It's the 23rd of May. The First Test in England is now 74 days - 10 and a half weeks - away.
And uniquely Pakistan will be taking a 25 man squad for the duration, to cover both Tests and T20is. For once there is a genuine prospect of someone like Haris Rauf or Mohammad Hasnain bowling his way into the Test team on his performances as a red ball net bowler. And while Misbah has a strong preference for Musa Khan and Imran Khan, I think we can all see that Hasnain and Rauf have vastly more red ball potential than either of them.
Pakistan is clearly going to struggle with its batting. Misbah will rely upon Azhar Ali and Haris Sohail to occupy two of the six specialist slots even though they average 12.12 and 25 respectively away over the last two years.
So Pakistan will be reliant upon EITHER:
1. Picking two all-rounders as well as Mohammad Rizwan, to ensure that numbers 6-8 deliver the runs that numbers 3 and 5 will fail to produce, OR
2. Picking four top class quick bowlers in the starting eleven to try to dismiss England as cheaply as possible.
Pakistan will clearly pick Shaheen Shah Afridi and Naseem Shah in the attack. And probably Mohammad Abbas too.
They will need to decide whether they trust Yasir Shah, who has a terrible record in England outside London, or whether they pick Shadab Khan and four quicks.
If they do pick four quicks, they have another big decision to take. Do they trust Haris Rauf or Mohammad Hasnain to manage the heavier workload of a Test, in which they are likely to have to bowl 40 overs in 5 days?
Clearly neither Hasnain nor Rauf can be picked as part of a three pace bowler attack, which would lift their workload to 20-25 overs per day.
But if Pakistan picks four quicks each one only has to bowl 15-18 overs per day.
And that opens up the possibility that Hasnain or Rauf - or even both of them - could be taken primarily for the T20 squad but could actually play 1 or more Tests each.
All the evidence so far is this. If Shaheen and Naseem are part of a 3 man pace attack they will be overbowled and will lose pace and control. But if they are part of a four man pace attack, their own level of dengerousness will increase.
There are ten weeks to go. I cannot see why the PCB cannot start to increase the Hasnain and Rauf workloads now, in camp, to ensure that they can reliably bowl 10 overs per day by 20 June and 15 overs per day by 20 July. And then lift their workloads slightly higher to peak at 20 overs per day by the First Test.
And uniquely Pakistan will be taking a 25 man squad for the duration, to cover both Tests and T20is. For once there is a genuine prospect of someone like Haris Rauf or Mohammad Hasnain bowling his way into the Test team on his performances as a red ball net bowler. And while Misbah has a strong preference for Musa Khan and Imran Khan, I think we can all see that Hasnain and Rauf have vastly more red ball potential than either of them.
Pakistan is clearly going to struggle with its batting. Misbah will rely upon Azhar Ali and Haris Sohail to occupy two of the six specialist slots even though they average 12.12 and 25 respectively away over the last two years.
So Pakistan will be reliant upon EITHER:
1. Picking two all-rounders as well as Mohammad Rizwan, to ensure that numbers 6-8 deliver the runs that numbers 3 and 5 will fail to produce, OR
2. Picking four top class quick bowlers in the starting eleven to try to dismiss England as cheaply as possible.
Pakistan will clearly pick Shaheen Shah Afridi and Naseem Shah in the attack. And probably Mohammad Abbas too.
They will need to decide whether they trust Yasir Shah, who has a terrible record in England outside London, or whether they pick Shadab Khan and four quicks.
If they do pick four quicks, they have another big decision to take. Do they trust Haris Rauf or Mohammad Hasnain to manage the heavier workload of a Test, in which they are likely to have to bowl 40 overs in 5 days?
Clearly neither Hasnain nor Rauf can be picked as part of a three pace bowler attack, which would lift their workload to 20-25 overs per day.
But if Pakistan picks four quicks each one only has to bowl 15-18 overs per day.
And that opens up the possibility that Hasnain or Rauf - or even both of them - could be taken primarily for the T20 squad but could actually play 1 or more Tests each.
All the evidence so far is this. If Shaheen and Naseem are part of a 3 man pace attack they will be overbowled and will lose pace and control. But if they are part of a four man pace attack, their own level of dengerousness will increase.
There are ten weeks to go. I cannot see why the PCB cannot start to increase the Hasnain and Rauf workloads now, in camp, to ensure that they can reliably bowl 10 overs per day by 20 June and 15 overs per day by 20 July. And then lift their workloads slightly higher to peak at 20 overs per day by the First Test.