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Pakistan Rupees-performance watch

$ will hit 250 in 2 months if IMF loan doesn't go through and there will be re-elections.

And what if the IMF loan goes through?
The foreign dollars will land into the pockets of these PDM crooks, and laundered back to the foreign lands.

Isn't that a nice catch 22 situation? :D
 
And what if the IMF loan goes through?
The foreign dollars will land into the pockets of these PDM crooks, and laundered back to the foreign lands.

Isn't that a nice catch 22 situation? :D

Far from it. You can check the process for IMF loan disbursement. After watching way too many news anchors, one can make these kinds of statements. Hard facts and ground reality are not required. IMF cares more about their money and where it is going.
 
Meteoric dollar shatters all records, hits Rs200 in interbank

The US dollar reached the startling milestone of Rs200 in interbank trading on Thursday morning, gaining Rs1 from the previous day's close of Rs199, data by the Forex Association of Pakistan (FAP) showed.

According to the FAP, the US currency had reached the Rs200 mark — an all-time high — around 11am.

A day ago, the greenback had made a significant gain of more than Rs2 from Tuesday's close and settled at Rs199 at the session's end, which was the latest in a string of record highs that the US currency has been hitting since last Tuesday.

While the FAP recorded the previous day's closing rate at Rs199, data released by the State Bank of Pakistan stated the closing rate as Rs198.39 — still remarkably close to the Rs200 milestone that the international currency is being anticipated to reach with the country's rising import bill, growing current account deficit and depleting foreign exchange reserves.

The dollar's value already reached Rs200 in the open market yesterday.

https://www.dawn.com/news/1690446/meteoric-dollar-shatters-all-records-hits-rs200-in-interbank
 
The US dollar reached the startling milestone of Rs200 in interbank trading on Thursday morning, gaining Rs1 from the previous day's close of Rs199, data by the Forex Association of Pakistan (FAP) showed.

According to the FAP, the US currency had reached the Rs200 mark — an all-time high — around 11am.

A day ago, the greenback had made a significant gain of more than Rs2 from Tuesday's close and settled at Rs199 at the session's end, which was the latest in a string of record highs that the US currency has been hitting since last Tuesday.

While the FAP recorded the previous day's closing rate at Rs199, data released by the State Bank of Pakistan stated the closing rate as Rs198.39 — still remarkably close to the Rs200 milestone that the international currency was being anticipated to reach earlier in the day on account of the country's rising import bill, growing current account deficit and depleting foreign exchange reserves.


The dollar's value already reached Rs200 in the open market yesterday.

According to Saad Bin Naseer, co-founder and director of web-based financial data and analytics portal Mettis Global, the rupee's fall is mainly on account of a lack of clarity from the government on its plans to arrest the decline in foreign exchange reserves.

He pointed out that the central bank's reserves were down by $7.5bn since January 1, adding that importers were engaged in panic buying as they were uncertain about whether the government would be able to secure funding from China, Saudi Arabia and the International Monetary Fund, talks with which are underway.

"Meanwhile, exporters are holding their earnings outside the country amid a consistent fall in the rupee's value," he said.

'Blackest Day'
The milestone has left some experts distraught. Speaking about today's exchange rate, FAP secretary general Zafar Paracha told Dawn.com that today was the "blackest day" in the history of Pakistan.

For his part, FAP chairperson Malik Bostan, in a comment to Dawn.com, urged the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) to issue statutory regulatory orders for the implementation of decisions taken to restrict imports.

Importer and former president of Karachi Chamber of Commerce and Industry Abdullah Zaki told Dawn.com importers were facing the biggest loss due to the rise in the dollar's value.

He added that the country's import bill had increased by 20 per cent in the past month and this would affect the prices of edibles, such as lentils, powder milk and tea.

Zaki recommended that the SBP may fix the rate of dollar in the interbank market for a certain period to curtail the impending inflation. He also demanded that no duties be increased on edibles.

Meanwhile, Asad Rizvi, the former treasury head at Chase Manhattan, told Mettis Global that "pension cost, circular debt [of] Rs2.5 trillion, public entities [worth] Rs1.2tr and fiscal deficit of nearly 8pc are not sustainable and adding pressure" on the rupee."

The "independent SBP", meanwhile, was "not worried about the PKR plunge, probably waiting for [an] IMF outcome," the Mettis Global report quoted him as saying.

In recent weeks, rising oil prices have already doubled the country's oil import bills and the overall imports are also at a record high. In April, imports increased by 72pc, leaving no room for the government to improve its external balance.

Moreover, foreign exchange reserves of the central bank have touched $10.3bn, lowest since June 2020.

Currency dealers say the unexpectedly high imports bill and low foreign investment were not in support of the exchange rate while over $13bn current account deficit was already there as a challenge for the government.

Talks under way for IMF bailout
The development comes as Pakistani officials resumed negotiations with the IMF yesterday, in which Finance Minister Miftah Ismail sought to clear uncertainty on two counts — that the new coalition government would stay in office and take tough decisions, undertake reforms committed in the original fund programme and complete structural benchmarks.

Informed sources said the talks opened on a healthy note as the two sides appeared converging to key principles — separating the state’s economic decision-making from politics.

These sources said the government would be revising fuel and energy prices within days and impose a complete ban, instead of increasing duties, on a total of about 30 luxury items major among them vehicles and mobile phones besides some other no-so-big items to contain imports and thus external account. These announcements would be made shortly to progress talks towards the successful completion of the revised programme.

DAWN
 
200 will seem a good rate in 6 months. Things are going to nose dive big time esp if IMF loans doesn't come through
 
Far from it. You can check the process for IMF loan disbursement. After watching way too many news anchors, one can make these kinds of statements. Hard facts and ground reality are not required. IMF cares more about their money and where it is going.

Yep, and that's why the current PDM lot took a total of $87 Billion foreign loans in their combined tenure. This is from a total of $105 Billion national debt when PTI took over.

Do you know how was this $87 Billion spent?

These crooks are not that stupid as you seem to make them look like.

Did you notice how Billions worth of over priced quote were accepted to build the highways under Nawaz Shareef?
 
200 will seem a good rate in 6 months. Things are going to nose dive big time esp if IMF loans doesn't come through

Oh, so that was the plan behind toppling PTI and save the country? well,,, he was right. You spoke like one.

 
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-partner="tweetdeck"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Question: Your top score is 210 in ODIs and currently the US Dollar is at 204 rupees. Are you thinking that the Dollar will come level with your score?<br><br>Fakhar Zaman: I just hope that the US Dollar doesn't break my record.</p>— Saj Sadiq (@SajSadiqCricket) <a href="https://twitter.com/SajSadiqCricket/status/1527653416255864832?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">May 20, 2022</a></blockquote>
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The rupee continued to lose ground against the US dollar on Monday, in the 12th consecutive session when the greenback continued to climb and gained 80 paisa in interbank trade.

According to the Forex Association of Pakistan (FAP), the dollar was trading at Rs201.05 around 11.30 am after appreciating 80 paisa against Friday's close of Rs200.25. Data released by State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) showed the dollar had closed at Rs200.14 on Friday.
 
The Pakistani rupee hit a new all-time low on Wednesday, reaching Rs202 against the US dollar for the first time in inter-bank market.

The country's capital markets continued to plunge as the ousted Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) began its long march to the federal capital amid the coalition government's crackdown on party workers and leaders in an attempt to stop the party from marching on to Islamabad.

Rupee slumped Rs1.08 to a historic low of Rs202.49 against the greenback just before noon, cumulatively losing over Rs16 against greenback in the past 14 working days.

https://tribune.com.pk/story/2358297/rupee-slides-to-202-as-uncertainty-plagues-markets
 
The rupee continued to lose ground against the US dollar on Thursday and depreciated by 50 paisa in the interbank market as talks between the government and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) remain inconclusive.

According to the Forex Association of Pakistan (FAP), the dollar was trading at Rs202.40 at around 1:30pm after appreciating against Wednesday's close of Rs201.90 yesterday, according to State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) data.

In the open market, the greenback was trading at Rs203.50 around 1:30pm.
 
The rupee finally snapped its losing streak against the dollar on Friday, gaining Rs2.50 in interbank trade in the early morning hours after the government decided to lift the fuel price cap to comply with the conditions of the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

According to the Forex Association of Pakistan (FAP), the dollar was trading at Rs199.50 at 10:38am, after depreciating against Thursday's close of Rs202.
 
