To answer the OP, Pakistan deserve to be in the Semi Finals and the finals.
Every team has an EQUAL chance, but no, the same haters will claim Pakistan deserves humiliation, deserves to be knocked out, deserves to be made an example of.
Save the analysis too - as if it will make any difference.
It is the same mantra and pattern after every ICC tournament, and if you are a true Pakistan fan, you would have realised a long time ago that Pakistan doesn't do anything conventionally - this is precisely why when you expect Pakistan to win, they will lose, and vica versa vica.