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It’s Babar or bust as Pakistan attempt to end their 24-year wait for a Test series win in England

Abdullah719

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Thanks to [MENTION=53290]Markhor[/MENTION] for this writeup.


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Pakistan’s sixteenth Test tour of England could not come in more unusual circumstances. Placed in a biosecure bubble, Pakistan’s players have had no physical contact with the outside world for a month as they prepare for their first international assignment since the COVID-19 pandemic.

Pakistan’s own participation in the series was placed in jeopardy by several players testing positive for COVID-19. Nevertheless, isolation could be advantageous. Few touring teams enjoy the opportunity of an entire month to acclimatise to overseas conditions. With no choice but to maintain each other’s company, bonds within the team will be stronger in contrast to the often fractious Pakistani dressing rooms of the past. And they will have observed West Indies face their trial by swing in three Tests against England.

Pakistan’s preparations have not been without a hitch. With no county opposition to practice against, several intra-squad matches were arranged with the latest in Derby calling into question their techniques against lateral movement. “Team Green” consisted of Pakistan’s first-choice batsmen only mustered 113 in the 1st innings against their reserve bowlers as 36 year old veteran Sohail Khan took 5-37.

Opening pair Shan Masood and Abid Ali plundered weak Sri Lanka and Bangladesh bowling during the home season in favourable conditions, but have struggled in the warmups. After several unsuccessful spells in the side, Shan looked like yet another Pakistani opener thrown onto the scrapheap. However, after working with Alastair Cook’s former batting coach Gary Palmer – Shan Masood V2.0 looks unrecognisable averaging 44 since his return in 2018 which includes tough trips to South Africa and Australia. England though have had little problem dispatching Shan who averages 16 against the hosts.

Abid meanwhile comes into the series having made an electric start to his Test career with two hundreds in his first three Tests. Abid is a late bloomer having possessed an indifferent domestic First-class record until 2015 when since he has averaged 49 – significantly better than the majority of Pakistani openers.
However many batsmen have looked like lions at home and kittens abroad, and Abid will face a sterner challenge from James Anderson and Stuart Broad than he did last winter.

The middle-order presents an even more uncertain picture. With Misbah-ul-Haq and Younis Khan settling into backroom roles, senior batsmen Azhar Ali and Asad Shafiq have been asked to fill their shoes. Neither has convinced. While Shafiq occasionally threatens to look like the top-class batsmen Pakistan hoped to see after 10 years of investment only to revert back into an infuriating cycle of inconsistency, captain Azhar’s form has fallen off a cliff averaging just 28 since the departure of Misbah and Younis in 2017. In away Tests, that average is a shocking 12. It’s not unreasonable to state that further failure in England ought to spell the end of Azhar’s Test career. At the age of 35, Azhar’s reflexes have slowed meaning his previously strong handeye coordination can no longer mask technical weaknesses.

That means for Pakistan – it’s Babar or bust. Babar Azam over the last 18 months has grown into the world-class batsman that wouldn’t look out place in the company of Virat Kohli, Steve Smith, Kane Williamson and Joe Root. While Babar took to white ball cricket like a duck to water, red ball success was initially difficult with his first Test hundred coming in his 17th Test in Dubai. Since then, Babar averages 64. Possessing a sumptuous array of frontfoot and backfoot strokeplay, Babar is the most watchable batsman in Pakistan. The moving Dukes ball though will require him to put away those drives early on, but if Babar gets a score – Pakistan’s bowlers are in the game.

Much is said of Pakistan’s fast bowling legacy. The truth however is since January 2018, Pakistan has the eighth best pace bowling average and are significantly behind their neighbour India in terms of average, strike rate and number of 5-fers. The emergence of left-arm Shaheen Afridi provides optimism though. Having developed his inswinger to right-handers, Shaheen will form a threatening new ball combination with the metronomic Mohammad Abbas who was superb on the last tour of England in 2018.