Continuing its recovery, the rupee on Monday appreciated by Rs1.2 against the US dollar in the interbank trade, a development which is largely being attributed to the change in market sentiments over the government's expected deal with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) after it complied with its condition to raise fuel prices.

According to the Forex Association of Pakistan (FAP), at around 11am, the greenback depreciated to Rs198.40 — down Rs1.20 against Friday's close of Rs199.60.

This is the second continuous session during which the dollar is depreciating against the rupee. On Friday, the greenback had lost Rs2.35.

Since the PML-N-led coalition government took over on April 11, when the dollar was valued at Rs182.30, the greenback rose around Rs20 to breach Rs202 by May 26.


But after weeks of persistent declines — which had been largely attributed to the country's rising import bill, widening current account deficit and depleting foreign exchange reserves — on Friday, the rupee finally broke its losing streak after the government decided to lift the fuel price cap to comply with the conditions of the IMF.

Komal Mansoor, head of research at Tresmark, told Dawn.com that the recovery of the rupee reflected the change in sentiments on the back of an expected IMF deal, which appeared to be very close and would boost the country's foreign exchange reserves.

"Rupee lost value this month over concerns of depleted reserves, hence, any positive news regarding the reserves will naturally support the rupee," she said, pointing out the rupee "is materially undervalued" on an REER [real effective exchange rate] basis — the weighted average of a country's currency in relation to an index or basket of other major currencies.

Mansoor added that exporters were now looking forward and the market was eyeing further gains with Rs196 as the interim target.

General secretary of the Exchange Companies Association of Pakistan, Zafar Paracha, was confident that the rupee's recovery would continue this week. "In the upcoming days, there are chances of the greenback depreciating further which will help the economy."

Meanwhile, the CEO of Alpha Beta Core, Khurram Shehzad, said that while the government was well aware of the rupee's external devaluation, the internal devaluation of the currency was synonymous with austerity measures.

"For instance, individual members of a currency union like Euro are unable to do anything about the common currency if they find themselves in a difficult economic situation. They have no option but to cut down salaries of government employees, privatise and sacrifice growth to achieve stability," he explained.

This option was available to Pakistan as well if it did not want the currency to further devalue, Shehzad added.

Last week, the government raised the prices of all petroleum products by Rs30 per litre — the highest-ever increase in the prices of all petroleum products in one go — in a bid to rein in the fuel subsidies that had been a sticking point in talks with the IMF and resumption of a $6 billion facility, which has been stalled since early April.

An official earlier told Dawn that this was the first step towards convincing the IMF to release the next tranche of $1bn at the earliest.

Announcing the price hike, Finance Minister Miftah Ismail expressed the hope that now the exchange rate would improve, markets would stabilise, economy would balance out and investors would take the decision positively.

Dawn's weekly rupee-dollar parity report, published on Monday, showed that after the government's decision was announced, the rupee started appreciating.
 
The Pakistani rupee maintained an upward trend on the second consecutive working day, gaining another Rs0.70 - 0.35 per cent - to touch Rs199.06 against the US dollar in the interbank market on Monday.

After opening at Rs199.76, it hit an intra-day low of Rs201 at one point before bouncing back against the greenback.
 
KARACHI: The rupee on Wednesday maintained its upward drive and gained another 59 paise against the US dollar in the interbank market. The local currency has recovered Rs4.14 in the last four sessions after hitting an all-time low at 202.01 on May 26.
 
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and for some comparison

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The US dollar bounced back on Friday with an appreciation of 33 paise in the interbank market snapping the rupee’s five-day winning streak.

The rupee started gaining against the US dollar on May 27 and kept appreciating during the last five sessions. The dollar was sold as low as Rs197.59 on June 2.

However, the market felt a change in sentiment on Friday and the demand for greenbacks increased suddenly. The market’s mood shifted after the government again raised petroleum prices by Rs30 per litre in less than a week.

The dollar was traded at Rs197.92 in the interbank market compared to Rs197.59 on June 2, showing a gain of 33 paise.
 
The US dollar appreciated by more than Re1 in the interbank market on Monday to near the Rs200 mark, with analysts forecasting that the rupee would continue to fall as outflows for oil payments and other imports persist while matters with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) are yet to be finalised.

According to the Forex Association of Pakistan (FAP), the greenback gained Rs1.65 by noon to reach Rs199.80 against the previous close of Rs198.15.

Meanwhile in the open market, the value of the dollar rose to Rs200, the FAP data showed.

The rupee's slide against the dollar began early in the session today, following which FAP Chairperson Malik Bostan and Exchange Companies Association of Pakistan General Secretary Zafar Paracha pointed out that the greenback's demand had risen on account of oil payments that were to be made today.

DAWN
 
The Pakistani rupee on Tuesday made a historical drop of Rs3.06 (1.50%) in a single day and surpassed Rs203 against the US dollar for the first time ever in the inter-bank market.

It was available for sale at Rs203.12 at around 11:20 am in the market on Tuesday, after closing at Rs200.06 against the greenback on Monday, according to the central bank.

This was the third consecutive workday free-fall of the rupee.
 
Pakistan’s currency became highly volatile on Tuesday, as it dropped 1.37% (or Rs2.77) to close at an all-time low at Rs202.83 against the US dollar in the inter-bank market in the wake of mounted pressure of import payments and foreign debt repayments.
 
The Pakistani rupee shed at least Rs1.75 against the US dollar in the interbank market to reach Rs204.10 before noon on Monday.

The rupee had closed at Rs202.35 against the dollar on Friday, as per the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP).

Similarly, the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) touched a two-year low at 41,231 points by losing 784 points in the morning.

On Friday, the stock market had closed above 42,000 points as investors remained optimistic about the upcoming budget announcement.

The volatility in the stock market and exchange rate came after a statement by Finance Minister Miftah Ismail on Saturday wherein he had talked about a delay in the revival of the bailout package by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

Express Tribune
 
After hitting a new peak on Monday, the US dollar extended its gains against the rupee in the interbank market and rose past the Rs205 mark to reach a new high during the early hours of trading on Tuesday — a trend that is largely attributed to the dollar strengthening in global markets, a dearth of dollar inflows and the central bank's depleting foreign exchange reserves.

According to the Forex Association of Pakistan (FAP), the greenback appreciated Rs1.70 from the previous day's close of Rs203.90 and climbed to Rs205.50 around 10:30am. (The FAP's closing rate shows a slight deviation from that of the State Bank of Pakistan, which posted a closing rate of Rs203.86).

Since the inception of the new government in April, the dollar had risen by Rs21 until Monday (June 13), and if current trends continue, it will likely keep moving upward.
 
In line with expectations, the rupee has plunged further and crossed Rs206 against the US dollar for the first time in the inter-bank market on Wednesday.

The domestic currency was available at Rs206.09 against the greenback, losing a fresh Rs0.93, a currency market dealer reported at 9.45 am.

This is the fourth consecutive working day of free-fall in the rupee, losing a cumulative 2.65% (or Rs5.32) to date.

The central bank has seemed helpless in controlling the speculative fall in the rupee as the domestic fair value is projected at Rs190 against the greenback by BMA Capital Executive Director Saad Hashemy.

Express Tribune
 
The Pakistani currency plummeted against the US dollar and surpassed Rs208 against the greenback. The rupee was available at Rs208.25 against the USD at 12:25pm on Thursday.

The domestic currency plunged Rs1.79 to a record low of Rs208.25 against the greenback at 12:25pm. The rupee had closed at Rs206.46 on Wednesday, according to the central bank.

The latest devaluation is witnessed after the United States Federal Reserve System Bank (Fed) increased its key interest rate by 75 basis points. The Fed increase is strongly expected to strengthen the US dollar against world currencies including the Pakistani rupee.
 
The Pakistani rupee plunged beyond Rs209 against the US dollar for the first time in the inter-bank market in the early hours on Friday.

The greenback was available at a record low level of Rs209.19 against the USD, a currency dealer reported at 10:16 am.

It had closed at Rs207.67 on Thursday.

Cumulatively, the rupee has dived 33% (or Rs51) in the past one-year to date compared to Rs157.54 on June 30, 2021, according to the central bank data.

The latest drop in the currrency is recorded after the country's foreign exchange reserves slipped to a 34-month low at $9 billion, strongly hitting the worsening balance of international payment crisis.

Pakistan has sought US help to revive the International Monetary Fund (IMF) loan programme which has remained stalled for the past one-year.

"The inter-bank market is yet not confident that the IMF would revive its ($6 billion) loan programme for Pakistan," said Syed Atif Zafar, CEO of a financial research firm, Uraan, while talking to The Express Tribune.
 
