India set to overtake China to become the most populous country in the world by mid 2023

[daytrader]

India Likely To Surpass China As Most Populous Country In 2023: UN Report
World Population Day 2022: The global population is growing at its slowest rate since 1950, having fallen under one per cent in 2020.

United Nations: India is projected to surpass China as the world's most populous country next year, according to a report by the United Nations on Monday which said that the world population is forecast to reach eight billion by mid-November 2022.
The World Population Prospects 2022 by the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, said that the global population is projected to reach eight billion on November 15, 2022.

The global population is growing at its slowest rate since 1950, having fallen under one per cent in 2020.

The latest projections by the United Nations suggest that the world's population could grow to around 8.5 billion in 2030 and 9.7 billion in 2050.

It is projected to reach a peak of around 10.4 billion people during the 2080s and to remain at that level until 2100.

"This year's World Population Day (July 11) falls during a milestone year, when we anticipate the birth of the Earth's eight billionth inhabitant. This is an occasion to celebrate our diversity, recognise our common humanity, and marvel at advancements in health that have extended lifespans and dramatically reduced maternal and child mortality rates,” UN Secretary-General António Guterres said.

“At the same time, it is a reminder of our shared responsibility to care for our planet and a moment to reflect on where we still fall short of our commitments to one another,” he added.

The report said that "India is projected to surpass China as the world's most populous country during 2023.” The world's two most populous regions in 2022 were Eastern and South-Eastern Asia, with 2.3 billion people, representing 29 per cent of the global population, and Central and Southern Asia, with 2.1 billion, representing 26 per cent of the total world population.

China and India accounted for the largest populations in these regions, with more than 1.4 billion each in 2022.

More than half of the projected increase in global population up to 2050 will be concentrated in just eight countries of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Egypt, Ethiopia, India, Nigeria, Pakistan, the Philippines and Tanzania.

"Disparate population growth rates among the world's largest countries will change their ranking by size: for example, India is projected to surpass China as the world's most populous country in 2023,” the report said.

According to the report, India's population stands at 1.412 billion in 2022, compared to China's 1.426 billion.

India, which will surpass China as the world's most populous nation by 2023, is projected to have a population of 1.668 billion in 2050, way ahead of China's 1.317 billion people by the middle of the century.

The report added that it is estimated that ten countries experienced a net outflow of more than 1 million migrants between 2010 and 2021.

In many of these countries, these outflows were due to temporary labour movements, such as for Pakistan (net outflow of -16.5 million during 2010-2021), India (-3.5 million), Bangladesh (-2.9 million), Nepal (-1.6 million) and Sri Lanka (-1 million).

In other countries, including the Syrian Arab Republic (-4.6 million), Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) (-4.8 million), and Myanmar (-1 million), insecurity and conflicts have driven the net outflow of migrants over the decade.

Global life expectancy at birth reached 72.8 years in 2019, an improvement of almost 9 years since 1990. Further reductions in mortality are projected to result in an average global longevity of around 77.2 years in 2050.

Yet in 2021, life expectancy for the least developed countries lagged 7 years behind the global average.

Alternative long-term population projections have also been undertaken by the Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME).

In its recent projections, IHME projected that the global population will reach 8.8 billion in 2100 with a range of 6.8 billion to 11.8 billion.

NDTV

 

[cricketjoshila]

Time for a population control law.

 

[Bhaag Viru Bhaag]

Time for a population control law.

Population control law? Sanghis and BJP walas want more hindus in India.

 

[Champ_Pal]

Population control law? Sanghis and BJP walas want more hindus in India.

Hindus do not want more kids. Sanghis cannot force Hindus to have more kids.

 

[JaDed]

Time for a population control law.

True.. because when Congress wanted the same in 1970s it was Sajish ..

BJP will always be the implementer of Congress policies, glad many Congressis are moving to BJP..

Congress mukt Bharat how- merge them into BJP.

