level rise and subsidence.

It also found that government and businesses had not adequately planned for the disruption caused when severe weather impacts "cascade" through critical systems such as healthcare, transport, energy and water.

"Climate change is one of the biggest dangers our capital faces, and its effects cannot be ignored," said Sadiq Khan, Mayor of London.

"It is essential that we invest in key sectors and prepare our public services so that London can continue to grow and thrive in the face of climate change.

"The review provides clarity and direction on how to do this."

The mayor added: "This is also an issue of social justice as the review makes clear it is Londoners on lower incomes that are most exposed to the impacts of dangerous climate change."

He said he accepted the recommendations made to City Hall and will work to take them forward over the coming months.

Elizabeth Rapoport, chairwoman of the London Surface Water Strategic Group, said that flash flooding from heavy rainfall was a "significant threat" to urban areas both nationally and globally.

She said the group would publish a summary this summer of its planned approach to tackle the issue, followed by a "comprehensive" strategy and implementation plan later in the year.

The government spokesperson also said: "We have a robust plan to improve resilience and preparation for the impacts of climate change across central government, local authorities, local communities, and emergency services.

"The new government is committed to protecting communities in London and across the country from the dangers of flooding.

"That’s why this Government will launch a Flood Resilience Taskforce to turbocharge the delivery of flood defences, drainage systems and natural flood management schemes.”

The review gathered evidence from individuals, communities and organisations including the NHS, Transport for London, London Fire Brigade, the Metropolitan Police, borough councils, the Greater London Authority (GLA), UK government, non-governmental organisations (NGOs), the financial services sector, sports and cultural institutions and representatives of vulnerable groups.

 
July 21 recorded as hottest day ever in the world

Sunday, July 21 was the hottest day ever recorded globally, according to preliminary data from the European Union's Copernicus Climate Change Service.

The global average surface air temperature on Sunday reached 17.09 degrees Celsius — slightly higher than the previous record set last July of 17.08°C.

Heatwaves have scorched large swathes of the United States, Europe and Russia over the past week.

Copernicus confirmed to Reuters that the record daily temperature average set last year appeared to have been broken on Sunday.

Last year saw four days in a row break the record, from July 3 through July 6, as climate change, driven by the burning of fossil fuels, drove extreme heat across the Northern Hemisphere.

Every month since June 2023 — 13 months in a row — has now ranked as the planet's hottest since records began, compared with the corresponding month in previous years, Copernicus said.

Some scientists have suggested 2024 could outrank 2023 as the hottest year since records began, as climate change and the El Nino natural weather phenomenon — which ended in April — have pushed temperatures ever higher this year.


Khaleej Times
 

World breaks hottest day record twice in a week​


The record for the world's hottest day has tumbled twice in one week, according to the European climate change service.
On Monday the global average surface air temperature reached 17.15C, breaking the record of 17.09C set on Sunday.
It beats the record set in July 2023, and it could break again this week.

Parts of the world are experiencing powerful heatwaves including the Mediterranean, Russia and Canada. Climate change is driving up global temperatures as greenhouse gas emissions released when humans burn fossil fuels warm the Earth's atmosphere.

"While fluctuations are to be expected, as the climate continues to warm, we are likely to keep seeing records being broken, and each new record is taking us further into uncharted territory," says Prof Rebecca Emerton, a climate scientist at the Copernicus Climate Change Service.

The naturally-occurring climate phenomenon El Niño also added heat to the climate in the first six months of this year but its effects have now waned.

Extreme heat is a serious health hazard, with thousands of deaths attributed to high temperatures every year.
In 2000-2019, almost half a million heat-related deaths around the world occurred each year, according to the World Health Organization.

China has issued heat alerts this week, with central and northwestern areas of the country recording temperatures higher than 40C.

Russia has been battling wildfires in Siberia, and Spain and Greece also endured days of high temperatures.
In the US, more than 40 million people on Tuesday faced dangerous temperatures, and wildfires have broken out in western areas of the country.

Source: BBC
 

‘Our worst nightmare’: Raging wildfire hits western Canada town of Jasper​


A fast-moving wildfire has hit the town of Jasper in the Canadian Rockies, causing “significant” losses as firefighters work to hold back the flames

In a statement in the early hours of Thursday, Jasper National Park said firefighting crews were trying “to save as many structures as possible and to protect critical infrastructure”.

Located about 370km (230 miles) west of Edmonton in the province of Alberta, the park and the town of Jasper, home to 4,700 residents, draw more than two million tourists annually.

Thousands of people were evacuated from the area earlier this week as two blazes edged closer.

“As the pictures and videos circulating online show, significant loss has occurred within the townsite,” Jasper National Park said in a post on X.

In another update on Thursday morning, the park said while the area received a “small amount of rain overnight” that helped slightly reduce fire activity, “it is not enough to have made a meaningful impact to the overall wildfire situation, which remains out of control”.

“Due to the ongoing fire conditions and our focus on the response effort, it is impossible to share information about specific locations and the extent of damage at this time,” it said.

A water hose is seen near a building in Jasper, Canada

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith told reporters that authorities were seeing “potentially 30 percent to 50 percent structural damage” in Jasper, which would incur a “significant rebuild”.

The blaze is one of hundreds ravaging Alberta and the neighbouring province of British Columbia, fuelled by a weeks-long heatwave and surge in lightning strikes.

Officials said the flames in Jasper reached a height of 122 metres (400 feet) and moved at 15 metres (50 feet) a minute.

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said early on Thursday that his government had approved Alberta’s request for federal assistance.

“We’re deploying [Canadian Armed Forces] resources, evacuations support, and more emergency wildfire resources to the province immediately — and we’re coordinating firefighting and airlift assistance. Alberta, we’re with you,” Trudeau wrote on X.

Parks Canada spokesperson James Eastham told reporters outside Jasper that the town is filled with smoke and there “has been structural loss”.

“At this point, I can’t confirm how many, locations or specific structures. The fire continues to burn,” he said.

Experts say the climate crisis has extended the Canadian wildfire season, which typically runs from late April until September or October, and increased lightning – a major cause of the blazes.

Mike Flannigan, research chair for predictive services,

Source: Al Jazeera
 
The head of the United Nations has called on countries to take action to address the effects of “crippling heat”, as the world experiences record-high temperatures that have put vulnerable communities at risk

Speaking to reporters on Thursday, Antonio Guterres said billions of people around the globe are experiencing “an extreme heat epidemic” fuelled by climate change.

“Extreme heat is increasingly tearing through economies, widening inequalities, undermining the Sustainable Development Goals, and killing people,” the UN secretary-general said.

“We know what is driving it: fossil fuel-charged, human-induced climate change. And we know it’s going to get worse; extreme heat is the new abnormal.”

Guterres’s warning comes a day after the European Union’s climate monitor said the world had experienced its hottest day on record this week.

The Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) said on Wednesday that the global average surface air temperature on July 22 rose to 17.15 degrees Celsius (62.9 degrees Fahrenheit) – or 0.06 degrees Celsius higher than the record set just a day earlier.

Source: Al Jazeera
 
Global methane emissions rising at fastest rate in decades, scientists warn

Global emissions of methane, a powerful planet-heating gas, are “rising rapidly” at the fastest rate in decades, requiring immediate action to help avert a dangerous escalation in the climate crisis, a new study has warned.

Methane emissions are responsible for half of the global heating already experienced, have been climbing significantly since around 2006 and will continue to grow throughout the rest of the 2020s unless new steps are taken to curb this pollution, concludes the new paper. The research is authored by more than a dozen scientists from around the world and published on Tuesday.

While the world “quite rightly” has focused on carbon dioxide as the primary driver of rising global temperatures, states the paper published in Frontiers in Science, little has been done to address methane, despite it having 80 times the warming power of CO2 in the first 20 years after it reaches the atmosphere.

“The growth rate of methane is accelerating, which is worrisome,” said Drew Shindell, a climate scientist at Duke University and lead author of the study. “It was quite flat until around 20 years ago and just in the last few years we’ve had this huge dump of methane. It’s made the job of tackling anthropogenic warming all the more challenging.”

So far in the 2020s, global methane emissions have typically been about 30m tons higher each year than during last decade, with annual records in methane emissions broken in 2021 and again in 2022. While there is no single clear reason for this, scientists point to a number of factors.

Methane comes from the drilling and processing of oil, gas and coal, with a boom in fracking causing a rash of new gas projects this century. The gas is also emitted from livestock, primarily through the burps of cows, and increased animal agriculture, as well as to a lesser degree expanding rice production, has contributed.

Meanwhile, rising global heat is causing the faster decomposition of organic matter in wetlands, thereby releasing more methane.

In 2021, the US and the European Union spearheaded a new initiative, called the Global Methane Pledge, which commits to a collective 30% cut in methane emissions by 2030. This scheme has now expanded to 155 countries yet only 13% of emissions are covered by current policies and only 2% of global climate finance goes towards cutting methane emissions, according to the new paper.

“I don’t think that target is necessarily out of reach yet but we have to redouble our efforts to get there,” said Shindell. “Countries are leading with oil and gas regulations, but it’s a challenge to get rules in place, and when it comes to livestock that’s just unpalatable to most governments, they just don’t want to touch it.”

But while CO2 can linger in the atmosphere for hundreds or thousands of years, unless removed, methane is a far shorter-lived threat. If all methane emissions were cut immediately, 90% of accumulated methane would have left the atmosphere within 30 years, providing a swifter way to reduce global heating than focusing just on carbon.

“Methane is the strongest lever we can quickly pull to reduce warming between now and 2050,” said Shindell. “There’s just such a rapid response to cutting it. We’ve already seen the planet warm so much that if we are to avoid worse impacts we have to reduce methane. Reducing CO2 will protect our grandchildren – reducing methane will protect us now.”

The new paper outlines a number of actions countries should take, including better linking CO2 and methane reduction efforts and identifying the most effective methane cutting projects under certain circumstances.

Last week, the White House held a summit on cutting “super-pollutants” that include methane. The summit outlined measures such as improved monitoring, including the placement of methane sensors on commercial United Airlines aircraft, and a mixture of philanthropic and regulatory programs aimed at getting emissions down.

“It’s been somewhat ignored until now but methane really is at the point of the spear in climate protection,” said Paul Bledsoe, who was a climate adviser to Bill Clinton’s White House.

“If we want to limit near-term temperature rises, we need to get methane under control.”

THE GUARDIAN
 
12 dead, multiple injured as monsoon rains wreak havoc across Pakistan

Severe monsoon rains have led to the collapse of roofs in various regions across the country, resulting in the deaths of 12 people and leaving many others injured, Express News reported,

The severe weather has caused widespread destruction, particularly in areas with dilapidated housing.

In Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa, the village of Kot Murtaza in Tank district witnessed the tragic collapse of a three-room house, killing three individuals, including two women and a child.

The heavy rains have been attributed to the cause of this disaster, with three injured persons being transferred to a local hospital for treatment.

K-P Chief Minister Ali Amin Gandapur expressed condolences and announced financial assistance for the families affected by the incident.