The Pakistani rupee remained highly volatile as it plunged to a record low of over Rs211 against the US dollar in the inter-bank market on Monday.

The US dollar was available at Rs211.21 at 11:03 am and had closed at Rs208.75 on Friday, according to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP).

The latest fall in the rupee's value against the USD comes after traders resorted to panic buying on reports that some commercial banks had run out of the foreign currency.

Businessmen have urged the SBP to play its due role in controlling the free-fall of the rupee. However, the central bank seemed helpless to control the situation as it cannot supply dollars in the market to support the rupee since its own stock of dollars also stands at a depleted level.

Pakistan's foreign exchange reserves (maintained with the SBP) have depleted to a critical level and the country has less than six weeks of import cover remaining. The reserves are currently below $9 billion.

The country is fulfilling the prerequisite conditions to revive the IMF loan programme to avoid default on international payments.

Finance Minister Miftah Ismail also sought help from the US to revive the IMF programme after the lending institution put stringent conditions for the programme's revival.

Experts said the situation would get clear by end of June whether the IMF would resume its loan programme or not.

The rupee has devalued by a massive 34% (or Rs53.67) in the past year. It closed at Rs157.54 on June 30.
 
Dollar hits record Rs212 as IMF deal delay weighs heavy on rupee

The US dollar continued to set new records on Tuesday as it rose to Rs212 against the local currency during early morning trade in the interbank market.

According to the Forex Association of Pakistan (FAP), the rupee depreciated by over Rs2 to reach an all-time low of Rs212 against the dollar from Monday's close of Rs209.96. Yesterday, the greenback appreciated by a sharp Rs1.21 — a trend persisting for over a week now.

According to Mettis Global — a web-based financial data and analytics portal — the rupee has incurred a colossal loss of Rs6.4 during five consecutive sessions last week.

Komal Mansoor, head of research at Tresmark, told Dawn.com that it seemed as if the country was now completely relying on an IMF bailout.

"There is some support for the rupee around the current 211 level, but we see a gradual depreciation of rupee on a daily basis till such time that the IMF staff-level agreement is signed," she said.

Depleting foreign exchange reserves 'putting pressure'
FAP chairman Malik Bostan blamed the rapidly depleting foreign exchange reserves for "putting pressure" on the rupee.

"After a long time, foreign exchange reserves have fallen to single digits, which has worried the market," he said.

According to SBP, Pakistan’s reserves have fallen by another $234 million to close just below $15 billion in all. The central bank's share in these reserves is just under $9 billion.

Secondly, Bostan added, demand for the dollar is high because of the upcoming Haj season. "Over 400,000 Pakistanis are going for Haj this year and are buying dollars. This is adversely impacting the local currency."

Rumors of stopping LCs
Earlier, a Dawn report said that the currency market was gripped by uncertainty and rumours that banks have stopped opening letters of credit (LCs)

Such a situation was, however, denied by the central bank. “State Bank has not stopped banks from making import payments. Even today, roughly about $200m import payments have been executed,” SBP Chief Spokesman Abid Qamar said.

Meanwhile, the SBP has required prior approval before the opening of LCs or registration of contracts for certain types of imports like cars (CKD), cellphones and certain types of machinery. But these instructions were issued on May 20 and not today, he said.

On May 20, the SBP issued a circular after the decision of the federal government to ban imports of luxury and non-essential goods. The decision meant to consume fewer dollars while saving the economy from imported inflation. So far, the country’s import bill has already crossed $70 billion in the outgoing year.

Rumors of stopping LCs
Today, a Dawn report said that the currency market was gripped by uncertainty and rumours that banks have stopped opening letters of credit (LCs)

Such a situation was, however, denied by the central bank. “State Bank has not stopped banks from making import payments. Even today, roughly about $200m import payments have been executed,” SBP Chief Spokesman Abid Qamar said.

Meanwhile, the SBP has required prior approval before the opening of LCs or registration of contracts for certain types of imports like cars (CKD), cellphones and certain types of machinery. But these instructions were issued on May 20 and not today, he said.

On May 20, the SBP issued a circular after the decision of the federal government to ban imports of luxury and non-essential goods. The decision meant to consume fewer dollars while saving the economy from imported inflation. So far, the country’s import bill has already crossed $70 billion in the outgoing year.

https://www.dawn.com/news/1695968/dollar-hits-record-rs212-as-imf-deal-delay-weighs-heavy-on-rupee
 
KARACHI: Following an agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the Pakistan rupee broke its losing streak and gained value against the US dollar in the intraday trading on Thursday, ARY News reported.

According to forex dealers, the greenback was trading at Rs207.99 after depreciating Rs3.94 against the local currency in the interbank market by 11:00 am.

In the open market, the greenback is sold between Rs209 to Rs211
 
Pakistani currency suddenly slumped 1.15% (or Rs2.38) on a day-to-day basis to a one-week low at Rs206.94 against the US dollar in the inter-bank market on Tuesday in the wake of the emergence of conflicting reports about a likely delay in the revival of IMF loan programme.

The local currency had maintained an uptrend for over one week, as it closed at a three-week high at Rs204.56 against the greenback on Monday, according to the central bank data.

Surprisingly, the rupee took a U-turn towards the downside following Punjab Chief Minister Hamza Shehbaz’s announcement of free electricity for the consumers of up to 100 units a month ahead of the CM elections on July 22.
 
The rupee gained Rs1.6 against the dollar during interbank trade on Thursday morning, with analysts largely attributing the recovery to Pakistan reaching a staff-level agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for the revival of the loan programme.

According to the Forex Association of Pakistan (FAP), the local currency appreciated by Rs1.6 from the previous day’s close of Rs210.1.

At 11:40am, the greenback was trading at Rs208.5 in the interbank market.

FAP Chairman Malik Bostan attributed the development to the expansion of Pakistan’s loan programme by the Fund. “We are hoping to see a further decline in the greenback, somewhere below Rs200,” he told Dawn.com.
 
KARACHI: The ruling PML-N's thumping in the Punjab by-elections that has triggered political uncertainty along with import pressure took the Pakistani rupee to a new low against the US dollar in the interbank market Monday.

Since the opening of the market the rupee has depreciated against the greenback by Rs3.79, as per the Exchange Companies Association of Pakistan. It remains to be seen where the local currency will settle at the end of the day's trading. The dollar is currently being sold for Rs214.74 in the interbank market, bringing the local currency to an all-time low.
 
Dollar reaches new high, soars past Rs219 in interbank

The US dollar on Tuesday rose to an all-time high for a second day in a row, reaching Rs219 in the interbank market.

According to the Forex Association of Pakistan (FAP), the greenback was up Rs4.3 against the previous day’s close of Rs215.20 to reach Rs219.50 around 11:20am.

After reaching a peak of Rs211.93 on June 22, the dollar started declining for a brief period and fell to a low of Rs204.56 on July 4.

However, the strength gained by the rupee after $2.3 billion Chinese inflows evaporated within a couple of weeks, as the dollar snapped the rupee’s rising streak and gained Rs2.38 in the interbank market on July 5, the first appreciation in the new fiscal year.

Since then, the greenback has continued to rise with a slight reversal of the trend on July 15 — the day the IMF announced it had reached a staff-level agreement with the government. However, the rupee reversed its gains the very next day with analysts attributing it to low inflows and import payments.

‘Markets panicking’
Mettis Global Director Saad Bin Naseer said the rupee was seeing a decline due to “panic buying [of the dollar] from banks in the interbank market”.

He said that “panic is setting in the financial markets following fears of change in [the] government in Punjab and Centre” after the by-polls on the province’s 20 seats. The by-elections saw the PTI register a thumping victory against the PML-N, which leads the ruling coalition.

He went on to say that the downgrading of Pakistan’s outlook from stable to negative by the Fitch rating agency further increased panic in the market.

Moreover, he said, the demand for dollar among importers had also “spiked” as the future of inflows from the International Monetary Fund, friendly countries and bilateral sources remained a concern.

FAP Chairperson Malik Bostan was more reproachful of banks when asked about the rupee’s freefall.

He alleged that banks were using the political situation in the country as an “excuse” and were involved in “satta bazi” (speculation) in the currency market.

“The State Bank should take notice of this and immediately impose restrictions on forward booking of dollars to put an end to the unnecessary rise in the value of the greenback in the market, as well as banks’ monopoly,” he said.

This, he added, would bring the “panic” in the market to an end.

