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India May See Communal Violence Before General Elections, Warns US Director of National Intelligence

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Washington: There is a strong possibility of communal violence in India if the ruling BJP stresses on Hindu nationalist themes ahead of the general election in May, America's top spymaster told US lawmakers on Tuesday.

The comment on India's upcoming general election is part of the US intelligence community's assessment of worldwide threats in the year 2019 and was presented in the form of a written document to the powerful Senate Select Committee on Intelligence by Dan Coats, Director of National Intelligence.


"Parliamentary elections in India increase the possibility of communal violence if Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) stresses Hindu nationalist themes," Coats told members of the US Senate Select Committee on Intelligence.

Coats and heads of other top American intelligence agencies appeared before the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence to present their worldwide threat assessment. Prominent among them included CIA Director Gina Haspel, who has just returned from a trip to India, FBI Director Christopher Wray and Defense Intelligence Agency Director Robert Ashley.

"BJP policies during Modi's first term have deepened communal tensions in some BJP-governed states, and Hindu nationalist state leaders might view a Hindu-nationalist campaign as a signal to incite low-level violence to animate their supporters," Coats said in his written statement.

"Increasing communal clashes could alienate Indian Muslims and allow Islamist terrorist groups in India to expand their influence,” Coats warned ahead of the general election. The five-year term of Prime Minister Narendra Modi ends in May. The entire process of election and formation of the new Parliament needs to be completed by May.

Coats in his written statement also warns of a strained India-Pakistan relationship at least till May.

"We judge that cross-border terrorism, firing across the Line of Control (LoC), divisive national elections in India, and Islamabad's perception of its position with the United States relative to India will contribute to strained India-Pakistan relations at least through May 2019, the deadline for the Indian election, and probably beyond," he said.

Despite limited confidence-building measures — such as both countries recommitting in May 2018 to the 2003 ceasefire along the disputed Kashmir border — continued terrorist attacks and cross-border firing in Kashmir have hardened each country's position and reduced their political will to seek rapprochement, he said.

"Political maneuvering resulting from the Indian national elections probably will further constrain near-term opportunities for improving ties," it said.

Source : https://www.news18.com/news/india/i...ral-elections-warns-us-spymaster-2018623.html
 
Hard to predict anything right now.

Chances are BJP could be completely routed.

Would be hilarious if that happens. :))
 
Hard to predict anything right now.

Chances are BJP could be completely routed.

Would be hilarious if that happens. :))

Nope BJP are all set to win, quoted you in other thread as well.. in South India you might be seeing people against BJP but South India was never a BJP stronghold the states which make a PM are back with BJP so they will win.

All this has benefitted BJP in a massive way and now their PR team has started working on twisting the news..

It's unfortunate but BJP are again in driver's seat.
 
Who can rout them?

No one they are back in lead after this whole fiasco. Their PR team is working and media is working for them to make Modi win.. SIF is from South India so he might not know what's going on since South India is always against Modi but a PM is made by Hindi belt and BJP is back in lead in Hindi belt.
 
Who can rout them?

Hopefully my man...Rahul Gandhi.

The new redefined zen-like monk.

I believe he is a sincere guy deep down.

Nope BJP are all set to win, quoted you in other thread as well.. in South India you might be seeing people against BJP but South India was never a BJP stronghold the states which make a PM are back with BJP so they will win.

All this has benefitted BJP in a massive way and now their PR team has started working on twisting the news..

It's unfortunate but BJP are again in driver's seat.

We will see.

Atal ji went to election after Kargil victory and still needed coalition to form the government.

I haven't talked to anyone about Modi here in South.

I doubt BJP is going to sweep the Hindi belt. Other places, they will struggle.

We can analyze this in a much more detailed manner in the Indian Elections thread.

Not saying they will be swept but their victory is no guarantee.
 
Honestly South India should just make its own country, whatever I hear or read about them I'm only impressed. Even Abhinandan was a South Indian and showed with his immaculate conduct, now I'm reading they have totally rejected BJP.
 
No one they are back in lead after this whole fiasco. Their PR team is working and media is working for them to make Modi win.. SIF is from South India so he might not know what's going on since South India is always against Modi but a PM is made by Hindi belt and BJP is back in lead in Hindi belt.

Back in the lead? What do the pre polls say? Did his approval ratings increase?
 