However, it’s 17 year old Naseem Shah that’s set pulses racing though, impressing pundits with a Dennis Lillee inspired action, 90mph pace and swing. Naseem took 4 wickets in the warmup in Derby, troubling Pakistan’s senior batsmen even with a shorter runup. Pakistan must be judicious in managing the youngster’s workload given Naseem’s previous history of back injuries.

The spin department is uncertain with Yasir Shah’s form declining over the past two years. The return of Mushtaq Ahmed to the coaching staff may help the leggie, but his record away from home on non-turning pitches is poor. Kashif Bhatti may be handed a Test debut to provide control necessary to give the pacemen a rest.

What could be Pakistan’s biggest opponent is their own fitness. Three back-to-back Tests after several months without international cricket will extract a toll on the body – and Pakistan has never had a reputation for physical endurance. Rotation of the fast bowlers is expected, and a five man attack may be necessary. However having observed Pakistan’s batting fragility in Derby, coach Misbah may shun the option of an all-rounder in Shadab Khan, whose own form is unimpressive, and opt for six specialist batsmen. If Pakistan can produce 300-350 in their 1st innings and provide enough runs for their bowlers to defend, they have every chance of ending the wait for their first Test series win in England in 1996.

The signs so far suggest that’s a big if.
 
Excellent as usual and does fill me up with some hope for Pakistan; Wouldnt it be great if Babar and Naseem/Shaheen are the heroes of this series? Would do wonders for our future!
 
Great post. Babar loves English conditions in limited overs cricket and he was doing solid in his only test innings here 2 years ago. Really looking forward to how he does this tour.
 
To add a prediction onto that, going for a 2-1 win for England.

I'd expect us to get at least one win from the 2nd or 3rd Test as the slower Southampton wicket should suit us more than the bouncier Old Trafford surface.
 
Excellent write up as always.

I hope our top 3 can stay on the wicket for long enough to see off the new ball, then our middle order can come into play.
 
Head to Head in England
No. of Series = 15


1954 Series - 4 Tests - Drawn 1-1
1962 Series - 5 Tests - England 4-0
1967 Series - 3 Tests - England 2-0
1971 Series - 3 Tests - England 1-0
1974 Series - 3 Tests - Drawn 0-0
1978 Series - 3 Tests - England 2-0
1982 Series - 3 Tests - England 2-1
1987 Series - 5 Tests - Pakistan 1-0
1992 Series - 5 Tests - Pakistan 2-1
1996 Series - 3 Tests - Pakistan 2-0

2001 Series - 2 Tests - Drawn 1-1
2006 Series - 4 Tests - England 3-0
2010 Series - 4 Tests - England 3-1
2016 Series - 4 Tests - Drawn 2-2
2018 Series - 2 Tests - Drawn 1-1

Series own:
Pakistan Won: 3 Lost: 7 Drawn: 5
England Won: 7 Lost: 3 Drawn: 5


Total matches played -53
England won -21
Pakistan won - 11
Drawn - 21

1987,1992 and 1996 was Pakistan golden era, hat-trick series :14:
 
How you earth, there were 4 draws in 1987 series? Unless it was rain which resulted in very little game time

Can someone please link me to that series
 
England should be disappointed if they don’t whitewash us.

We are pathetic.
 
Interested in the battle between England batters and Pak bowlers.
 
This is the moment of truth for Babar. He has already established himself as one of the best in the business in the shorter formats. And in the last year and half has made a lot of progress in test cricket. If he performs even close to how he has performed recently, he may begin to be talked about alongside the Kohlis and Williamsons of the world.

Really, could be a career-defing series for him. Especially since the bowling attack he'll be facing is as good as gets for those conditions.
 
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Absolutely anything can happen.
There is no guarantee that we get the pre lockdown Babar, but at the same time I am hoping our quicks can get into England.
Don't expect their top 3 to do much against our quicks.

Can our 7-11 chip in with 80 runs an innings and match England's .

Naseem is their to sweep the tail this time also.

A lot could depend on how England look to rotate, but our batsmen need to totally own Dom Bess.

Also we need some support for Babar from the top 3.

If Azhar Ali bats time, I back us to win. All on the captain!!
 