DAWN
 
Dollar reaches new high, soars past Rs219 in interbank

The US dollar on Tuesday rose to an all-time high for a second day in a row, reaching Rs219 in the interbank market.

According to the Forex Association of Pakistan (FAP), the greenback was up Rs4.3 against the previous day’s close of Rs215.20 to reach Rs219.50 around 11:20am.

After reaching a peak of Rs211.93 on June 22, the dollar started declining for a brief period and fell to a low of Rs204.56 on July 4.

However, the strength gained by the rupee after $2.3 billion Chinese inflows evaporated within a couple of weeks, as the dollar snapped the rupee’s rising streak and gained Rs2.38 in the interbank market on July 5, the first appreciation in the new fiscal year.

Since then, the greenback has continued to rise with a slight reversal of the trend on July 15 — the day the IMF announced it had reached a staff-level agreement with the government. However, the rupee reversed its gains the very next day with analysts attributing it to low inflows and import payments.

‘Markets panicking’
Mettis Global Director Saad Bin Naseer said the rupee was seeing a decline due to “panic buying [of the dollar] from banks in the interbank market”.

He said that “panic is setting in the financial markets following fears of change in [the] government in Punjab and Centre” after the by-polls on the province’s 20 seats. The by-elections saw the PTI register a thumping victory against the PML-N, which leads the ruling coalition.

He went on to say that the downgrading of Pakistan’s outlook from stable to negative by the Fitch rating agency further increased panic in the market.

Moreover, he said, the demand for dollar among importers had also “spiked” as the future of inflows from the International Monetary Fund, friendly countries and bilateral sources remained a concern.

FAP Chairperson Malik Bostan was more reproachful of banks when asked about the rupee’s freefall.

He alleged that banks were using the political situation in the country as an “excuse” and were involved in “satta bazi” (speculation) in the currency market.

“The State Bank should take notice of this and immediately impose restrictions on forward booking of dollars to put an end to the unnecessary rise in the value of the greenback in the market, as well as banks’ monopoly,” he said.

This, he added, would bring the “panic” in the market to an end.

DAWN

The imported crooks have brought PK to the edge of meltdown. No clue what they are doing and working to others destructive agenda
 
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-partner="tweetdeck"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">When US regime conspiracy's VoNC was tabled $ was at Rs 178. Today it is Rs 224 & in freefall despite IMF agreement. The economic meltdown shows Sharifs never had any expertise in running economy or administration. Their only expertise is looting, money laundering & getting NROs</p>— Imran Khan (@ImranKhanPTI) <a href="https://twitter.com/ImranKhanPTI/status/1549342469556420609?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 19, 2022</a></blockquote>
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Bajwa needs to sit down with Kaptaan, get a interim govt setup, sack the Chief Election Commissioner, and then resign. His desire to control has led to disaster.
 
The rupee fell to an all-time low against the dollar for the second day in a row on Tuesday, closing at Rs222 in the interbank market.

According to the Forex Association of Pakistan (FAP), the greenback was up Rs8.8, or 4 per cent, against the previous day's close of Rs215.20 to reach Rs224 around 2:30pm.

However, it closed at Rs221.99, appreciating 3.1pc, according to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP).
 
PTI slams govt over rupee devaluation

ISLAMABAD: The Pakistan Tehreek-i-Insaf despite its stunning victory in Punjab by-polls continued to take a hard line on the Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP) and Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N), with its chairman and secretary general blaming the Shehbaz Sharif government for rupee devaluation and economic crisis.

While criticising the government over free fall of rupee and economic meltdown, PTI chairman Imran Khan on Tuesday tweeted, “When US regime conspiracy’s VoNC [vote of no-confidence] was tabled $ was at Rs178. Today it is Rs224 & in freefall despite IMF agreement. The economic meltdown shows Sharifs never had any expertise in running economy or administration. Their only expertise is looting, money laundering & getting NROs.”

Also, PTI secretary general and ex-minister Asad Umer said the system imposed through “unnatural and external intervention” was very destructive for Pakistan. The inept government miserably failed to stop the free fall of the rupee against dollar, as the rupee fell to an all-time low against the dollar for a second day in a row, which was currently trading at Rs221 in the inter-bank market, fearing it could reach Rs223, which was alarming, he explained.

He highlighted the need for “timely decisions” to control the fast-dwindling economic situation and rapid depreciation of rupee against the dollar, warning the powers that be that “irreparable damage” could occur to the country if steps were not taken on a war-footing basis to get rid of the “imposed system”.

“Every hour of this imported government was proving heavy on the country,” said the PTI leader.

Fawad hints at ban

Meanwhile, PTI senior vice president Fawad Chaudhry told a presser that after regaining power in Punjab on July 22, the new provincial government could ban the entry of Interior Minister Rana Sanaullah and Punjab Home Minister Attaullah Tarar to the province.

He advised Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif to stay away from people like Rana Sanaullah, as an order for arrest of (Rana) and Atta Tarar could be issued. He asked the premier to take notice of Mr Sanaullah’s remarks that what Pervaiz Elahi would do if five MPAs didn’t show up on the day of vote.

He said Asif Ali Zardari was well aware that the Sharif government was on a ventilator and the power to send this government packing anytime rested with the PTI. He pointed out that the PTI could topple the federal government in a day if it wanted and that five MNAs belonging to the coalition were in contact with PTI. “We are giving leeway to PM Shehbaz to take the right decision on general elections,” he said.

“We can boldly ask President Arif Alvi to initiate a vote of no-confidence against the current government but we are giving it a chance,” he said.

Claiming that the ECP was biased against the PTI, Mr Chaudhry suggested Chief Election Commissioner Sikandar Sultan Raja to resign, or else he would be shown the door eventually. He called for the formation of a new, credible ECP that had the support of all political parties.

Mr Chaudhry said the PTI was ready to speak to Shehbaz Sharif once he announced the date for general election. He demanded resignation of Punjab Chief Minister Hamza Shehbaz in line with political traditions.

“Hamza Shehbaz should be ashamed. His party suffered a humiliating defeat, even Maryam Nawaz and Malik Ahmad accepted it. He should have tendered his resignation immediately after it,” he remarked.

DAWN
 
Miftah blames ‘political turmoil’ as PKR falls to record low against dollar

The rupee continued its fall in the interbank market on Wednesday, with the local currency sliding to a historic low of Rs225 against the dollar as Finance Minister Miftah Ismail said political turmoil was to blame for the downturn.

“The panic in the market is primarily due to political turmoil, which will subside in a few days,” Ismail told Reuters, adding that he expected pressure on the rupee to fall in the next few days.

Analysts attributed the decline to the lack of economic guidance amid the political uncertainty prevailing in the country and the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) not intervening.

According to the Forex Association of Pakistan, the rupee was being traded at Rs225 at 10:30am, down Rs3.01 or 1.3 per cent, from yesterday’s close of Rs221.99.

Political uncertainty hammering rupee
Mettis Global Director Saad bin Naseer said the freefall in the rupee’s value was continuing because the markets were without economic guidance amid the evolving political situation.

“For the market to stabilise, it will require some form of guidance on the political front from the PTI or the ruling coalition with respect to elections.”

He was referring to the PTI’s victory on at least 15 of the 20 Punjab Assembly seats, on which by-polls were held on July 17. Following the win, the PTI has claimed that incumbent Punjab Chief Minister Hamza Shehbaz has no justification to remain in the province’s top office, and at the same time is demanding fresh general elections.

Naseer also pointed out that while the State Bank has listed the domestic and international reasons for the rupee’s decline, the markets are worried about the future of inflows from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), friendly countries and other sources.

‘No intervention’
Exchange Companies Association of Pakistan General Secretary Zafar Paracha blamed the government and the SBP for not taking measures to stop the rupee’s decline.

“There is an upward trend in the dollar since the market opened today. Yesterday, the SBP stated that it had left the rupee free and the rate was being determined by market forces.

“This system exists in countries where reserves are in the billions of dollars. For a country like ours, where reserves are about $6bn and that too is on loan and we are running after $1bn, this system does not suit us,” he opined.

Paracha said it appeared that depreciating the rupee to 130 or 140 was one of the conditions the government agreed to with the IMF. He cautioned that it would cause a storm of inflation and create a “dangerous” law and order situation.

“When people do not have enough to eat, God knows what will happen. I do not believe conditions would be manageable [if that happens].”