 

[SportsWarrior]

Time for a population control law.

why? most states are under replacement rates for a while now..

 

[MenInG]

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-partner="tweetdeck"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">World Population Day, being observed today, underlines our shared challenge of rendering populations into demographic dividends through policies that ensure socio-economic rights. We r working toward aligning our development priorities with needs of our people on long-term basis.</p>— Shehbaz Sharif (@CMShehbaz) <a href="https://twitter.com/CMShehbaz/status/1546478467260334080?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 11, 2022</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

 

[cricketjoshila]

True.. because when Congress wanted the same in 1970s it was Sajish ..

BJP will always be the implementer of Congress policies, glad many Congressis are moving to BJP..

Congress mukt Bharat how- merge them into BJP.

Forced sterilization is not population control law.

 

[Champ_Pal]

India needs to incentivize tube tying and vasectomy. Anyone who already has 2 kids needs to be identified and persuaded to be sterilized.

 

[JaDed]

India needs to incentivize tube tying and vasectomy. Anyone who already has 2 kids needs to be identified and persuaded to be sterilized.

People in cities rarely have more than two kids, heck almost all my friends either have no kids or 1.

Fertility rate has been dropping across except for few States which we all know are which ones.

 

[Ahmad-GERMANFC]

Indias rate is below replacement rate now. India has a huge problem on coming with an unproductive old population.

 

[Hextro]

India has been the world's most populated country for quite a while now. I'm surprised it's gonna take them until 2023 to make it official.

 

[cricketjoshila]

People in cities rarely have more than two kids, heck almost all my friends either have no kids or 1.

Fertility rate has been dropping across except for few States which we all know are which ones.

Not only states, there is a religion and economic difference as well.

 

[KingKhanWC]

Time for a population control law.

What do you propose?

 

[Champ_Pal]

Poor illiterates are the ones with huge families. Government cannot pass any laws without losing their vote bank. Family planning clearly goes against the ideas of some communities. Who is going to explain to those illiterates.

 

[KingKhanWC]

Poor illiterates are the ones with huge families. Government cannot pass any laws without losing their vote bank. Family planning clearly goes against the ideas of some communities. Who is going to explain to those illiterates.

India isnt really a welfare state. Kids of the poor aren't given a weekly sum as we have in the UK. Stopping them from having kids wont work well.

India is a huge land, there is plenty of space. Instead of population control, wouldnt it be better to take out hundreds of millions out of poverty, as what China has done?

 

[daytrader]

Won't Support Any Law On 2-Child Policy, Says Asaduddin Owaisi
Asaduddin Owaisi was reacting to a query whether he would support the Central government if it brings a law mandating two-children

Hyderabad: AIMIM president Asaduddin Owaisi on Thursday said he would not support any law if the Centre brings in a two-child norm/policy in the country.
"The mistake China did, India should not. I will not support it (two-child law) at all because it will not be in India's interest. The Modi government has itself already said this (that it had no plans for a two-child policy)...It filed an affidavit in the Supreme Court and (their) Health Minister also said that in Parliament," the Hyderabad MP told reporters here.

Mr Owaisi was reacting to a query whether he would support the Central government if it brings a law mandating two-children (for population control).

He further said he is saying what the Narendra Modi government already said in Parliament and the Supreme Court and that affidavit is correct.

"The total fertility rate (TFR) in the country is on the decline. By 2030, its population will stablise," he said.

Mr Owaisi said RSS chief Mohan Bhagwat should speak on unemployment issue.

"By regularly talking on population, you are creating hatred against one community," the AIMIM chief alleged. "The demographic dividend (of youth) the country has...do something for them. Tell us what Modi government has done in the last eight years (for youth) and there should be a debate on this. Unemployment is a burning issue," Mr Owaisi said.

He hit out at Bhagwat's reported remarks on conversion saying: "India accepts all religions. But, RSS wants that India should have one religion, one culture, one language. But it won't happen because India has been a multi-cultural country and will continue to remain so. Why are you so afraid of conversion, Mohan Bhagwat Sahab. Conversion is a choice. What is your problem if one wants to convert."