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England should be disappointed if they don’t whitewash us.

We are pathetic.

Yep they should be, just like the last 4 series we have played. They haven't beaten us for a decade, so hell yeah they should be disappointed!!
Lol
 
England should be disappointed if they don’t whitewash us.

We are pathetic.


Eng drops a test against all teams at home. Whitewash is bit too much for Eng even if Pakistan does not play well in series.
 
Yep they should be, just like the last 4 series we have played. They haven't beaten us for a decade, so hell yeah they should be disappointed!!
Lol

Pakistan were a better side than England in 1987, 1992 and 1996. England have been the better side since the early 2000s and that is why they beat us in 2006 and 2010.

In the 2010 decade, they were the better side but we were their bogey team. In the 2020 era, normalcy will be restored and our mid-table losers will start losing in England just like they lose in all other major countries.
 
I am surprised to hear that Pakistan have not won a series there for 24 years. They always seems to do well in English conditions, so this comes as a surprise for me.

Anyway, this will be a cracker of a series and I will watch for sure.
 
Who would be Commentating from Pakistan Side?
Has anyone travelled?
Any idea [MENTION=9]Saj[/MENTION] [MENTION=133760]Abdullah719[/MENTION]
 
Pakistan were a better side than England in 1987, 1992 and 1996. England have been the better side since the early 2000s and that is why they beat us in 2006 and 2010.

In the 2010 decade, they were the better side but we were their bogey team. In the 2020 era, normalcy will be restored and our mid-table losers will start losing in England just like they lose in all other major countries.

Mate I'm in agreement with you. England should almost be ashamed of themselves if they don't beat us. Especially as they have just played 3 tests and we have to be going in cold. Let's see how we go!
 
Mate I'm in agreement with you. England should almost be ashamed of themselves if they don't beat us. Especially as they have just played 3 tests and we have to be going in cold. Let's see how we go!

Pakistan are better side than west indies
 
Pakistan are better side than west indies

Yes but match fitness and game time is very very important.

I would fancy us if our batters had just played 3 tests and England had to come in cold
Our quicks I have no concern about
 
I think it will be a great series. Pakistan is a much much stronger team than WI. I am betting on Babar, Naseem, SSA, Abid Ali to do well, and hopefully Azhar Ali, Mohd Abbas and Asad Shafiq use their experience to chip in and contribute. It will be a challenge to counter Stokes, Broad, Archer and Jimmy Anderson but Pakistan has some good batters, the key is to stay at the wicket, WI batsmen were all getting 50s but could not make 100s, if Pak batsmen can manage a few 100s, then the game is on. My guess 1-1 with rain washing out one match. I can't wait for the series to start. I am with my desi brothers. (I always am unless we are playing against each other).
 
If Pak had played 3 tests by now IK and SK would be in first choice attack after overbowling into ground of youngsters.
 
Yes but match fitness and game time is very very important.

I would fancy us if our batters had just played 3 tests and England had to come in cold
Our quicks I have no concern about

Is match fitness more important for bowlers or batters

Pakistan have played 3 intra matches plus they customised to conditions
 
I think it will be a great series. Pakistan is a much much stronger team than WI. I am betting on Babar, Naseem, SSA, Abid Ali to do well, and hopefully Azhar Ali, Mohd Abbas and Asad Shafiq use their experience to chip in and contribute. It will be a challenge to counter Stokes, Broad, Archer and Jimmy Anderson but Pakistan has some good batters, the key is to stay at the wicket, WI batsmen were all getting 50s but could not make 100s, if Pak batsmen can manage a few 100s, then the game is on. My guess 1-1 with rain washing out one match. I can't wait for the series to start. I am with my desi brothers. (I always am unless we are playing against each other).

