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Pakistan has to repay $6b foreign debt in six months

Abdullah719

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Pakistan has to pay back $6 billion to foreign creditors in the next six months, announced Minister of State for Finance Rana Muhammad Afzal, but hastily added the government was in a position to manage these repayments.

In his maiden interaction with media after taking oath a day earlier, Afzal said in order to broaden the tax net, an amnesty scheme was also under consideration to facilitate Pakistanis in bringing back money from abroad.

He also spoke about the possibility of presenting the upcoming fiscal year 2018-19 budget by the PML-N government which would be the sixth during its tenure.

He was of the view that the sitting government would be in a better position to manage the budget, adding the upcoming interim government would find it very difficult to present the national budget as it would have very little time for preparation.

The $6-billion foreign debt repayment is significantly higher than the $3.6 billion Finance Secretary Shahid Mehmood shared with the National Assembly Standing Committee on Finance last week.

“Next six months are crucial for management of the economy,” declared the state minister. He categorically stated that the government had no plan to go to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for bailout.

In recent years, Pakistan’s external sector obligations have mounted after huge loans contracted by the PML-N and Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP) governments in the past nine and a half years. These foreign debt and profit repatriation-related obligations will balloon further after 2020 when the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) projects will start maturing.

The current account deficit has also widened significantly due to growing imports and shrinking exports, bringing the foreign currency reserves under strain. Pakistan’s gross official foreign currency reserves stood at $14.133 billion as of December 22, hardly sufficient for three months of imports.

Afzal said there was also a need to bring clarity on the foreign direct investment (FDI) issue under CPEC. There were some CPEC proceeds that were neither recorded as FDI nor were reflected in imports.

The minister emphasised that there were many sectors which had been performing well and cited the examples of remittances and large-scale manufacturing (LSM) sector.

He was of the view that the budget deficit would be restricted to 5%, though the IMF projection put it at 5.3% of gross domestic product (GDP).

Talking about performance of the economy, the minister said Pakistan was well positioned to easily achieve 5.8% GDP growth and voiced hope that the 6% target was also achievable.


Tax reforms

Afzal said the government was devising a strategy to go after tax evaders and initially 10,000 people had been identified on the basis of data, who would be brought under the tax net from next month.

These potential taxpayers have been identified in different fields including education, property and other services.

The first batch of 10,000 potential taxpayers would be served notices at the beginning of next month, he said.

The minister believed that the recently imposed regulatory duty on various import goods would begin showing its positive effects on revenue collection soon.

He pointed out that the number of tax return filers had also increased from 0.914 million last year to 1.14 million so far in the current fiscal year 2017-18, which he termed a positive sign.

Speaking about the proposed amnesty scheme aimed at encouraging Pakistanis to bring back money from abroad, Afzal said four options were under consideration.

These included the introduction of a bill in the National Assembly immediately, waiting for Senate elections that would give the PML-N a majority, promulgating a Presidential Ordinance or introducing the scheme through a money bill from the new fiscal year.

Afzal said the stringent regimes being introduced across the world by the Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) had provided an opportunity for Pakistan.

According to the Federal Board of Revenue’s (FBR) proposal, in return for legalising the hidden offshore assets, the non-resident and resident Pakistanis will pay foreign asset tax.

Assets located outside Pakistan and have been held for more than five years up to June 30, 2016 could be subject to 2% tax. Income and assets outside Pakistan which are repatriated by June 15, 2017 through official banking channels to Pakistan and the receipt attached with the declaration will be subject to 5% tax.

Assets located outside Pakistan for which only the declaration is made will be levied 7.5% tax. Foreign currency and bearer assets will be subject to 15% tax.

https://tribune.com.pk/story/1595463/2-pakistan-repay-6b-foreign-debt-six-months/
 
This debt repayment will probably be managed by "rolling over" with the new debt from WB, IMF or some other similar institution. I doubt that the Pakistani government will dip into its limited foreign currency reserves.

In the longer term, Pakistan simply must produce stuff which the rest of the world wants to buy. If it develops modern industries, it will be able to export more. This will lead to it being able to build up its foreign currency reserves and also pay for more imports.

The development of modern industries requires Pakistan to get its military out of its economy. No military anywhere in the world has been able to run industries which can compete internationally.
 
This debt repayment will probably be managed by "rolling over" with the new debt from WB, IMF or some other similar institution. I doubt that the Pakistani government will dip into its limited foreign currency reserves.

In the longer term, Pakistan simply must produce stuff which the rest of the world wants to buy. If it develops modern industries, it will be able to export more. This will lead to it being able to build up its foreign currency reserves and also pay for more imports.

The development of modern industries requires Pakistan to get its military out of its economy. No military anywhere in the world has been able to run industries which can compete internationally.


Pakistan will need IMF, WB for this bailout or help but do not forget that USA controls these organisations and they will put pressure and conditions in front of Pakistan which they may not like.
 
The Donald trump's tweet and new policies will definitely make it difficult for Pakistan if it comes to WB or IMF help.
 
"If you owe the bank $100 that's your problem. If you owe the bank $100 million, that's the bank's problem."