NDTV

 

[rhony]

The chinese made a blunder by imposing one child policy for decades. They are pushing people to have two or even three kids now. Bangladesh made huge strides in family planning and certain sections in India have too. This massive inflation will burn the pockets of people with half dozen kids and teach a lesson. There won't be handouts either. Within a decade, India will have half of it's population under 30. Focus on education and educated will rely on common sense instead of religion about number of kids.

 

[daytrader]

India faces deepening demographic divide as it prepares to overtake China as the world’s most populous country
India’s entrenched north-south divide is growing as its population changes, with serious social and political consequences

The cry of a baby born in India one day next year will herald a watershed moment for the country, when the scales tip and India overtakes China as the world’s most populous nation.

Yet the story of India’s population boom is really two stories. In the north, led by just two states, the population is still rising. In the richer south, numbers are stabilising and in some areas declining. The deepening divisions between these regions mean the government must eventually grapple with a unique problem: the consequences of a baby boom and an ageing population, all inside one nation.

India is currently home to more than 1.39 billion people – four times that of the US and more than 20 times the UK – while 1.41bn live in China. But with 86,000 babies born in India every day, and 49,400 in China, India is on course to take the lead in 2023 and hit 1.65 billion people by 2060.

On 15 November the world’s population will reach a total of 8 billion people. Between now and 2050, over half of the projected increase in the global population will happen in just eight countries: the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Egypt, Ethiopia, Nigeria, Pakistan, the Philippines, the United Republic of Tanzania – and India.

The growth will place huge pressure on India’s resources, economic stability and society, and the repercussions will reach far beyond its borders. As a country on the forefront of the climate crisis, already grappling with extreme weather events 80% of the year, diminishing resources such as water could become decisive factors in what India’s future population looks like.

One country, two stories
Fears of “population explosion” in India – where development caves in beneath the weight of an uncontrollably expanding population and the country’s resources are overrun, leaving millions to starve – have abounded for over a century.

Post independence, India’s population grew at a significant pace; between 1947 and 1997, it went from 350 million to 1 billion. But since the 1980s, various initiatives worked to convince families, particularly those from poorer and marginalised backgrounds who tend to have the most children, of the benefits of family planning. As a result, India’s fertility rate began to fall faster than any of the doomsday “explosion” scenarios had predicted.

A small family is now the norm in India, and with the annual population growth rate less than 1%, fears of population-driven collapse are no longer seen as realistic. In the 1950s, a woman in India would give birth to an average of over six children; today the national average is just over two and still continuing to fall.

Nonetheless, the curbs on population growth have not been uniform across India, and India’s entrenched north-south divide has played out significantly in demographics, with ongoing social and political consequences.

For the next decade, one-third of India’s population increase will come from just two northern states, Bihar and Uttar Pradesh. Bihar, the only state in India where women still typically have more than three children, is not expected to hit population stability – 2.1 children per woman – until 2039. Kerala, India’s most educated, progressive state, hit that figure in 1998.

In Bihar’s poverty stricken area of Kishanganj, which has one of the highest rates of fertility in India, women said they had only recently begun to learn about the benefits of a having fewer children.

The urge to have sons, who in parts of India are still considered much more desirable than daughters, remained a key motivator for women in the village. Surta Devi, 36, said she had six children in order to make sure she had two sons to “carry on our lineage”.

“It was only after I gave birth to all my children that doctors told me about family planning,” said Devi.

Phullo Devi, 55, an illiterate labourer who had six children before she opted for sterilisation, said she wished she had done things differently. “If I had less children, I would have been able to raise them better and been able to educate them,” she said.

But Devi said things were slowly changing in the village. “Now health workers campaign house-to-house and make people aware about contraception and condoms. I absolutely want my sons and daughters to have less children so they don’t have to live in poverty,” she said.

