AamchiMumbaikar
ODI Debutant
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They have put so many people in tents probably only 1/2 had it now 40 contracted it 

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You might remember the exchange we had the other day in another thread where you thought that we didn't need drastic measures yet. This was the very situation I was warning against. In fact I have very little doubt that this is just the start. We just don't have the resources to slow it down once it starts spreading and thus needed to clamp down as soon as the first cases were reported. It might have sounded drastic and panicky then but it was the only way to stop it from spreading. PSL was just one of the events that needed to be cancelled. We needed to take the steps that we did a couple of days ago, at least 10-15 days ago.
You were right about the army coming in and that will eventually happen. For me that has to happen sooner rather than later as the magnitude of the problem here is very different from the west. It will be carnage if we don't act swiftly.
They have put so many people in tents probably only 1/2 had it now 40 contracted it![]()
Yeah, I admit I was one of the complacent ones. I've changed my mind now. We need to clamp this down now or the TTP terrorism campaign will seem like a walk in the park. There is still a very small window of opportunity, once that is gone you may aswell just wait for the bodies to pile up and start digging mass graves.
I was just watching the news and I saw a demo in islamabad for workers pay etc..are these people mad?
The natural compalcency in pakistan will kill mass loads of people. Panic is one thing but urgency is another.
Europe is in big trouble and they have funded public health. Pakistan has nothing close to that.
lack of basic hygiene facilities, basic primary health care. I swear to God swt if we get thousands of deaths, the two parties who have ruled this nation and anyone else should be sent to the gallows.
all this nonsense about the WHO declaring our response the best in the world is a load of **.
106 cases will be 3000-400 by the end of the week or within a week and then what?
We need to lock down Sindh and Balochistan now, not tomorrow not the day after. To hell with baby bhutto and his politics. if he objects they should arrest him and his party cohorts and put them in self isolation. Enough of this nonsense. They need to get mobile testing units out everywhere. Start putting up checkpoints and testing areas , getting whatever healt care facilites that are available on full alert. the country should be moving to a war footing not laughing at Khans hand on heart gesture!!
All public gatherings should be banned and those who defy the ban should be arrested end of. This is no longer a joke. All flights to and from europe should be banned. Ensure masks and sanitisation is distributed.
but alas at the moment its, "au koyi gul nay, marna tay hay naa sirjee, khair ay"
Can't really blame you or anyone for that matter. Its human nature. Denial in such cases is a mental defense as the reality can be too difficult to accept. I wasn't even able to convince educated, highly qualified friends and colleagues and even my own family so can't blame you or anyone.
The opportunity was when we identified the first few cases. Ideally we should have initiated screening processes, banned gatherings and introduced social distancing. But we can't totally blame the government either as a lot of this would have been politically impossible at that time both for the provincial and federal governments. So we didn't do that and many infected people got away undetected. Even if we assume that the initial number was 10 and the infection only spreads after 5 days of incubation (not the case i think) and that every person only infects 5 other people that's 25 new infections after 5 days, 125 after 10 and so on. And I have used very conservative numbers here. I am sure the undetected infected cases were a lot more and the every day interactions a lot more as well. So basically there could already be thousands of infected people. Thankfully, the disease isn't very lethal so we haven't seen many deaths but it is beyond doubt that it has spread extensively. Here it is also important to address another thing that people frequently cite to downplay the danger and that is" it isn't very dangerous, we will recover". Yes you will recover but you will infect many in the process and chances are you will infect someone vulnerable, at home or otherwise who won't survive.
We can't see it but things aren't good. Given the size of our population and their illiteracy and poverty any further delays will exacerbate this into a potential disaster. We need a lockdown pretty soon as the containment window has gone (not that we ever had a chance of being in time for that) and now its about flattening the curve. Moreover, with the size and behavior of our population we might also start seeing adverse social and economic effects if the situation gets out of hand.
Regarding screening. That's not happening. We just don't have the resources here. We have tested only a few hundred in the last few days and that won't increase dramatically any time soon.
As for the "marna hai", "aik din to aani hi hai" etc. all that sounds fine until death actually comes knocking. I am not belittling anyone's beliefs here but only addressing the flippancy and casual attitude with which this is being addressed.
I know this is a very grim post and I wish I could have posted something more hopeful and optimistic instead. Alas, this is the cold and harsh reality that we face.
Would request everyone to take this seriously, and take all necessary precautions. Don't follow what anyone says, just go to the WHO website and follow the advice they have. Remember its not just about you, its equally about your loved ones and those who interact with you, so please take this threat seriously for your sake and theirs. I hope and wish everyone remains safe. Take care everyone.