The currency dealer also lashed out at political parties, lamenting what he termed “the lack of governance” in the country. “The government, whether the previous one or the incumbent, has no concern for the people or where the rupee is going. It seems they are all happy about the dollar’s rise because their assets and children are abroad.”

He called on political parties to come together with a single-point agenda — to discuss an economic plan.

He also made a number of recommendations to improve the situation: fixing dollar rates, ending forward cover, imposing restrictions on import of nonessential items, linking imports to exports and expenditures to revenue.

Head of Research at Tresmark Komal Mansoor said the rupee’s freefall followed the downgrading of the country’s outlook from stable to negative by Fitch, Eurobond yields spiking and no active supply from SBP.

“Banks are short in nostros and they have no choice but to buy from the market at a costlier rate,” she added.

Meanwhile, Finance Minister Ismail, while speaking to Reuters, said, “the panic in the market is primarily due to political turmoil, which will subside in a few days.”

He added that he expected pressure on the rupee to fall in the next few days.

SBP attributes fall to ‘market-determined system’
The rupee appreciated to 204.56 in the first week of July after touching 211.93 on June 22. It kept losing its value against the dollar but registered a minor appreciation when the country reached its staff-level agreement with the IMF on July 15.

It has continued to fall in every session since then.

A day earlier, the SBP attributed the 11-rupee change in the exchange rate in just two days to the “market-determined exchange rate system” under which the current account position, news stories and domestic uncertainty contribute to the daily currency fluctuations.

In an apparent attempt to downplay the depreciation, the SBP said a “better measure” of the rupee’s strength is the real effective exchange rate, which takes into account the currencies in which Pakistan trades in inflation-adjusted terms.

The central bank said the depreciation in the rupee “since December 2021 has only been 3pc”. In nominal terms, however, the local currency has depreciated against the dollar by 18pc over the same period.

The US Federal Reserve has increased interest rates in the recent past to combat inflation, which is hovering at a 40-year high. As a result, international funds are flowing into the US economy to earn better returns. This has led to an increase in demand for dollars, propelling the greenback to a 20-year high against a basket of peers.

DAWN
 
The rupee continued its fall in the interbank market on Wednesday, with the local currency sliding to a historic low of Rs225 against the dollar as Finance Minister Miftah Ismail said political turmoil was to blame for the downturn.

“The panic in the market is primarily due to political turmoil, which will subside in a few days,” Ismail told Reuters, adding that he expected pressure on the rupee to fall in the next few days.

Analysts attributed the decline to the lack of economic guidance amid the political uncertainty prevailing in the country and the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) not intervening.

According to the Forex Association of Pakistan, the rupee was being traded at Rs225 at 10:30am, down Rs3.01 or 1.3 per cent, from yesterday’s close of Rs221.99.
 
Pakistani rupee on Thursday hit another low after the US dollar strengthened against the local currency following a delay in the release of an Rs1.17 billion tranche from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) despite a staff-level agreement and political uncertainty in Punjab, ARY NEWS reported.

In the interbank today, the US dollar gained Rs1.08 against the rupee and traded at Rs226. In the open market, the greenback traded between Rs226 to Rs227.
 
The Pakistani rupee further depreciated on Thursday as the US dollar rose above Rs229.98 in the inter-bank market, setting a new record.

As economic challenges for the country increased, the dollar’s meteoric rise continued as commercial banks reportedly resumed lines of credit for oil imports at high costs.

The fresh high of the USD comes in response to the rising demand for the foreign currency, despite a lack of supply in the interbank market.

Explaining the factors behind the significant depreciation of the rupee, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) has stated that the current account situation, under the dynamic market-based exchange rate system, corresponds to news of internal uncertainty. This combination has led to fluctuations in the value of the rupee on a daily basis.
 
The rupee continued to lose ground against the dollar on Friday, hitting yet another record low of Rs228.50 interbank trade as concerns remain over the exchange rate volatility.

According to the Forex Association of Pakistan (FAP), the rupee depreciated 75 paise — a slump of 0.33pc — against the previous day’s close of Rs227.75 to reach Rs228.50 by 12:35pm.

The FAP’s closing rate of the last session is higher than the State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP’s) closing rate of Rs266.81.

Today’s decline in the rupee’s value is in continuation of its freefall against the dollar witnessed throughout this week.
 
Pakistan’s currency endured its worst week in more than two decades, reflecting investors’ worries that the country risks following Sri Lanka to become the next emerging economy to default on foreign repayments.

The Pakistani rupee’s 7.6 per cent tumble to Rs228 to the dollar marked the latest setback for the currency, which has fallen sharply this year. It marked the rupee’s sharpest weekly drop since October 1998.

The latest slide reflected mounting concerns that a $1.2bn loan disbursement from the IMF agreed last week might not be enough to avert a balance of payments crisis. Pakistan’s bonds have been among the worst performers in emerging markets this year.

Sri Lanka’s economic collapse and default on its foreign debt in May led to a full-blown political crisis last week, forcing then-president Gotabaya Rajapaksa to flee mass protests into exile.

The country’s fall was one of the most stark manifestations yet of a broader fragility in emerging markets, which are feeling the brunt of greater risk aversion among investors and higher commodity prices and interest rates.

However, Pakistan’s larger population, strategic location and nuclear-armed status mean that a financial crisis there would have more serious implications, analysts said.

“The international fallout from Pakistan’s internal collapse would be much bigger than Sri Lanka,” said Hasan Askari Rizvi, a Pakistani commentator on national and security affairs. “I think there are many outside [powers] who would want to avoid an outright disaster in Pakistan created by an economic collapse.”

Fitch Ratings this week downgraded its country outlook to negative from stable, noting what it called a “significant deterioration in Pakistan’s external liquidity position and financing conditions” this year.

The rating agency said the central bank’s forex reserves had declined to about $10bn by June 2022, down from $16bn a year previously and equivalent to just over one month’s worth of current external payments.

Pakistan’s central bank raised its main policy interest rate 125 basis points to 15 per cent on July 7 in an effort to stem demand for foreign currencies and reduce inflation.

As in Sri Lanka, Pakistan’s growing financial distress is having political repercussions. To meet the terms of a $6bn lending package agreed with the IMF in 2019, prime minister Shehbaz Sharif’s government has withdrawn fuel and energy subsidies, causing prices to soar. The subsidy withdrawals have added to the impact of world market price increases caused by the war in Ukraine.

Public anger at soaring prices has already fuelled an electoral upset. On Sunday, voters in Punjab province, Pakistan’s most populous region, handed victory to the party of former prime minister Imran Khan, who was ousted in April. Khan this week called for early elections and on Wednesday said Pakistan was teetering towards an “economic collapse”.

“We do expect political risk and political volatility to remain quite heightened in the run-up to the next election,” said Grace Lim, analyst with Moody’s, which downgraded its outlook for Pakistan to negative last month. In a research note last week, the credit agency said the country’s ability to complete its current IMF programme “remains highly uncertain”.

https://www.ft.com/content/31f9fbd5-996a-4c24-8c5d-3fcf824c0d93
 
KARACHI: As the political crisis in Pakistan deepens, the Pakistani rupee hit an all-time low against the US dollar Monday during the intraday trade in the interbank market.

The rupee slumped to 230 during intraday trade, as compared to its rate of 228.37, according to the data from the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP).
 
$ will hit 250 in 2 months if IMF loan doesn't go through and there will be re-elections.

I had predicted a steep fall. Almost there. Truth is that worst is yet to come. It will get much worse before it gets better. If it gets better.
 
The rupee continued to lose its value on Tuesday and fell to a new low of 231 against the dollar in the interbank market.

The local currency, which had closed at Rs229.88 yesterday, fell Rs1.12 to Rs231 by 10:36am, according to the Foreign Exchange Association of Pakistan.
 
Finance Minister Miftah Ismail said on Tuesday the pressure on the rupee will “vanish” in a couple of weeks.

In a one-on-one conversation with Mosharraf Zaidi, CEO of advisory services firm Tabadlab, Mr Ismail said the inflows of dollars into Pakistan will soon be higher than the outflow, resulting in a stable exchange rate.

“Nobody is happy with surgery, but sometimes it’s necessary,” he said while defending his policy of import curtailment to reduce the dollar outflow — a measure that may slow down economic growth and reduce tax collection at the import stage.

He repeatedly insisted that the fears of a sovereign default were overblown and that the policymakers knew “all the balls that (they) have in the air” i.e. expected inflows of the foreign currency in the next quarter or so.

“This is what I’m trying to do: moderate our purchases (imports) and not slow down our exports. For two to three months, I’m going to do that. (With every passing) week, I have a greater handle on the foreign currency,” he said.

