Pakistan, Saudi Arabia do not find mention in America’s latest national security strategy

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Pakistan and Saudi Arabia, once considered key US allies, are not even mentioned in the US National Security Strategy 2022, which identifies China as “America’s most consequential geopolitical challenge”.

The 48-page document, released on Wednesday evening, does mention terrorism and other geo-strategic threats in the South and Central Asian region, but unlike the recent past, it does not name Pakistan as an ally needed to tackle those threats. Pakistan was also absent from the 2021 strategy paper.

In Washington, the omission is seen as reflecting a mutual desire to build a separate US relationship with Pakistan. Islamabad has long complained that the United States views Pakistan only as a tool to counter threats from Afghanistan and other nations.

In recent statements, both the US and Pakistani officials emphasised the need to de-link Pakistan from both Afghanistan and India and give it the separate identity it deserves as a nuclear state of more than 220 million people.

Pakistan, Saudi Arabia do not find mention in Washington’s latest national security strategy

The US officials have also acknowledged Pakistan’s desire to maintain its close ties with China and that’s why it’s not seen as an ally in the US strategy to counter China’s influence in the region.

Russia is mentioned as the second major threat to US global interests after China and is condemned for unleashing a “brutal and unprovoked war” on its neighbour Ukraine.

Russia and China are the only two nations that have their own chapters in the document.

The twofold strategy underlines pandemics, climate change, inflation, and economic insecurity as, as big a threat to US interests as growing competition with major powers like China and Russia.

“If we lose the time this decade, we will not be able to keep pace with most notably the climate crisis,” the document warns.

The strategy also identifies Iran as a small, autocratic power acting in an aggressive and destabilising way.

India is identified as the world’s largest democracy and a ‘major defence partner’, in realising Washington’s vision of a “free and open” Indo-Pacific.

Saudi Arabia’s absence from the document followed the Saudi-led oil cartel’s decision to slash production by two million barrels a day, causing an increase in al**r*eady-high gas prices in the United States.

“We are reevaluating the relationship with Saudi Arabia, and this is a relationship that has existed over decades,” US National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan told reporters in Washington when asked to explain the absence.

US President Joe Biden was “doing so with the purpose of looking out for US interests and values as we think about the future of the US-Saudi relationship”, Mr Sullivan added.

The document notes that the Biden administration “ended America’s longest war in Afghanistan, and with it an era of major military operations to remake other societies”.

But the document clarifies that the ad**ministration would continue to maintain “the capacity to address terrorist threats to the American people as they emerge”.

The strategy pledges to “ensure (that) Afghanistan never again serves as a safe haven for terrorist attacks on the United States or our allies” and warns Afghan*istan’s de facto rulers that Washington will “hold the Taliban accountable for its public commitments on counterterrorism”.

The document also notes that terrorist groups like “Al Qaeda, ISIS, and associated forces have expanded from Afghanistan and the Middle East into Africa and Southeast Asia”.

Praising India as “the world’s largest democracy”, the document add that “the United States and India will work together, bilaterally and multilaterally, to support our shared vision of a free and open Indo-Pacific”.

China is marked out as a country that “harbours the intention and, increasingly, the capacity to reshape the international order in favor of one that tilts the global playing field to its benefit”.

Published in Dawn, October 14th, 2022
 
Pakistan and Saudi Arabia also should move away from US.

US have demonstrated many times why they can't be trusted.
 
Pakistan sides with Saudi Arabia over its tension with US
Riyadh has locked horns with Washington over cut in oil supply in international market

ISLAMABAD:
In a significant move, Pakistan on Tuesday put its weight behind Saudi Arabia, which has locked horns with the United States over the cut in oil supply in international market.

Saudi Arabia and Russia, which lead the OPEC + cartel, recently decided to cut crude oil supply by 2 million barrels a day in order to avoid a plunge in the oil prices in the international markets because of fear of global economic recession.

The United States, however, strongly reacted to the OPEC + decision with President Joe Biden announcing a review of bilateral ties with Saudi Arabia. Biden visited Saudi Arabia in July to meet leaders of oil rich Gulf countries including Saudi de facto ruler Muhammad bin Salman as part of his efforts to push for increase in oil supplies. He met MBS despite promising in the election campaign to make him a pariah because of his alleged role in the murder of a Saudi American journalist.