The ‘youth bulge’
A particular demographic challenge, widespread across India but particularly concentrated in poorer northern states, is that of the “youth bulge”. The median age of an Indian is 29 and the country is grappling with a vast, ambitious and increasingly restless young population, the majority of whom are unskilled, and for whom there are not enough schools, universities, training programmes and most of all, not enough jobs. Across India, youth unemployment is 23% and only one in four graduates are employed. While female literacy is growing, only 25% of women in India participate in the workforce.

In Uttar Pradesh, where the median age is 20, there are over 3.4 million unemployed young people. Earlier this year, riots broke out in Bihar after more than twelve million people applied for 35,000 positions in the Indian Railways.

Vishu Yadav, 25, from Ghazipur district in Uttar Pradesh, has a masters degree, an education diploma and passed a teacher eligibility test, but is unemployed, with teaching jobs scarce and over a million people now applying for officer positions in the state civil service. “It’s a depressing, hopeless situation. I am eligible to become a teacher but I can not secure a position. There are too many young people with qualifications and not enough jobs,” he said.

Poonam Muttreja, the executive director of Population Foundation India, said there was still time for this young population to work to India’s benefit.

“India has a fantastic window of opportunity but it will only be there for approximately the next two decades,” said Muttreja. “We have the capacity to tap into the potential of the youth population but we need to invest in adolescent education, health and sexual health right away if we want to reap the benefits.

“Otherwise, our demographic dividend could turn into a demographic disaster.”

Muttreja said India’s youth risk fuelling population growth unless contraception and family planning services are improved, describing the situation as “woefully inadequate”.

Female sterilisation is still the most widely used contraceptive method in India, and that’s mostly by older married women. Of India’s tiny health budget, only 6% is put aside for family planning, and just 0.4% of that is invested in temporary methods such as the contraceptive pill or condoms.

“Currently we have almost 360 million young people, the majority of whom are at a reproductive age, and that number is only going to increase over the next few decades,” Muttreja said.

“The need for more temporary contraception methods is urgent. It will be very problematic if this need is not met.”

According to the UN, there are 10 million unwanted pregnancies in India every year. Abortion is legal in India, but was only legalised for single women this year. It remains taboo for married women and most abortions are carried out by village “quacks”, often with long-term health consequences.

Yet for several states in the south which now have falling populations, another challenge lingers on the horizon, one which is rarely mentioned. In the next 15 years, the average man from the southern state of Tamil Nadu will be 12 years older than someone from Bihar.

“The crisis that the south will soon be facing is that of an ageing population,” said Aparajita Chattopadhyay, a professor at the International Institute for Population Sciences.

“India will soon have over 10% of the population who are ageing, which in our context is a huge number. That presents significant problems in terms of employment, in terms of social security but most of all for healthcare, where spending is still very low and the prevalence of diseases such as diabetes is very high among older people. This should not be ignored.”

A political problem
The north-south divide has also enabled the politicisation of population in India. In the northern state of Uttar Pradesh, ruled by a hardline figure from the Hindu nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), the high population has been used to justify the drafting of a population control bill, proposing coercive methods to ensure two children per couple.

The draft bill is seen by some as a thinly veiled attack on Muslims, fuelled by a pervasive yet inaccurate myth promoted by Hindu nationalists that the number of Muslims is fast outpacing Hindus, as part of a conspiracy by Muslims to become the majority in India. Muslims make up 14% of the population, Hindus are 80%.

“All this talk of population control measures in Uttar Pradesh is only to keep the controversy going and to give Muslims a bad name, stir up hatred and win the Hindu majority vote,” said SY Quraishi, a former Indian civil servant who recently published The Population Myth, a book demolishing the myths around Islam and family planning in India.

“As the data clearly shows, this suggestion of Muslims overtaking the Hindu population is a blatant lie.”