The country burned $80 billion last year to buy foreign goods and services while earning only $31bn against its exports. The resulting gap in dollar liquidity has put pressure on the rupee’s value, which has been depreciating against the greenback.

The rupee lost 1.31 per cent value against the dollar on Tuesday to close at 232.93 in the interbank market. By the end of last week, the local currency had lost 22.7pc since Jan 1 and 10.3pc since July 1.

Mr Ismail said a policy plan will soon be in place. Imports will go down gradually and exports will be up “organically” within three months, he said.

“It’s no fun going to the world, to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), to the Chinese, to the Saudis, asking for money,” he said.

He said IMF inflows will materialise within weeks as there’s no chance of the Washington-based lender reopening the loan negotiations. “There’s no prior action that’s left really. The only thing is that they have a vacation for the (IMF) directors from Aug 1 to Aug 15. That’s why the meeting is a little later than I would’ve liked.”

Mr Ismail defended the idea of raising dollars by letting a “friendly country” acquire 10-15pc shareholding in state-owned companies with tradeable shares on the stock exchange. He blamed “irresponsible politicians” for scandalising a simple repurchase or repo arrangement that’ll bring in the much-needed dollars in the immediate term to fight the balance-of-payments crisis.

The government first requested the unnamed friendly country for dollar-denominated deposits to shore up foreign exchange reserves. But it turned down Islamabad’s request, saying the latter never returned the deposits, the finance minister said.

Subsequently, the friendly country showed willingness to buy shares in listed government-owned entities under a buyback agreement, which will give Islamabad the option — but not the obligation — to repurchase the same shareholding after a certain period of time at a 5pc higher rate.

“There’s not even (a question of) price discovery,” he said, noting that the friendly country “wants to helps us” and is giving Pakistan “a good deal”.

Published in Dawn, July 27th, 2022
 
The Pakistani rupee lost further ground amid a deepening political crisis in the country and was traded at 236.50 to a dollar in the interbank market during intraday trade on Wednesday.

The local unit lost Rs3.57 today - the first trading session after the Supreme Court removed PML-N Hamza Shahbaz as chief minister of Punjab, dealing a massive blow to the Shahbaz Sharif government in the Centre.
 
The rupee’s losses continued on Thursday as the local currency dropped to a record low of Rs240.5 against the dollar in the interbank market.

According to the Forex Association of Pakistan (FAP), the rupee lost 4.48, or 1.89 per cent, compared to yesterday’s close of 236.02 by 12:03pm.

Consequently, the rupee was trading at 240.5 against the greenback.

Exchange Companies Association of Pakistan General Secretary Zafar Paracha laid the blame squarely on the country’s political situation and the government’s lack of action.
 
While this may seem good for people abroad sending remittances, feel sorry for the local population who will be facing mega inflation. Basic necessities will be hard to come by.
 
The rupee fell to an all-time low in the open market on Friday, trading as high as 250 against the dollar, according to data shared by the Forex Association of Pakistan (FAP).

A handout provided by FAP showed the rupee was trading at 250 against the greenback at 1:10pm but then recovered slightly to reach 247 by 4:20pm.

However, the local currency made small gains in the interbank after nearly two weeks of consistent decline in consecutive sessions.

According to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the rupee closed at 239.37 in the interbank, up Rs0.57, or 0.24 per cent, compared to yesterday.
 
The rupee fell to an all-time low in the open market on Friday, trading as high as 250 against the dollar, according to data shared by the Forex Association of Pakistan (FAP).

A handout provided by FAP showed the rupee was trading at 250 against the greenback at 1:10pm but then recovered slightly to reach 247 by 4:20pm.

However, the local currency made small gains in the interbank after nearly two weeks of consistent decline in consecutive sessions.

According to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the rupee closed at 239.37 in the interbank, up Rs0.57, or 0.24 per cent, compared to yesterday.

We are now in territory that makes it impossible for economy to be ever stable, never mind actually make an indent into poverty. Bajwa what was you thinking
 
Rupee becoming worthless rapidly and since we have all attributes of US colony so why not we have a Pakistani Dollar as our currency PKD
 
I keep thinking as to what is going on. When Kaptaan left it was 178, and with CAD and oil prices, it should be around 195-200. Today Shaheen Sehbai is claiming that the collapse is due the plunder by the mafia

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">DOLLAR FLIGHT: Credible insiders say within days after Shahbaz Sharif took office as PM, a plane with 245 Suitcases full of $$ took off from Karachi to Dubai. A Customs Intel officer who reported the matter was immediatly sacked.We know who flies $$ 2 UAE. WILL NEUTRALS PROBE IT?</p>— SHAHEEN SEHBAI (@SSEHBAI1) <a href="https://twitter.com/SSEHBAI1/status/1552864793337421825?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 29, 2022</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 
I keep thinking as to what is going on. When Kaptaan left it was 178, and with CAD and oil prices, it should be around 195-200. Today Shaheen Sehbai is claiming that the collapse is due the plunder by the mafia

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">DOLLAR FLIGHT: Credible insiders say within days after Shahbaz Sharif took office as PM, a plane with 245 Suitcases full of $$ took off from Karachi to Dubai. A Customs Intel officer who reported the matter was immediatly sacked.We know who flies $$ 2 UAE. WILL NEUTRALS PROBE IT?</p>— SHAHEEN SEHBAI (@SSEHBAI1) <a href="https://twitter.com/SSEHBAI1/status/1552864793337421825?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 29, 2022</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Dollar is getting stronger in the global market almost against all the world currencies and the pkr is not an exception.
 
Dollar is getting stronger in the global market almost against all the world currencies and the pkr is not an exception.

Yeah but it’s insane for PKR.. no currency is falling like that except for SL which we all know why it happened there is credibility as to PDM trying to wreck the economy
 
Yeah but it’s insane for PKR.. no currency is falling like that except for SL which we all know why it happened there is credibility as to PDM trying to wreck the economy


Mostly because of political uncertainty but changing the government won't fix this issue.
It will take some time.
 
pkr is falling becuase no one has any idea who will be in power in one week, one month, or one year. simple as that.

no one wants to lend to pakistan because whoever agrees to the terms of the loans may not be in power for long enough to ensure adherance to the terms.

people fighting over one political party or the other need to realise pakistan has massive structural imbalances, the country exports low value goods and imports every single value added good.

the central government has no real revenue generation capacity because joe average pakistani doesnt trust the government for anything.

until this imbalance is rebalanced these problems will persist. the only way this can happen is for a ten, or fifteen year plan to be put in place to work towards redressing the fundamental failings of the economy.

this mess is decades in the making, and each political player has played some part in it, and anyone who doesnt admit this is either ignorant or lying to themelves.
 
Commenting on the worsening situation, PTI chief Imran slammed the ruling coalition, which he referred to as an “imported government” that was “made up of crooks but is thoroughly incompetent too”.

He pointed out that the dollar stood at Rs178 when he was voted out of power, but it had reached Rs250 now.
Similarly, he added, inflation stood at 16.5% but had now spiralled up to 38%.

Responding to the former premier’s tweet, the finance minister said when Imran assumed charge, the dollar was at Rs122, and by the time he was ousted, it had gone up to Rs190.

He added that the PTI government had taken the foreign debt from Rs25 trllion to Rs44 trillion.

The minister maintained that Imran had “left the energy sector in a serious mess” with no provision or contracts for gas or fuel, and circular debts ofRs2.5 trillion in power and Rs1.5 trillion in gas.

“Last year alone, [the] addition to power circular debt was Rs850 billion,” he added.
He lambasted the PTI government for driving the country towards bankruptcy after violating the agreement with the

International Monetary Fund (IMF) by giving subsidies on fuel.

Miftah maintained that the coalition government had saved the country from default.

“We have saved Pakistan from defaulting and are proud of it,” he added.

The minister claimed that from Toshakhana watches to foreign funding and Farah Khan wielding power and taking bribes, the government was aware who the “real thief” was.

“We know who is corrupt, untruthful & incompetent. IK and IK alone is responsible for this mess,” he further wrote.

Separately, PTI leaders slammed the imported government for its “incompetence” and “apathy” due to which Pakistan’s economy was sinking with alarming speed, as inflation skyrocketed this week and the rupee hit a record low.

PTI Central Secretary General Asad Umar and senior leader Shaukat Tarin, in their statements, expressed serious concerns over the fast-dwindling economic situation of the country.

