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World Bank projects 5.4 per cent growth rate for Pakistan in 2018

jeetu

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http://www.dawn.com/news/1295477/world-bank-projects-54-per-cent-growth-rate-for-pakistan-in-2018

Pakistan's economy is set to grow by a robust 5.4 per cent by 2018 as Chinese investment from a multi-billion dollar infrastructure project flows into the country, the World Bank predicted in a new report Thursday.

Pakistan, South Asia's second-biggest economy, is growing with security improving and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) claiming in October that it has emerged from economic crisis after completing a bailout programme, though it still faces major challenges.

Pakistan recorded a 4.7pc growth in gross domestic product (GDP) for the fiscal year ended June 2016, the highest rate in eight years, and Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif has set an ambitious target of 5.7pc for the current year.

Nawaz is banking on structural reforms, the improved energy sector, taxation -- and China's ambitious $46 billion infrastructure project, the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), linking its western province of Xinjiang to the Arabian Sea via Pakistan.

The World Bank report appeared optimistic about Nawaz's plans, predicting even further growth in 2018.

The pace of Pakistan's economic growth will accelerate to 5.4pc in fiscal 2018,” the Bank report said, observing that a moderate increase in investment mainly related to CPEC projects is expected to contribute to an acceleration of growth.

The bank also noted Pakistan's efforts to address grinding poverty, including with revised ways to measure it.

“Based on the revised poverty line, the percentage of people living below the poverty line decreased from 64.3pc in 2002 to 29.5pc in 2014,” the report said.

Illango Patchamutu, World Bank country director for Pakistan, said the country needs to push forward with deeper structural reforms, and that the World Bank stood ready to support such an agenda.
 
Sounds too good to be true really.
 
Other countries in the region are growing at sixes and sevens.. :facepalm:


We need atleast 10 years of 8+ growth to enter into the vicinity of middle income countries.
 
Economic growth had almost stagnated in Pakistan a few years back and was as low as 1.7% in 2008 which is very poor for a developing country. 5% growth if maintained consistently is decent. It can be higher but it will take time and things are improving.
 
Not enough investment incentives

A 30+% corporate tax rate in a developing country like ours IS RIDICULOUS.

There's so many things in our rules and regulations which kill any business endeavours that I've learnt working in Pak over the past year that it's scarcely believable.
 
Not enough investment incentives

A 30+% corporate tax rate in a developing country like ours IS RIDICULOUS.

There's so many things in our rules and regulations which kill any business endeavours that I've learnt working in Pak over the past year that it's scarcely believable.

What would be your Suggestions to improve the growth rate bar the obvious such getting rid of corruption and having competent govt.
 
What would be your Suggestions to improve the growth rate bar the obvious such getting rid of corruption and having competent govt.




Giving tax holidays to foreign corporations at start and lowering the overall corporate tax rate. Setting up factories and industries which are self sustaining

Infrastructure work apart from freaking roads in Punjab. Energy crisis need to be resolved somehow. NEPRA said today that load shedding won't end by 2018.

Improving Karachis infrastructure. Regardless of anyone's personal opinion reg the city it is a fact that it pays most taxes and has the most industries located in it and being the financial hub. Also the most diverse and gives most employment.So investing there will pay dividends. The somewhat improvement in security is a nice start.

Getting more people into the tax net. Right now it's more a case of taxing the hell out of whoever is honest enough to pay taxes.

Long term. Investing in education especially primary and secondary schooling and focusing on technical skills education.
 
Other countries in the region are growing at sixes and sevens.. :facepalm:


We need atleast 10 years of 8+ growth to enter into the vicinity of middle income countries.

Na Shukarfarman qaum, kabhi bhi khush nahi hona. Something is better then nothing. Good governance and law will help to increase growth rate but until then Allah ka Shukar hai
 
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