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Pakistan (212/8) crash out of T20 World Cup 2026 after a narrow 5-run consolation win against Sri Lanka (207/6) in their last Super Eight clash

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Pakistan’s familiar late-stage net run-rate drama has surfaced once again. A stunning England comeback win over New Zealand has handed Pakistan a slim lifeline in the T20 World Cup, even though Sri Lanka — their next opponents — are already out of contention.

New Zealand’s healthy net run rate of 1.390 towers over Pakistan’s -0.461, leaving Salman Agha’s side with a daunting equation. To reach the semi-finals, Pakistan must either win by roughly 64 runs or chase down any Sri Lankan total inside 13.1 overs. At Pallekele, those are the only figures that matter.

In theory, such a scenario should push Pakistan towards a far more aggressive approach, especially through the middle overs where they have often been cautious. Babar Azam’s role in this T20I side has already come under scrutiny in standard circumstances, and within these high-pressure parameters, the debate only intensifies. Yet he is not alone. Captain Salman Agha has also endured a difficult tournament, reflecting a broader struggle to consistently strike at the tempo modern T20 demands.

The challenge, however, is that Pakistan have shown little evidence of producing a victory of this magnitude in the tournament so far. Historically, they have never secured such a dominant win against a Full Member in a T20 World Cup when setting a target, and have managed it only once while chasing — back in 2009. Sri Lanka’s slower, more gripping surfaces, unlike India’s flatter decks, further complicate matters. Add to that a middle order lacking explosive power-hitting and Saim Ayub’s patchy form, and the task becomes even steeper. Still, it remains a chance — and at ICC events, Pakistan have often thrived on precisely that.

For Sri Lanka, pride is the primary motivator. Their campaign began brightly and peaked with a memorable win over Australia, but three successive defeats saw them become the first side eliminated in the Super Eight. Pakistan’s qualification permutations may mean little to them, but they will be eager to prove they are more than a supporting act in someone else’s storyline.

Ultimately, the spotlight falls on Pakistan — on whether they can conjure something extraordinary and derail New Zealand’s march to yet another ICC semi-final.

Squads:

Sri Lanka
Squad: Pathum Nissanka, Kusal Mendis(w), Charith Asalanka, Pavan Rathnayake, Kamindu Mendis, Dasun Shanaka(c), Dushan Hemantha, Dunith Wellalage, Dushmantha Chameera, Maheesh Theekshana, Dilshan Madushanka, Kusal Perera, Pramod Madushan, Janith Liyanage, Kamil Mishara

Pakistan Squad: Sahibzada Farhan, Saim Ayub, Salman Agha(c), Babar Azam, Fakhar Zaman, Shadab Khan, Usman Khan(w), Mohammad Nawaz, Shaheen Afridi, Salman Mirza, Usman Tariq, Khawaja Nafay, Naseem Shah, Abrar Ahmed, Faheem Ashraf

=======

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Du Plessis suggested that moving Fakhar Zaman up the order could offer Pakistan aggressive impetus required during the powerplay and middle overs, he said:

“I like the look of Fakhar at three; it feels like a positive adjustment to me,”

“It is a role where he has found success previously, batting around the one-down or number four position. He has scored runs there, so I believe it is a constructive move,”

“You have to select a side that is intent on playing positive cricket, you have to ask yourself: will we be chasing in a rain-shortened 13-over game or will we need to bowl the opposition out? You pick your team accordingly.”
 
Serious question, does anyone think SL would deliberately lose for tourism revenue
It’s not out of the question

They did beg PCB to save them for this and play the India match

However it does depend on what kind of Semi final. Because they would love another India v Pakistan match in Colombo. That’s not going to be the case this time with Pakistan likely to qualify and play SA. Really depends if Pakistan have that pull like India do with thousands of fans flying into Colombo for this match.
 
Pakistan will collapse if they try to hit 200.

They should aim at 180 and try to bowl out Sri Lanka for 110.

More realistic as Sri Lanka really haven't scored more than 120 in Super 8.

There is no universe Pakistan will chase 140 in 13.1 overs if SL Bats first.
 
Pakistan will collapse if they try to hit 200.

They should aim at 180 and try to bowl out Sri Lanka for 110.

More realistic as Sri Lanka really haven't scored more than 120 in Super 8.