The Ukraine conflict has disrupted the supply chain and led to the increase in crude oil prices, something that also affected the Americans with a hike in petrol prices.

Biden wanted Saudi Arabia to increase the oil supply in order to lower the prices at home ahead of the crucial midterm elections. The Saudi crown prince instead backed a move to cut oil supplies.

Western commentators believe that Saudi Arabia clearly sided with Russia as increase in oil prices would only benefit Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Interestingly, Pakistan was too hoping for decrease in the international crude oil prices because that would have given the beleaguered government some cushion to provide relief to the inflation-hit people.

But despite the OPEC + decision that would create more problems for the struggling Pakistan economy, Islamabad decided to back Riyadh.

“In the wake of statements made against the Kingdom in the context of the OPEC + decision, Pakistan expresses solidarity with the leadership of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia,” a statement issued here by the foreign office read.

“We appreciate the concerns of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia for avoiding market volatility and ensuring global economic stability,” it added.

“Pakistan encourages a constructive approach on such issues based on engagement and mutual respect. We reaffirm our long-standing, abiding and fraternal ties with the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia,” the foreign office further said.

Pakistan’s move to side with Saudi Arabia comes at a time when President Biden’s statement questioning the security of the country’s nuclear program triggered a diplomatic row.

Islamabad rejected Biden’s concerns and even summoned the US Ambassador to record a formal protest. After Pakistan’s strong reaction, the Biden Administration has tried to control damage as the State Department spokesperson said the US was confident of Pakistan’s ability to secure its nuclear programme.

The statement was seen as somewhat diplomatic success for the government, which came under severe criticism from former prime minister Imran Khan. The PTI chairman said Biden’s statement only exposed claims of the PDM government of resetting troubled ties with the US.

There has been a flurry of engagements between Pakistan and the US following the change of government in April. Foreign Minister Bilawal Bhutto Zardari, Army Chief General Qamar Javed Bajwa and Finance Minister Ishaq Dar visited Washington.

While the aim of those visits was to reset ties with the US, Pakistan is not willing to compromise on its core interests. This was reflected in the UN General Assembly session where Pakistan maintained its neutral stance on the Russia-Ukraine conflict despite pressure by the west to vote against Moscow.

The latest move to support Saudi Arabia in the face of its tense ties with the US is another example of Pakistan’s push for not toeing Washington's line.

Express Tribune
 
Pakistanis should heave a sigh of relief at this.

With friends like the US, you don't need enemies.
 
The USA is no one's friend. I would be more concerned if Pak was on their national security strategy. Our so called leaders have done a much better job in getting the country in massive debt then the Americans could have done.
 
Saudi forum set to draw US business leaders despite tensions

DUBAI: A public spat between the United States and Saudi Arabia will not deter top Wall Street executives and US business leaders from a flagship investment event starting on Tuesday where the kingdom will seek deals to reduce its economy’s reliance on oil.

President Joe Biden has vowed “consequences” for US-Saudi ties over an OPEC+ decision this month to cut oil output targets, which Riyadh defended as serving market stability, Geo News reported.

The dispute was the latest shadow to be cast over the annual Future Investment Initiative (FII) leaving it a far cry from the 2017 inaugural event that Riyadh billed as “Davos in the Desert”. More than 400 US delegates are expected to attend this week, Richard Attias, CEO of the FII Institute, told a British wire service, adding this was the largest representation of a foreign country.

This year’s edition, running October 25-27, includes JPMorgan boss Jamie Dimon, Pimco Vice Chairman John Studzinski and a BNY Mellon executive as speakers, and they still plan to go, spokespeople for the companies told the wire service.

Top executives from Goldman Sachs, Blackstone, Bridgewater Associates, Boeing and Franklin Templeton are on the agenda. Goldman Sachs declined comment, while the rest did not respond.

JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs made nearly $77 million and $42 million respectively in investment banking fees in Saudi Arabia last year, Refinitiv data showed. JPM remains at the top of the league table in 2022 with over $39 million so far.

“For the most part, I do not see US companies actively avoiding Saudi Arabia due to recent political tensions,” said Adel Hamaizia, managing director at Highbridge Advisory and a visiting fellow at Harvard University.

