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Fitch Ratings: Pak among 10 economies where business climate has improved most over the past year

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https://www.dawn.com/news/1514376/fitch-lauds-improvements-in-business-climate

KARACHI: Pakistan is one of the 10 economies where the business climate has improved the most over the past year, said Fitch Ratings in a report issued on Friday.

The rating agency also acknowledged the policy measures taken by government to narrow the current account deficit and lowering the trajectory of gross external financing needs.

Fitch report comes after Pakistan jumped 28 places on the World Bank’s Ease of Doing Business 2020 securing a place in the list of top 10 countries with most improvements in the area of doing business.

The agency said the country could meet the financing needs by improving export performance although it remains unclear how far it will be able to successful in enhancing competitiveness and attracting foreign direct investment.

In addition, it said the country faces annual external debt obligations of about $8-9 billion for next several years partially related to the repayments for loans under the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor.

Pakistan paid $11.588bn in external debt servicing costs during the last fiscal year. Rising financing costs have limited the government ability to focus on poverty alleviation and limited its room to spend on development initiatives.

Fitch also said the country has faced external vulnerabilities over the last year but has benefited from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) programme approved in July.

Rated ‘B-negative‘ by the agency, Pakistan entered in a $6bn 39-month extended fund facility with the IMF to pursue an economic reform programme.

But some of the reforms including the push towards documentation of the economy, raising tax revenue targets have been unpopular and faced resistance from the local sectors.

The agency warned the implementing further “reforms could be politically challenging.”

It also speculated over the success of ongoing programme citing uneven adherence to the previous similar packages.

The rating agency’s warning is warranted by the country’s checked history with the IMF as it has failed to follow through on its commitment for structural reforms.
 
https://www.dawn.com/news/1514376/fitch-lauds-improvements-in-business-climate

KARACHI: Pakistan is one of the 10 economies where the business climate has improved the most over the past year, said Fitch Ratings in a report issued on Friday.

The rating agency also acknowledged the policy measures taken by government to narrow the current account deficit and lowering the trajectory of gross external financing needs.

Fitch report comes after Pakistan jumped 28 places on the World Bank’s Ease of Doing Business 2020 securing a place in the list of top 10 countries with most improvements in the area of doing business.

The agency said the country could meet the financing needs by improving export performance although it remains unclear how far it will be able to successful in enhancing competitiveness and attracting foreign direct investment.

In addition, it said the country faces annual external debt obligations of about $8-9 billion for next several years partially related to the repayments for loans under the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor.

Pakistan paid $11.588bn in external debt servicing costs during the last fiscal year. Rising financing costs have limited the government ability to focus on poverty alleviation and limited its room to spend on development initiatives.

Fitch also said the country has faced external vulnerabilities over the last year but has benefited from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) programme approved in July.

Rated ‘B-negative‘ by the agency, Pakistan entered in a $6bn 39-month extended fund facility with the IMF to pursue an economic reform programme.

But some of the reforms including the push towards documentation of the economy, raising tax revenue targets have been unpopular and faced resistance from the local sectors.

The agency warned the implementing further “reforms could be politically challenging.”

It also speculated over the success of ongoing programme citing uneven adherence to the previous similar packages.

The rating agency’s warning is warranted by the country’s checked history with the IMF as it has failed to follow through on its commitment for structural reforms.

If you are curious about what the rating of B- means, you can find an explanation here:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fitch_Ratings#Investment_scale
 
B- negative was given last year https://www.dawn.com/news/1453706

Current Fitch Ratings is also B- for Pakistan.

Fitch Ratings-Hong Kong-31 October 2019: Diverging APAC frontier market sovereign ratings in recent years reflect Vietnam’s lengthening record of macroeconomic stability while Mongolia, Sri Lanka and Pakistan have faced external vulnerabilities, Fitch Ratings says. Our Positive Outlook on Vietnam suggests this divergence could continue, notwithstanding the varying degrees of stabilisation seen in the other three sovereigns’ credit profiles.

This year, we have affirmed the four sovereign ratings at ‘BB’ (Vietnam), ‘B’ (Sri Lanka and Mongolia), and ‘B-‘ (Pakistan). The revision of our Outlook on Vietnam to Positive in May reflected improving economic management, current account surpluses, falling government debt, high growth and stable inflation.

https://www.fitchratings.com/site/pr/10099995
 
I am not claiming ranking changed the news is about their latest report where they noticed the improvement in business climate just like world bank latest report.

Indeed, the fall is imports and rise in imports makes Pakistan much more capable of meeting its external obligations.

The long term solution for Pakistan is to develop modern export industries and move away from its reliance on textiles for export earnings.
 
Indeed, the fall is imports and rise in imports makes Pakistan much more capable of meeting its external obligations.

The long term solution for Pakistan is to develop modern export industries and move away from its reliance on textiles for export earnings.

You making it sound as if you have discovered something we didn't know.
 
[MENTION=1269]Bewal Express[/MENTION]. some good news coming up now.

The economy has def stabilised and the green shoots of sustainable recovery have started to appear.It will take time, and i hope the Kaptaan doesnt lose his nerve( no doubt the poor are hurting ) and stays on the correct path.
 
The economy has def stabilised and the green shoots of sustainable recovery have started to appear.It will take time, and i hope the Kaptaan doesnt lose his nerve( no doubt the poor are hurting ) and stays on the correct path.

The poor were always hurting, it's the past recipients of brown envelopes who are hurting more! And I am loving every moment of it!
 
I think so to. I think Imran Khan's diplomacy kind of helps to create a better enivorment for foreign investment
 
This is all good, but the government has so far not made any significant progress in increasing exports which is key for long-term economic sustainability.
 
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