Quraishi emphasised that while Muslims in India do have higher fertility rates than Hindus, this is not due to religion but because Muslims are often poorer, less educated and with less access to health services. The Muslim fertility rate in India is also now falling faster than the Hindu rate.

BJP leader Ashwini Upadhyay recently submitted a petition to the supreme court calling for “an effective population control policy like China” to cope with the “population explosion”, though such policies have been rebuffed by the central BJP government.

Quraishi said rather than trying to emulate China’s population control measures, policymakers in Delhi should take them as a warning.

“In India people used to admire China’s policy of one child norm,” he said. “But now look, China has a population crisis on their hands, 70% of their population are ageing. That should be an important lesson for anyone talking about coercive measures: otherwise in a few decades that could be us too.”

Cities under pressure
Though fears of an Indian “population bomb” have eased, one area already creaks under the strain of a rising population. India’s cities are some of the biggest and overburdened in the world, and in the next few decades they will get even bigger.

India is still largely rural, with about 33% of the population living in cities, but urbanisation is picking up pace. By 2035, 675 million Indians will live in cities and, according to UN projections, by 2050, more Indians will live in urban environments than villages. With a population of 20 million, India’s capital Delhi is already one of the largest and most polluted cities in the world. It’s expected to grow to 28 million by 2041, according to the city masterplan.

In the biggest metropolises of Delhi, Mumbai, Chennai and Kolkata, housing, water, transport and sanitation infrastructure are already struggling to cope, and this will only be exacerbated by climate change. In India’s financial capital Mumbai, which is predicted to grow from 20 million to 27 million by 3025, 40% of people live in slums. In 2019, the city of Chennai ran out of water entirely.

“Urbanisation will drive important changes in this country in the coming decades but at the same time, the quality of life in Indian cities is already deteriorating fast,” said Rumi Aijaz, a fellow at the Delhi thinktank Observer Research Foundation.

“Adaptation of urban areas is one of the biggest challenges India faces as its population grows – but right now the government response is weak.”

What happens next
Despite the continued rise in population in the north over the next few years, India’s overall trajectory is one of declining fertility and eventual population stability. Yet just how far fertility will fall is still up for debate. Unlike in the west, India’s declining fertility rate so far has not coincided with a change in family structure or marriage patterns, such as women choosing to marry and have children later, or not at all.

Instead, so far, the maternal expectations of Indian women have remained largely unchanged; the majority still get married by their early twenties, have two children while relatively young and then stop, often by opting for sterilisation.

As India develops and more women are educated and enter the workforce, experts say fertility norms will continue to shift. Back in the Bihar village of Kishanganj, Nazia Parveen, 19, who is studying at university, said she had already noticed the difference that women’s education had made to the number of children being born locally.

“Now much fewer children are being born in the village and around 60% of the families are using family planning,” she said. “This is such a change from the past when there was no awareness, and it is all because of women’s education. No one of my generation wants to have more than two children.”

The Guardian

 

[ex-q-zit]

India's Population Growth Appears To Be Stabilising: United Nations

New Delhi: As the global population reached 8 billion, the UN said India's population growth appears to be stabilising which shows that the country's national policies and health systems, including access to family planning services, are working.

The world population touched eight billion today and India was the largest contributor to the milestone, having added 177 million people, the United Nations said., noting that for China, which added 73 million people, the projection is its contribution to the next billion in the global population is to be in the negative.

"The good news is that India's population growth appears to be stabilising. The Total Fertility Rate - more or less the average number of children born per woman - has declined from 2.2 to 2.0 at the national level," the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA) said.

A total of 31 states and Union Territories (constituting 69.7 per cent of the country's population) have achieved fertility rates below the replacement level of 2.1, it said.

The main reasons for the decline in fertility include increase in adoption of modern family planning methods (from 47.8 per cent in 2015-16 to 56.5 per cent in 2019-21) and a reduction in unmet need for family planning by four per cent points over the same period, it said.

"This indicates significant improvements in access to family planning related information and services. In summary, it shows that India's national population policies and health systems are working," UN body said.