Honestly South India should just make its own country, whatever I hear or read about them I'm only impressed. Even Abhinandan was a South Indian and showed with his immaculate conduct, now I'm reading they have totally rejected BJP.

The Tamil friends I have and still talk to detest BJP and Modi.
 
Pakistanis who believe the belligerence and bellicosity emanating from India will cease with the ouster of BJP are naive to say the least. Indian psyche has been brain washed by its establishment and powers that be from independence onward that it is now a completely lost cause. India has been idind and funding terrorism and subversion in Pakistan from the very beginning, from the initial turmoil and collusion with Afghan govt surrounding the assassination of Liaqat Ali Khan, Mukhti Bahani, BLF/BLA, Al Zulfiqar, MQM, and all the way to TTP. India never accepted the creation of Pakistan and its destruction is fully entrenched in Indian national raison d'etre.
 
Pakistanis who believe the belligerence and bellicosity emanating from India will cease with the ouster of BJP are naive to say the least. Indian psyche has been brain washed by its establishment and powers that be from independence onward that it is now a completely lost cause. India has been idind and funding terrorism and subversion in Pakistan from the very beginning, from the initial turmoil and collusion with Afghan govt surrounding the assassination of Liaqat Ali Khan, Mukhti Bahani, BLF/BLA, Al Zulfiqar, MQM, and all the way to TTP. India never accepted the creation of Pakistan and its destruction is fully entrenched in Indian national raison d'etre.

Don't put all your Army faults on us you won just one mini-war and you are back to conspiracy mindset.
 
Back in the lead? What do the pre polls say? Did his approval ratings increase?

After the strike it went upto 65% from 40%.. By the time elections come they will further increase.

Anyone whom I talk to is convinced we taught Pakistan a lesson.. In Hindi belt BJP will win majority of the seats, they might need a coalition to form the government but Modi will be next PM.

The PR and media.lobby for Modi is just way too strong and majority of the population is just too dumb and can be easily brainwashed.
 
Hopefully my man...Rahul Gandhi.

The new redefined zen-like monk.

I believe he is a sincere guy deep down.



We will see.

Atal ji went to election after Kargil victory and still needed coalition to form the government.

I haven't talked to anyone about Modi here in South.

I doubt BJP is going to sweep the Hindi belt. Other places, they will struggle.

We can analyze this in a much more detailed manner in the Indian Elections thread.

Not saying they will be swept but their victory is no guarantee.

Sure I don't know what thread that is but feel free to tag me there.
 
The Tamil friends I have and still talk to detest BJP and Modi.

South Indians hate Modi because of his divisive and communal style of politics.

If only we had an IK who actually cared about the nation and not himself we would never have had leaders like Modi emerge.. Unfortunately we are stuck with either BJP or incompetent and corrupt fools from other parties.

It's like an old saying is true for indians "ek taraf kua doosri taraf khai"
 
Imagine if India had to go through even 10% of what Pakistan has gone through in the last 40 years. With soviet invasion, american war in Afghanistan and a hostile neghbor 5x your size in the east. India with all peace and stability is far behind china in economy (I was surprised to learn that these chest thumper's economy is 1/6th of Chinese economy lol) , militarily (no indeginous jet, relying on israeli tech and russian leftovers) and globally (just lol) . It's sad how much this country has overachieved. Give Pakistan 15 years of peace in Afghanistan and we will probably even catch up to their economy.
 
Tamilians overall dislike BJP.

Their brand of politics doesn't work here.

But with that being said, a sizable set of educated, middle class (and above) Tamilians support Modi these days. Their support is more due to Congress misrule and lack of a real leader in the national arena.

There are some hardcore Modi supporters in my family. I would call some of them as bhakts but nice, polite, lovable ones. :P

Its been me & my Dad vs a whole gang of Bhakts in my extended family.

I would rarely enter into debates (due to my lack of knowledge in various areas) but it's always hilarious to see my Dad would run rings around Bhakts in debates. :))

Has run companies, dealt with politicans, military personnel, understands economics...the combination of which makes him almost invincible in most debates.
 
Don't put all your Army faults on us you won just one mini-war and you are back to conspiracy mindset.

Stop the Press! We have our first Indian PPer who just admitted Pakistan won.
 
