Sirris
First Class Captain
- Joined
- Jun 14, 2017
- Runs
- 4,310
- Post of the Week
- 3
India, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh have all gone for some sort of soft lockdown.
Can Pakistan not do the same?
When the goal is to contain and eliminate the virus then there is no such thing as a "soft" lockdown. Either you are ready for over a month long radical lockdown where from security forces to family members everyone is wearing a mask like in China or you don't lockdown. A couple of days of janta curfew is a mindless excersise wasting useful ressources and time which could be used in setting up testing camps and getting safety kit for the medical staff.
Pakistan and India both are in the initial phase where increased testing, tracking down and isolating the infected and their relatives could work to drastically slow down the virus. This is the approach Singapore, Taiwan, Japan and South Korea took. Look at them right now.
Italy, France and Spain were all forced to lockdown since they initially miscalculated the widespread of the virus. It was too late for them to track down and isolate since the numbers were rising too fast day by day. Even after weeks of lock down their numbers are increasing. Not because lock down doesn't work rather because that's how widespread the virus was already in those countries before the lockdown. Now they have to show patience and it will take another couple of weeks for the numbers to begin to lower. Yes lower the infected not eliminate the virus completely. Do people in Pakistan and India have this much patience? Especially since the virus has in no way spread out of control like in those countries.
Austria and Denmark can afford a lockdown their total population is less than Karachi's and size smaller than our provinces. The dynamics at play in Europe are different than they dynamics in Pakistan. As I highlighted here http://www.pakpassion.net/ppforum/forumdisplay.php?12-Time-Pass-and-Sports
Italy started with a "soft" lockdown but they had to make it more radical day by day.
Germany with 30k+ infected has still not gone for a total country-wide lockdown. They have top virologist as advisors, who are involved with the latest research on coronavirus and none is pushing so desperately for a lockdown as some media divas in Pakistan are pushing for. Are they dumb in Germany?
India, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh aren't a model for how to combat the virus. Singapore, Japan and Taiwan are.
The thing is a lockdown is a superficial lazy and easy solution for South Asian governments. This way they can superficially demonstrate to the public that they are doing something. While on the other hand coming up with a strategy, identifying potential hot spots of the virus, condoning off those areas and going after the infected vigilantly and tracing down their relatives requires effort and hard work.
Hence they have opted for the easier way and while I hope for the best it is easy to see it won't work.