He will have to completely remodel his action. The guys at the NCA will definetly change his action. He can have a decent career if he remodels his action. But his pace will definetly be reduced.
You see this is an issue.
We are a limping democracy, a 3rd world country. We start kicking on as a country and than go even backward from where we started rising. This rubs on sports including Cricket aswell.
Cricket as a system and institution suffers aswell.
Naseem Shah’s Case is going to be a gamble at NCA.
If they try to remodel his action in Desi way it’s going to be a gamble. Might pay off or might go Anwar Ali’s or Zahid’s way. (Two different type of cases)
Nobody in Pakistan could fix Haris Sohail Under PCB’s & NCA’s umbrella. Ultimately he needed Dubai and United Kingdom to get him back into Professional Cricket.
If Naseem was in South Africa, Australia, New Zealand or England they would have sent him to any of the multiple high performance centres. First and foremost they would have tested his Action with latest biomechanics equipment. The ones we have at Lums is 1st gen equipment with little or no use in 2018 and after getting rotten and rusted for more than a decade PCB owns it with pride.
1. We do not have latest biomechanics equipment
2. We do not have biomechanist
3. We do not have a human movement expert
4. We do not have a highly qualified fast bowling Coach at NCA.
If any we just have Azhar Mehmood that too with Pakistan team.
Just look at the examples of Lockie Ferguson, Starc, Cummins, Pattinson & Ryan Harris. Especially Ryan Harris. Scientific, logical work has been done with them in High performance centres wrt their bowling actions, trainings to maximise their speeds, longevity and getting the best out of them.
Wrt fast bowlers we are still looking for natural talents like Waqar & Shoiab. That’s it.
Someone like Naseem has the ability to bowl quick at such a young age but He doesn’t have any professional setup to go and fix his action scientifically. We were just waiting for stress fractures to break him down.
Sameen Gul at age 15 was locking 140 kph at NCA. Stress fractures and ankle injury resulted in him losing pace (forever). Now he can barely touch 140 kph. I would say it was PCB’s failure.
We are atleast 20 years behind developed Cricketing nations.