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Strait of Hormuz 'closed' again, Iranian state media says [Update@ Post 9075]

How will Iran react to the attack from Israel?

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sithb said:
They really haven't. It's still being strategically neutral. They got the ge f414 deals done with US while still being able to get s400s and others from Russia
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Pakistan recently secured an F-16 maintenance deal while also purchasing Chinese made Jets and equipment.

Not a big deal.
 
HalBass9 said:
India has no role to play in this matter other than mediating, which Pakistan is currently doing and has been accepted by the relevant parties. So, no, there is no point in India extending an invitation, nor has Iran asked India to intervene.
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India doesn't even want to intervene.
 
sithb said:
I'm just looking at the reality when these talks fail. I do think they fail even if Pakistan go in with this with the best of intents. Fwiw, it looks like they are failing.

I'm never the guy who does the klopp emote. And I'll never be the guy who rubs this on in the geopolitical sense.
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Do you genuinely want peace? If so, why focus on minor issues instead of the bigger picture? I see you as a thoughtful voice here, not in the same category as @Devadwal and @globetrotter. :inti
 
Iranians came to Pakistan to show respect to us because there is a lot of pressure on them from world community to show respect to us for everything we have done for world peace.

Having said that, they need to be more flexible. We have spent a lot of money and efforts on this and we have put a lot at stake. Ideally we must get a few years of heavily discounted oil and gas for this gesture.
 
Bhaijaan said:
Iranians came to Pakistan to show respect to us because there is a lot of pressure on them from world community to show respect to us for everything we have done for world peace.

Having said that, they need to be more flexible. We have spent a lot of money and efforts on this and we have put a lot at stake. Ideally we must get a few years of heavily discounted oil and gas for this gesture.
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Via Balouchistan
 
Rajdeep said:
Its over folks....OVER.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2048077857205649716


:sree :kp
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It’s not our fault that American leadership has zero credibility.

Iranians came to Pakistan in honour of Islamabad not for Trump. They came here to pay homage to Pakistani people and show respect to our country for everything we have done for Iran. For this we Iranians will always be grateful to Pakistan my homeland.
 
Why would Iran believe the US would adhere to any deal when Trump not only blew up the JCPOA in 2018, but twice in the last twelve months upended talks to make war ?

Iran surely would want upfront guarantees that the US and Israel will not attack again.

No negotiation can succeed if one side demands the other party make all the concessions for nothing in return in a temporary arrangement that's likely to collapse.

The Mango Mussolini should park his ego for once and just restore the JCPOA.
 
HalBass9 said:
India would have had India could.
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Why would we ? What is there for us to gain. We don't need to extricate our name as imf or terrorist state . Countries line up for our market and size. We have our allies and we trade with Iran. Non alignment and balancing both sides are in our interest and we definitely don't want to intervene against Israel.
 
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straighttalk said:
Why would we ? What is there for us to gain. We don't need to extricate our name as imf or terrorist state . Countries line up for our market and size. We have our allies and we trade with Iran. Non alignment and balancing both sides are in our interest and we definitely don't want to intervene against Israel.
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How could India realistically intervene against Israel to bring about peace?

Why would trading stop for India if India were to mediate?

Bless us with your geniuses. Thank you!
 
CricVet said:
Per Grok:
Bottom line: This appears to be misleading content using an AI-generated (or repurposed/manipulated) video to push a narrative. It's not authentic footage of the described situation in Islamabad.

Try again!
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The desperation by the same mentally disturbed Indians is always hilarious.

Thankfully I would imagine quite a few Indians don’t care if it’s Pakistan or Switzerland conducting the ceasefire as well as the deal sticks. Definitely not all, but enough of them that are not as brainwashed as the ghise pitte anari we see here doing maatam whenever Pak is involved.
 
HalBass9 said:
How could India realistically intervene against Israel to bring about peace?

Why would trading stop for India if India were to mediate?

Bless us with your geniuses. Thank you!
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Why would we intervene .. thats the question... Not how? That's secondary...
Our only stake in this war is ensuring oil flows...which we can by dint of good relation with iran. Baki we have no stake in this hellish fight. You are right if we could we would but we don't have that level of relationship with Iran. As say turkey or China or Russia or moscow has.
 
Rajdeep said:
We all want peace but not Pakistan mediating it. They are only doing it so that they can use it as leverage next time when they do terrorism in India and expect daddy Amreeka to save them. Basically using these peace talks as protective shield against future Op Sindoors. You think we are blind to not see it? Any patriotic and sane thinking Indians will not support it. Cylinder, LPG etc are all excuses which obviously cant fool people like me.

Move the peace talk to Europe immidiately will be my suggestion. All Bharatis will stand strong behind then.
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Rajdeep you have insights of 10 year old emotional Boy

You dnt want Pak to succeed because it does nt sit well with BJP narrative of isolating Pakistan. This was lollipop given to Andbakhts

Ops Sindoor or terrorism has nothing to do with this because you claimed India is strategically Autonomous. So If USA is able to influence your War Goals , what does it say about your so called SA?

Pak's peace efforts have already succeeded because CF is holding till now. Deal can happen later
 
Wasim Ghulam said:
Do not worry RajDeep

Pak is nt exactly looking to form any relationships with India either.
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TBH Pakistan's official line has always been 'Lets Talk' and India's is 'Terror and Talks cant go together'

I agree with India's stance. You seem to disagree on Pakistan's but that is not my headache. Take it up with your govt.