All (rubbish) jokes aside surely Pakistan will just kick the can down the road, restructure this debt and worry about it later?
 
"If you owe the bank $100 that's your problem. If you owe the bank $100 million, that's the bank's problem."

All (rubbish) jokes aside surely Pakistan will just kick the can down the road, restructure this debt and worry about it later?

no one will twist Pak's hand so much that the hands will break. They will only twist enough to squeeze some blood out.
 
The number of Indians who take interest in Pakistan's economic well being is just astounding. Didn't know our parosis were so concerned about us.
 
The number of Indians who take interest in Pakistan's economic well being is just astounding. Didn't know our parosis were so concerned about us.

Exactly... We have such considerate parosis
 
Really? If 6 Billion dollars disappeared from any country's bank account they will notice. It's not what you'd call chump change.

It went into the politician's pocket. If rumors are correct then the Sharif family will have to give the Saudis back the 3 billion riyals which they laundered in various ways with all the imprisoned princes, so expect more money to suddenly vanish.

In a way I will be happy when all these sources of money stop, as they are all eaten by the politician's anyway. Our absconder finance minister, ex now, saw his assets jump from 87 lakh to billions of Rupees (a 980% increase in 5 years :)) ) so this way atleast they won't eat $$$$.
 
In a way I will be happy when all these sources of money stop, as they are all eaten by the politician's anyway. Our absconder finance minister, ex now, saw his assets jump from 87 lakh to billions of Rupees (a 980% increase in 5 years :)) ) so this way atleast they won't eat $$$$.

They will still have the appetite though, and therein lies the problem.
 
They will still have the appetite though, and therein lies the problem.

My brother did his degree with a People Party's politician's son. The amount of $$$$$ the son spent was insane, he said his father always had the motto ''enjoy life''. Let the poor man suffer but enjoy life :))

Look at Zardari, a cinema owner with 13 thousand rupees to his name, now has an estimated 60 companies worldwide and is a billionaire. Despite spending most of the 90's and early 2000's in jail.
 
My brother did his degree with a People Party's politician's son. The amount of $$$$$ the son spent was insane, he said his father always had the motto ''enjoy life''. Let the poor man suffer but enjoy life :))

Look at Zardari, a cinema owner with 13 thousand rupees to his name, now has an estimated 60 companies worldwide and is a billionaire. Despite spending most of the 90's and early 2000's in jail.

There was a PPP politician's daughter in my year at uni. Had the same enjoy life mantra (even rigged student body elections at one point). That said, Zardari was already pretty loaded before marrying Benazir. There was a good piece in Dawn a few months back exploring his history pre-PPP and it mentioned that his family was fairly well off in its own right even before he married Benazir and grew his already substantial wealth exponentially. This story about "ticket black karnay wala shaadi kar kay raja bun gya" narrative is a bit of a myth that sells so well because it fits into people's preconceived biases.
 
There was a PPP politician's daughter in my year at uni. Had the same enjoy life mantra (even rigged student body elections at one point). That said, Zardari was already pretty loaded before marrying Benazir. There was a good piece in Dawn a few months back exploring his history pre-PPP and it mentioned that his family was fairly well off in its own right even before he married Benazir and grew his already substantial wealth exponentially. This story about "ticket black karnay wala shaadi kar kay raja bun gya" narrative is a bit of a myth that sells so well because it fits into people's preconceived biases.

His family was rich but not neck deep in gold rich like they are now. That is all down to their looting and plundering.
 
There was a PPP politician's daughter in my year at uni. Had the same enjoy life mantra (even rigged student body elections at one point). That said, Zardari was already pretty loaded before marrying Benazir. There was a good piece in Dawn a few months back exploring his history pre-PPP and it mentioned that his family was fairly well off in its own right even before he married Benazir and grew his already substantial wealth exponentially. This story about "ticket black karnay wala shaadi kar kay raja bun gya" narrative is a bit of a myth that sells so well because it fits into people's preconceived biases.

He was rich but no way near the billionaire he is now, in dollars not rupees. Noone gets that rich that quick. He spent the 90s and early 2000's in jail or in and out of jail, his wealth exploded later on and now is at new levels esp after his stint as the leader. He let Gilani be removed just because Gilani would not ask Swiss about the money he has stashed away in their country.
 
He was rich but no way near the billionaire he is now, in dollars not rupees. Noone gets that rich that quick. He spent the 90s and early 2000's in jail or in and out of jail, his wealth exploded later on and now is at new levels esp after his stint as the leader. He let Gilani be removed just because Gilani would not ask Swiss about the money he has stashed away in their country.

His family was rich but not neck deep in gold rich like they are now. That is all down to their looting and plundering.

Noone's disputing that. His wealth grew substantially after entering politics. What I did dispute was the impression being given that he was some sarak chhaap chor uchakka before marrying Benazir.
 
Noone's disputing that. His wealth grew substantially after entering politics. What I did dispute was the impression being given that he was some sarak chhaap chor uchakka before marrying Benazir.

I think people say that to highlight how rich he got off the back off corruption, which is true. What you say is also true.
 
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