Umar claimed that the incompetence of the ”imported government” and its lack of interest were the main contributors to the country's economic troubles.

He added that the inflation reaching its highest level in a week had compounded the miseries and hardship of the people, but the “corrupt” and “incompetent” rulers adopted a callous attitude towards their miseries.

The former planning minister noted that the prices of basic necessities had increased by more than 37%, which was the highest level in the history of Pakistan.

He added that there had been an increase of 3.68% in just one week.

Separately, Tarin blasted the government for “crushing the people under the unprecedented price hike of daily-use items”.

He added that the gravity of the situation could be judged from the fact that inflation had climbed to almost 40% under the incumbent “incompetent” government while they used to blame the PTI government for the inflation of 12.5%.

The former finance minister said the rupee was in a free fall, as the current government was completely clueless and could not handle the economy.

He wondered how long it would wait for holding fresh elections.

Express Tribune
 
When Kaptaan sahib left the fed rate was close to zero, now its 2.5%. While the political uncertainty has only hastened the inevitable, there is little IK could have done with the resources at hand to stop this eventually. IK and PTI should just sit back and enjoy the spectacle of the current govt. owning this mess.

Albeit when he does come into power he will be answerable for all the rhetoric incl. importing 'cheap' russian oil, standing up to the Americans (while pleading to the IMF) etc..etc.. In the meanwhile he can thank his lucky stars that hes not in power right now.

People should ignore stupid tweets like the one below! '245 suitcases full of $$', how gullible can people get?!

I keep thinking as to what is going on. When Kaptaan left it was 178, and with CAD and oil prices, it should be around 195-200. Today Shaheen Sehbai is claiming that the collapse is due the plunder by the mafia

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">DOLLAR FLIGHT: Credible insiders say within days after Shahbaz Sharif took office as PM, a plane with 245 Suitcases full of $$ took off from Karachi to Dubai. A Customs Intel officer who reported the matter was immediatly sacked.We know who flies $$ 2 UAE. WILL NEUTRALS PROBE IT?</p>— SHAHEEN SEHBAI (@SSEHBAI1) <a href="https://twitter.com/SSEHBAI1/status/1552864793337421825?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 29, 2022</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 
When Kaptaan sahib left the fed rate was close to zero, now its 2.5%. While the political uncertainty has only hastened the inevitable, there is little IK could have done with the resources at hand to stop this eventually. IK and PTI should just sit back and enjoy the spectacle of the current govt. owning this mess.

Albeit when he does come into power he will be answerable for all the rhetoric incl. importing 'cheap' russian oil, standing up to the Americans (while pleading to the IMF) etc..etc.. In the meanwhile he can thank his lucky stars that hes not in power right now.

People should ignore stupid tweets like the one below! '245 suitcases full of $$', how gullible can people get?!

This isn't anyone random person that tweeted that, maybe you should look him up. And Ayaan Ali says hi
 
This isn't anyone random person that tweeted that, maybe you should look him up. And Ayaan Ali says hi

Whoever it is, it makes zero sense. Firstly 245 suitcases of $$ itself is stupid, this isn't the Pablo Escobar era, second he hasn't seen this himself, claims he's got sources! I understand if it was lots of rupees, locally sourced currency, even then 245 suitcases is absurd, provided the said source inspected each and every suitcase after counting 245 in all. The said author cant seem to fathom that if someone is smart enough to make this sort of claimed wealth nowadays, then they sure do know how to move it without transporting physical money around.

Im not saying any of these guys are innocent, they're all corrupt in their own way. Nonetheless one can stick to believing what they wants to, its a free world.
 
Finance minister Miftah Ismail on Sunday said that the value of the Pakistani rupee is "far greater" than what it is right now, amid a continuous depreciation of the currency against the US dollar in the recent weeks.

Amid a dollar shortage and concerns over a delay in an International Monetary Fund (IMF) bailout programme, the Pakistani rupee witnessed its worst month in July since 1972.

"I really think — although I never like to speculate on the currency market — but I really think that the rupee's true value is far greater [than what it is right now]," the finance minister said during a press conference held to speak about Pakistan's economic path forward, in Islamabad.

After claiming that the pressure on rupee will vanish soon last week, Miftah once again predicted that the PKR should see some improvement "in the two weeks".

He explained that in the past two months, Pakistan had to part with "a billion and another billion", which put pressure on the local currency.

Ismail said that efforts will be geared towards more dollars coming in daily and fewer leaving the country next month. "With our efforts to reduce imports and InshaAllah, with the daily rise in incoming dollars versus a decline in outgoing units, there will be a surplus [of dollars]," he said.

"This will lead to a reduced pressure [on the rupee] and the dollar's value against the rupee should then see a slight drop," the minister added.

Ismail said that he has hope that the "next two weeks will InshaAllah be better".

He cautioned, though, that although this is his view since he believes "the fundamentals are in Pakistan's favour", but "speculation and sentiments also play a role in this".

In criticism of the past rulers, said that the PTI-led government increased the country's debt by Rs20,000 billion in the last three and a half years.

TheNews
 
Whoever it is, it makes zero sense. Firstly 245 suitcases of $$ itself is stupid, this isn't the Pablo Escobar era, second he hasn't seen this himself, claims he's got sources! I understand if it was lots of rupees, locally sourced currency, even then 245 suitcases is absurd, provided the said source inspected each and every suitcase after counting 245 in all. The said author cant seem to fathom that if someone is smart enough to make this sort of claimed wealth nowadays, then they sure do know how to move it without transporting physical money around.

Im not saying any of these guys are innocent, they're all corrupt in their own way. Nonetheless one can stick to believing what they wants to, its a free world.


As I said look him up. He isnt a random person and these guys don't conjure up things, they have sources.
It isn't absurd and more importantly, Ayaan Ali was doing something similar. And he has named names. And you really think these crooks wouldn't do this as soon as they came to power.
 
KARACHI:
The Pakistani rupee made its first major recovery of Rs7.40 (or 3.10%) to a one-week high of Rs230.98 against the US dollar in the inter-bank market on Wednesday.

The domestic currency had closed at Rs238.38 against the greenback on Tuesday.

Earlier, the rupee had hit an all-time low of Rs239.94 last Thursday (July 28), after depreciating by 13.75% (or Rs31.31) during the prior 10 working days.

The rupee recovered after Pakistan reported that its trade deficit had reduced by almost half to $2.64 billion in July compared to $4.96 billion in June.
 
SBP cracks down on exchange firms to stabilise rupee

KARACHI: The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on Wednesday said it has started a crackdown on exchange companies (ECs) in the light of findings from ongoing inspections and mystery shopping.

In a statement, the central bank stated that due to recent volatility in the exchange rate and the difference between the interbank rate and the rate offered by ECs and banks to their customers, it has increased its monitoring of ECs and banks’ foreign exchange operations.

In this respect, the SBP started inspections of a number of exchange companies and banks on Monday (Aug 1), it added.

There was clear evidence that banks were involved in minting money as they were charging much higher dollar rates than the rates shown by the State Bank. Moreover, some importers were getting dollars easily to open Letters of Credit, while many were facing difficulties arranging dollars even from outside the banking channels.

On Tuesday (August 2), the SBP suspended the operations of four branches of two ECs (Galaxy Exchange Co and Al-Hameed International Money Exchange Co) for violation of its regulations.

The SBP has also imposed monetary penalties on some ECs in the recent past. “Besides, due to violations of SBP instructions, arrangements of 13 franchises have been terminated by six different ECs in the recent past,” said the SBP.

The SBP has also started conducting mystery shopping exercises throughout Pakistan to investigate the apprehensions that some ECs are not selling foreign currency to their customers.

A meeting of the Exchange Companies Association of Pakistan has also been called for August 4.

“If needed, the SBP would augment its enforcement actions on the ECs and the banks in light of the findings of the on-going inspections and mystery shopping,” said the SBP.

DAWN
 
The rupee continued to recover in the interbank market on Thursday, extending its gains against the dollar for the fifth consecutive session.

By 10am, the local currency had gained Rs3.9 against the dollar to reach Rs224.9, according to the Forex Association of Pakistan (FAP).

A day earlier, the local currency jumped by Rs9.59 or 4.2 per cent in the interbank market — its largest single-day gain in years — to close at Rs228.80.

Fahad Rauf, head of research at Ismail Iqbal Securities, told Reuters that it was the highest rupee rally in both absolute and percentage terms since 1999, according to central bank data.
 
The Pakistani rupee continued its upward trajectory on Thursday and was being traded at Rs226.19 against the US dollar in the interbank market.