There is no universe Pakistan will chase 140 in 13.1 overs if SL Bats first.

I just hope Babar doesn't play. The guy has no shame, even in this game he will try to stat pad and play for his milestones.
 
The equation is:

Win by 65 runs or

Whatever Sri Lanka make we have to chase it down in 13 overs!

Looks like a tall order
 
The equation is:

Win by 65 runs or

Whatever Sri Lanka make we have to chase it down in 13 overs!

Looks like a tall order
The funny thing is, you could actually win like this if this game was a dead rubber.

Let’s say England lost on the last ball, and today’s game was for nothing…Pakistan could potentially just bat freely and score 200 for fun…and then skittle out SL for 120 odd.

They are unlikely to replicate this now that there is something at stake lol
 
Keep in mind that in last game Hesson wanted two changes. Shaheen and Abrar in, Shadab and Babar OUT. But, Salman Ali Agha and other management guys didnt agree to it so they went with only one change :)
 
Also just for the information of @Rana - in practice session Babar got out 7 times in total, and almost 5 times he got caught with in the circle, although he was trying power hitting.

Naseem did lots of practice though.
 
Serious question, does anyone think SL would deliberately lose for tourism revenue

Honestly, I don’t see how that can happen. Yesterday, some angry fans showed up outside the media box during a few interviews, which already tells you how heated things are.

In general, the Sri Lankan team has been getting a lot of hate and trolling lately. It’s gone beyond normal criticism. I’ve even heard that a few players have asked the government to step in and ensure the safety of the players and their families.
 
If they are serious about semis then Open with Fakhar and Farhan and Saim at no.3 and Nafay at 4 Agha to his usual position at 5

Drop Babar , Shadab and Nawaz bring in Faheem , Abraar and Nafay

At least 2 changes of the above. Babar should sit outside and watch as he deserves that. Enough of his cover drives , does nothing to the team win except his fielding in this WT20. Faltering against top sides 9/10 times.

As per news media, it will be same pitch to be used that had SRL vs NZ and expect to assist pace. So play three seamers.

Pakistans forte is their bowling , stop relying on the all-rounders in Shadab and Nawaz they cost them games. Instead go with proper bowlers whose primary job is to bowl well and take wickets.
 
It’s a tough equation but they need to go full intent tomorrow and leave the results to Almighty

If batting first try to score 220. Don’t mind if they collapse in the pursuit

Bowl first, give your all in the field. We were too pedestrian in the field against England. Need to restrict SL below 140 to have a realistic shot
 
If they are serious about semis then Open with Fakhar and Farhan and Saim at no.3 and Nafay at 4 Agha to his usual position at 5

Drop Babar , Shadab and Nawaz bring in Faheem , Abraar and Nafay

At least 2 changes of the above. Babar should sit outside and watch as he deserves that. Enough of his cover drives , does nothing to the team win except his fielding in this WT20. Faltering against top sides 9/10 times.

As per news media, it will be same pitch to be used that had SRL vs NZ and expect to assist pace. So play three seamers.

Pakistans forte is their bowling , stop relying on the all-rounders in Shadab and Nawaz they cost them games. Instead go with proper bowlers whose primary job is to bowl well and take wickets.
SL vs NZ was in Colombo
 
Serious question, does anyone think SL would deliberately lose for tourism revenue
If in the same scenario, Pak was replaced by India, you'd find a vast majority here replying positive to your question...:cool::ua...

The chat/social media/talk shows etc would have gone abzolyutt bonkers
:afridi:yk2
 
Back door talks should happen . Srilanka should put “ Halka Haath” on Pakistan and Pakistan make sure to get semi and finals in Colombo and some more compensation for Lankan lions 😉
 
If they have any sense they would open with Fakhar and Farhan

Another Fakhar special is needed - like his 2023 World Cup knock of 126* (81 balls) against New Zealand

Saim is woefully out of form
 
Honestly, I don’t see how that can happen. Yesterday, some angry fans showed up outside the media box during a few interviews, which already tells you how heated things are.