Meanwhile, in the Samar Bagh area of Lower Dir, a young girl lost her life when the veranda of her house collapsed.

Locals and family members managed to retrieve her body from the debris.

In the Charsadda district, a house collapse in Umarzai Chandaro Dag injured two people, one of whom, 60-year-old Jannat Bibi, later succumbed to her injuries at a local hospital.

In Karak's Takht Nasrati tehsil, rising floodwaters claimed the lives of four individuals in separate incidents.

Rescue 1122 teams conducted operations to recover the bodies of the victims, identified as 60-year-old Aurangzeb, 12-year-old Aryan son of Alamzeb, 11-year-old Asad Umar, and 26-year-old Shehzad son of Muhammad Ayaz.

In Sindh's Jamshoro district, two individuals, including a woman, died due to the ongoing rain.

The region has experienced varying degrees of rainfall, leading to flooding in several areas, including Kohistan, where communication systems have been disrupted.

In Punjab's Jhelum district, a woman who had been injured four days prior in a roof collapse incident died of her injuries.

The previous incident had already claimed the life of her ten-year-old daughter.

Fortunately, the condition of the newborn boy injured in the incident is reported to be stable.

These incidents highlight the urgent need for improved infrastructure and public safety measures to prevent further tragedies as Pakistan continues to grapple with the challenges of the monsoon season.

EXPRESS TRIBUNE
 
Flood warning issued to people living near Indus River

The Provincial Disaster Management Authority (PDMA) has issued flood warning for the areas adjacent to the Indus River.

Commissioners of Sargodha, Dera Ghazi Khan and Bahawalpur and deputy commissioners of Mianwali, Bakhar, Layyah, Muzaffargarh, Rajunpur and Rahim Yar Khan were issued alerts.

The PDMA spokesperson said the flood situation could stay for the next few days. Low level of floods at Tarbela and Kala Bagh are also expected while medium level of flood is also passing through Taunsa and Chashma.


Dunya News
 
55 die, 145 injured during monsoon: Punjab PDMA

A report released by the Provincial Disaster Management Authority (PDMA) on Wednesday revealed that so far 55 persons have died and 145 others injured in rain-related building collapse and lightening incidents etc, during the ongoing monsoon season in Punjab.

The authority predicted more monsoon rains in most of the districts of Punjab in the next two days.

As per the PDMA forecast, heavy winds and thundershowers were expected in Murree, Rawalpindi, Attock, Mandi Bahauddin, Sialkot, Gujrat, Gujranwala, Lahore, Okara, Kasur, Sahiwal, Khushab, Faisalabad, Sargodha, Nurporthal and other districts.

It said that Rawalpindi received 43mm, Sialkot 21mm, Chakwal 17mm, Gujarat 16mm, Murree 13mm and Khanpur 11mm rain in the last 24 hours.

Meanwhile, the authority warned that the water level in the rivers, dams and canals was continuously increasing due to the ongoing monsoon rains.

The PDMA also predicted that there was a risk of flooding in the channels connected to the rivers Chenab and Ravi from Aug 7 to Aug 13.

In the river Indus, it said, there was a moderate level of flood at Chashma and Taunsa, while there was a low-level flood at Tarbela and Kala Bagh.

PDMA Director General (DG) Irfan Ali Kathia claims that all arrangements are complete in view of possible flood risk.

He says the administration and other concerned departments are on alert, urging the people to take precautionary measures and follow government guidelines to avert any risk during the monsoon season.

He says the government has provided financial assistance to the families of those dying in different rain-related incidents.

PDMA claims that relief measures are taken in the flood-affected low-lying areas along the river Indus.

It says that villages near the river Indus in Dera Ghazi Khan, Taunsa and Kot Chitta tehsil have been affected by floodwater, while five of the villages were submerged.

However, Mr Kathia claims no loss of life or property has been reported in the flood-hit villages from where people and their livestock were evacuated in time.

He says eight boats and 34 rescue workers are engaged in relief activities in the flood-affected areas and 61 people and 650 cattle heads have been shifted to safe places.

He further says that food and free transport were provided to the affected people, while their animals are being administered preventive drugs and vaccination.

He says the relief activities will continue till evacuation and rehabilitation of all flood-hit people, ensure protection of their life and property.

DAWN NEWS
 
UK weather: Hottest day of the year so far as temperature hits 34.8C

The UK has seen its hottest day of the year so far after a temperature of 34.8C (94.6F) was recorded in Cambridge, the Met Office has said.

The weather agency said "provisionally this is only the 11th year since 1961 that temperatures as high as this have been recorded".

Before today, the hottest day of the year so far was Friday 19 July, when temperatures in central London reached 31.9C (89.4F).


SKY News
 
More than 47,000 people died in Europe last year due to heat, report says

More than 47,000 people died in Europe due to scorching temperatures in 2023, with countries in the region's south hit the hardest, according to a report by the Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal) published on Monday.

Last year was the world's hottest on record. As climate change continues to increase temperatures, Europeans live in the world's fastest-warming continent, facing growing health risks stemming from intense heat.

The 2023 death toll - below the more than 60,000 heat-related deaths estimated for the previous year - would have been 80% higher without measures introduced in the past 20 years to help people adapt to rising temperatures, such as early warning systems and healthcare improvements, according to the report by the Spanish research centre.

"Our results show how there have been societal adaptation processes to high temperatures during the present century, which have dramatically reduced the heat-related vulnerability and mortality burden of recent summers, especially among the elderly," said Elisa Gallo, researcher at ISGlobal and lead author of the study.


 
Heat deaths in Europe may triple by end of the century, study finds

Heat deaths in Europe could triple by the end of the century, with the numbers rising disproportionately in southern European countries such as Italy, Greece and Spain, a study has found.

Cold kills more people than heat in Europe, and some have argued that climate change will benefit society by reducing those deaths. But the study, published in the Lancet Public Health, found that the death toll would respond slowly to warming weather and may even rise through people growing older and more vulnerable to dangerous temperatures.

If global heating reaches a catastrophic 3C or 4C, the researchers concluded, the rise in heat deaths will greatly outstrip the fall in cold deaths.

The researchers said the results suggested climate change could pose “unprecedented challenges” to public health systems, particularly during heatwaves.

“Many more heat-related deaths are expected to occur as the climate warms and populations age, while deaths from cold decline only slightly,” said David García-León from the Joint Research Centre at the European Commission, a co-author of the study.

Deaths from warm weather could kill 129,000 people a year if temperatures rise to 3C above preindustrial levels. Today, heat-related deaths in Europe stand at 44,000. But the yearly death toll from cold and heat in Europe may rise from 407,000 people today to 450,000 in 2100 even if world leaders meet their global warming target of 1.5C, the study found.


 
Drought-threatened Amazon dolphins studied for climate change impact

A team of biologists, vets and fishermen temporarily captured rare freshwater dolphins in the Amazon this week to study their health in hopes of avoiding a repeat of the deaths of hundreds of the mammals last year due to a severe drought.

The dolphins were brought ashore for blood tests and other examinations and returned to Lake Tefé in the Amazon basin as soon as the researchers had finished their work, which included inserting a microchip to monitor their behavior via satellite.

Fishermen were careful not to injure an adult female dolphin during capture and kept her close to her offspring to avoid stressing the animals.

"She relaxed and we could do all the tests. She appeared in good health," said project leader Miriam Marmontel of the Mamirauá Institute of Sustainable Development, which planned the expedition to temporarily capture up to 20 dolphins.

The work included removing a sample for a biopsy to see whether there were contaminants in her blubber, and the placing of the microchip on her back, which will allow researchers to follow her movements and the depths she swims at, and even determine water temperatures remotely.


 
Super typhoon Yagi makes landfall in Vietnam

Super Typhoon Yagi, the most powerful storm in Asia this year, has made landfall in northern Vietnam.

The storm hit Hai Phong and Quang Ninh provinces with winds of up to 203 km/h (126 mph) on Saturday morning, the Indo-Pacific Tropical Cyclone Warning Center said.

In Hai Phong, news agency AFP reports metal roof sheets and commercial sign boards were seen flying across the city.

On Friday, Yagi hit the island of Hainan - a popular tourist destination dubbed China's Hawaii. At least three people have died in China due to the storm, and nearly 100 injured.

The city of Hai Phong on the coast of northern Vietnam has a population of two million and has faced the brunt of the storm.

Power outages hit parts of the city, home to multinational factories, on Saturday while four of the north's airports have suspended operations for much of the day.

Nearly 50,000 people have been evacuated from coastal towns in Vietnam with authorities issuing a stay indoors warning.

Schools have been closed in 12 northern provinces, including in the capital Hanoi.

On Friday, China evacuated some 400,000 people in Hainan island ahead of Yagi's arrival. Trains, boats and flights were suspended, while schools were shut.

Local media there reported widespread power outages, with about 830,000 households affected. Valuable crops have also been wiped out.

Videos on Chinese social media show windows being ripped out from tower blocks on Hainan.

A super typhoon is equivalent to a Category 5 hurricane.

Yagi is the second strongest typhoon so far this year and has doubled in strength since it hit northern Philippines early this week.

Floods and landslides brought by Yagi killed at least 13 people in northern Philippines, with thousands of people forced to evacuate to safer ground.

Scientists say typhoons and hurricanes are becoming stronger and more frequent with climate change. Warmer ocean waters mean storms pick up more energy, which leads to higher wind speeds.

A warmer atmosphere also holds more moisture, which can lead to more intense rainfall.

BBC
 
More than 150 dead in Vietnam as typhoon floods capital

The death toll of Typhoon Yagi has risen to 152 in Vietnam, according to government estimates, as one of the country's largest rivers reaches its highest level in two decades, flooding the streets of Hanoi.

By Wednesday, flood waters from the swollen Red River reached a metre high in parts of the capital, forcing some residents to navigate their neighbourhoods by boat.

Thousands of people have evacuated from low-lying areas of the city and 10 of Hanoi's 30 administrative districts are on "flood alert", state media reported.

Floods and landslides across northern Vietnam have been the main causes of death from the typhoon, the government said.

"This is the worst flood I have seen," Hanoi resident Tran Le Quyen told Reuters news agency. "It was dry yesterday morning. Now the entire street is flooded. We couldn't sleep last night."

Yagi, which was initially categorised as a super typhoon - the equivalent of a category 5 hurricane - but later downgraded to a tropical depression, has continued to wreak havoc in Vietnam since making landfall on Saturday.

It has been described as Asia's most powerful typhoon this year.

"My home is now part of the river," Nguyen Van Hung, who lives in a neighbourhood on the banks of the Red River, told Reuters.

An entire village in the northern Lao Cai province was swept away on Tuesday amid flash floods. At least 25 people have been confirmed dead, and hundreds of soldiers have been deployed to the village in search of those still missing.

Authorities are also paying careful attention on a hydropower plant in the northwestern Yen Bai province, as a huge inflow of water into the reservoir surrounding the dam raises concerns that it may collapse.

Deputy Minister for Agriculture and Rural Development Nguyen Hoang Hiep said on Wednesday that the hydropower plant is "safe", but urged residents in the area to stay under shelter, as it may take up to two days for the water to recede to an "allowable level".