The rupee on Wednesday made an all-time high recovery of Rs9.98 in a single day and closed at a three-week high of Rs228.80 against the US dollar.

Experts said the rupee saw its first major recovery after a gap of over three months after the government had reported a massive drop in import payments. In addition, they added, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) had also acknowledged Pakistan meeting all the prerequisite conditions for its multibillion-dollar programme.

Finance Minister Miftah Ismail had stated that the IMF Executive Board was scheduled to meet on August 24, and it would consider giving final approval for the resumption of the programme.

The approval would be followed by the receipt of the next loan tranche of $1.2 billion.

Today, the local currency gained Rs2.61 against the greenback.

An increased supply of the USD in the local market has also helped the rupee to appreciate against the greenback.

With positive news from the IMF, experts are of the opinion that only a $4 billion shortfall remains for this year, and once that is arranged with the assistance of friendly countries, the local currency would be in a better position.
 
Finance Minister Miftah Ismail clarified on Saturday that neither the State Bank of Pakistan nor he had “directly intervened” to bring the dollar’s value down, stating that it was influenced by market factors.

Addressing the Karachi Chamber of Commerce and Industry, he said he disagreed with a KCCI member’s stance that he had something to do with the dollar’s declining value. “Neither the State Bank nor I have directly intervened (to bring the dollar down). It falls on supply-demand,” he stated.

The rupee has been on an upward trend against the dollar in the interbank market, gaining Rs16.26 since July 29.

During his address, Ismail also doubled down on the government’s decision to curtail imports for the next three months, stating that it was a necessity.

“We have imposed a ban on CPU cars, mobile phones and home appliances which we will not remove till September. The restrictions on [import of items with H S Codes starting with] 84 and 85 are with reason,” he said. However, the minister said authorities were working on identifying items used by exporters for manufacturing products and their import would not be stopped.

He assured that the government had not stopped payments on any letters of credit that had been opened in the past and would not do so in the future as well.

The minister noted that the country’s imports last year stood at $80 billion while its exports were a mere $31bn. The country’s current account deficit was $17.5bn while the trade deficit, after subtracting the remittances, stood at $18bn, he said.

“If you create such a wide deficit, there will be pressure on your rupee. Today, Bangladesh has increased the price of petrol to 308 (per litre). They are also under pressure. There is a very challenging environment globally.”

Ismail said Pakistanis should live within their means and in a dignified manner instead of asking for loans. “If we have exports of just $30bn, then we should not import as much. If we do not have products to sell to the world, we should not buy things from it either.”

He said he felt ashamed when he had to meet the ministers of other countries and ask them for loans. “We were giving subsidies worth $500bn on petrol and [had imports worth] $7.5bn and were not exporting at all. We have to go to Saudi Arabia and UAE and ask them to deal with the IMF (International Monetary Fund).

“We were selling petrol cheaper than the UAE. We were selling it cheaper than the country from which we buy refined oil,” he added.

He acknowledged that mistakes would be made and exporters might face problems in importing the material they needed to manufacture products.

Ismail said when he had been advised to remove the fixed tax on traders using less than 300 units of electricity, he had responded, “What can I do then but close the ministry? It amounts to removing tax on 96pc of shopkeepers. Why bother the other 4pc? We should just go home.”

This is not a government versus business thing, the minister said, adding that curtailing imports was a necessity.

“Give me three months. We are all in this together. Let me save this country from problems. Pakistanis will start importing again.”

DAWN
 
PKR gains Rs2.54 against dollar in interbank

The rupee jumped by another Rs2.54 against the dollar in the interbank market on Wednesday — an uptrend that has continued for nearly two weeks.

According to the Forex Association of Pakistan (FAP), the local currency was being traded at Rs221.50 by 10:32am, up 1.13 per cent from the previous close.

General Secretary of Exchange Companies Association of Pakistan (Ecap), Zafar Paracha, said sentiments had changed in the interbank market because of which the rupee was gaining.

“There are many sellers and few buyers. In the interbank market, supply exists but demand does not,” he said.

Paracha elaborated that exporters, who had previously stopped depositing their payments, had started selling dollars while importers were waiting for the exchange rate to stabilise before buying the greenback.

“Even though we have not yet received money from the IMF (International Monetary Fund), we have fulfilled its conditions. The IMF has said it will give us the money by the end of the month. Friendly countries have also said they will give money, whether as a loan or an investment.”

He also referred to the United Arab Emirates’ plans to invest $1 billion in various Pakistani companies, stating that all these factors were playing a positive role.

In addition, the market expected the political situation to improve, the currency dealer said. That, combined with the government’s statement that it had the money to make all the payments this year coupled with a drop in imports, showed that the pressure on the rupee would ease and it may even appreciate to Rs200 against the dollar, Paracha added.

Mettis Global Director Saad bin Naseer said import compression and expected bilateral and multilateral inflows had strengthened the rupee’s value against the dollar in the last few sessions.

“The efforts undertaken by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) and the Ministry of Finance to curb the freefall have begun to bear results,” he said. However, Naseer said the central bank should take measures to contain the rupee’s value in the open market where exporters continued to sell the greenback at higher rates.

“The SBP should take measures to ensure that exchange companies do not fleece buyers to make hefty profits,” he added.

Head of Research at Tresmark Komal Mansoor said, “Sentiments have taken a U-turn on positive news flow. The fair value [of the rupee] on the REER index is 205 but given the vulnerabilities on the external front and inflation trajectory, we expect the market to gravitate towards 222-225 levels.”

After two weeks of battering against the dollar, the rupee fell to its lowest level against the greenback on July 28, closing at Rs239.94. However, this trend has reversed since then, with the local currency rising by Rs15.09, or 6.62pc, till Aug 5.

The biggest hike was seen on Aug 3, when the rupee appreciated by a record Rs9.59.

DAWN
 
The rupee, which has been consistently recovering after falling to a record low last month, continued its upward momentum on Thursday.

By 9:52am, the local currency had gained Rs2.71 or 1.22 per cent to reach Rs219.2 against the dollar in the interbank market, data shared by the Forex Association of Pakistan (FAP) showed.

FAP Chairperson Malik Bostan attributed the rupee’s continued recovery to several factors, including the expected release of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) tranche by August 19 to 24 which he said had created confidence among investors and ended the crisis the market was facing.
 
PKR jumps by over Rs4 in early interbank trade

The rupee continued to gain for the ninth consecutive session on Friday, jumping by Rs4.38 in the interbank market during early trade.

According to the Forex Association of Pakistan (FAP), the PKR was being traded at Rs214.5 by 10:13am, having appreciated two per cent from yesterday’s close.

Mettis Global Director Saad bin Naseer said he believed the rupee’s rise was because exporters, who were earlier holding their dollar earnings abroad, have now started to bring their proceeds into the country amid the local currency’s appreciation.

On the other hand, demand for the dollar has been subdued due to the government’s intervention to keep imports in check, he said.

However, Naseer cautioned that any negative news on the political front could lead to the rupee’s fall again. “Political stability is a must for the positive trend to continue, otherwise the rupee will erase all its gains.”

General Secretary of Exchange Companies Association of Pakistan (Ecap), Zafar Paracha, shared a similar view. He said the exporters had previously stopped bringing their proceeds into Pakistan but were offloading their dollars now while the importers who were earlier worried and buying the greenback for future forwards had stopped doing so.

Consequently, there were sellers in the market but no buyers, he said.

He also credited the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) for the rupee’s appreciation, saying that it had controlled to a large extent the speculation being done by banks and the large gaps they were maintaining between the dollar’s buying and selling rates.

In addition, the country’s import bill had dipped in July and would be further reduced in August as the country would not import oil, he said. The Ecap secretary general noted that the prices of oil, coal, wheat and pulses had reduced internationally which would also lead to a lower import bill.

“Overall, things are moving positively and it appears the pressure on the rupee will ease.”

Zafar said it was “still not a satisfactory level” and the rupee needed to be traded at Rs160 against the dollar in the long term. For this, he suggested, the government needed to link imports to exports, expenditures to income and offer rebates to overseas Pakistanis and exchange companies to discourage the hundi/hawala system.

The value of the national currency increased 9.3pc in the last eight sessions, according to Arif Habib Ltd.

Despite the recent trend, the rupee has lost as much as 19.36pc against the US currency since the start of 2022. Since July 1, which is the first day of the current fiscal year, the rupee has shed 6.41pc against its American counterpart.

DAWN
 
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