:kp
 
Rajdeep said:
Shashi Tharoor ji is spitting facts

https://twitter.com/x/status/2048249924366856297

:kp
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Here's the thing. Pakistan knew where he was, America knew where he was, Mossad knew where he was, MI6 knew where he was. Russia and China knew as well. Pretty much all the key players knew - but they deliberately held out on the raid to kill him until they needed the boost before an election cycle in the US.
 
Rajdeep said:
We all want peace but not Pakistan mediating it.
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Many independent analysts have stated that it was the Americans who picked Pakistan for this role and not Pakistan who volunteered.

Who is the "we" by the way, do you think the average British, French, Chinese, Brazilian etc gives a flying quack how peace is achieved?

The only ones who have a problem with Pakistan mediating peace India - we all know why and it's not for the horse crap reasons you think.
 
Would like to thank Pakistan again for trying their best to bring peace to this world. Let's ignore those who oppose peace and focus on supporting dialogue, because through these talks, at least innocent lives are being spared. :inti
 
bones said:
Many independent analysts have stated that it was the Americans who picked Pakistan for this role and not Pakistan who volunteered.

Who is the "we" by the way, do you think the average British, French, Chinese, Brazilian etc gives a flying quack how peace is achieved?

The only ones who have a problem with Pakistan mediating peace India - we all know why and it's not for the horse crap reasons you think.
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We mean...we patriotic Bharatiyas. We dont want Pakistan brokering peace as we know their reality. Pakistanis would have objected same way if India was brokering these peace talks as well.
 
Rajdeep said:
TBH Pakistan's official line has always been 'Lets Talk' and India's is 'Terror and Talks cant go together'

I agree with India's stance. You seem to disagree on Pakistan's but that is not my headache. Take it up with your govt.

:kp
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but you like to come on terrorist forum to talk.
 
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Bhaag Viru Bhaag said:
Would like to thank Pakistan again for trying their best to bring peace to this world. Let's ignore those who oppose peace and focus on supporting dialogue, because through these talks, at least innocent lives are being spared. :inti
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but @Rajdeep is a idiot who takes pleasure out of Iranian school children getting bombed he doesn't want to a see ceasefire between USA and IRAN.
 
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emranabbas said:
but @Rajdeep is a sadistic idiot who takes pleasure out of Iranian school children getting bombed he doesn't want to a see ceasefire between USA and IRAN.

I wouldn't be surprised if rajdeep has also visited the Epstein island that's how sick of an invidual he is.
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Raju wasn't always like this, he used to be a calm, sensible guy. But after falling into the wrong company, especially that "Jaipuri dehaati", his thinking seems to have gone downhill. He is becoming less humane in his approach, though there is still hope. Maybe one day he will realise the path he is on and choose differently. Until then, all we can say is, "Aa ab laut chalein", to @Rajdeep. :rabada2 :inti
 
When the war between US-Israel vs Iran broke.... many pak posters said it would be disastrous for India..... but nothing like that happened India. Its burnol moment for many.

On the contrary it will impacted on Pakistan if they not done ceasefire between parties
 
emranabbas said:
but @Rajdeep is a sadistic idiot who takes pleasure out of Iranian school children getting bombed he doesn't want to a see ceasefire between USA and IRAN.

I wouldn't be surprised if rajdeep has also visited the Epstein island that's how sick of an invidual he is.
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Says a guy who was rejoicing when Afghan hospital was bombed.:dw

These melodramas will not work with me. I am in total favour of peace and no innocent lives should be lost. However, I reject Pakistan brokering that peace. As I said, Pakistanis would have said view if India was hosting these peace talks. They secretly wished for its failure too. Its just that I say what is in my heart and dont pretend.

They should move peace talks to some other European countries and we all will unanimously support it.
 
Rajdeep said:
Says a guy who was rejoicing when Afghan hospital was bombed.:dw

These melodramas will not work with me. I am in total favour of peace and no innocent lives should be lost. However, I reject Pakistan brokering that peace. As I said, Pakistanis would have said view if India was hosting these peace talks. They secretly wished for its failure too. Its just that I say what is in my heart and dont pretend.

They should move peace talks to some other European countries and we all will unanimously support it.
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you still have to prove if it was a hospital or a terrorist camp where are the 400 bodies 🤣 🤣

stop lying you have been celebrating Iranian death and giving full support to your pitta shri Israel stop pretending to be a saint when your called out its all documented.

tu abhi tak ro raha hai teri bohat zayada jali that Pakistan are doing the peace talks and we are loving you meltdowns :cool:


European countries andthe rest ofthe world are happy for the peace talks to happen in islamabad its on the do kori ka india having a meltdown :afridi
 
Rajdeep said:
Says a guy who was rejoicing when Afghan hospital was bombed.:dw

These melodramas will not work with me. I am in total favour of peace and no innocent lives should be lost. However, I reject Pakistan brokering that peace. As I said, Pakistanis would have said view if India was hosting these peace talks. They secretly wished for its failure too. Its just that I say what is in my heart and dont pretend.

They should move peace talks to some other European countries and we all will unanimously support it.
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Why would Iranians trust European countries who have been at the forefront of sanctions to try to cripple the Iranian economy?

Iranians are proud people, they don't salute the former colonialists like the Indians do.
 
Very easy for internet trolls sitting in comfort in the West to wish these talks into failure for sake of cheap point scoring.

However if you're a farmer in Vietnam who needs fertiliser imported through the Strait of Hormuz to grow his crops, or a nurse in India who cannot afford the skyrocketing costs of fuel to drive to work, I suspect a positive outcome from the negotiations is pretty damn important regardless of who mediates it.
 
Markhor said:
Very easy for internet trolls sitting in comfort in the West to wish these talks into failure for sake of cheap point scoring.