Yagi has left a trail of destruction in the country's northern region over the past four days. On Monday, it collapsed a busy bridge, plunging ten cars and two scooters into the Red River.

It also tore roofs from buildings, uprooted trees, and left widespread damage to infrastructure and factories in the north.

Before hitting Vietnam, the typhoon left 24 people dead across southern China and the Philippines.

Scientists have warned that as the world warms, typhoons can bring higher wind speeds and more intense rainfall, although the influence of climate change on individual storms is complicated.

BBC
 
'Catastrophe' as Central Europe deals with deadly floods

Emergency services are shoring up flood defences in Central and Eastern Europe after torrential rainfall swelled rivers and damaged thousands of homes.

Storm Boris proved deadly in Romania, where four people were killed during floods in the south-eastern region of Galati.

In the Czech Republic, flooding has led to evacuations and 51,000 households in the country's northern areas have been hit by power outages, Czech power company CEZ says. Flood barriers have gone up in the capital Prague.

Poland also evacuated some people from Glucholazy, a town near the Czech border, after a river burst its banks.

"We are again facing the effects of climate change, which are increasingly present on the European continent, with dramatic consequences," Romanian President Klaus Iohannis said on Saturday.

Extreme precipitation is becoming more likely in Europe, as across much of the world, due to climate change.

A warmer atmosphere can hold more moisture, which can lead to heavier rainfall.

The mayor of Slobozia Conachi, a village in Romania's Galati region, said 700 homes had been flooded.

"This is a catastrophe of epic proportions," Emil Dragomir said.

In Glucholazy, in Poland's southwestern Opole region, firefighters piled up sandbags as residents were evacuated.

A similar effort is taking place in Krakow, Poland's second largest city, with residents offered sandbags for flood protection.

Glucholazy resident Piotr Jakubiec said he had prepared sandbags and pumps to divert the water but that it was "impossible to predict what's going to happen".

"This is the second time in my life that I've seen such a phenomenon. It's a nightmare for the people who live here," he said.

Another resident, Zofia Owsiaka, said everyone in the town was "scared" and there seemed to be "no hope of the rain stopping".

In the city of Wroclaw thousands of residents had to use the staircases of high-rise blocks because lifts were shut as a flood safety precaution, local media reported.

In the Czech Republic, a dam burst in the country's South Bohemia region on Saturday. Environment Minister Petr Hladik urged those in the worst-hit areas to prepare to leave their homes.

Hladik said the ground was saturated and rainwater was staying on the surface - increasing the risk of flash floods. Rain in the Czech Republic is expected until Tuesday, the minister said.

Czech Prime Minister Petr Fiala said the country braced for "a tough weekend". Authorities have put up protective walls of sandbags and metal barriers.

Football matches in the country's top two leagues scheduled for this weekend were cancelled.

BBC
 

Japan orders mass evacuation over flooding threat​

Up to 30,000 people in two cities in central Japan have been ordered to evacuate after weather forecasters warned of major flooding caused by heavy rain.

About 18,000 people in the city of Wajima and another 12,000 in Suzu have been told to seek shelter in Ishikawa prefecture, Honshu island.

The Kyodo News website has published a picture showing an entire street flooded in Wajima.

The Japan Meteorological Agency (Jma) has issued a heavy rain emergency - the highest alert level - for parts of the prefecture.

Japan's public broadcaster NHK quoted government officials as saying 12 rivers in the prefecture had breached their banks.

The region is still recovering after a deadly magnitude 7.5 earthquake on New Year's Day.

BBC
 
Climate set to warm by 3.1°C without greater action, UN report warns

Current climate policies will result in global warming of more than three degrees Celsius by the end of the century, according to a United Nations report on Thursday, more than twice the rise agreed to nearly a decade ago.

The annual Emissions Gap report, which takes stock of countries’ promises to tackle climate change compared with what is needed, finds the world faces as much as 3.1°C of warming above pre-industrial levels by 2100 if governments do not take greater action on slashing planet-warming emissions.

Governments in 2015 signed up to the Paris Agreement and a cap of 1.5°C warming to prevent a cascade of dangerous impacts.

“We’re teetering on a planetary tightrope,” UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres said in a speech on Thursday. “Either leaders bridge the emissions gap, or we plunge headlong into climate disaster”.

Global greenhouse gas emissions rose by 1.3 per cent between 2022 and 2023, to a new high of 57.1 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent, the report said.

Under current pledges to take future action, temperatures would still rise between 2.6-2.8°C by 2100, the report found. That is in line with findings from the past three years.

“If we look at the progress towards 2030 targets, especially of the G20 member states … they have not made a lot of progress towards their current climate targets for 2030,” said Anne Olhoff, chief scientific editor of the report. The world has currently warmed by about 1.3°C.

Nations will gather next month at the annual United Nations Climate Summit (COP29) in Azerbaijan, where they will work to build on an agreement made last year to transition away from fossil fuels.

Negotiations in Baku will help to inform each country’s updated emissions-cutting strategy, known as a Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC), which is due in February 2025.

The report suggests that nations must collectively commit to and implement a cut of 42pc on yearly greenhouse gas emissions by 2030, and reach 57pc by 2035 for any hope of preventing warming beyond 1.5°C, a target now seen as likely out of reach.

Inger Andersen, executive director of the United Nations Environment Programme, urged countries to use the Baku talks to increase action in their NDCs. “Every fraction of a degree avoided counts,” she said.


 
Bodies recovered after flash floods in Spain

Bodies have been recovered after torrential rain caused flash floods in south-eastern Spain, the leader of the Valencia region says.

"Dead bodies have been found, but out of respect for the families, we are not going to provide any further data," Carlos Mazon told reporters.

Spain has been hit by torrential rain and hailstorms, triggering flash flooding across multiple regions.

Six people are missing in Letur, which has a population of less than 1,000, in the eastern province of Albacete, officials say.

The number of bodies recovered was not specified. Rescue efforts are under way and continuing overnight.

Footage uploaded to social media shows floodwaters causing chaos, knocking down bridges and dragging cars through the streets. Other video appeared to show people clinging to trees to avoid being swept away.

Radio and TV stations have reportedly been receiving hundreds of calls for help from people trapped in flooded areas or searching for loved ones, as emergency services struggle to reach some areas.

Emergency services workers are using drones to search for the missing in the badly affected municipality of Letur, local official Milagros Tolon told Spanish public television station TVE.

"The priority is to find these people," she said.

Spain's state weather agency AEMET has declared a red alert in the Valencia region and the second-highest level of alert in parts of Andalusia.

Valencia city hall said all schools and sporting events are suspended on Wednesday, and parks will stay closed.

Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez said in a post on X he was following reports of missing people "with concern".

He urged people to follow the advice of the authorities, adding that people should "avoid unnecessary trips.

BBC
 
Spain battles deadliest flood disaster in decades as death toll rises to 95

Spain is enduring its worst flooding disaster in decades, with at least 95 people dead and dozens more missing, after huge rains swept the eastern province of Valencia and beyond.

Torrential rain on Tuesday triggered flash floods which swept away bridges and buildings and forced people to climb on to roofs or cling to trees to survive.

Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has declared three days of national mourning as the extreme conditions continue, restricting some rescue efforts.

The death toll is feared to climb as "there are many missing people", the government says.

At least 92 deaths were recorded in Valencia, with another two in Castilla-La Mancha to Valencia's west and one in Málaga - a 71-year-old British man who died in hospital after being rescued from his home.

The flooding death toll is the country's worst since 1973, when at least 150 people were estimated to have died in the nation's worst-ever floods in the south-east.

In his national address on Wednesday, Sánchez urged citizens to remain vigilant and pledged a full recovery, telling victims: “The whole of Spain weeps with you… we won’t abandon you.”

One of the first towns affected near Valencia, Chiva, reported one year's worth of rainfall on Tuesday in just a period of eight hours, according to national weather agency Aemet.

As Spanish army and emergency crews rushed to carry out rescues on Wednesday morning - including winching people to safety from balconies and car rooftops - survivors in Valencia recounted the horror of the floods on Tuesday night.

Sudden surges turned streets and roads into rivers, catching many motorists unaware.

Guillermo Serrano Pérez, 21, from Paiporta near Valencia, said the water had rushed down a highway “like a tsunami”, forcing him and his parents to abandon their car and climb on to a bridge to survive.

Another witness recounted a scene when motorway drivers realised a torrent of water was heading towards them and formed a human chain to escape along a raised central reservation.

“Thank goodness no one slipped because if anyone had fallen, the current would have dragged them away,” Patricia Rodriguez, 45, told El País newspaper.

One resident of La Torre told the BBC some of his friends had lost their homes, and on Tuesday night he "saw cars floating in the water" and the tides "breaking through some walls."

Meanwhile, the mayor of Horno de Alcedo, a town just outside Valencia, told BBC Newshour how the water levels rose by more than a metre in just a matter of minutes.

"The currents were so quick – and we called the emergency services who started rescuing some people who had water up to their necks", Consuelo Tarazon said.

There are widespread accusations in Spain that in many cases, disaster relief authorities were too slow to act with warnings, meaning people could not get off roads or seek higher ground.

The civil protection agency, deployed during national disasters, did not issue an alert until 20:15 on Tuesday evening local time – but by then, Chiva and several other towns had already been flooded for at least two hours.

Valencia’s regional government has also been forced to defend its decision to scrap the Valencia Emergency Unit, which had been set up by the previous government to tackle natural disasters such as flooding and wildfires.

Spain deployed more than 1,000 troops to help with rescue efforts on Wednesday, but many crews remain cut off from towns by flooded roads and downed communication and power lines.

The European Union's chief, Ursula von der Leyen, said it had activated its Copernicus satellite system to help co-ordinate Spanish rescue teams. Other European neighbours have also offered to send reinforcements.

Spain's Defence Minister Margarita Robles had said earlier on Wednesday the flooding across the region was "an unprecedented phenomenon".

The downpour eased in the country's central-east on Wednesday, but weather officials warned the rains were moving north-east to the Catalonia region. Weather warnings have also been issued across several other parts of the country, urging people to brace for floods and take shelter.

Many factors contribute to flooding, but a warming atmosphere caused by climate change makes extreme rainfall more likely.

Weather researchers have identified the likely main cause of the intense rainfall as a “gota fria” – a natural weather event that hits Spain in autumn and winter when cold air descends on warmer waters over the Mediterranean.

However, the increase in global temperatures had led to the clouds carrying more rain, scientists told the BBC.

“With every fraction of a degree of fossil fuel warming, the atmosphere can hold more moisture, leading to heavier bursts of rainfall,” said Dr Friederike Otto, from Imperial College London, who leads an international group of scientists who try to understand the role that warming plays in these type of events.

“No doubt about it, these explosive downpours were intensified by climate change.”

The world has already warmed by about 1.1C since the industrial era began and temperatures will keep rising unless governments around the world make steep cuts to emissions.

BBC
 
At least 89 people remain missing after floods in eastern Spain

At least 89 people remain missing after deadly floods in eastern Spain, regional judicial authorities in Valencia have confirmed, as the country’s prime minister, Pedro Sánchez, said he was earmarking €10.6bn (£8.9bn) to help victims.