Dr Zafar Mirza should resign for the shambolic faclities offered in Taftan.
We failed and it is out of control. We had two months to prepare.
Confused?I distinctly remember in the "students in China" thread you were going crazy that the government should immediately bring the students back. Now you are singing a different tune.
While the hell are people still coming from Iran????????? [MENTION=133760]Abdullah719[/MENTION]
137 now. Just shut all schools, colleges , restaurants and malls.
Restrict all travel coming from outside and if any pak citizens are coming back, self quarantine for 2 weeks.
While the hell are people still coming from Iran????????? [MENTION=133760]Abdullah719[/MENTION]
Does Pak have 144?
That's alarming.
Did this come from outsiders entering pak or local transmission?
Anyone have an official govt source link for Pak?
While the hell are people still coming from Iran????????? [MENTION=133760]Abdullah719[/MENTION]
From IRAN.
And source link for what??
Virus is spreading in Pakistan now at alarming rate.
It is becoming scary.
Pakistan’s tally of COVID19 positive cases balloons to 186, a sharp rise of 131 cases in 24 hours.
From IRAN.
And source link for what??
Virus is spreading in Pakistan now at alarming rate.
Just saw a tweet about this by ANI and i’m seeing a lot of Indians celebrate. Why?
Don’t these bhakts know that there are over a hundred cases in India?
People are inherently stupid and laugh at their enemies problems
I saw on Twitter some pak origin people making fun of India's ~ 100 cases yesterday
On topic, this can become 1000 / 5000 very very quickly for both countries...
I wish I could bash China right now for giving world this gift
The real risky ones are those that are being found in Karachi.
No because that would be “racist”
If you have visitors only from Iran then it's slightly better as you can control it, the way South Korea did even after it got out of control
However if these jokers have been allowed to roam around, then God forbid.... I hope and pray that it's not the case, and all these Iran visitors have been isolated before they mixed up with others
I just don't trust the health care in South asia, people will die by hundreds and it's frankly just a lottery on who dies and who survives
Just saw a tweet about this by ANI and i’m seeing a lot of Indians celebrate. Why?
Don’t these bhakts know that there are over a hundred cases in India?
Just saw a tweet about this by ANI and i’m seeing a lot of Indians celebrate. Why?
Don’t these bhakts know that there are over a hundred cases in India?
Countries like India Pakistan need to shut down now. They are still in stage 2. Shut it down to prevent stage 3.
Situation in Punjab directly from Punjab health minister
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Only one case of <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/coronavirusinpakistan?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#coronavirusinpakistan</a> is confirmed in Punjab so far.<br><br>112 suspects with symptoms have been tested out of which 84 were negative & results awaited for rest.<br><br>6200 Zaireen from Iran screened <br>830 quarantined in DG Khan 1200 arriving to be quarantined in Bhawalpur <a href="https://t.co/LJ4bKORT4i">pic.twitter.com/LJ4bKORT4i</a></p>— Dr. Yasmin Rashid (@Dr_YasminRashid) <a href="https://twitter.com/Dr_YasminRashid/status/1239582101462269961?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 16, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
Situation in KPK directly from KPK health minister
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr"><a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/CoronaVirusUpdates?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#CoronaVirusUpdates</a><br>Just received news that 15 of 19 individuals received in KP from Taftan have tested positive for Corona Virus. These are the first positive cases in KP. <br>They are being well looked after in quarantine in an isolated facility in DI Khan. More details soon.</p>— Taimur Khan Jhagra (@Jhagra) <a href="https://twitter.com/Jhagra/status/1239537478845042694?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 16, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
Lots of fake news going around.
the testing done by Punjab authorities is itself a joke. Yesterday saw a video of four people (two Chinese and two Pakistanis) crying to be tested outside pims who were denied entry because they didn't have a recent travel history when they were having all the symptoms of corona virus.
if you watch the video you can clearly see two Chinese struggling behind, who is to say they can't have it? You don't have to have 14 days recent travel history as the virus can stay in the system for long time.<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="ur" dir="rtl">سادہ سی بات ہے جو آپ نے خود فرما دی کہ یہ سنٹر ایسے لوگوں کے لئیے بنا ہے جنہوں نے بیرون ملک سفر کیا ہے۔ اس سٹیج پر تمام تر ایسے لوگ کو کرونا تشخیص ہوا ہے جنہوں نے بیرون ملک سفر کیا ہے اس لئیے زیادہ توجہ ان پر ہے۔ <a href="https://t.co/bMQBFK31QO">https://t.co/bMQBFK31QO</a></p>— Dr. Shahbaz GiLL (@SHABAZGIL) <a href="https://twitter.com/SHABAZGIL/status/1239283115778080770?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 15, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
Why hasn't the goverment instate an internaional flight ban till now?