However if you're a farmer in Vietnam who needs fertiliser imported through the Strait of Hormuz to grow his crops, or a nurse in India who cannot afford the skyrocketing costs of fuel to drive to work, I suspect a positive outcome from the negotiations is pretty damn important regardless of who mediates it.
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No if the mediator turns around and kills civilians becos they lost all reall wars of aggression in the past 70 years
 
Rajdeep said:
Shashi Tharoor ji is spitting facts

https://twitter.com/x/status/2048249924366856297

:kp
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West will never learn. They indeed have forgotten where Bin Laden was chilling in Pakistan in a mansion. They also forgot how Pak double crossed US and NATO in Afghanistan. It’s funny to see Trump cozy up with Pakistan just because Modi was buying cheap gas from Russia. He is also taking potshots at India just because India denied US role in the stopping of Operation Sindoor.

Clowns be clowning. 🤡
 
Champ_Pal said:
West will never learn. They indeed have forgotten where Bin Laden was chilling in Pakistan in a mansion. They also forgot how Pak double crossed US and NATO in Afghanistan. It’s funny to see Trump cozy up with Pakistan just because Modi was buying cheap gas from Russia. He is also taking potshots at India just because India denied US role in the stopping of Operation Sindoor.

Clowns be clowning. 🤡
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india is the clown here.. 🤡

India has been begging rest of the world to isolate Pakistan but know one wants to listen to india.

The onus is on India. If they’re serious, they should begin by boycotting Pakistani forums, then take it further by refusing to play cricket with Pakistan even in global tournaments. National pride shouldn’t be compromised for the sake of ICC events. And beyond that, they should also stop using Pakistan as a recurring theme in Bollywood just to generate money.

80% of your Indian population is obsessed with Pakistan that will take the figure down to around 30%

its the Indians who have hyped Pakistan and gave it recognition on the world stage.
 
Champ_Pal said:
West will never learn. They indeed have forgotten where Bin Laden was chilling in Pakistan in a mansion. They also forgot how Pak double crossed US and NATO in Afghanistan. It’s funny to see Trump cozy up with Pakistan just because Modi was buying cheap gas from Russia. He is also taking potshots at India just because India denied US role in the stopping of Operation Sindoor.

Clowns be clowning. 🤡
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Nah, the real clowns are the Hindutva crowd, pretending to be atheists while also acting like they have the memory of a Finding Nemo character.

The same West that once supported OBL and Al Qaeda, and then ISIS in Syria but not in Iraq, you can plug in almost any group, and at some point, the West has backed them or still does.

Double crossed? No, that’s just countries looking out for their own interests, something Hindutva folks love lecturing everyone about on a daily basis.

That’s geopolitics. But a Hindutva led government can’t, and likely won’t, understand that, because they’ve gotten high on their own narrative and started confusing it with actual foreign policy. Meanwhile, the world has moved on, and Pakistan’s geolocation is once again central to it.

You did get one thing right, though, the clowns are definitely clowning, and Hindutva seems to have mastered that art.
 
emranabbas said:
india is the clown here.. 🤡

India has been begging rest of the world to isolate Pakistan but know one wants to listen to india.

The onus is on India. If they’re serious, they should begin by boycotting Pakistani forums, then take it further by refusing to play cricket with Pakistan even in global tournaments. National pride shouldn’t be compromised for the sake of ICC events. And beyond that, they should also stop using Pakistan as a recurring theme in Bollywood just to generate money.

80% of your Indian population is obsessed with Pakistan that will take the figure down to around 30%

its the Indians who have hyped Pakistan and gave it recognition on the world stage.
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These clowns have convinced themselves that foreign policy and geopolitics are a zero sum game.

Just listen to their talking points, full of desperation, sounding bewildered as to why no one is buying their narrative, despite constantly reminding everyone that they’re the 6th largest economy.
 
Iran war will end 'very soon', If they want to talk, they can call us: Donald Trump

US President Donald Trump on Sunday said the Iran conflict could end “very soon,” expressing confidence that the United States would emerge victorious while signalling openness to talks.

Speaking to Fox News, Donald Trump said, “Think Iran war will come to end very soon and we will be victorious,” adding that negotiations could be conducted over the phone. “If Iran wants to talk, they can call us,” he said, while also noting, “We’re going to do it by phone.”

Trump described the engagement with Iran as uneven, saying, “Some of the people we are dealing with now on Iran are very reasonable, others are not,” and added, “Hope Iran will be smart.” He also indicated that nuclear issu...

Read More:
 
Pakistan is our good friend and neighbor, but it is not a suitable mediator for negotiations and lacks the necessary credibility for mediation. They always consider Trump's interests and never say anything against the Americans' wishes: Iran MP Rezaei

Epic Humiliation for pakis... Ye to dhoti ki khol raha hai munira or Shahbaz ki. .🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

everyone's know Munira and Shahbaz are puppet of USA.

:klopp :kp

https://twitter.com/x/status/2048390709862871243
 
rpant_gabba said:
No if the mediator turns around and kills civilians becos they lost all reall wars of aggression in the past 70 years
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So who else would be a viable mediator at present ?

The traditional meditators in Middle East conflicts are Qatar and Oman but they're a party to the conflict.

Europe are tied too closely to the US. Pakistan has sufficiently warm ties to both Tehran and Washington, is a nuclear power itself, and borders Iran making it an ideal candidate whatever we think of the leadership and past foreign policies.
 
emranabbas said:
india is the clown here.. 🤡

India has been begging rest of the world to isolate Pakistan but know one wants to listen to india.