The number includes only those who have been reported missing by family members who have also provided personal information and biological samples to allow for their identification, the superior court of justice of the Valencia region said in a statement on Tuesday. It added that there could be more cases of people who have disappeared whose details have not yet been registered.

More than 200 people were confirmed to have died after heavy rains last week caused waterways to overflow, creating flash floods that surged through suburbs south of the city of Valencia, sweeping away cars and bridges, and flooding properties and underground car parks.

“There are still missing persons to be located, homes and businesses destroyed, buried under the mud, and many people suffering severe shortages,” Sánchez said in a press conference in Madrid earlier on Tuesday. “We have to keep working.”

At least 217 people died in Valencia, Castile-La Mancha and Andalusia, but only 133 have been identified so far.

The court said coroners had performed 195 autopsies and that 62 bodies were still pending identification. Spain’s national guard on Tuesday asked relatives of people missing to provide DNA samples to identify bodies.

A research vessel from the national scientific body the Spanish National Research Council (CSIC) will reach Valencia on 9 November to help in the search efforts, the science ministry said on Tuesday. The vessel has technology to obtain detailed images of the seafloor and explore hard-to-reach areas, it said. There have been suggestions that some of the missing people could have been swept down rivers and out to sea.

The aid will include €838m in direct cash to small businesses and freelance workers affected by the disaster and €5bn of state-guaranteed loans. The national government will finance 100% of the cleanup costs incurred by local governments and half of the repairs to infrastructure, Sánchez said.

More than 100,000 cars were damaged by the floods, said Sonia Luque, the coordinator of REAC, the network of road assistance companies, while damages to businesses in towns hit by floods could rise to more than €10bn.

In the face of criticism and anger at the slow response to the disaster, Sánchez said the government had deployed nearly 15,000 police and military to help clear flood-affected areas, along with hundreds of forestry officials, forensic scientists, customs agents and heavy machinery to clear roads and rubble.

Defending the government’s response, Sánchez said he had not called a state of emergency, which would have given Madrid control of the crisis, because it would have been less efficient.

He said personnel had been ready to be deployed from the first minute but had required the approval of the regional government run by the conservative People’s Party.

Valencia’s regional leader Carlos Mazón said on Monday the delay in warning people was caused by the Júcar Hydrographic Confederation (CHJ), which measures the flow of rivers and ravines for the state, cancelling a planned alert three times.

The CHJ fired back that it does not issue flood risk alerts, which are the responsibility of Spain’s regional governments.

THE GUARDIAN
 
2024 on track to be world's warmest year on record

It is now "virtually certain" that 2024 - a year punctuated by intense heatwaves and deadly storms - will be the world's warmest on record, according to projections by the European climate service.

Global average temperatures across the year are on track to end up more than 1.5C above pre-industrial levels, which would make 2024 the first calendar year to breach this symbolic mark.

These high temperatures are mainly down to human-caused climate change, with smaller contributions from natural factors such as the El Niño weather pattern.

Scientists say this should act as an alarm call ahead of next week's UN climate conference in Azerbaijan, COP29.

"This latest record sends another stark warning to governments at COP29 of the urgent need for action to limit any further warming," says Liz Bentley, chief executive of the Royal Meteorological Society.

Global temperatures have been so high through the first 10 months of 2024 that only an implausibly sharp drop in the final two months would prevent a new record from being set.

In fact, it is likely that 2024 will end up at least 1.55C hotter than pre-industrial times, according to data from the European Copernicus Climate Change Service.

"Pre-industrial" refers to the benchmark period of 1850-1900, which roughly equates to the time before humans started significantly heating up the planet, for example by burning large amounts of fossil fuels.

The projection means that 2024 could surpass the current record of 1.48C, which was set only last year.

"This marks a new milestone in global temperature records," says Samantha Burgess, deputy director of Copernicus.

This would also represent the first time that a calendar year has passed 1.5C of warming, according to Copernicus data.

This would be symbolic, because almost 200 countries pledged to try to limit long-term temperature rises to that level under the Paris climate agreement in 2015, hoping to avoid some of the worst impacts of climate change.

If the 1.5C limit is breached, that does not mean the Paris goal has been broken, because it refers to average temperatures over a period of 20 years or so, in order to smooth out natural variability.

But every year-long breach brings the world closer to passing the 1.5C mark in the longer term. Last month, the UN warned that the world could warm by more than 3C this century based on current policies.

The specifics of 2024 also offer cause for concern.

Early 2024 warmth was boosted by the natural El Niño weather pattern. This is where surface waters in the east tropical Pacific Ocean are warmer than usual, which releases extra heat into the atmosphere.

This latest El Niño phase began in mid-2023 and ended around April 2024, but temperatures have remained stubbornly high since.

Over the past week, global average temperatures have set new records for the time of year every day, according to Copernicus data.

Many scientists expect the opposite, cooler phase, La Niña, to develop soon. This should, in theory, lead to a temporary drop in global temperatures next year, although exactly how this will play out is uncertain.

"We will watch with interest what happens going into 2025 and beyond," says Ed Hawkins, professor of climate science at the University of Reading.

But, with levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere still rising quickly, scientists warn it is likely only a matter of time before new records are set.

"The warmer temperatures [are making] storms more intense, heatwaves hotter and heavy rainfall more extreme, with clearly seen consequences for people all around the world," says Prof Hawkins.

"Stabilising global temperatures by reaching net zero emissions is the only way to stop adding to the costs of these disasters."

BBC
 
Whole of Cuba loses power as Hurricane Rafael hits

Cuba suffered a nationwide blackout on Wednesday as Hurricane Rafael brought winds of up to 185km/h (115mph) to the Caribbean island.

The country's national energy company said strong winds had caused the shutdown of the electricity system.

At least 70,000 people were evacuated from their homes before the category three storm made landfall on Wednesday evening with warnings of storm surges, flash flooding, and mudslides.

It comes just weeks after millions were left without power for four days following a blackout caused by issues with the country's creaking energy infrastructure. The incident also coincided with Hurricane Oscar, which killed at least six people.

Rafael made landfall in the western province of Artemisa, near capital Havana, at around 16:15 local time (21:15 GMT), the US National Hurricane Center (NHC) said.

A spokesperson for the state-owned energy company, Unión Eléctrica, said engineers would have to wait for the storm to pass over the island before they could assess its impact on power plants and the grid more generally.

By 22:00, Rafael had moved on into the Gulf of Mexico and weakened to a category two hurricane, with maximum wind speeds of 169km/h.

The NHC said the storm would continue to bring heavy rains across western Cuba through Thursday and that storm surges could pose a danger to life.

Heavy rains are also expected in the Cayman Islands, while a tropical storm warning is in force in the Florida Keys.

That blackout also coincided with Hurricane Oscar, a less powerful category one storm that left a trail of destruction along the island's north-eastern coast.

The worst-affected area was the eastern province of Guantánamo, where more than 1,000 homes were damaged by heavy rains and strong winds.

BBC
 
Fresh Spain floods sweep away dozens of cars near Girona

New floods have hit the region of Girona in north-eastern Spain, sweeping away around 30 cars in the town of Cadaqués, according to Spanish media reports.

Videos posted by a local journalist showed a torrent of water gushing down the street and a pile of cars blocking a bridge early on Friday.

No casualties were reported in the latest round of flooding to hit the country.

More than 200 people were killed last week, most in the Valencia area, in one of the worst floods in Europe this century.

The disaster ignited intense anger at the authorities for not issuing emergency alerts sooner.

Flooding in Cadaqués in the early hours of Friday morning caused around 30 vehicles to pile up under a bridge, Catalonia's fire service said on X. No one was injured or trapped, the emergency responders added.

More potentially dangerous weather is expected in the region overnight.

Catalonia's meteorological service issued a rain warning from Friday evening until Saturday afternoon for the area of Alt Emporda, where Cadaqués is located. The weather agency warned rain intensity could exceed 20 mm (0.7 inches) in 30 minutes.

The agency recorded 76.8 mm (3 inches) of rain in Cadaqués on 7 and 8 November, with more than 100 mm (4 inches) logged in two other towns nearby.

Spain received 72% more rainfall from 1 October to 5 November than the normal value for that time period, according to Aemet, Spain's weather agency.

The rainfall, which experts said was intensified by climate change, led to flash floods that trapped people in their cars.

BBC
 
Heavy snowfall disrupts life in Gilgit-Baltistan

Heavy snowfall in the upper areas of Gilgit-Baltistan has resulted in widespread difficulties for residents as it severed land communication and strandied travellers.

Temperatures in the region have plummeted to minus 14 Celsius, further exacerbating the difficulties.

Key routes, including Babusar Top and Khunjerab Pass, have been closed due to snow, disrupting travel between Pakistan and China.

Authorities confirmed that several vehicles were stranded at Khunjerab Pass, while a rockfall at Roundu has blocked Baltistan Road. However, officials said the road would be restored for traffic by Saturday (today).

The GB administration has warned of continued heavy snowfall in Hunza, Nagar, Ghizer, Skardu, Shigar and Ghanche districts until Nov 16, urging residents to exercise caution.

Meanwhile, according to the Skardu deputy commissioner, the army successfully rescued 15 passengers stranded in the snow-covered Deosai plains.

DAWN NEWS
 
Melting glaciers leave homes teetering in valley of jagged mountains

Komal’s morning view was of jagged, forbidding mountains, the rush of the river dozens of metres below the family home on the cliff. That was until the water became a torrent and tore the ground away beneath their feet.

“It was a sunny day,” says Komal, 18.

For generations, her family had lived among the orchards and green lands in the heart of the Hunza valley in the Karakorum mountains of Pakistan-administered Gilgit-Baltistan region.

“In the morning everything was normal, I went to school,” Komal says, “but then my teacher told me that Hassanabad bridge had collapsed.”

Upstream, a glacial lake had formed, then suddenly burst - sending water, boulders and debris cascading down the valley and gathering speed. The ground trembled so violently some people thought there was an earthquake.

When the torrent hit the cement bridge that connected the two parts of the village, it turned it to rubble.

“By the time I came home, people were taking what they could out of their home,” Komal says. She grabbed books, laundry, anything she could carry, but remembers thinking that with their house so far above the water there was no way it could be affected.

That was until they received a phone call from the other side of the valley; their neighbours could see that the water was stripping away the hillside their home stood on.

Then the homes began to collapse.

“I remember my aunt and uncle were still inside their home when the flood came and washed out the whole kitchen,” she says. The family made it to safe ground, but their homes disappeared over the edge.

Today, walking through the grey rubble and dust, there are still coat hooks on the wall, a few tiles in the bathroom, a window with the glass long gone. It’s been two years, but nothing has grown on the crumbling cliff that used to be Komal's garden in Hassanabad.

“This used to be all a green place,” she says. “When I visit this place I remember my childhood memories, the time I spent here. But the barren places, they hurt me, they make me feel sad.”