I expect azhar shafiq babar rizwan to get atleast 1 each with babar getting 2 or 3
 
Is match fitness more important for bowlers or batters

Pakistan have played 3 intra matches plus they customised to conditions

Sorry I didn't mean match fitness, I meant match conditions.
There were only 2 warm ups and 1 was rain affected
 
Is match fitness more important for bowlers or batters

Pakistan have played 3 intra matches plus they customised to conditions

Sorry I didn't mean match fitness, I meant match conditions.
There were only 2 warm ups and 1 was rain affected.
You got to remember the guys are coming of a long lay off
 
Pakistan were a better side than England in 1987, 1992 and 1996. England have been the better side since the early 2000s and that is why they beat us in 2006 and 2010.

In the 2010 decade, they were the better side but we were their bogey team. In the 2020 era, normalcy will be restored and our mid-table losers will start losing in England just like they lose in all other major countries.

Even in 2006 and 2010 their wins were hardly dominant.

The 2006 series we had handful of important injuries on the even of the test series with Asif and Akhtar missing out which was a huge miss. England feasted on the replacements namely Shahid Nazir and Mohammad Sami. In the final game, Asif returned and we were on way to win the match till Oval-gate happened. And then that 2-0 became a 3-0.

2010 we had lost the first 2 but had a great comeback in the 3rd test and in the 4th we started very well till the whole ball tampering fiasco derailed the whole match and we obv lost out of shame if nothing else.

Now Im not making any excuses for those series losses but just stating that the gap wasn't as vast as the scoreline suggests. Same story for England's 3-0 loss in 2012 UAE for example where scoreline didnt reflect the on field stuff necessarily
 
Even in 2006 and 2010 their wins were hardly dominant.

The 2006 series we had handful of important injuries on the even of the test series with Asif and Akhtar missing out which was a huge miss. England feasted on the replacements namely Shahid Nazir and Mohammad Sami. In the final game, Asif returned and we were on way to win the match till Oval-gate happened. And then that 2-0 became a 3-0.

2010 we had lost the first 2 but had a great comeback in the 3rd test and in the 4th we started very well till the whole ball tampering fiasco derailed the whole match and we obv lost out of shame if nothing else.

Now Im not making any excuses for those series losses but just stating that the gap wasn't as vast as the scoreline suggests. Same story for England's 3-0 loss in 2012 UAE for example where scoreline didnt reflect the on field stuff necessarily

The main reason is that pitches in England are not particularly bouncy. Our batsmen are okay against swing and seam but they cannot handle bounce at all. That is why we are awful in Australia and get whitewashed in South Africa frequently as well.
 
Pakistan's middle order is honestly better than englands
England have a makeshift middle order . They dont really have one. No way are england going to have this series all their own way
 
The main reason is that pitches in England are not particularly bouncy. Our batsmen are okay against swing and seam but they cannot handle bounce at all. That is why we are awful in Australia and get whitewashed in South Africa frequently as well.

True. And maybe also coz lot of them play league cricket there in the off season when there is no international duties. Obv there is no comparison in quality but being used to the conditions and environment must make a difference
 
Even in 2006 and 2010 their wins were hardly dominant.

The 2006 series we had handful of important injuries on the even of the test series with Asif and Akhtar missing out which was a huge miss. England feasted on the replacements namely Shahid Nazir and Mohammad Sami. In the final game, Asif returned and we were on way to win the match till Oval-gate happened. And then that 2-0 became a 3-0.

2010 we had lost the first 2 but had a great comeback in the 3rd test and in the 4th we started very well till the whole ball tampering fiasco derailed the whole match and we obv lost out of shame if nothing else.

Now Im not making any excuses for those series losses but just stating that the gap wasn't as vast as the scoreline suggests. Same story for England's 3-0 loss in 2012 UAE for example where scoreline didnt reflect the on field stuff necessarily

In 2006, a full strength PK would have beaten England as happened in 2005.
 
I hope we don't exclusively rely on Babar in the series. Let's hope that the likes of Masood, AA and AS also remember that they are here to score runs. He is a good player but he is also due for a bad run. I have a gut feeling that he may struggle but nothing will give me more pleasure to see him play like the good young player that he is.
 