India is a youthful nation with the largest cohort of young people anywhere in the world, with major potential to achieve its demographic dividend. While many parts of the world are ageing, India's youthful population can be a global resource to solve global problems, the UNFPA said.

While the world's population will continue to grow to around 10.4 billion in the 2080s, the overall rate of growth is slowing down, it said.

The world is more demographically diverse than ever before, with countries facing starkly different population trends ranging from growth to decline, the UNFPA added.

"We must focus on investing in each person to achieve a quality of life that allows them to thrive equally and with dignity in our modern world, building inclusive societies and sustainable economies in the face of overlapping crises.

"And India, coupling efforts to drive gender equality with the greatest youth generation in history, supported by world class innovation in digital public goods, is positioned to help the world achieve the Sustainable Development Goals more than any other," said Shombi Sharp, UN Resident Coordinator in India The UN said two-thirds of the global population lives in a low fertility context, where the lifetime fertility is below 2.1 births per woman.

At the same time, population growth has become increasingly concentrated among the world's poorest countries, most of which are in sub-Saharan Africa.

Against this backdrop, the global community must ensure that all countries, regardless of whether their populations are growing or shrinking, are equipped to provide good quality of life to their people and can lift up and empower their most marginalised sections, the UN said.

NDTV

 

[ex-q-zit]

Supreme Court Rejects Pleas On 2-Child Norm For Controlling Population

New Delhi: The Supreme Court today refused to entertain a batch of pleas, including one seeking steps for enforcing a two-child norm to control the rising population, saying it is for the government to look at the issue.

Citing media reports about India's population stabilising despite the rise in births, the top court said it is not an issue where the court should interfere.

"Population is not something that one fine day it stops," a bench of Justices SK Kaul and AS Oka observed orally.

Advocate Ashwini Kumar Upadhyay, one of the petitioners, said a report from the Law Commission on the issue is very important.

Mr Upadhyay had filed a petition in the top court challenging an order of the Delhi High Court dismissing a plea seeking certain steps, including a two-child norm, to control the rising population.

After the Supreme Court said it was not inclined to entertain the plea, he withdrew it.

Besides his plea, the bench also refused to entertain some other petitions filed on the issue, prompting the advocates to withdraw them.

"How do we go into enacting a legislation?" the bench asked at the outset.

When Mr Upadhyay argued his prayer was intended to press for a direction to the Law Commission to prepare a comprehensive report on the issue, the bench asked how can the commission prepare a report on population explosion.

The bench observed the issue raised was about the two-child norm and it was for the government to consider it.

It said the court cannot go into this as there are several social and family issues involved.

"This is for the government to do," the bench said, asking, "Is this an issue on which we should interfere?"

"We have better things to do," the top court orally observed.

At the end of hearing, Mr Upadhyay said India has around two per cent land and four per cent water but 20 per cent population of the world.

On January 10, 2020, the top court had sought replies from the Centre and others to the plea challenging the high court order.

The appeal had challenged the September 3, 2019 high court order which said it was for Parliament and state legislatures to enact laws and not for the court.

The plea said the high court failed to appreciate that the right to clean air, right to drinking water, right to health, right to peaceful sleep, right to shelter, right to livelihood and right to education guaranteed under Articles 21 and 21A of the Constitution could not be secured to all citizens without controlling the population explosion.

The plea in the high court alleged the population of India had marched ahead of China, as about 20 per cent of Indians did not have Aadhaar and, therefore, were not accounted for, and there were also crores of Rohingyas and Bangladeshis living illegally in the country.

It had claimed the "population explosion is also the root cause of corruption", apart from being a contributory factor behind heinous crimes like rape and domestic violence.

NDTV

 

[SalimBhai]

Indias population was going to stabilize. Thats what I have been reading for years. Family planning initiatives have been working. Pakistan population is going to double in a few decades I believe, 2050 will be over 440 million ( I think I got the year right).We domino even have enough land to house these people.. Obviously no jobs, food, education. The way the world is going, everything is getting automated. Less and less Pakistanis will be able to abroad to send money back home. So who will take care of these people....

