Yep, playing the match in England tilts the scales in NZ's favour. NZ have had a pretty strong side since 2014, and gave England a real arm-wrestle during that 2015 tour (I think Michael Vaughan said after the series that he thought NZ would've probably gone on to win if it had been a 3 or 4 test series).
Getting effectively a warm-up series v England (with one of the 2 tests scheduled for Lords') also helps them out a lot, though they'll need to be careful to manage their bowling resources carefully, given there's only a 4 day turn-around between the 2nd test and the WTC final.
English pitches though do tend to offer a bit of turn as well, which will obviously favour India and leaves NZ with a conundrum - go death or glory with an all-seam bowling attack and hope for overcast conditions, drop Colin de Grandhomme for Mitchell Santner to give them some kind of spin-bowling option, or drop one of the quicks in favour of a specialist spin bowler like Ajaz Patel?
Getting effectively a warm-up series v England (with one of the 2 tests scheduled for Lords') also helps them out a lot, though they'll need to be careful to manage their bowling resources carefully, given there's only a 4 day turn-around between the 2nd test and the WTC final.
English pitches though do tend to offer a bit of turn as well, which will obviously favour India and leaves NZ with a conundrum - go death or glory with an all-seam bowling attack and hope for overcast conditions, drop Colin de Grandhomme for Mitchell Santner to give them some kind of spin-bowling option, or drop one of the quicks in favour of a specialist spin bowler like Ajaz Patel?