Pakistan's middle order is honestly better than englands
England have a makeshift middle order . They dont really have one. No way are england going to have this series all their own way

Agreed
 
How you earth, there were 4 draws in 1987 series? Unless it was rain which resulted in very little game time

Can someone please link me to that series

I think In the fifth test match Pakistan made 708 in the first innings!
 
I read somewhere even inthe early days of covid that misbah u h had called for online training sessions and focussing on keeping fit...which i thought was a terrific system, i wish my team india had done this....but then they have the IPL and hopefully that prepares them for the ardous aus tour. ....however, coming back to this series, Pak players have arrived almost a month back, settleed with the new restrictions and got adjusted to conditions. With this good bowling attack, your batsmen need to aim for 350 odd , i d back Shan maqsood to succeed, i liked his backfoot play in the saf series...and if you get 350, you can exert pressure on a not so hot eng batting...i mean remove stokes and root and possibly buttler, you can get them inside 150-200. take 5 bats + riz 4 quicks + YS....this will be an exciting series for this neutral....cheers
 
Pakistan's middle order is honestly better than englands
England have a makeshift middle order . They dont really have one. No way are england going to have this series all their own way

Makeshift or not, it is better than our middle-order.

Root is better than Azhar
Babar is better than Pope
Stokes is better than Shafiq
Buttler is better than Rizwan

In a combined Pakistan-England middle order, only Babar will get in from Pakistan.
 
Makeshift or not, it is better than our middle-order.

Root is better than Azhar
Babar is better than Pope
Stokes is better than Shafiq
Buttler is better than Rizwan

In a combined Pakistan-England middle order, only Babar will get in from Pakistan.

Except your comparisons leave some real room for manipulation. What if I compared Babar (the best bat) to Root instead of Pope?

Babar is better than Root
Shafiq is better than Pope
Stokes is better than Azhar
Rizwan is better than Buttler

These man to man comparisons are futile.
 
Except your comparisons leave some real room for manipulation. What if I compared Babar (the best bat) to Root instead of Pope?

Babar is better than Root
Shafiq is better than Pope
Stokes is better than Azhar
Rizwan is better than Buttler

These man to man comparisons are futile.

I am comparing by batting position.

Root and Azhar will bat at 3
Pope and Babar will bat at 4
Stokes and Shafiq will bat at 5
Rizwan and Buttler will bat at 6

It is ridiculous to say that Rizwan is better than Buttler. Buttler is an insanely talented player who is going through a lean patch; Rizwan has never showed the ceiling Buttler has. He is just decent at best.

Also, Pope is better than Shafiq. He can average close to 50 in Test cricket but Shafiq’s ceiling is 39-40.

As far as Babar vs Root is concerned, both are elite batsmen who should end their careers with 50+ average, but I wouldn’t put Babar above Root just yet.

Root is still quite young and in spite of his lean patch in recent years, his best years as batsman are still ahead of him and he already has great pedigree as Test batsman.

Babar is still quite unproven in Test cricket, but of course his abilities cannot be doubted.
 
I am comparing by batting position.

Root and Azhar will bat at 3
Pope and Babar will bat at 4
Stokes and Shafiq will bat at 5
Rizwan and Buttler will bat at 6

It is ridiculous to say that Rizwan is better than Buttler. Buttler is an insanely talented player who is going through a lean patch; Rizwan has never showed the ceiling Buttler has. He is just decent at best.

Also, Pope is better than Shafiq. He can average close to 50 in Test cricket but Shafiq’s ceiling is 39-40.

As far as Babar vs Root is concerned, both are elite batsmen who should end their careers with 50+ average, but I wouldn’t put Babar above Root just yet.

Root is still quite young and in spite of his lean patch in recent years, his best years as batsman are still ahead of him and he already has great pedigree as Test batsman.

Babar is still quite unproven in Test cricket, but of course his abilities cannot be doubted.

Except we’re not talking about ceilings. We’re talking strictly about how the boys will perform right now. Buttler as you say is going through a lean patch, while Rizwan is near the top of his low ceiling.

Similarly, Pope is yet to find his feet as a test cricketer, and didn’t exactly have a breakout series against WI. The best he will do against Pakistan is a few 20-30 scores with an odd 50. Shafiq, meanwhile, can be counted on for 30-40 scores with the odd 50.