The onus is on India. If they’re serious, they should begin by boycotting Pakistani forums, then take it further by refusing to play cricket with Pakistan even in global tournaments. National pride shouldn’t be compromised for the sake of ICC events. And beyond that, they should also stop using Pakistan as a recurring theme in Bollywood just to generate money.

80% of your Indian population is obsessed with Pakistan that will take the figure down to around 30%

its the Indians who have hyped Pakistan and gave it recognition on the world stage.
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Nah. India was doing what benefits it without cheating any country. It was buying cheap gas from Russia. US crying over Indian money being used to fund Ukraine war is a joke. This is like India complaining about world bank and imf money being used by Pakistan in pushing terrorists across the border. What Russia does with Indian money is not up to India to decide.

Western governments are a joke now and have completely forgotten what Pak did to them in the last 2 decades. As I said clowns be clowning.
🤡
 
Champ_Pal said:
Nah. India was doing what benefits it without cheating any country. It was buying cheap gas from Russia. US crying over Indian money being used to fund Ukraine war is a joke. This is like India complaining about world bank and imf money being used by Pakistan in pushing terrorists across the border. What Russia does with Indian money is not up to India to decide.

Western governments are a joke now and have completely forgotten what Pak did to them in the last 2 decades. As I said clowns be clowning.
🤡
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They have zero idea what khudgarzi is and how self respecting countries operate. The fact that taking dictation from white house and copy pasting draft tweets from their masters is something not acceptable to every nation is a concept alien to them.
 
Champ_Pal said:
Nah. India was doing what benefits it without cheating any country. It was buying cheap gas from Russia. US crying over Indian money being used to fund Ukraine war is a joke. This is like India complaining about world bank and imf money being used by Pakistan in pushing terrorists across the border. What Russia does with Indian money is not up to India to decide.

Western governments are a joke now and have completely forgotten what Pak did to them in the last 2 decades. As I said clowns be clowning.
🤡
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India have actually been crying about Pakistan and IMF money 🤣:haha

that's between western governments and Pakistan it has nothing to do with India, India saying that just makes India look jealous insecure obsessed and desperate this is why India is the biggest clownage in the world :afridi

peace talks in Islamabad have even irked India remember India is jealous insecure obsessed and desperate.

India actually reminds of the jealous ex GF who who can't just move on 🤣🤣🤣
 
Rajdeep said:
They have zero idea what khudgarzi is and how self respecting countries operate. The fact that taking dictation from white house and copy pasting draft tweets from their masters is something not acceptable to every nation is a concept alien to them.
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kuhdgharzi is calling Netanyahu the father of every Indian lol 🤣🤣🤣

also khudgharzi is trump saying india is sh!thole and indians and modi still sucking up to trump 🤣🤣🤣
 
The 6th largest economy now has to rely on Arabic, Persian, and Urdu terms to defend its narrative on a Pakistani forum. That’s the current state, no one’s buying the same recycled talking points from the 90s except fellow Hindutva supporters.

Sad.
 
Trump will not keep quite after yesterday's failed assassination attempt.....

38 ships turned back as US tightens Iran blockade;

The enforcement comes as the military closely monitors maritime traffic to ensure compliance with the ongoing restrictions.

The United States Central Command (CENTCOM) has announced that American forces are maintaining a strict maritime restrictive operation in the region, continuing to enforce a blockade against Iranian ports.

According to official statements, these forces are actively preventing ships from entering or exiting Iranian waters as part of a sustained effort to monitor and control movement into strategic coastal hubs.

The enforcement comes as the military closely monitors maritime traffic to ensure compliance with the ongoing restrictions.

Highlighting the scale of the operation, a post on X confirmed that "American forces have directed 38 ships to turn around or return to port

Against the backdrop of this intense maritime squeeze and a persistent deadlock in Tehran-Washington peace negotiations, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi arrived in Russia on Monday for a high-level meeting with President Vladimir Putin.

This visit to Moscow marks a significant intensification of Iran's diplomatic outreach, following Araghchi's recent high-stakes consultations in Islamabad and Muscat. The diplomatic push in the Russian capital is expected to deepen, as the Foreign Minister is also set to meet with his Russian counterpart, Sergey Lavrov.

Rediff.com

Trump will not buckled down... he will teach j lesson to all jihadis
 
Iran finally dumped Pakistan to reach Russia for a ceasefire..... Itanian delegation comes to know Pakistan's motive to extract loans from US, they appeoached putin for a ceasefire.

It also confirms that Pakistan is not an international player in ceasefire... they are too small for international issues. Pakistan leadership is best at doing ceasefire between Karachi or Lahore gangs
 
globetrotter said:
Trump will not keep quite after yesterday's failed assassination attempt.....

38 ships turned back as US tightens Iran blockade;

The enforcement comes as the military closely monitors maritime traffic to ensure compliance with the ongoing restrictions.

The United States Central Command (CENTCOM) has announced that American forces are maintaining a strict maritime restrictive operation in the region, continuing to enforce a blockade against Iranian ports.

According to official statements, these forces are actively preventing ships from entering or exiting Iranian waters as part of a sustained effort to monitor and control movement into strategic coastal hubs.

The enforcement comes as the military closely monitors maritime traffic to ensure compliance with the ongoing restrictions.

Highlighting the scale of the operation, a post on X confirmed that "American forces have directed 38 ships to turn around or return to port

Against the backdrop of this intense maritime squeeze and a persistent deadlock in Tehran-Washington peace negotiations, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi arrived in Russia on Monday for a high-level meeting with President Vladimir Putin.