“US companies will be an important partner to Saudi’s investment and growth plans, in traditional sectors, but also in ‘newer’ fields including tourism, entertainment, EV production, technology and a nascent local defence industry,” Hamaizia said.

The FII is a showcase for Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s Vision 2030 development plan to wean the economy off oil by creating new industries that also generate jobs for millions of Saudis, and to lure foreign capital and talent.

Foreign direct investment still lags behind targets, though there has been movement in new sectors as the kingdom opens up. As Boeing netted an $80 million defence contract last year, FedEx announced a $400 million 10-year investment plan in the country, the Arab world’s biggest economy.

At 15.3 billion riyals ($4.07 billion), inward FDI for the first half of the year was about a fifth of the $19.3 billion secured in 2021, which had included a $12.4 billion investment for Aramco’s oil pipeline infrastructure.

It is well below the 2030 target of $100 billion a year under a national strategy aiming for foreign direct investment equalling almost 6% of GDP by 2030.

Uncertainty lingers around the regulatory and tax environment as well as high operational costs and lack of a skilled local workforce, even after Riyadh handed companies an ultimatum to locate regional headquarters in the kingdom by 2024 or lose out on lucrative government contracts.

“FDI flows have remained stubbornly flat and low, under 1% of GDP, and some of the notable names that have invested have had only modest success, even with government backing,” said Justin Alexander, director of Khalij Economics and Gulf analyst at GlobalSource Partners.

This has left the Saudi government and the Public Investment Fund to try to deliver on the crown prince’s diversification promises, aided by a petrodollar windfall. A worsening global economic outlook and oil market volatility has raised the stakes for the government in pursuing Vision 2030, which includes a $500 billion project to build a huge, high-tech economic zone on the Red Sea called NEOM eventually meant to house nine million people.

The News PK
 
Riyadh blasts release of oil reserves ‘to manipulate markets’
Prince Abdulaziz did not single out the United States in his comments about emergency stocks

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s energy minister on Tuesday blasted the release of emergency oil stocks as an attempt to manipulate markets, the latest apparent salvo in a spat with Washington over oil production.

“People are depleting their emergency stocks, had depleted it, used it as a mechanism to manipulate markets while its profound purpose was to mitigate shortage of supply,” Prince Abdul aziz bin Salman told an investor conference. “However, it is my profound duty to make it clear to the world that losing emergency stock may become painful in the months to come.”

Prince Abdulaziz did not single out the United States in his comments about emergency stocks, but last week US President Joe Biden announced he was putting the final 15 million barrels on the market from a record release of US strategic reserves. That tranche was to complete a 180-million-barrel release authorised in the spring, in response to price hikes linked to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

It also came on the heels of a decision by the OPEC+, which Riyadh co-leads with Moscow, to cut oil production by two million barrels a day from November. The decision has drawn intense criticism from the White House, which has said it amounted to aligning with Russia in the Ukraine war.

Prince Abdulaziz pushed back against that assessment on Tuesday.“I keep listening, are you with us or against us? Is there any room for, ‘We are for Saudi Arabia and for the people of Saudi Arabia’?” he said.

Asked about getting the decades-old partnership between Riyadh and Washington back on track, he said: “I think we as Saudi Arabia decided to be the maturer guys and let the dice fall.”

Speaking on an earlier panel, Saudi investment minister Khalid al-Falih described the dust-up as “unwarranted” and temporary. “If you look at the relationship with the people side, the corporate side, the education system, you look at our institutions working together, we are very close, and we will get over this recent spat that I think was unwarranted,” he said.

JPMorgan Chief Executive Jamie Dimon said he was optimistic that bilateral ties would eventually improve. “Saudi Arabia and the US have been allies for the last 75 years... They’ll work it through,” he said. “These countries will remain allies going forward.”

Hundreds of CEOs and finance moguls are in Riyadh for the three-day Future Investment Initiative (FII), a Davos-style investment conference that analysts say will highlight Saudi Arabia’s geopolitical muscle despite strained ties with Washington.

The FII, often referred to as “Davos in the Desert”, was launched in 2017 as an economic coming-out party for the world’s largest crude exporter, which is trying to diversify away from oil under Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. Up to 400 American CEOs are expected to participate in the conference, though unlike in previous years there is no representation from the US government.

The News PK
 
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