How big would Pakistan have to beat Bangladesh to surpass on points table?

[BalluBalleBaaz]

Regardless of who wins the toss, this should be a fantastic game. Fully expect Pakistan to take charge from ball 1 and Bangladesh to fight it out till last ball.

 

[Crusader]

Hit a six every over. Rest of the balls score at least a single. Do the math yourself

 

[ARK Rafay]

I really want Pakistan to win toss and bat first. It should be fascinating to see Pakistan's approach.

 

[Naveedahmed1]

This is the most ridiculous thread you ppl are crazy for even thinking this is possible lol

 

[Savak]

Unity, passion, nationalism, determination, professionalism. It can be done. Mohsin Khan speech to the boys

 

[someone21]

The football equivalent would be a 9-0 win or at least 9 goals margin. So they need record breaking performance, and its not just Pak but Bangladrsh. They really need to their worse day ever in their cricketing history

 

[Abdullah719]

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">To qualify for the semi-finals, Pakistan need to bowl out Bangladesh for 7 or less <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/PakvBan?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#PakvBan</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/CWC19?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#CWC19</a></p>— Saj Sadiq (@Saj_PakPassion) <a href="https://twitter.com/Saj_PakPassion/status/1147133931197739008?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 5, 2019</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

 

[Abdullah719]

Unity, passion, nationalism, determination, professionalism. It can be done. Mohsin Khan speech to the boys

Yeah it can be done with the power of Lipton.

 

[Pakhs]

unity, passion, nationalism, determination, professionalism. It can be done. Mohsin khan speech to the boys

lol

 

[fitCricFan]

Basit Ali is preparing his next statement......"Pakistan would have easily scored 600 runs but the BD team in denied it because it didn't want the Pak team to reach the SF. I would also add that the Pak team would have them all out under 7 runs but it is a conspiracy against our team. ICC should definitely investigate this"

 

[Mr.Q]

Disclaimer: This Thread is not meant for Faint-hearted

So, This is going to be one wild thread. Idea is to makes sense of that little mathematical probability of reaching in Semi's Pakistan has and how to realistically approach it because in the given circumstances. If Pakistan call correctly in toss than how can they make sense of the near impossible task which lies ahead of them.

I do accept at the very outset that chances of winning the toss is 50-50 where as probability of what am I suggesting is hardly 1 Percent but I would Like Pakistan to give it a go after all its a question of booking a berth in Semi.

The good news for Pakistan is that if their is one team against whom you can do the audacity of thinking what i am suggesting than its Bangladesh
They have conceded the most number of runs as compared to any other team in this World cup.

Of the 7 Matches they have played Bangladesh has conceded a Gigantic 2153 Runs aggregate. That comes to 307 Runs average per game holy cow they must be having worst bowling attack it seems if we go by the record.

Average Opening Partnership against Them is Staggering 81 and thanks to Kiwis and WI or this would have been far worst. How many times have they taken 2 or more wickets under power play? well only once, against Kiwis and we know that Kiwis openers are walking wickets.

Bangladesh with Exception of Shakib and Fizz with old ball lack penetration in their bowling discipline which has been weakest in this tournament. IF Pakistan has to climb the mountain which they have to now than Pakistan can certainly take lot of heart from the fact.

Second, Aspect of the challenge is that Pakistan has to assemble a "Crack" team for the task and it means that Imam will have to sit out and Asif will open with Fakhar.

Pakistan best chance is to launch blistering assault in the Powerplay where only fielders are allowed outside the circle.

Target Score for 1st Powerplay 10 Overs : 130 to 150

No.3 can be Imad or Wahab. The only way to get to any score near 450 is
to have an explosive start and get maximum of Powerplays

Target score for overs between 10 to 40 2nd Powerplay 7.5 runs per over means 220-225 in 30 overs

Now you have 4 fielders outside the circle. You don't have to go crazy in the middle overs but target to get 75 per 60 balls. Babar and Sohail must control these overs. You can play conventional cricket with few big hits to maintain a health run rate.

Target score for final Powerplay 40 to 50 overs: minimum 9 to 10

Throw entire kitchen sink here. Get as many as possible although, Fizz with old ball is a tough cookie so you might look to take less risk against him as compared to others.

Lets do the total 135 1st Powerplay , 225 end and 100 in final you get a total of 460.

Look Pakistan doesn't have any other options but to on all guns blazing if they win the crucial toss. when you think about a total of 450 etc it does look far off but once you break it down in smaller units than mathematical probability start favoring you for e.g chances of scoring 130-140 runs in 1st Powerplay are much higher than chances of scoring 450.

Interestingly the record of highest total in First 10 overs is held by Pakistan and it was 147 against Zimbabwe in 2004. Lanka has scored 133/10 overs against England.

Similarly can 75 runs be scored in 10 overs between over number 10 to 40 and certainly that appears to be far more doable.

World Cup comes after every 4 years. If Sarfaraz boys try to go for it which they must than their is a method to this madness. If they need to beat Math well it has to be with Math only.

Highest score in ODI by any country is 481 by England and Australia so, it has been done before and can be done again. Pakistan though doesn't have hitters of England Capability but they have scored 370 odd against England Recently.

Pakistan will need a miracle to beat the steep mountain created by NRR.
the chances of it happening are very less but boy if they go for it and get anywhere near it surely will be a match to remember.

I see this team fighting through their teeth against all the odds and limitations. Last match was won by Lion heart Wahab who played with a fractured Finger and Imad who showed tremendous maturing and presence of mind under dire situation

This team has really punched above their weight and shown tremendous fighting spirit coming back from crushing defeats and overzealous criticism. Pakistan fans must cut the slack and get behind their team when they need you most Analysis and reactions can wait

"Go Sarfaraz Boys and give it a wholehearted crack" even if they fail I will be saying "Boyz played well"




Fight_club

I’m waiting for your post match analysis .

 

[fitCricFan]

Disclaimer: This Thread is not meant for Faint-hearted

So, This is going to be one wild thread. Idea is to makes sense of that little mathematical probability of reaching in Semi's Pakistan has and how to realistically approach it because in the given circumstances.

You used probability and realistically in the same thread.

Some of the insane numbers and analysis posted on this thread lead you to wonder if this is an actual game being played or if it is fantasy cricket.

 

[sunny85]

Dhoni would have done that instead of trying to chase 500

Are u still mad that Dhoni played so badly, or blame has shifted to Kiwis.

 

[baggy blue]

Are u still mad that Dhoni played so badly, or blame has shifted to Kiwis.

i was never fond of that guy. selfish cricketer