This visit to Moscow marks a significant intensification of Iran's diplomatic outreach, following Araghchi's recent high-stakes consultations in Islamabad and Muscat. The diplomatic push in the Russian capital is expected to deepen, as the Foreign Minister is also set to meet with his Russian counterpart, Sergey Lavrov.

Rediff.com

Trump will not buckled down... he will teach j lesson to all jihadis
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Your own GODI media questioning if this 'assassination attemt' was a false flag operation.

Iran is making millions of dollars despite this 'bloackade' as wessels are going to India avoiding international waters.

Trump is a lost case, he just wants an escape route, but don't understand how to get out. Even his close 'friend' Netanyahu is not listening to him lol.
 
globetrotter said:
Iran finally dumped Pakistan to reach Russia for a ceasefire..... Itanian delegation comes to know Pakistan's motive to extract loans from US, they appeoached putin for a ceasefire.

It also confirms that Pakistan is not an international player in ceasefire... they are too small for international issues. Pakistan leadership is best at doing ceasefire between Karachi or Lahore gangs
Click to expand...

epaper.brecorder.com

BR-ePaper | Apr 27, 2026 | Page Front Page 1

epaper.brecorder.com
 
Russian official calls US-Israeli attacks on Iran ‘flagrant and unprecedented’ act

The US and Israeli military operation against Iran is “a flagrant and unprecedented act that will have far-reaching consequences” for the nuclear non-proliferation regime, Russian Special Envoy Andrey Belousov says.

Speaking in an interview with Russia’s state RIA news agency, Belousov said the Russian delegation plans to raise the issue at the conference on the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT), which opens in New York on Monday.

“A military operation carried out by a nuclear state, jointly with and in the interests of a state that demonstrably ignores the NPT, and carried out bypassing the UN Security Council – the only internationally recognised body authorised to make such decisions – is in itself a flagrant and unprecedented act,” he said.

He warned that it will have “far-reaching consequences both for cooperation within the NPT framework and for international relations as a whole.”

“The bombing of Iranian nuclear facilities has caused serious damage to the authority of the International Atomic Energy Agency and its safeguards system, which are among the key supporting elements of the entire structure of agreements embodied in the NPT,” he added.

The US and Israel also violated Iran’s “inalienable right” to develop nuclear energy for peaceful purposes, the official also said.

Source: Al Jazeera
 
IAJ said:
Your own GODI media questioning if this 'assassination attemt' was a false flag operation.

Iran is making millions of dollars despite this 'bloackade' as wessels are going to India avoiding international waters.

Trump is a lost case, he just wants an escape route, but don't understand how to get out. Even his close 'friend' Netanyahu is not listening to him lol.
Click to expand...

Don't know whitish world are you living
 
Trump Is Dissatisfied With Iran’s Plan to Reopen Strait of Hormuz

News: Trump told advisers he is not satisfied with Iran’s latest proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and end the war, according to multiple people briefed on discussions in the White House Situation Room on Monday.

www.nytimes.com

Trump Is Dissatisfied With Iran’s Plan to Reopen Strait of Hormuz

The proposal would have set aside questions about what to do with Iran’s nuclear program.
www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com

:kp
 
War will resume. Trump has concluded the IRGC is now in power and beyond negotiation. He’ll hold fire until King Charles’s State Visit ends.

Explosive weekend ahead
 
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Russian superyacht sails through Strait of Hormuz despite blockade

A superyacht linked to one of Russian President Vladimir Putin's key allies has sailed through the Strait of Hormuz, despite the ongoing blockade of the critical shipping channel.

The 142m-long (465 feet) Nord luxury boat, linked to sanctioned Russian billionaire Alexey Mordashov, travelled from Dubai to Muscat, Oman over the weekend, one of a few private vessels to transit through the strait in recent months.

Iran has engaged with Russia in high-level talks this week as its standoff with the US over the strait's re-opening continues.

Approximately one-fifth of global crude oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) supplies normally pass through the waterway.

Mordashov, who has close ties to Putin, is not listed as the formal owner of the luxury boat. However, Nord's records indicate it was registered to a firm owned by his wife in 2022.

Nord, estimated to be worth over $500m (£370m), left Dubai on Friday night and arrived at Al Mouj, a marina in Oman's capital, on Sunday morning, according to data on the Marine Traffic platform.

Maritime traffic through the Gulf channel is currently at a fraction of pre-war levels.

The conflict has contributed to a sharp rise in global oil prices, with the global benchmark Brent crude rising to $109 (£80) a barrel on Monday.

Iran has continued restricting shipping through the vital waterway after President Donald Trump announced US forces would impose a blockade on Iranian ports.

The Russian-flagged Nord managed to clear the strait despite private vessels largely avoiding the waterway since the outbreak of hostilities.

While long-term peace negotiations stall between the two sides, Tehran has this week focused its diplomatic efforts on cementing its relationship with Russia.

Russian President Vladimir Putin hosted an Iranian delegation in St Petersburg on Monday, where Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi hailed their "strategic relationship".

Putin told Araghchi that the Iranian people were "courageously fighting" for their sovereignty in the face of American and Israeli pressure, Russian state-run news agency Tass reported.

Araghchi shared photos on X showing him smiling and shaking hands with Putin and his Russian counterpart Sergei Lavrov.

He wrote: "Recent events have evidenced the depth and strength of our strategic partnership.

"As our relationship continues to grow, we are grateful for solidarity and welcome Russia's support for diplomacy."

The Russian superyacht has a swimming pool, submarine and helipad, according to a profile in the magazine Superyacht Times.

Mordashov has been targeted by western sanctions, including from the UK, US and European Union since Russia launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

Hong Kong and the Maldives have previously not seized the yacht despite calls from western nations to freeze his assets.