Climate change is altering the landscape across Gilgit-Baltistan and neighbouring Chitral, researchers say. This is just part of an area referred to by some as the Third Pole; a place which has more ice than any other part of the world outside the polar regions.

If current emissions continue, Himalayan glaciers could lose up to two-thirds of their volume by the end of this century, according to the International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development.

According to the Aga Khan Development Network (AKDN), more than 48,000 people across Gilgit Baltistan and Chitral are considered to be at high risk from a lake outburst or landslide. Some, like the village of Badswat in the neighbouring district of Ghizer, are in such peril they are being evacuated entirely to relative safety, their homes rendered impossible to live in.

“Climate change has increased the intensity and frequency of disasters across the region,” says Deedar Karim, programme co-ordinator for the Aga Khan Agency for Habitat.

“These areas are highly exposed. With the increase in temperature, there are more discharges (of water) and then more flooding. It’s causing damage to infrastructure, houses, agricultural lands; every infrastructure has been damaged by these increasing floods.

“The rainfall pattern is changing. The snowfall pattern is changing and then the melting of the glacier is changing. So it’s changing the dynamics of hazards.”

Moving populations is complicated; not only have many spent centuries on their land and are loath to leave it, but finding another location that is safe and has access to reliable water is complicated.

“We have very limited land and limited resources. We don’t have common lands to shift people to,” says Zubair Ahmed, assistant director of the Disaster Management Authority in Hunza and Nagar district.

“I can say that after five or 10 years, it will be very difficult for us to even survive. Maybe people will realise after a few years or decades, but by then it will be too late. So I think this is the right time, although we are still late, but even now this is the time to think about it.”

Pakistan is one of the countries most vulnerable to climate change, although it is only responsible for less than 1% of global greenhouse gas emissions.

“We cannot stop these events, because this is a global issue,” Mr Ahmed says. “All we can do is mitigate and get our people prepared to face such events.”

In the village of Passu, just over an hour’s drive from Hassanabad, they are holding an evacuation drill; preparation for potential destruction. The population know that if there is an emergency, it may take days for outside help to arrive if the roads and bridges are blocked, damaged or swept away.

Trained in first aid, river crossing and high mountain rescue, they practise evacuating the village a few times a year, volunteers carrying the wounded on stretchers and bandaging mock injuries.

Ijaz has been a volunteer for the last 20 years, with many stories of rescuing lost walkers in the mountains. But he too is worried about the number of dangers and the increased unpredictability of the weather in the area he calls home.

“The weather now, we just can’t say what will happen,” he says. “Even five years ago, the weather didn’t change as much. Now after half an hour we can’t say what it will be.”

He knows too, that there’s only so much his team of volunteers can do.

“Unfortunately, if the flood comes and it’s a heavy flood we can’t do anything,” he says. “The area is totally washed out. If it’s small then we can help people survive and escape the flood areas.”

There are other mitigation measures across the region; stone and wire barriers to try to slow floodwater, systems to monitor glacier melt, rainfall and water levels, speakers installed in villages to warn the community if danger looks likely. But many who work here say they need more resources.

“We have installed early warning systems in some valleys,” says Mr Ahmed. “These were identified by the Pakistan Meteorological Department and they gave us a list of around 100 valleys. But because of limited resources, we are only able to intervene in 16.”

He says they are in discussions to expand this further.

A few houses along from Komal lives Sultan Ali, now in his 70s.

As we talk sitting on a traditional charpoy bed, his granddaughters bring us a plate of pears they’ve picked from their garden.

He knows that should another flood happen, his home could also disappear into the valley, but says he has nowhere to go.

“As I approach the end of my life, I feel helpless,” he tells me. “The children are very worried, they ask where will we live?

“We have no options. If the flood comes, it will take everything away and there’s nothing we can do about it. I can’t blame anyone; it’s just our fate.”

We watch his grandchildren play tag in the shade of the orchard. The seasons, the ice, the environment is changing around them. What will this land look like when they are older?

Komal too is not sure what the future will hold.

“I don’t think we will stay here forever,” she says. “The condition is clear already. But the question for us is we have no other place to go. Only this.”

BBC
 

Climate-vulnerable islands storm out of COP29 negotiation room in row over funding​

Representatives of dozens of climate vulnerable islands and African nations have stormed out of high-stakes negotiations over a climate funding goal.

Patience is wearing thin and tensions have boiled over at the COP29 climate talks in Azerbaijan, which were due to finish yesterday but are now well into overtime.

After two weeks of fraught diplomacy, the more than 190 countries gathered in the capital Baku are still trying to agree a new financial settlement to channel money to poorer countries to both curb and adapt to climate change.

The least developed countries like Mozambique and low-lying island nations like Samoa are furious their calls to have a portion of the fund allocated to them have been ignored.

Samoa's minister of natural resources and environment Toeolesulusulu Cedric Schuster is one of the representatives who walked out of finance discussions.

"We are here to negotiate but we have walked out... at the moment we don't feel we are being heard in there," he said on behalf of more than 40 small island and developing states, whose shorelines are being lost to rising sea levels.

Shortly after he made a veiled threat of leaving COP29 altogether, saying: "We want nothing more than to continue to engage, but the process must be INCLUSIVE.

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"If this cannot be the case, it becomes very difficult for us to continue our involvement here at COP29."

Evans Njewa, who chairs a group of more than 40 least developed countries, said the current deal is "unacceptable for us. We need to speak to other developing countries and decide what to do."

The last official draft on Friday pledged $250bn a year annually by 2035.

This is more than double the previous goal of $100bn set 15 years ago, but nowhere near the annual $1.3trn that experts say is needed.

Sky News understands some developed countries like the UK were this morning willing to bump up the goal to $300bn.

But a group of 77 developing countries that negotiate as a bloc seem unwilling to accept anything lower than $500bn.

Source: SKY
 
Malaysia and Thailand flooding kills at least 12

Huge flooding caused by heavy rain in Malaysia and neighbouring Thailand has killed at least 12 people, officials say.

More than 122,000 people have been forced out of their homes in northern Malaysia, while in southern Thailand, around 13,000 others have also been displaced.

There are fears the number could rise, as heavy rain and storm warnings remain in place.

Emergency services personnel have been deployed to help rescue stranded residents and shelters are being provided.

The flooding, which began earlier in the week, has seen thousands of residents evacuated in both nations.

Videos on social media and local news show cars and houses submerged, and people wading through waist-deep water.

One video, filmed in Thailand's Sateng Nok district, showed rescuers carrying a baby out from a roof of a flooded home.

Flooding has impacted nearly 534,000 households in southern Thailand, disaster officials said, and two hospitals had to close to prevent floodwaters from damaging medical facilities.

Six provinces have declared a disaster due to the floods.

The government has designated 50 million baht ($1.7m; £1.3m) in flood relief for each province, with Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra saying the goal is to "restore normalcy as quickly as possible".

In Malaysia, the flooding is mostly concentrated on the north-eastern state of Kelantan, which borders Thailand.

There, the National Disaster Management Agency says the evacuees account for 63% of the total number.

One resident in the town of Pasir Puteh in Kelantan said her area had been flooded since Wednesday.

"The water has already reached my house corridor and is just two inches away from coming inside," Zamrah Majid told AFP news agency.

Another resident of the same town said he and his family have been isolated by the floods.

"There's no way in or out of for any vehicles to enter my neighbourhood," Muhammad Zulkarnain told AFP.

Another eight states in Malaysia have also been affected.

So far, the number of those displaced surpasses that of 2014, which saw one of the worst floods in the country.

Provisions for disaster management have been sent to Terengganu and Kelantan State Governments, according to the prime minister's office.

On Friday, he barred his cabinet members from going on leave so they can focus on the disaster.

The Malaysian Meteorological Department warned that heavy rains will continue until Sunday in some states, while its Thai counterpart warned that "very heavy rain" could continue through next week.

Both countries experience monsoon rains around this time of the year, and flooding isn't uncommon.

In 2021, Malaysia faced some of its worse flooding in decades, which killed at least 14 people.

Ten years earlier, in 2011, widespread flooding across Thailand killed at least 500 people and damaged millions of homes.

BBC
 

Rare red wind warning issued as Storm Darragh approaches​

The Met Office has issued a rare red weather warning for wind, as Storm Darragh approaches.

The warning is in place from 03:00 to 11:00 GMT on Saturday, covering western and southern coastal regions of Wales as well as the Bristol Channel in England.

Yellow wind warnings are in place for swathes of the UK on Friday, with amber warnings covering the west coast of England and Wales, as well as Northern Ireland, on Saturday morning.

Red weather warnings are the most serious type of warning. The Met Office only issues them when meteorologists believe that dangerous, potentially life-threatening weather is expected imminently.

The Met Office says areas under the red warning are forecast wind gusts of 90mph or more.

These strong winds could lead to flying debris and falling trees, posing a danger to life, it says.

The winds are also expected to cause large waves, power cuts affecting mobile phone services, as well as damage to buildings and homes. Transport networks are also anticipated to be affected.

The Met Office says the strongest winds will subside by late Saturday morning, but that it will remain very windy until the evening, with amber warnings remaining in place until then.

 
2024 is the hottest year on record, EU scientists say

This year will be the world's warmest since records began, with extraordinarily high temperatures expected to persist into at least the first few months of 2025, European Union scientists said on Monday.

The data from the EU's Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) comes two weeks after U.N. climate talks yielded a $300 billion deal to tackle climate change, a package poorer countries blasted as insufficient to cover the soaring cost of climate-related disasters.

C3S said data from January to November had confirmed 2024 is now certain to be the hottest year on record, and the first in which average global temperatures exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial period.

The previous hottest year on record was 2023.

Extreme weather has swept around the world in 2024, with severe drought hitting Italy and South America, fatal floods in Nepal, Sudan and Europe, heatwaves in Mexico, Mali and Saudi Arabia that killed thousands, and disastrous cyclones in the U.S. and the Philippines.


 
New York to fine fossil fuel companies $75 billion under new climate law

New York state will fine fossil fuel companies a total of $75 billion over the next 25 years to pay for damage caused to the climate under a bill Governor Kathy Hochul signed into law on Thursday.

The law is intended to shift some of the recovery and adaptation costs of climate change from individual taxpayers to oil, gas and coal companies that the law says are liable. The money raised will be spent on mitigating the impacts of climate change, including adapting roads, transit, water and sewage systems, buildings and other infrastructure.

"New York has fired a shot that will be heard round the world: The companies most responsible for the climate crisis will be held accountable," New York Senator Liz Krueger, a Democrat who co-sponsored the bill, said in a statement.

Fossil fuel companies will be fined based on the amount of greenhouse gases they released into the atmosphere between 2000 and 2018, to be paid into a Climate Superfund beginning in 2028. It will apply to any company that the New York Department of Environmental Conservation determines is responsible for more than 1 billion tons of global greenhouse gas emissions.



 
Severe winter storm puts much of US on high alert

Tens of millions of Americans are bracing for a huge winter storm that could bring the heaviest snowfall and coldest temperatures in over a decade.

The storm, which started in the middle of the US, will move east in the next couple of days, the National Weather Service (NWS) said.