These screen test aren't good enough as we know the nature of the COVID19
Because then people like us will cry on media and social media that Gov is so cruel that they have blocked the country for their own people. We saw what happened when we blocked our borders with china. We saw media and people reaction at that time.
Because then people like us will cry on media and social media that Gov is so cruel that they have blocked the country for their own people. We saw what happened when we blocked our borders with china. We saw media and people reaction at that time.
Why hasn't the goverment instate an internaional flight ban till now?
These screen test aren't good enough as we know the nature of the COVID19
Because then people like us will cry on media and social media that Gov is so cruel that they have blocked the country for their own people. We saw what happened when we blocked our borders with china. We saw media and people reaction at that time.
This needs to happen right now! ASAP
There are potentially 100 of virus carries coming in the country everyday. Checking for fever is an unnecessary waste of resources when you could just stop them from arriving and especially since potentially infected might not show symptoms yet.
Weren't all flights grounded last Feb when pak India tension was high?
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Prime Minister <a href="https://twitter.com/ImranKhanPTI?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@ImranKhanPTI</a> expresses his concern over poverty and hunger as a consequence of the Corona Pandemic. Moreover, he urges the world community to think of some sort of debt-off for vulnerable countries.<a href="https://t.co/FG6ZDT5h99">pic.twitter.com/FG6ZDT5h99</a></p>— Prime Minister's Office, Pakistan (@PakPMO) <a href="https://twitter.com/PakPMO/status/1239822476730908675?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 17, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Prime Minister <a href="https://twitter.com/ImranKhanPTI?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@ImranKhanPTI</a> expresses his concern over poverty and hunger as a consequence of the Corona Pandemic. Moreover, he urges the world community to think of some sort of debt-off for vulnerable countries.<a href="https://t.co/FG6ZDT5h99">pic.twitter.com/FG6ZDT5h99</a></p>— Prime Minister's Office, Pakistan (@PakPMO) <a href="https://twitter.com/PakPMO/status/1239822476730908675?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 17, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
I am afraid how can citizens of Pakistan be confident if your premier puts up such a sorry face.
this is exactly the reason why south Asian countries should support each other and stick together in this epidemic until it passes!
It is senseless from the goverment considering we have a Z grade healthcare system They are waiting for a disaster.
20 Days Quarantine NOW is better than all other measures now or in near future.
Let me explain in terms of clinical resesrch :
Covid-19 + person can continue to infect others for 15 days. In some case up to 20 days.
Degree of Spread : One infected person will effect how many more persons ?
For Covid-19 , it is 2-3. Most studies say it's more than 2 and less than 3. Let's assume it's 03 in worst case scenario. So on average, one infected person, in 15 days, will effect 3 more, taking total count to 04. In next series, these 03 will infect 9 who in turn will infect further 27 and so on.
Series Interval : time interval between start of symptoms & +ve test (and ability of transmission) in one series patients and start of symptoms & +ve test (and ability of transmission) in next series patients.
For Covid-19 , it is 5 to 7.5 days. It means next series will start at least 05 days later.
If we consider these 200 patients as "Series-Zero" and yesterday as Day-Zero , they will effect 600 more in next 15 days.That will be our "Series-1" who will start showing symptoms & +ve tests ( and ability of transmission) from Day-05 and extending up to Day-20.
In comparison, influenza has 1.3 degree of Spread and 2.5 days series interval.
Larger series interval of Covid-19 is a window of opportunity in this Pandemic.
There is no other solution to it other than 20 Days Quarantine.
Like most govts in world and state heads, IK and PTI have been found wanting. Should show some brave heart spirit and implement strict measures.
With 200 confirm +, and 600 of next series somewhere in country we now have 800 patients. It is still not unmanageable. It needs political will power.
If someone ridicules the idea of Nation Wide Quarantine, he should realise that Postponing PSL was not an option 1 week ago.
Only vaccine is the solution but that is a long wait. People need to be ready for a lot of deaths.
Agree. Cutting a sorry figure. He's given up on the healthcare facilities and Pakistan's ability to save its people.
More concerned about getting a debt write-off.