Mordashov is the chairman of the steel company Severstal, with Forbes estimating his net worth at about $37bn (£27.3bn). It is not clear if he was on board Nord while it passed through the Strait of Hormuz.

BBC
 
US blockade: Iran starts feeling the heat

The US blockade is beginning to materially disrupt Iran’s oil flows, with loadings collapsing and storage filling rapidly. While the immediate revenue impact is limited, operational constraints are now forcing production cuts and setting up a delayed but significant financial squeeze.

Key Takeaways

  • Iran exports remained resilient pre-blockade, averaging 1.85 mbd in March, above 1.7 mbd prior trend.
  • No confirmed tanker has exited the US blockade zone.
  • Loadings dropped sharply to 567 kbd post-blockade.
  • Usable storage stands at ~26 mbbls (~14 days), rising to ~22 days including floating storage. Assuming not all storage tanks can be used, usable storage drops to just ~12 days including floating storage.
  • Production cuts are underway, with cuts seen to rise as much as 1.5 mbd by mid-May, but the monthly decrease should average
  • Iran's revenue impact is delayed but significant at $200–250m/day.
How much oil was Iran exporting before the US blockade?

Up until the blockade, Iran’s oil exports were largely unaffected by the war as the IRGC controlled the Strait of Hormuz. Naturally, vessels carrying Iranian oil were allowed to pass. As a result, Iran’s oil shipments averaged 1.85 mbd in March, above the 1.7 mbd seen in the previous three months.

Has Iran managed to pass oil through the blockade?

Despite claims that 31 tankers escaped the blockade zone, we have not observed any vessels successfully transiting it. Several tankers passed through the Strait of Hormuz but failed to clear the US blockade, which sits further south between the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea. Most vessels instead diverted toward the Chabahar area in southeastern Iran.

What is the impact on Iran’s oil loadings? Is there any ballast capacity left?

The blockade has already reduced loadings due to limited ballast availability. Crude and condensate loadings averaged 2.1 mbd between 1–13 April, but only five cargoes have been observed since, three at Kharg and two at Assaluyeh, bringing the average down to 567 kbd between 14–23 April.
There are still 7 VLCCs and 2 Aframaxes in the Persian Gulf with a history of lifting Iranian crude, representing 15.4 mbbls of potential near-term liftings. However, activity will remain constrained beyond that.

Bottom of Form

How much onshore storage space is left?

Since the blockade, Iran’s oil inventories have built by 4.6 mbbls (~500 kbd), bringing total onshore stocks to 49 mbbls. We assess total storage capacity at 86 mbbls. However, our coverage currently is missing a few storage tanks located in northern oil refineries including the Tehran, Tabriz and Esfahan refineries. Accounting for these refineries would likely take total onshore storage capacity up to 90-95 mbbls. Assuming total capacity of 90 mbbls, NIOC currently has ~41 mbbls of unfilled storage capacity. This is equivalent to ~22 days of production.

However, several constraints reduce usable capacity. Firstly, not all tanks can be filled at 100% due to operational constraints and possible technical limitations. Secondly, some storage tanks are not accessible due to geography or the nature of the product:

  • Tanks at Sirri and Lavan (~4.7 mbbls) are not accessible for onshore crude.
  • Assaluyeh (~8.6 mbbls) is dedicated to condensate storage from the South Pars gas field.
  • Parts of the Bandar Abbas site (~1.6 mbbls spare) are tied to the Persian Gulf Start condensate refinery and are not usable for crude.
As a result, 14.9 mbbls is effectively unusable, leaving ~26 mbbls of usable storage, equivalent to ~14 days of exports. Including 15.4 mbbls of available floating storage, total available capacity rises to ~41 mbbls (~22 days). Nonetheless, Iranian onshore storage is unlikely to exceed 80% utilisation, consistent with historical patterns. This indicates onshore spare storage capacity is closer to ~8-10 mbbls rather than 26 mbbls. In that case, this is only equivalent to around ~12 days of normal export volumes.

What happens to Iran’s oil production?

With limited ability to load crude, NIOC has begun reducing output. As seen in other regional producers earlier in March, cuts begin before storage reaches full capacity.

We estimate crude production will fall from 2.75 mbd to 1.2–1.3 mbd by mid-May if the blockade holds. Condensate output is unlikely to be impacted given strong domestic consumption. If the blockade is lifted by late May, production should recover quickly given NIOC’s strong experience in managing wellhead production flows.

Does this affect Iran’s oil revenues? How much oil is on water?

The blockade doesn’t impact Iran’s immediate revenues. It usually takes around two months for an oil cargo to reach northeastern China from Kharg Island. The Chinese buyer then has a two-month period to pay the Iranian counterparty, whether that is NIOC or a middleman.

Iran also holds 184 mbbls of oil on water currently, of which 60 mbbls are in the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman and are therefore stuck. The remaining 124 mbbls are mainly around Singapore and close to China, although the US seized at least four tankers recently.

Despite the temporary sanctions waiver (which expired by now), China’s oil imports from Iran didn’t jump, highlighting Chinese teapots’ weak margins and the difficulty to offload Iranian crude. Therefore, not all the 124 mbbls are easily monetisable.

As a result, the blockade would only impact Iran’s oil revenues 3-4 months from now, limiting its effectiveness. Once this is the case, the blockade would reduce Iran’s oil revenues (including petroleum products and LPG) by around $200-250m per day at current prices.

However, the blockade more than symbolically pressures Iran. Curtailing production comes with higher opex. Iran is also a major grain, corn and rice importer. Lower imports of these agricultural products will drive higher inflation internally. Iran reportedly imports around $200-250m of mainly agricultural products daily too.

