The pace of Iranian missile attacks seems to decline. Not many missile alerts in Israel today.
Iran is under tremendous military pressure and being hit hard, with a strong focus on ballistic missile stockpiles and launchers.
Iranian command and control appears to be disrupted, due to ongoing attacks on command centers and elimination of key military officers.
The US-Israeli military edge is overwhelming, and each passing day Iran absorbs massive damage, well beyond its ability to defend against or hit back.
So far there seems to be no Iranian shift in military tactics that is having any meaningful impact on the battlefield. If the current trajectory continues, the regime will suffer devastating losses.
The question is whether big shifts are happening behind the scenes: Power struggles, leaders rethinking their moves, military forces reaching their breaking point.
We're still very early, only 3 days into the war, and tremendous damage has already been done. But much remains, at least a week of heavy strikes is needed if not more, to destroy a critical mass of military and regime assets.
Will the regime start cracking under the pressure? Will mass protests resume? And what about Iranian revenge overseas or other desperate moves by Tehran? By the time this week ends, we may see some answers.