 

[GreenBee]

Supreme Court Rejects Pleas On 2-Child Norm For Controlling Population

New Delhi: The Supreme Court today refused to entertain a batch of pleas, including one seeking steps for enforcing a two-child norm to control the rising population, saying it is for the government to look at the issue.

Citing media reports about India's population stabilising despite the rise in births, the top court said it is not an issue where the court should interfere.

"Population is not something that one fine day it stops," a bench of Justices SK Kaul and AS Oka observed orally.

Advocate Ashwini Kumar Upadhyay, one of the petitioners, said a report from the Law Commission on the issue is very important.

Mr Upadhyay had filed a petition in the top court challenging an order of the Delhi High Court dismissing a plea seeking certain steps, including a two-child norm, to control the rising population.

After the Supreme Court said it was not inclined to entertain the plea, he withdrew it.

Besides his plea, the bench also refused to entertain some other petitions filed on the issue, prompting the advocates to withdraw them.

"How do we go into enacting a legislation?" the bench asked at the outset.

When Mr Upadhyay argued his prayer was intended to press for a direction to the Law Commission to prepare a comprehensive report on the issue, the bench asked how can the commission prepare a report on population explosion.

The bench observed the issue raised was about the two-child norm and it was for the government to consider it.

It said the court cannot go into this as there are several social and family issues involved.

"This is for the government to do," the bench said, asking, "Is this an issue on which we should interfere?"

"We have better things to do," the top court orally observed.

At the end of hearing, Mr Upadhyay said India has around two per cent land and four per cent water but 20 per cent population of the world.

On January 10, 2020, the top court had sought replies from the Centre and others to the plea challenging the high court order.

The appeal had challenged the September 3, 2019 high court order which said it was for Parliament and state legislatures to enact laws and not for the court.

The plea said the high court failed to appreciate that the right to clean air, right to drinking water, right to health, right to peaceful sleep, right to shelter, right to livelihood and right to education guaranteed under Articles 21 and 21A of the Constitution could not be secured to all citizens without controlling the population explosion.

The plea in the high court alleged the population of India had marched ahead of China, as about 20 per cent of Indians did not have Aadhaar and, therefore, were not accounted for, and there were also crores of Rohingyas and Bangladeshis living illegally in the country.

It had claimed the "population explosion is also the root cause of corruption", apart from being a contributory factor behind heinous crimes like rape and domestic violence.

NDTV

Kinda agree with Supreme Court here. India's population growth is going down organically and will plateau and reverse well within our lifetime. Enforcing 2 child rule may not be a great idea.

 

[sweep_shot]

Not surprised.

China had a one child policy for a long time while India didn't have any such policy. So, it was a matter of time for India to overtake China in population.

 

[daytrader]

China’s population falls for first time in more than 60 years
Shift marks the start of a long period of population decline as China wrestles with demographic time bomb

China has entered an “era of negative population growth”, after figures revealed a historic drop in the number of people for the first time since 1961.

The country had 1.41175 billion people at the end of 2022, compared with 1.41260 billion a year earlier, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Tuesday, a drop of 850,000. It marked the beginning of what is expected to be a long period of population decline, despite major government efforts to reverse the trend.

Speaking on the eve of the data’s release, Cai Fang, vice-chairman of the Agriculture and Rural Affairs Committee of the National People’s Congress, said China’s population had reached its peak in 2022, much earlier than expected. “Experts in the fields of population and economics have predicted that by 2022 or no later than 2023, my country will enter an era of negative population growth,” Cai said.

...
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...on-falls-for-first-time-in-more-than-60-years

 

[daytrader]

India To Overtake China's Population This Year By Nearly 3 Million: UN
The United States is a distant third, with an estimated population of 340 million, the data showed.