It is also unclear whether Iran is able to access its revenues in full. A major portion of the oil revenue flow used to pass through the UAE banking system, and the UAE may have become less complacent regarding these transfers, as highlighted by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent recently.

Will this strategy force Iran back to negotiations?

So far, the US blockade appears very efficient. No vessel carrying Iranian oil was able to escape from it. Although the blockade doesn’t choke Iran financially in the immediate term, it comes with the promise of doing so down the line if it is maintained. The fact that Tehran has asked for the blockade to be lifted as a condition to resume negotiating highlights that it is hurting where it hurts.

The blockade has apparently succeeded in bringing Iranian negotiators back to the negotiating table, with a meeting likely over this weekend as per latest press reports. However, key hurdles remain. Each side believes it holds the upper hand and doesn’t want to blink first. The upcoming meeting will matter in showing that Iranian negotiators actually have the backing of people who matter in Tehran (IRGC Commander Ahmad Vahidi and Supreme National Security Council Secretary Mohammad Bagher Zolghadr). Once this hurdle is passed, the hardest part remains for both sides negotiators.

www.kpler.com

US blockade: Iran starts feeling the heat

US blockade: Iran starts feeling the heat
www.kpler.com www.kpler.com
 
BouncerGuy said:
US blockade: Iran starts feeling the heat

The US blockade is beginning to materially disrupt Iran’s oil flows, with loadings collapsing and storage filling rapidly. While the immediate revenue impact is limited, operational constraints are now forcing production cuts and setting up a delayed but significant financial squeeze.

Key Takeaways

  • Iran exports remained resilient pre-blockade, averaging 1.85 mbd in March, above 1.7 mbd prior trend.
  • No confirmed tanker has exited the US blockade zone.
  • Loadings dropped sharply to 567 kbd post-blockade.
  • Usable storage stands at ~26 mbbls (~14 days), rising to ~22 days including floating storage. Assuming not all storage tanks can be used, usable storage drops to just ~12 days including floating storage.
  • Production cuts are underway, with cuts seen to rise as much as 1.5 mbd by mid-May, but the monthly decrease should average
  • Iran's revenue impact is delayed but significant at $200–250m/day.
How much oil was Iran exporting before the US blockade?

Up until the blockade, Iran’s oil exports were largely unaffected by the war as the IRGC controlled the Strait of Hormuz. Naturally, vessels carrying Iranian oil were allowed to pass. As a result, Iran’s oil shipments averaged 1.85 mbd in March, above the 1.7 mbd seen in the previous three months.

Has Iran managed to pass oil through the blockade?

Despite claims that 31 tankers escaped the blockade zone, we have not observed any vessels successfully transiting it. Several tankers passed through the Strait of Hormuz but failed to clear the US blockade, which sits further south between the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea. Most vessels instead diverted toward the Chabahar area in southeastern Iran.

What is the impact on Iran’s oil loadings? Is there any ballast capacity left?

The blockade has already reduced loadings due to limited ballast availability. Crude and condensate loadings averaged 2.1 mbd between 1–13 April, but only five cargoes have been observed since, three at Kharg and two at Assaluyeh, bringing the average down to 567 kbd between 14–23 April.
There are still 7 VLCCs and 2 Aframaxes in the Persian Gulf with a history of lifting Iranian crude, representing 15.4 mbbls of potential near-term liftings. However, activity will remain constrained beyond that.

Bottom of Form

How much onshore storage space is left?

Since the blockade, Iran’s oil inventories have built by 4.6 mbbls (~500 kbd), bringing total onshore stocks to 49 mbbls. We assess total storage capacity at 86 mbbls. However, our coverage currently is missing a few storage tanks located in northern oil refineries including the Tehran, Tabriz and Esfahan refineries. Accounting for these refineries would likely take total onshore storage capacity up to 90-95 mbbls. Assuming total capacity of 90 mbbls, NIOC currently has ~41 mbbls of unfilled storage capacity. This is equivalent to ~22 days of production.

However, several constraints reduce usable capacity. Firstly, not all tanks can be filled at 100% due to operational constraints and possible technical limitations. Secondly, some storage tanks are not accessible due to geography or the nature of the product:

  • Tanks at Sirri and Lavan (~4.7 mbbls) are not accessible for onshore crude.
  • Assaluyeh (~8.6 mbbls) is dedicated to condensate storage from the South Pars gas field.
  • Parts of the Bandar Abbas site (~1.6 mbbls spare) are tied to the Persian Gulf Start condensate refinery and are not usable for crude.
As a result, 14.9 mbbls is effectively unusable, leaving ~26 mbbls of usable storage, equivalent to ~14 days of exports. Including 15.4 mbbls of available floating storage, total available capacity rises to ~41 mbbls (~22 days). Nonetheless, Iranian onshore storage is unlikely to exceed 80% utilisation, consistent with historical patterns. This indicates onshore spare storage capacity is closer to ~8-10 mbbls rather than 26 mbbls. In that case, this is only equivalent to around ~12 days of normal export volumes.

What happens to Iran’s oil production?

With limited ability to load crude, NIOC has begun reducing output. As seen in other regional producers earlier in March, cuts begin before storage reaches full capacity.

We estimate crude production will fall from 2.75 mbd to 1.2–1.3 mbd by mid-May if the blockade holds. Condensate output is unlikely to be impacted given strong domestic consumption. If the blockade is lifted by late May, production should recover quickly given NIOC’s strong experience in managing wellhead production flows.

Does this affect Iran’s oil revenues? How much oil is on water?