This kind of politics that is based oj division and fear of the other may result in short term gain for the people who push that agenda but ultimately will tear the fabric of the nation.

India and the region need a responsible and mature government. Not one led by a leader who will murder his own( gujrat) or try to start a war ( and lose lol).

In fact, one wonders if such a nation is fit to have nuclear weaponry.
 
India may see communal violence before the election?

India has been experiencing communal violence, or better known as religious intolerance, since Godse, a Hindu Terrorist, assassinated Gandhi.

With Modi in power, communal violence is now legitimized.
 
Modi's Pak card has been played and failed. Now he'll be looking to create tension within his country. Indian Muslims should come on the roads right now with anti Pak cards to show they are Indians:hafeez2.
 
Modi himself has accepted the support to Mukhti Bahani. And the question is not that Pakistani military failed, it certainly did, the question was and is about the support of terrorism, which India begin doing in Pakistan decades ago and continues to this day. So get off this high horse of being victims of Pakistan sponsored terrorism, especially given that India has been engaging in it at a much grander scale for a longer period of time.
 
Tamilians overall dislike BJP.

Their brand of politics doesn't work here.

But with that being said, a sizable set of educated, middle class (and above) Tamilians support Modi these days. Their support is more due to Congress misrule and lack of a real leader in the national arena.

There are some hardcore Modi supporters in my family. I would call some of them as bhakts but nice, polite, lovable ones. :P

Its been me & my Dad vs a whole gang of Bhakts in my extended family.

I would rarely enter into debates (due to my lack of knowledge in various areas) but it's always hilarious to see my Dad would run rings around Bhakts in debates. :))

Has run companies, dealt with politicans, military personnel, understands economics...the combination of which makes him almost invincible in most debates.


If they are educated and support Modi for a reason that congress misruled. They should start studying again or they support modi in return for some monetary benefit to them. So far i have heard that MODI and his party has done some much to the Tamil and Kerala people that they even hate to see him rather than vote for him.
 
Communal violence won't be needed anymore in most states after Modi ji's SS II, but there is room for some violence in states like Bengal and Kerala which traditionally never voted for BJP.
 
Modi himself has accepted the support to Mukhti Bahani. And the question is not that Pakistani military failed, it certainly did, the question was and is about the support of terrorism, which India begin doing in Pakistan decades ago and continues to this day. So get off this high horse of being victims of Pakistan sponsored terrorism, especially given that India has been engaging in it at a much grander scale for a longer period of time.

Don't be naive. Pakistan involvement in Kashmir or the perception of it helps India internationally. There is absolutely no solution to Kashmir's problems. The people are revolting out of frustration and due to sheer lack of intelligence. India needs a third party to blame for all of this so they can justify military action. So it's perceived as Indian Army vs Proxy Pak militants instead of Indian army vs Dumb Kashmiris. I mean how dumb could one be to throw stones at an army guy that's holding a pellet gun?
 
Don't be naive. Pakistan involvement in Kashmir or the perception of it helps India internationally. There is absolutely no solution to Kashmir's problems. The people are revolting out of frustration and due to sheer lack of intelligence. India needs a third party to blame for all of this so they can justify military action. So it's perceived as Indian Army vs Proxy Pak militants instead of Indian army vs Dumb Kashmiris. I mean how dumb could one be to throw stones at an army guy that's holding a pellet gun?

How dumb were Gandhi and Bhagat Singh to revolt against the british?
 
How dumb were Gandhi and Bhagat Singh to revolt against the british?

You know what happened to Bhagat Singh right? And you know how non violence helped Gandhi right? Also, British were already leaving after WW 2. India is going nowhere
 
Don't be naive. Pakistan involvement in Kashmir or the perception of it helps India internationally. There is absolutely no solution to Kashmir's problems. The people are revolting out of frustration and due to sheer lack of intelligence. India needs a third party to blame for all of this so they can justify military action. So it's perceived as Indian Army vs Proxy Pak militants instead of Indian army vs Dumb Kashmiris. I mean how dumb could one be to throw stones at an army guy that's holding a pellet gun?

As dumb as the moochad who went to die in Pakistani territory in his substandard jet.
 
Just saw a video of a bloodied Kashmiri being punched for saying Pakistan Zindabad, his response was 'I'll keep saying it', which he did.
 
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