A state of emergency has been declared in the states of Kentucky and Virginia, and parts of the US unaccustomed to severe cold, including Mississippi and Florida, have been warned to expect treacherous conditions.

Forecasters say the extreme weather is being caused by the polar vortex, an area of cold air that circulates around the Arctic.

"For some, this could be the heaviest snowfall in over a decade," the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said.

AccuWeather forecaster Dan DePodwin said: "This could lead to the coldest January for the US since 2011."

He added that "temperatures that are well below historical average" could linger for a week.

Those low temperatures will be on the east coast as well, where the storm is expected to reach by Sunday evening.

In the central US, there will be "considerable disruptions to daily life" and "dangerous or impossible driving conditions and widespread closures" into Sunday, according to the NWS.

Some areas of Kansas and Indiana could see at least 8in (20.3cm) of snow.

In parts of the Midwest, blizzards are possible.

"Whiteout conditions will make travel extremely hazardous, with impassable roads and a high risk of motorists becoming stranded," the NWS warned.

Sleet and freezing rain is forecast for Missouri, Illinois, and swathes of Kentucky and West Virginia.

As the storm moves east, millions more Americans will see record low temperatures, forecasters said.

Cities including Washington DC, Baltimore and Philadelphia are preparing for snowy and icy conditions from Sunday into Monday. Snowfall of between 5-12in could be recorded in parts of Virginia.

Also on Sunday, portions of the southern US including Arkansas, Louisiana and Mississippi may see severe thunderstorms.

Private meteorologist Ryan Maue said: "It's going to be a mess, a potential disaster. This is something we haven't seen in quite a while."

American, Delta, Southwest and United airlines are waiving change fees for passengers because of the potential flight disruptions.

BBC
 
2024 first year to pass 1.5C global warming limit

The planet has moved a major step closer to warming more than 1.5C, new data shows, despite world leaders vowing a decade ago they would try to avoid this.

The European Copernicus climate service, one of the main global data providers, said on Friday that 2024 was the first calendar year to pass the symbolic threshold, as well as the world's hottest on record.

This does not mean the international 1.5C target has been broken, because that refers to a long-term average over decades, but does bring us nearer to doing so as fossil fuel emissions continue to heat the atmosphere.

Last week UN chief António Guterres described the recent run of temperature records as "climate breakdown".

"We must exit this road to ruin - and we have no time to lose," he said in his New Year message, calling for countries to slash emissions of planet-warming gases in 2025.

Global average temperatures for 2024 were around 1.6C above those of the pre-industrial period - the time before humans started burning large amounts of fossil fuels - according to Copernicus data.

This breaks the record set in 2023 by just over 0.1C, and means the last 10 years are now the 10 warmest years on record.

The Met Office, Nasa and other climate groups are due to release their own data later on Friday. All are expected to agree that 2024 was the warmest on record, although precise figures vary slightly.

Last year's heat is predominantly due to humanity's emissions of planet-warming gases, such as carbon dioxide, which are still at record highs.

Natural weather patterns such as El Niño - where surface waters in the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean become unusually warm - played a smaller role.

"By far and away the largest contribution impacting our climate is greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere," Samantha Burgess, deputy director of Copernicus, tells the BBC.

The 1.5C figure has become a powerful symbol in international climate negotiations ever since it was agreed in Paris in 2015, with many of the most vulnerable countries considering it a matter of survival.

The risks from climate change, such as intense heatwaves, rising sea-levels and loss of wildlife, would be much higher at 2C of warming than at 1.5C, according to a landmark UN report from 2018.

Yet the world has been moving closer and closer to breaching the 1.5C barrier.

"When exactly we will cross the long-term 1.5C threshold is hard to predict, but we're obviously very close now," says Myles Allen of the Department of Physics at the University of Oxford, and an author of the UN report.

The current trajectory would likely see the world pass 1.5C of long-term warming by the early 2030s. This would be politically significant, but it wouldn't mean game over for climate action.

"It's not like 1.49C is fine, and 1.51C is the apocalypse - every tenth of a degree matters and climate impacts get progressively worse the more warming we have," explains Zeke Hausfather, a climate scientist at Berkeley Earth, a research group in the US.

Even fractions of a degree of global warming can bring more frequent and intense extreme weather, such as heatwaves and heavy rainfall.

In 2024, the world saw blistering temperatures in west Africa, prolonged drought in parts of South America, intense rainfall in central Europe and some particularly strong tropical storms hitting north America and south Asia.

These events were just some of those made more intense by climate change over the last year, according to the World Weather Attribution group.

Even this week, as the new figures are released, Los Angeles has been overwhelmed with destructive wildfires fuelled by high winds and a lack of rain.

While there are many contributing factors to this week's events, experts say conditions conducive to fires in California are becoming more likely in a warming world.

It wasn't only air temperatures that set new marks in 2024. The world's sea surface also reached a new daily high, while the total amount of moisture in the atmosphere reached record levels.

That the world is breaking new records is not a surprise: 2024 was always expected to be hot, because of the effect of the El Niño weather pattern - which ended around April last year - on top of human-caused warming.

But the margin of several records in recent years has been less expected, with some scientists fearing it could represent an acceleration of warming.

"I think it's safe to say that both 2023 and 2024 temperatures surprised most climate scientists - we didn't think we'd be seeing a year above 1.5C this early," says Dr Hausfather.

"Since 2023 we've had around 0.2C of extra warming that we can't fully explain, on top of what we had expected from climate change and El Niño," agrees Helge Gößling, a climate physicist at the Alfred Wegener Institute in Germany

Various theories have been suggested to explain this 'extra' warmth, such as an apparent reduction in the low-level cloud cover that tends to cool the planet, and prolonged ocean heat following the end of El Niño.

"The question is whether this acceleration is something persistent linked to human activities that means we will have steeper warming in the future, or whether it is a part of natural variability," Dr Gößling adds.

"At the moment it's very hard to say."

Despite this uncertainty, scientists stress that humans still have control over the future climate, and sharp reductions in emissions can lessen the consequences of warming.

"Even if 1.5 degrees is out the window, we still can probably limit warming to 1.6C, 1.7C or 1.8C this century," says Dr Hausfather.

"That's going to be far, far better than if we keep burning coal, oil and gas unabated and end up at 3C or 4C - it still really matters."

BBC
 
Planet-warming gas levels rose more than ever in 2024

Levels of the most significant planet-warming gas in our atmosphere rose more quickly than ever previously recorded last year, scientists say, leaving a key global climate target hanging by a thread.

Concentrations of carbon dioxide (CO2) are now more than 50% higher than before humans started burning large amounts of fossil fuels.

Last year, fossil fuel emissions were at record highs, while the natural world struggled to absorb as much CO2 due to factors including wildfires and drought, so more accumulated in the atmosphere.

The rapid increase in CO2 is "incompatible" with the international pledge to try to limit global warming to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels, the Met Office says.

This was the ambitious goal agreed by nearly 200 countries at a landmark UN meeting in Paris in 2015, with the hope of avoiding some of the worst impacts of climate change.

Last week it was confirmed that 2024 was the hottest year on record, and the first calendar year in which annual average temperatures were higher than 1.5C above pre-industrial levels.

This did not break the Paris goal, which refers to a longer-term average over decades, but continued increases to atmospheric CO2 effectively consign the world to doing so.

"Limiting global warming to 1.5C would require the CO2 rise to be slowing, but in reality the opposite is happening," says Richard Betts of the Met Office.

The long-term CO2 increase is unquestionably due to human activities, mainly through burning coal, oil and gas, and cutting down forests.

Records of the Earth's climate in the distant past from ice cores and marine sediments show that CO2 levels are currently at their highest in at least two million years, according to the UN.

But the rise varies from year to year, thanks to differences in how the natural world absorbs carbon, as well as fluctuations in humanity's emissions.

Last year, CO2 emissions from fossil fuels reached new highs, according to preliminary data from the Global Carbon Project team.

There were also the effects of the natural El Niño phenomenon - where surface waters in the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean become unusually warm, affecting weather patterns.

The natural world has absorbed roughly half of humanity's CO2 emissions, for example through extra plant growth and more of the gas being dissolved in the ocean.

But that extra blast of heat from El Niño against the background of climate change meant natural carbon sinks on land did not take up as much CO2 as usual last year.

Rampant wildfires, including in regions not usually affected by El Niño, also released extra CO2.

"Even without the boost from El Niño last year, the CO2 rise driven by fossil fuel burning and deforestation would now be outpacing the [UN climate body] IPCC's 1.5C scenarios," says Prof Betts.

These factors meant that between 2023 and 2024 CO2 levels increased by nearly 3.6 parts per million (ppm) molecules of air to a new high of more than 424ppm.

This is a record yearly increase since atmospheric measurements were first taken at the remote Mauna Loa research station in Hawaii in 1958. Perched high on the side of a volcano in the Pacific Ocean, the station's remote location away from major pollution sources makes it ideally suited to monitoring global CO2 levels.

"These latest results further confirm that we are moving into uncharted territory faster than ever as the rise continues to accelerate," says Prof Ralph Keeling, who leads the measurement programme at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in the US.

The record increase adds to concerns that the natural world may become less able to absorb planet-warming gases in the long-term.

The Arctic tundra is being transformed into an overall source of CO2, thanks to warming and frequent fires, according to the US science group NOAA.

The ability of the Amazon rainforest to absorb CO2 is also being hit by drought, wildfires and deliberate deforestation.

"It's an open question, but it's something we need to keep a close eye on and look at very carefully," Prof Betts tells the BBC.

The Met Office predicts the increase in CO2 concentration in 2025 will be less extreme than 2024, but still significantly off-track to meet the 1.5C target.

La Niña conditions – where surface waters in the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean are cooler than normal - have replaced El Niño, which tends to allow the natural world to take up more CO2.

"While there may be a temporary respite with slightly cooler temperatures, warming will resume because CO2 is still building up in the atmosphere," Prof Betts says.

BBC
 

Climate change is forcing us to rethink our sense of 'home'—and what it means to lose it​

The Los Angeles wildfires are causing the devastating loss of people's homes.

From A-list celebrities such as Paris Hilton to an Australian family living in LA, thousands of houses have been destroyed, leaving their owners shocked and grieving. And climate science points towards figures that suggest more such events are waiting.

These events strip away precious memories created over many years, and sometimes over lifetimes. They prompt us to ask: what does it mean to lose the place I care most deeply about?

Philosophy explains how our personal losses connect to a broader, more profound loss of home rooted in our dependence on the ecosystems we live in.

The concept of 'home'
In her 1949 text The Second Sex, philosopher Simone de Beauvoir writes that, for many cultures, the home has represented values of tradition, safety and family. Inside its walls we preserve the past in furniture, knick knacks and photographs, and we associate these objects with memories created with loved ones.

The home also represents separation from the people and events of the outside. It is "refuge, retreat, grotto, womb, it protects against outside dangers," Beauvoir writes.

But she explains how this understanding of home is culturally specific to civilizations founded on landed property, which contain intersecting structures of patriarchy and capitalism.