The blockade doesn’t impact Iran’s immediate revenues. It usually takes around two months for an oil cargo to reach northeastern China from Kharg Island. The Chinese buyer then has a two-month period to pay the Iranian counterparty, whether that is NIOC or a middleman.

Iran also holds 184 mbbls of oil on water currently, of which 60 mbbls are in the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman and are therefore stuck. The remaining 124 mbbls are mainly around Singapore and close to China, although the US seized at least four tankers recently.

Despite the temporary sanctions waiver (which expired by now), China’s oil imports from Iran didn’t jump, highlighting Chinese teapots’ weak margins and the difficulty to offload Iranian crude. Therefore, not all the 124 mbbls are easily monetisable.

As a result, the blockade would only impact Iran’s oil revenues 3-4 months from now, limiting its effectiveness. Once this is the case, the blockade would reduce Iran’s oil revenues (including petroleum products and LPG) by around $200-250m per day at current prices.

However, the blockade more than symbolically pressures Iran. Curtailing production comes with higher opex. Iran is also a major grain, corn and rice importer. Lower imports of these agricultural products will drive higher inflation internally. Iran reportedly imports around $200-250m of mainly agricultural products daily too.

It is also unclear whether Iran is able to access its revenues in full. A major portion of the oil revenue flow used to pass through the UAE banking system, and the UAE may have become less complacent regarding these transfers, as highlighted by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent recently.

Will this strategy force Iran back to negotiations?

So far, the US blockade appears very efficient. No vessel carrying Iranian oil was able to escape from it. Although the blockade doesn’t choke Iran financially in the immediate term, it comes with the promise of doing so down the line if it is maintained. The fact that Tehran has asked for the blockade to be lifted as a condition to resume negotiating highlights that it is hurting where it hurts.

The blockade has apparently succeeded in bringing Iranian negotiators back to the negotiating table, with a meeting likely over this weekend as per latest press reports. However, key hurdles remain. Each side believes it holds the upper hand and doesn’t want to blink first. The upcoming meeting will matter in showing that Iranian negotiators actually have the backing of people who matter in Tehran (IRGC Commander Ahmad Vahidi and Supreme National Security Council Secretary Mohammad Bagher Zolghadr). Once this hurdle is passed, the hardest part remains for both sides negotiators.

www.kpler.com

US blockade: Iran starts feeling the heat

US blockade: Iran starts feeling the heat
www.kpler.com www.kpler.com
Click to expand...

Its not easy for Iran to battle with 3 nuclear powered US super aircraft carriers... its high time for Iran to surrender..... if they keep fighting like hamas then everybody knows what will be their fate
 
I'll make somethings clear.

I detest Israel entirely.

I think Trump is a egotistic war criminal who countries have to deal with because he's the guy leading the big bully.

If Pakistan does infact get the peace deal through , full power to them. I have my doubts though. They are handicapped by the Saudi peace deal and the loans provided to them by the Saudi govt.

The very fact that Pakistan is attempting to negotiate from that dire a position shows the desperation their government is at. They are literally stuck in between and battling for their self interest. While that is understandable , it really doesn't make for a suitable in between.
 
sithb said:
I'll make somethings clear.

I detest Israel entirely.

I think Trump is a egotistic war criminal who countries have to deal with because he's the guy leading the big bully.

If Pakistan does infact get the peace deal through , full power to them. I have my doubts though. They are handicapped by the Saudi peace deal and the loans provided to them by the Saudi govt.

The very fact that Pakistan is attempting to negotiate from that dire a position shows the desperation their government is at. They are literally stuck in between and battling for their self interest. While that is understandable , it really doesn't make for a suitable in between.
Click to expand...
What have you made clear?
 

Pakistan's sincerity was never in question. Their efforts were much appreciated and in fact Marandi has gone out of his way as the spokesman for Iran that they were considered trustworthy mediators.

You certainly won't get any such endorsements for the backstabbing Indians from Iran.
 
The Iranian navy, which has been destroyed 8 times, closed the strait of Hormuz again, becos the US for the 7th time won the war that wasn't a war, so the US can open the Strait of Hormuz that was open before not the war.

The not war that started to get the uranium that was completely obliterated, so that the Iranians can't build the nuclear bomb that they weren't for not the war that US started.

Then the US which has nuclear weapons threatening to use nuclear weapons to prevent Iran from having nuclear weapons becos having weapons is dangerous.

If the US saw what the US is doing in the US, the US would invade the US to liberate the US from the Tyranny of the US.

@Champ_Pal did I get that right.

BTW, @deltexas what is your take on the Virginia redistricting plan. very different from Texas right?
 
rpant_gabba said:
The Iranian navy, which has been destroyed 8 times, closed the strait of Hormuz again, becos the US for the 7th time won the war that wasn't a war, so the US can open the Strait of Hormuz that was open before not the war.

The not war that started to get the uranium that was completely obliterated, so that the Iranians can't build the nuclear bomb that they weren't for not the war that US started.

Then the US which has nuclear weapons threatening to use nuclear weapons to prevent Iran from having nuclear weapons becos having weapons is dangerous.

If the US saw what the US is doing in the US, the US would invade the US to liberate the US from the Tyranny of the US.

@Champ_Pal did I get that right.

BTW, @deltexas what is your take on the Virginia redistricting plan. very different from Texas right?
Click to expand...
It's the craziest situation.

This was him in June 2025.

“Tonight, I can report to the world that the strikes were a spectacular military success. Iran’s key nuclear enrichment facilities have been completely and totally obliterated.”
Click to expand...

Now he's asking that they commit to not using the enrichment capabilities that he claims they do not possess.
 
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