And finally, Root is indeed quite young but he is not finding good runs, only cashing in at the end of the WI series when the bowling had begun to look toothless. He will have a good series against Pak, but not a mammoth one.

As I said, man to man comparisons are futile. You can spin the story any which way you want to.
 
Except we’re not talking about ceilings. We’re talking strictly about how the boys will perform right now. Buttler as you say is going through a lean patch, while Rizwan is near the top of his low ceiling.

Similarly, Pope is yet to find his feet as a test cricketer, and didn’t exactly have a breakout series against WI. The best he will do against Pakistan is a few 20-30 scores with an odd 50. Shafiq, meanwhile, can be counted on for 30-40 scores with the odd 50.

And finally, Root is indeed quite young but he is not finding good runs, only cashing in at the end of the WI series when the bowling had begun to look toothless. He will have a good series against Pak, but not a mammoth one.

As I said, man to man comparisons are futile. You can spin the story any which way you want to.

The chances of Buttler scoring runs against an attack of Abbas, Shaheen, Naseem and Yasir are greater than the chances of Rizwan scoring runs against Anderson, Broad, Archer and Woakes.

Similarly, Pope scored 91 in his last innings. He is averaging 43 after playing all his matches against quality attacks of India, South Africa, New Zealand and to an extent West Indies so far. That is a highly impressive record.

Considering the above, he is clearly finding his feet to a very good extent since he has not had the chance to fill his boots against weak attacks yet. West Indies’ attack was the weakest he has faced so far, and they cannot be categorized as weak by any means.

As far as recent form is concerned, it is usually never a factor against Pakistan. Our bowling is almost always overrated because we are not smart and lack discipline, and many struggling batsmen have found their form against our bowling.

It will not be surprising in any way if Root and Buttler have prolific series against us after struggling against other attacks for a while.

No matter how you look at it, England have a considerable advantage over Pakistan in man to man comparison. Only 2-3 Pakistani players would get into the England side.
 
Looking forward to see Babar and our bowlers in this series, as usual. I have a good feeling this time. England's batting is not as it used to be, but their bowlers can blow us away quite cheaply. Need to play the new ball well here to have a chance.
 
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-partner="tweetdeck"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Babar Azam in Test cricket in the last 12 months:<br><br>Matches 5<br>Innings 8<br>Runs 615<br>Hundreds 4<br>Fifties 2<br>Average 102.50<a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Cricket?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Cricket</a></p>— Saj Sadiq (@Saj_PakPassion) <a href="https://twitter.com/Saj_PakPassion/status/1290692823151521792?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 4, 2020</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 
Except your comparisons leave some real room for manipulation. What if I compared Babar (the best bat) to Root instead of Pope?

Babar is better than Root
Shafiq is better than Pope
Stokes is better than Azhar
Rizwan is better than Buttler

These man to man comparisons are futile.

Root is better than Babar right now

It is ridiculous to suggest that Rizwan is better than Buttler

I don’t know too much about Pope but Shafiq isn’t an elite level player either so even if better it’s not huge advantage
 
I said it a month or so ago in another thread but people who are acting as if Pakistan’s batting lineup is vastly superior to England’s are living in a fools world and are in for a shock.

Pakistan’s batting is definitely more experienced but England’s have much higher ceiling. Even currently they are evenly matched and perhaps pakistan is slightly more solid but that doesn’t take into account some English batsmen having breakthroughs or the fact that they have more experience now which would have improved their game.
 
Babar doing an excellent job now - after an initial period of concentration
 
Seems Babar will have to do something superhuman to even draw the series for Pakistan!
 
Seems Babar will have to do something superhuman to even draw the series for Pakistan!

It's Babar or bust as Pakistan attempt to draw this match, let alone the series. He's had a quiet series thus far but needs to produce something spectacular if Pakistan want to escape without a loss.
 
Disappointing for Babar - seemed to be doing ok but not to be - one more chance now.

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