In general, the Sri Lankan team has been getting a lot of hate and trolling lately. It’s gone beyond normal criticism. I’ve even heard that a few players have asked the government to step in and ensure the safety of the players and their families.
I've seen a few comments from SL on Cricinfo Facebook page saying they're going to be supporting Pakistan for their tourism industry
 
If sl cared so much about tourism why did they totally botch it against NZ, they could have at least lost by less runs rather then jumping out of crease 5 times in an over and missing it against part timer.

On the other hand I sense if they lose early wickets chasing they may just keep going for big hits and end up all out rather than deliberately play safe cricket to "deny" pakistan SF spot.
 
If sl cared so much about tourism why did they totally botch it against NZ, they could have at least lost by less runs rather then jumping out of crease 5 times in an over and missing it against part timer.

On the other hand I sense if they lose early wickets chasing they may just keep going for big hits and end up all out rather than deliberately play safe cricket to "deny" pakistan SF spot.

Dude what the general public posts in FB comments is not going to be official team policy.
 
Since this game has become a special mission , therfore not much changing & chopping

Farhan
Saim
Fakhar
Babar
Usman
Shadab

========

That should be out top 6, rest of the lot doesn't matter they wil have to do bulk of scoring
 
England once again made Pakistan fans happy upto some extent that Pakistan has any chance...

Oh bhai chill.... Pakistan is not scoring 200+ nor they will be able to stop Lanka for low score to chase it down... Looks 99% no chance for Pak... That 1% if benefit of doubt only...LOL
 
Since this game has become a special mission , therfore not much changing & chopping

Farhan
Saim
Fakhar
Babar
Usman
Shadab

========

That should be out top 6, rest of the lot doesn't matter they wil have to do bulk of scoring
How can u put Babar there he will suck any momentum that was built in an innings. He and Rizwan comes from Misbahi school of thought. Keep him and Rizwan away from T20s should be the way to go.
 
Bowl first… get them out below 140.

Anything above 140 is not chasable by Pak.

If that happens, they should just not come out to bat and instead show montage of Babar eating samosa/pakora in pavilion on big screen.
 
From SL's perspective, bat first get 150, Pakistan ll go for every ball in chase, collapse, and all out within 13 overs. This is a more likely scenario...
 
In Pallekelle, spinners shouldn't bowl in PP. Saim and Nawaz bowled an over each and gave 28 runs in total against England.
 
From SL's perspective, bat first get 150, Pakistan ll go for every ball in chase, collapse, and all out within 13 overs. This is a more likely scenario...
On 💯 % that will happen. Collapse at 80-90 all out. I like that more than trying to win in 20 overs
 
Pakistan team have a great opportunity to enter semis.... reasons

1) Srilankan batting is not in great form, we seen it collapses like pack of cards. If they put SL to put bat 1st Pak have a great chance to bundle them out for lower total and chase it under 13 overs

2) Pakistan bowler bowling nicely esp Shaheen Afridi.... who took 4 wickets in last match

3) whenever Pakistan team faces any minnow team we seen spike in the performance of Pakistan team
 
We must put on a spirited united front today as cricket team fan groups.

Today there will be no King Bobsie fan group or Shaheen Afridi fan group but today we all are Pakistan fan group. 🇵🇰
 
No zimbu hopefully and abrar nerd must play today.
Open with nafay/ fakhar and farhan.

If Pakistan bats first they must try to score 200 atleast.

Batting 2nd they must be able to restrict srilanka less than 150.
Pakistan has like 2-3 percent chance to qualify but they must try.
 
Bat first. 170 plus keeps us in the game. 190 plus gives us a very good chance given SL folder for around hundred twice in the super 8.
 
190 minimum.

I think Pakistan might have to chase though.
Let’s say SL score 120 batting first, you thing Pak can chase that in 13 overs? Very difficult.

If Pak can score 190 though then getting SL out for 120 would be enough to go through. That to me sounds like the more plausible option out of these two.

If SL win toss, they’d bat. They chased last two matches and scored around 100 both times. They’d be dreading chasing.
 
Let’s say SL score 120 batting first, you thing Pak can chase that in 13 overs? Very difficult.

If Pak can score 190 though then getting SL out for 120 would be enough to go through. That to me sounds like the more plausible option out of these two.

If SL win toss, they’d bat. They chased last two matches and scored around 100 both times. They’d be dreading chasing.
Matches in Pallekelle have been low scoring.