After all, patriarchy sees women as the caretakers of the home, providing for the physical and emotional needs of its inhabitants. Meanwhile, the functioning of the home also relies on the income of those who work outside it.

At the same time, many of us, Beauvoir writes, have a more instrumental understanding of home. It is where we rest, sleep, eat and store the objects we own and use.

Barriers to having a sense of 'home'
The traditional understanding of home as a protective structure is complicated when you realize certain people do not have the privilege of calling one particular place "home."

For many, the home exists as a point of inequality, instability and unsafety.

In Australia, homelessness continues to rise in the middle of the ongoing housing crisis. Home is also often the most dangerous place for women.

Australian philosopher Val Plumwood puts these issues into perspective when she argues the expression of "one's place" or "homeplace" often represents a privileged and exclusionary sense of place. She writes:
"Those who are most vulnerable and powerless are at most risk of losing control over their ability to remain in a home place or place of attachment."

She further argues that, under capitalism, the idea of personal belonging to a particular place or dwelling is often framed as being more important than many other vital attachments to place, such as connection to land.

She uses the term "shadow places" to describe the ecosystems we exclude and exploit—including our forests and waterways—even though they are fundamental to our existence. These places provide essential labor, nourishment and the conditions we need to survive and flourish.

Ironically, our detachment from these places is what props up our limited understanding of the "home" as a fixed, four-walled dwelling.

For Plumwood, an expanded sense of "home" would encompass the broader ecological context we exist within.

Our sense of 'home' in the climate crisis
In her 1998 article, Indigenous Australian law scholar Irene Watson emphasizes the issue of colonialism in detachment from the land.

Watson explains colonizers were already alienated from a sense of connection to land when they came to "Australia." This disconnection led them to plunder the land, treating it as a commodity rather than a living, complex ecosystem that nurtures and is nurtured by First Nations peoples.

As philosopher Teresa Brennan puts it, to commodify a living thing is to turn it into something that can be bought and owned. Once commodified, nature can no longer reproduce itself, nor decompose to nourish other life forms.

Brennan explains how the tendency to commodify (and therefore exploit) nature represents a denial of nature's reproductive capacity.

And this denial is not sustainable, as it drives the exploitation of every available natural resource. Under capitalism, a stop to exploitation means a stop to profits.

Turning to philosophy to rethink our values
Many people fail to see the rich complexity of nature: its unique intelligence and age-old memories that extend beyond our personal lifetimes.

Brennan argues nature is valuable beyond its profitability for the most powerful individuals. Perhaps, then, our sense of "home" should extend beyond the bounds of a dwelling filled with sentimental objects to include the wider lands and ecosystems we are part of.

In doing so, we can accelerate the shift towards social, political and economic systems that acknowledge that what is good for our planet is good for each of us, too.

 

Fears that the world’s biggest iceberg could hit island in the South Atlantic​

The world’s largest iceberg is still on the move and there are fears that it could be headed north from Antarctica towards the island of South Georgia.

The iceberg, called A23a, was previously “trapped” spinning around an undersea mountain for several months, according to Andrew Meijers, a physical oceanographer at the British Antarctic Survey.

Now, it appears that it is moving with the prevailing current towards South Georgia, a British Overseas Territory in the southern Atlantic Ocean.

“It is presently in a meander of the current and not moving directly towards the island,” said Meijers in a statement sent to CNN Thursday. “But our understanding of the currents suggest that it is likely to again move towards the island soon.”

“Icebergs are inherently dangerous. I would be extraordinarily happy if it just completely missed us,” said sea captain Simon Wallace, who spoke to the BBC from the South Georgia government vessel Pharos.

“We have searchlights on all night to try to see ice - it can come from nowhere,” Wallace added.

The iceberg remains the largest in the world, according to measurements updated by the US National Ice Center earlier this month.

Spanning an area of 3,672 square kilometers (1,418-square-miles) when measured in August — slightly bigger than Rhode Island and more than twice the size of London — the A23a iceberg has been carefully tracked by scientists ever since it calved from the Filchner-Ronne ice shelf in 1986.

It remained grounded on the Antarctic’s Weddell Sea floor for more than 30 years, probably until it shrank just enough to loosen its grip on the seafloor.

Then, the iceberg was carried away by ocean currents before it became stuck again in a Taylor column – the name given to a spinning vortex of water caused by ocean currents hitting an underwater mountain.

In December, the iceberg broke free. Initially, scientists said they expected it to continue drifting along the ocean currents and towards warmer water.

At the time, the British Antarctic Survey said the iceberg would likely break up and eventually melt when it reached the remote island of South Georgia.

But for now, at least in satellite images, the iceberg appears to have maintained its structure and is yet to break up into smaller chunks, as previous “megabergs” have done, said Meijers.

It’s now a question of whether the iceberg will follow the current and head for the open South Atlantic or if it will run onto the continental shelf where it would become stuck for some time.

“If this happens, it could seriously impede access to feeding grounds for the wildlife – seals and penguins mostly – that breed on the island,” said Meijers.

Meanwhile, Mark Belchier, director of fisheries and environment for the government of South Georgia and the South Sandwich Islands, told CNN Thursday that he was keeping a close eye on the track of the iceberg. “Whilst they are common at South Georgia, they can cause issues for shipping and fishing vessels in the region,” Belchier added.

Belchier said any potential impacts to wildlife would likely be “highly localized and transient.”

South Georgia and the South Sandwich Islands have a rich biodiversity and are home to one of the world’s largest Marine Protected Areas.

Scientists have said that this particular iceberg probably broke away as part of the natural growth cycle of the ice shelf and not because of the fossil fuel-driven climate crisis. But global warming is driving worrying changes in Antarctica, with potentially devastating consequences for global sea level rise.

Source: CNN
 

World's largest iceberg on crash course with island, putting millions of penguins in danger​


The world's largest iceberg is on a collision course with the British territory of South Georgia - potentially putting millions of penguins and seals in danger.

The trillion-tonne slab of ice, named A23a, broke free from its position last month and started drifting northwards.

The "megaberg" - which is twice the size of Greater London and 130 feet tall - is expected to approach the remote island off Antarctica in the next two to four weeks.

Experts fear for the island's rich wildlife. If the iceberg gets wedged in the shallow waters close to the island, it could block vital pathways for penguins to get food for themselves and their chicks.

This would mean parent penguins would have to swim further, burning more energy and bringing back less to feed their offspring.

That could "dramatically increase mortality rates" among penguins, according to British Antarctic Survey physical oceanographer Andrew Meijer - something that has happened in the past.

He examined the "colossal " iceberg up close in December 2023 when it drifted past the research ship RRS Sir David Attenborough.

"It's a huge wall, a Game of Thrones-style wall of ice that towers above the ship," he said.

"South Georgia is an amazingly ecologically rich island. It's a breeding ground for a huge number of penguins, millions of penguins and seals," Mr Meijers said.

"There's lots of pups and chicks and they're all still dependent on their parents."

While the A23a represents a threat to the penguin colony on South Georgia, it doesn't pose a greater risk to the overall penguin populations, University of Colorado ice scientist Ted Scambos said.

"The whole ecosystem in the Southern Ocean is very resilient to these events," he wrote. "It has evolved with these icebergs being a factor for hundreds of thousands of years."

The iceberg started moving for the first time in more than three decades in November 2023, scientists said.

Before then, it had largely been stranded after its base became stuck on the floor of the Weddell Sea.

Eventually, the A23a will break up into smaller icebergs and melt as icebergs do, Mr Meijers said.

Icebergs breaking off is normal, but it is happening more frequently as the climate warms and more fresh water flows into the ocean, Mr Meijers said.

 

World's largest iceberg on crash course with island, putting millions of penguins in danger​


The world's largest iceberg is on a collision course with the British territory of South Georgia - potentially putting millions of penguins and seals in danger.

The trillion-tonne slab of ice, named A23a, broke free from its position last month and started drifting northwards.

The "megaberg" - which is twice the size of Greater London and 130 feet tall - is expected to approach the remote island off Antarctica in the next two to four weeks.

Experts fear for the island's rich wildlife. If the iceberg gets wedged in the shallow waters close to the island, it could block vital pathways for penguins to get food for themselves and their chicks.

This would mean parent penguins would have to swim further, burning more energy and bringing back less to feed their offspring.

That could "dramatically increase mortality rates" among penguins, according to British Antarctic Survey physical oceanographer Andrew Meijer - something that has happened in the past.

He examined the "colossal " iceberg up close in December 2023 when it drifted past the research ship RRS Sir David Attenborough.

"It's a huge wall, a Game of Thrones-style wall of ice that towers above the ship," he said.

"South Georgia is an amazingly ecologically rich island. It's a breeding ground for a huge number of penguins, millions of penguins and seals," Mr Meijers said.

"There's lots of pups and chicks and they're all still dependent on their parents."

While the A23a represents a threat to the penguin colony on South Georgia, it doesn't pose a greater risk to the overall penguin populations, University of Colorado ice scientist Ted Scambos said.

"The whole ecosystem in the Southern Ocean is very resilient to these events," he wrote. "It has evolved with these icebergs being a factor for hundreds of thousands of years."

The iceberg started moving for the first time in more than three decades in November 2023, scientists said.

Before then, it had largely been stranded after its base became stuck on the floor of the Weddell Sea.

Eventually, the A23a will break up into smaller icebergs and melt as icebergs do, Mr Meijers said.

Icebergs breaking off is normal, but it is happening more frequently as the climate warms and more fresh water flows into the ocean, Mr Meijers said.


Feel bad for the penguins. I hope they will be okay.
 

Ireland and Northern Ireland battered by record winds from Storm Eowyn​


DUBLIN, Jan 24 (Reuters) - Record high winds from Storm Eowyn battered Ireland and Northern Ireland on Friday, leaving almost one-third of Irish homes and businesses without power and forcing cancellation of hundreds of flights and the closure of schools and public transport.

Officials had warned the storm was set to be one of the most dangerous they have faced and the Irish weather agency, Met Eireann, said a gust of 182 kph (113 mph) overnight at Mace Head in County Galway provisionally broke an 80-year-old record.

Streets in Dublin were deserted during the usual morning rush hour, as stores kept their shutters down and people heeded a warning to stay indoors until a red wind warning - the highest alert level - is lifted for most of Ireland from 1100 GMT.
It was the first time a red warning had been put in place for the entire country since Storm Ophelia in 2017, which killed three people.

ESB Networks, which provides energy for the whole of Ireland, said "unprecedented" damage to its network had led to power outages affecting 715,000 homes, farms and businesses. It expected more power cuts as the storm tracks northwards.

A further 93,000 properties were without power in Northern Ireland.

A spokesperson for ESB said it would take at least a week to restore power for some customers.

Eowyn is the fourth storm in the past four months to knock out power in parts of Ireland. Climate scientists say the link between climate change and the frequency and intensity of violent storms such as Eowyn is still unclear.

Research shows sea levels are set to rise by at least 1 metre around Ireland this century. Met Eireann warned on Friday of the knock-on risk of coastal flooding.

All schools in Ireland and Northern Ireland were closed on Friday and public transport will not run in Ireland while the red warning remains in place. Non-urgent hospital procedures were also cancelled.

