Nah....you got me wrong bud.
You honestly thought I wouldn't think of that when I typed out my reply?
Here's a bit of context since you don't like stats too much:
An upcoming international player should not be judged solely by his international stats cos he may take a while to find his groove and become consistent.
If the player has good domestic stats, it proves that he is consistent and just needs some time to do the same in the international circuit.
If however the same player has equally bad domestic stats, then that shows a TREND of how the player performs consistency wise.
Now could he buck the trend and correct his records in the international circuit?
Sure he can. For that he has to transform and go to the next level. It takes time to get there. Usually for majority of cricketers that doesn't happen but for some it does. But the likelihood of someone transforming all of a sudden with no prior indication is very low which is why Stokes's price for IPL is high.
I never got into the whole Stokes vs Shakib AR overall comparison but my point was more geared towards T20 and also IPL.
As for T20s, here's what happened when Stokes and Shakib played them in India:
Stokes played 6 games taking 4 wickets averaging 44 with a economy of 9.58.
Shakib layed 6 games taking 10 wickets averaging 16 with an economy of 7.21.
Even amongst pacers, Stokes numbers are right down below. Rabada also sucked in that tourney economy wise but he picked more wickets and most importantly, his domestic and T20I stats show that he is a good wicket taker with okayish economy for a pacer.
This is called using stats the right way and that's what I meant by saying stats is not a bad word.
Now I am not saying Stokes will flop for sure but if trends are anything to go by, he ain't gonna magically become a good averaging low economy bowler in IPL. He really has to transform to do that and with no indicators as of now, its just unlikely.
Possible but unlikely.