There is a big chance that if Pakistan bats first they try to go big and in that process collapse and end up with 150-160 runs, which means they are out of the tournament.

If they bowl first and get SriLanka under 130, chasing this predetermined score will be a better approach.

I know batting first looks easier but no one has scored 170+ here, so batting first and going for 200 might end up in misery.
 
Today is not just another match. Today is a reckoning. A litmus test of spine, soul, and patriotism.

With our backs pressed hard against the wall, with the noise of doubt screaming in our ears, this team carries more than bats and balls. They carry a nation of 240 million hearts.

The equation is brutal. Win big by 66 runs or chase it down inside 13 overs. No middle road. No soft landing. This is mountain-climbing without ropes. This is fire-walking. A Herculean task.

And it will not be conquered by individuals chasing glory. It will only be conquered by eleven men dissolving their egos, burying their pride, and becoming one pulse. One breath. One team.

Today is not about statistics. It is about sacrifice. It’s about pride and honour.

If you fall for 0(1) trying to clear the ropes for Pakistan, we will stand and salute you.

But if you crawl to a timid 25(20) protecting your average while the nation burns for momentum, we will not forgive that. Because today caution is cowardice.

Today, intent is everything.

Pacers, we want to see fire in your eyes and thunder in your run-up.

Spinners, we want the ball to dance, dip, and deceive like it’s obeying your command.

Fielders, every dive should feel like you’re protecting the flag itself.

And fans, you are not spectators today. You are witnesses.

Every chant, every heartbeat, every prayer must echo one thing only

Dil Dil Pakistan! 🇵🇰❤️🇵🇰❤️🇵🇰❤️🇵🇰

This is not just sport. This is pride. This is identity. This is the green crescent stitched into our souls.

Stand tall. Fight hard. Leave nothing.

Because when the dust settles tonight, we don’t want excuses.

We want a story that future generations will whisper with goosebumps.

The day our boys refused to surrender.

The day they played not for themselves, but for Pakistan. 🇵🇰🔥

PAKISTAN ZINDABAD!! ✊

1772257474179.png
 
All the people discussing about what is the safe score for Pak to win etc etc.

Am I the only one who thinks Pak will not only fail to reach Semifinal but will also loose the match too ?
 
Back door talks should happen . Srilanka should put “ Halka Haath” on Pakistan and Pakistan make sure to get semi and finals in Colombo and some more compensation for Lankan lions 😉
And then some Pak fans have the audacity to point fingers on Indian influence.
 
If Pakistan bat first they have to score 220-240.

If Pakistan chase, they have to restrict Sri Lanka to 140-150.

Chasing is a better option at Pallekele with the dew in the 2nd innings.
 
Pakistan will collapse if they try to hit 200.

They should aim at 180 and try to bowl out Sri Lanka for 110.

More realistic as Sri Lanka really haven't scored more than 120 in Super 8.

There is no universe Pakistan will chase 140 in 13.1 overs if SL Bats first.
In EA Cricket 07 universe, Pakistan can chase 140 in 10 overs.
 
Since this game has become a special mission , therfore not much changing & chopping

Farhan
Saim
Fakhar
Babar
Usman
Shadab

========

That should be out top 6, rest of the lot doesn't matter they wil have to do bulk of scoring

M Nawaz should come at #4 for pinch hitting.
 
He has done it 3 times in the past..

when was the last time first 2 things happened??? Never.
Over 14p matches 3 times is not a great number early in his career he was not bad but know he is demoralised has no confidence he's a liability in the team
 
Pakistan qualifying for the semi will be a miracle they have one batsmen in form rest can't buy a run if fakhar and saim fire maybe miracle is possible but I don't hold any expectations on these bunch of sifarchi,s.
 
G???

adil rasheed, sam curran, moeen ali, luke wood, george linde., Shamsi,Liam Dawson, Willey, Matt Henry, Rachin Ravindra etc

Watch again
Only adil rashid in that list is a good bowler i don't remember babar taking him apart Nepal batsmen thrashed him all parts of the ground one of match maybe he performed against rashid
 
Only adil rashid in that list is a good bowler i don't remember babar taking him apart Nepal batsmen thrashed him all parts of the ground one of match maybe he performed against rashid
I will wait for 15 balls 50 from Fakhar or 25 ball 50 from Saim... Leave everything else
 
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