Around 230 flights scheduled to depart from and arrive into Dublin Airport were cancelled, the airport said, adding that further cancellations and delays were possible. Dozens of flights to and from airports at Belfast, Edinburgh and Glasgow were also cancelled.

Source: Reuters
 

Catastrophic tipping point in Greenland reached as crystal blue lakes turn brown, belch out carbon dioxide​


Thousands of Greenland's crystal-clear blue lakes have turned a murky brown thanks to global warming — and the worst part is that they've started emitting carbon dioxide.

Record heat and rain in 2022 pushed the lakes of West Greenland past a tipping point, so rather than absorbing carbon dioxide (CO₂), they began to emit it into the atmosphere, according to a new study.

The changes began in fall, which is normally a snowy time for Greenland. However, heat waves turned snow into rain and thawed the island's permafrost — frozen ground that stores carbon, iron and other elements. The rains then washed these elements into lakes, turning them brown.

Less sunlight was able to penetrate the lakes as they darkened, which had a ripple effect on the microscopic plankton living in the water. The number of plankton absorbing CO₂ through photosynthesis — the process of turning sunlight into energy — declined, while the amount of plankton breaking down and releasing carbon increased, according to a statement released by the University of Maine.

The lakes normally absorb CO₂ in the summer, but by the following year they had flipped to become carbon dioxide producers. These types of widespread changes would normally take centuries. Researchers have observed the browning of lakes across the Northern Hemisphere, including the U.S., but it typically takes multiple decades — much longer than the transformation of Greenland's lakes.

"The magnitude of this and the rate of change were unprecedented," study lead author Jasmine Saros, a professor of paleolimnology and lake ecology at the University of Maine, said in the statement.

The researchers published their findings Tuesday (Jan. 21) in the journal PNAS.

 
Thousands flee homes as floods hit Australia

A woman has died in Australia and thousands have been forced to flee their homes after torrential rainfall has caused flooding in northern Queensland.

Authorities are warning that flood waters could rise up to second-storey level in a situation they described as dangerous and life-threatening.

More than 700mm (26in) of rain has fallen on parts of the North Queensland in the past 24 hours and there is concern that "record rainfalls" will continue into Monday, according to Queensland State Premier David Crisafulli.

Meteorologists say these could be the worst floods in the region in more than 60 years.

Crisafulli said conditions were unlike anything northern Queensland had experienced "for a long time".

"It's not just the intensity, but it's also the longevity of it," he told Australian broadcaster ABC.

Thousands of people living in the city of Townsville were told to leave their homes by midday on Sunday while authorities brought in 100,000 sandbags to block floodwater.

Parts of the road between Townsville and the tourist centre of Cairns have been cut off, hampering efforts to get rescue teams and sandbags to the area.

BBC
 
Unexpectedly warm January puzzles climate scientists

Last month was the world's warmest January on record and raised further questions about the pace of climate change, scientists say.

January 2025 had been expected to be slightly cooler than January 2024 because of a shift away from a natural weather pattern in the Pacific known as El Niño.

But instead, last month broke the January 2024 record by nearly 0.1C, according to the European Copernicus climate service.

The world's warming is due to emissions of planet-heating gases from human activities - mainly the burning of fossil fuels - but scientists say they can't fully explain why last month was particularly hot.

It continues a series of surprisingly large temperature records since mid-2023, with temperatures around 0.2C above what had been expected.

"The basic reason we're having records being broken, and we've had this decades-long warming trend, is because we're increasing the amount of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere," Gavin Schmidt, director of Nasa's Goddard Institute for Space Studies, told BBC News.

"The specifics of exactly why 2023, and 2024, and [the start of] 2025, were so warm, there are other elements involved there. We're trying to pin those down."

January 2025 ended up 1.75C warmer than January temperatures of the late 19th Century, before humans started significantly warming the climate.

Early last year, global temperatures were being boosted by the natural El Niño weather pattern, where unusually warm surface waters spread across the eastern tropical Pacific. This releases extra heat into the atmosphere, raising global temperatures.

This year, La Niña conditions are developing instead, according to US science group Noaa, which should have the opposite effect.

While La Niña is currently weak - and sometimes take a couple of months to have its full effect on temperatures – it was expected to lead to a cooler January.

"If you'd asked me a few months ago what January 2025 would look like relative to January 2024, my best shot would have been it would be cooler," Adam Scaife, head of monthly to decadal predictions at the UK Met Office, said.

"We now know it isn't, and we don't really know why that is."

A number of theories have been put forward for why the last couple of years have been warmer than anticipated.

One idea involves a prolonged response of the oceans to the 2023-24 El Niño.

While it was not especially strong, it followed an unusually lengthy La Niña phase from 2020-23.

The El Niño event might therefore have "lifted the lid" on warming, allowing ocean heat that had been accumulating to escape into the atmosphere.

But it's unclear how this would still be directly affecting global temperatures nearly a year after El Niño ended.

"Based on historical data, that effect is likely to have waned by now, so I think if the current record continues, that explanation becomes less and less likely," says Prof Scaife.

The fact that sea temperatures in other regions of the world remain particularly warm could suggest "that the behaviour of the ocean is changing", according to Samantha Burgess, deputy director of Copernicus.

"We're really looking to see how the ocean temperatures evolve because they have a direct influence on air temperatures."

Another prominent theory is a reduction in the number of small particles in the atmosphere, known as aerosols.

These tiny particles have historically masked some of the long-term warming from greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide and methane by helping to form bright clouds and reflecting some of the Sun's energy back into space.

Aerosol numbers have been falling recently, thanks to reductions in tiny particles from shipping and Chinese industry, for example, aimed at cleaning the air that people breathe.

But it means they haven't had as large a cooling effect to offset the continued warming caused by greenhouse gases.

And this cooling effect of aerosols has been underestimated by the UN, argues James Hansen, the scientist who made one of the first high-profile warnings on climate change to the US Senate in 1988.

Most scientists aren't yet convinced that this is the case. But, if true, it could mean there is greater climate change in store than previously assumed.

The "nightmare scenario", says Prof Scaife, would be an extra cloud feedback, where a warming ocean could cause low-level reflective clouds to dissipate, in turn warming the planet further.

This theory is also very uncertain. But the months ahead should help to shed some light on whether the "extra" warmth over the past couple of years is a blip, or marks an acceleration in warming beyond what scientists had anticipated.

Currently, most researchers still expect 2025 will end up slightly cooler than 2023 and 2024 – but the recent warmth means they can't be sure.

What they do know, however, is that further records will follow sooner or later as humanity continues to heat up the planet.

"In time, 2025 is likely to be one of the cooler years that we experience," Dr Burgess said.

"Unless we turn off that tap to [greenhouse gas] emissions, then global temperatures will continue to rise."

BBC
 

Climate change: UNICEF appoints Pakistan's Zunaira Qayyum for key role​

ISLAMABAD (Web Desk) – A young Pakistani, Zunaira Qayyum, has been appointed UNICEF’s Youth Advocate for Climate Action and Girls' Empowerment.

Zunaira, 14, who hails from Balochistan, has represented Pakistan's youth at national and international forums, including COP 29. Her appointment was announced at a climate conference in Islamabad.

According to reports, her research on the impacts of climate change-induced floods on girls’ secondary education in Hub, Balochistan, was recognised as one of the winners of the UNICEF Policy Research Challenge in 2023.

"I am honoured to join UNICEF Pakistan as a Youth Advocate to champion children's rights and well-being. Meaningful change starts with listening to the voices of children and youth and making sure we can participate in decisions that shape our future," said Zunaira Qayyum.

UNICEF says Zunaira has passionately pursued advocacy ever since using UNICEF’s Youth Advocacy Guide to train adolescents in Hub, Balochistan on advocacy, policy engagement, research and network building for campaigns.

Children in Pakistan face increasing threats from climate change and destructive weather events including floods, droughts and heatwaves. Climate change is also deepening the learning crisis and threatening children’s ability to learn.

“The climate crisis poses one of the biggest challenges we have ever faced but when I listen to Zunaira and the children of Pakistan, I find hope and inspiration for the future. We must do more to empower children and young people with opportunities to lead, act and help this country prosper. We are honoured to welcome Zunaira as a UNICEF Youth Advocate as we work to safeguard children’s futures,” said Abdullah Fadil, UNICEF Representative in Pakistan.

Source: Dunya News
 
Mass blackouts as tropical storm nears Australian coast

More than 300,000 properties are without power as a tropical storm edges closer to Australia's east coast, lashing the region with heavy rain.

Storm Alfred has been downgraded from a cyclone to a tropical low, but local authorities have warned that the threat it poses is "not over".

Violent winds have already downed trees and power lines, with roads flooded in low-lying areas as the storm approaches landfall. Alfred is forecast to hit the coast near Brisbane before moving further inward later on Saturday.

Tens of thousands of people have been told to evacuate from the storm's path, while others have been urged to stay indoors.

Four million people across Queensland and northern New South Wales are in the firing line of the storm, with dozens of weather warnings in place across both areas.

The emergency services say they are working with energy companies, after some residents were told they could be without power for days.

Around 287,000 customers are experiencing outages in south east Queensland, according to energy provider Energex, while Essential Energy said more than 42,600 homes and businesses in New South Wales had experienced blackouts.

People in Brisbane, Queensland's capital, went to bed on Friday bracing for strong winds and heavy rain.

They woke up on Saturday to learn that the cyclone had been downgraded and the city would escape the worst of the weather.

But the danger's not over in other parts of southeastern Queensland and northern New South Wales.

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has said "the worst is yet to come", and along the Gold Coast, which has been pummelled by bad weather the past few days, conditions are still pretty extreme.

There is driving rain and strong winds. There are power lines down, hundreds of trees have blown over in gardens, parks and along the main roads. There is lots of debris and emergency services have sectioned off areas most at risk.

"This emergency is not over," said New South Wales state premier Chris Minns, adding that it is "crucially important" that the public does not "dismiss" the storm.

"It really doesn't matter to us whether it's been downgraded from a tropical cyclone to a weather event," he said.

The state's emergency service operations commander, Stuart Fisher, warned people not to be "complacent" and said authorities in the region expect flooding to continue over the next few days.

As the storm has edged closer to landfall, nearly 1,000 schools have closed, public transport has been suspended and airports are shut. Elective surgeries have also been cancelled.

Flights are not expected to resume until Sunday at the earliest.

The BBC has spoken to several people from Brisbane's homeless community, who have taken refuge at Emmanuel City Mission, which has become a round-the-clock shelter.

At the Treasure Island Holiday Park in the Gold Coast, just north of Surfer's Paradise, a gum tree had come down between two cabins, damaging a third. Nearby, a boat was half submerged in one of the canals a block away from the beach.

On the coast itself, many paths down to the beach are now unpassable. Instead, there's a sudden drop to the ocean where the powerful waves have eaten away at the sand.

But the clean-up operation won't happen for a few days – the wind is still powerful and there's driving rain.

Residents are starting to venture out to look at the damage, but plenty are remaining indoors to keep themselves safe.

BBC
 
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