India is on its way to become the world's most populous country, overtaking China with almost 3 million more people in the middle of this year, data released on Wednesday by the United Nations showed.
The demographic data from the United Nations Population Fund's (UNFPA) "State of World Population Report, 2023" estimates India's population at 1,428.6 million or 1.4286 billion against 1.4257 billion for China.

The United States is a distant third, with an estimated population of 340 million, the data showed. The data reflects information available as of February 2023, the report said.

Population experts using previous data from the UN have projected India would go past China this month. But the latest report from the global body did not specify a date for when the change would take place.

UN population officials have said it was not possible to specify a date due to "uncertainty" about the data coming out of India and China, especially since India's last census was conducted in 2011 and the next one due in 2021 has been delayed due to the pandemic.

Although India and China will account for more than one-third of the estimated global population of 8.045 billion, the population growth in both Asian giants has been slowing, at a much faster pace in China than in India.

...
https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/ind...-million-un-3960334#pfrom=home-ndtv_topscroll

 

[MenInG]

India is set to overtake China to become the most populous country in the world by the middle of this year, data released by the United Nations shows.

India's population is pegged at 1,428.6 million against China's 1,425.7 million by the middle of the year.

This shows India will have 2.9 million more people than its Asian neighbour.

The Asian giants have more than 1.4 billion people each, and have accounted for more than a third of the global population for over 70 years.

India's population number, however, is an estimate since there has been no Census in the country after 2011.

Also, the UN says their estimate does not include the population of China's two Special Administrative Regions - Hong Kong and Macau - and the island of Taiwan, which Beijing sees as a breakaway province to be unified with the mainland one day. But Taiwan sees itself as distinct from the Chinese mainland, with its own constitution and democratically-elected leaders.

In November, the global population crossed 8bn. But experts say growth is not as rapid as it used to be and is now at its slowest rate since 1950.

BBC

 

[MenInG]

 

[daytrader]

Chinese state media slams ‘hype’ about India’s population boom
Government mouthpiece accuses Western media of using China’s population decline to ‘bad mouth’ country.
Western media reports on China’s population being overtaken by India deliberately ignore China’s development, using the topic to “bad mouth” it and advocate decoupling, China’s state broadcaster CCTV has said.

CCTV’s sharply worded commentary on Thursday said the subtext from Western media in recent years was that China’s development was in “big trouble” and that when the country’s demographic dividend disappears, it will decline and the global economy will also suffer.

“They slandered all the way and China has developed all the way, creating a miracle of sustainable and stable economic development with a huge population,” CCTV said.

India is overtaking China as the world’s most populous nation and will have almost 3 million more people than its neighbour by the middle of this year, data released on Wednesday by the United Nations showed.

“The United States is stepping up efforts to contain China’s development and advocate further decoupling and found new hype points from the United Nations report,” CCTV said, adding that the West simply equated population size with development achievements.

“Such hype lacks a basic understanding of the law of population development. With the development of human society today, the decrease in birth rate and decline in willingness to bear children are common problems faced by the whole world.”

CCTV added that Western developed countries generally faced problems such as labour shortages.

...
https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2...media-slams-hype-about-indias-population-boom

 

[Major]

The chinese made a blunder by imposing one child policy for decades. They are pushing people to have two or even three kids now. Bangladesh made huge strides in family planning and certain sections in India have too. This massive inflation will burn the pockets of people with half dozen kids and teach a lesson. There won't be handouts either. Within a decade, India will have half of it's population under 30. Focus on education and educated will rely on common sense instead of religion about number of kids.

why was it a blunder? what were the repercussions of that policy?

 

[Ahmad-GERMANFC]

why was it a blunder? what were the repercussions of that policy?

The average age is very high. So the smaller younger population is having to support the older population

 

[JaDed]

Man Australia-New Zealand, Scandinavia are so ahead in per capita contribution to all fields it’s insane.

Skorea is almost double of Nkorea .