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Predict how Day 5 in Lahore will end?

Saj

PakPassion Administrator
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Jun 1, 2001
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All set for an interesting last day in Lahore.

Pakistan need 278 runs to win.
Australia need 10 wickets.

How do you think it will end up? Another collapse by Pakistan? A memorable win for the home team? Or a dull day 5 and the match ends in a draw?
 
all signs point to another collapse and lyon and starc and cummins running thru us.. but the heart wishes pak pulls of a heist and gets the win.. if we win babar and rizwan will have a big hand to play tommorow.. and hopefully azhar ali doesnt play the tuk tuk game
 
It will come down to fawad alam. Whether his career ends or not will be decided tomr.
 
It’s interesting because Aus made it interesting by giving a chase .

PCT shouldn’t mess this up.
 
Our tail starts at #6.

That's Australia's best bet, otherwise, we should win.

I think the odds are 60/40 in Pak's favor.
 
I think it will end with Naseem Shah edging it for 4, giving Pakistan a 1 wicket victory.
 
Depends how the 1st session goes, if pakistan lose early wickets it will be attempted block mode for rest of day. If pakistan have to solid sessions until tea then we will see a possible good run chase.
 
Depends how the 1st session goes, if pakistan lose early wickets it will be attempted block mode for rest of day. If pakistan have to solid sessions until tea then we will see a possible good run chase.

Batting 4th on a deteriorating pitch of day 5?
This is a slippery slope, and a very interesting situation.

Australians KNOW how to put pressure on the opposition batsmen, so lets see how the contest goes? I am liking it.
 
Pakistan has already surprised me by not losing any wicket and I will happy to be surprised again tomorrow but following the game for long time, I know its almost impossible for Pak to snatch victory, even from here , its a big chase.

After the fall of first wicket, Azhar Ali will start tuk tuk and required RR will rise and that will give Aussies room to be more aggressive and Pakistan will lose wickets if they tried to catch up the RR.

One good spell of reverse swing by either Starc or Cummins , or both will bring Aussies close to victory .

If Babar stayed at the wicket longer, he can put lots of pressure on Aussies .

Too many possibilities for tomorrow .

Credit goes to Cummins for the bold and sporting declaration , it could be a masterstroke ( most likely ) or a dumb decision by him, depending upon the result.
 
Australia needed extra 40 runs and with so much wickets in hand another four overs of slog cricket would have taken them there ..Now they are in backfoot because of that foolish declaration ..In this pitch if pakistan plays normally they have bright chance for series victory..These kind of situations differentiate between a kid and man ..Golden opportunity for pakistani batsman to play innings of life ..Rizwan or Imam can do it for pakistan with useful contribution from others..
 
Batting 4th on a deteriorating pitch of day 5?
This is a slippery slope, and a very interesting situation.

Australians KNOW how to put pressure on the opposition batsmen, so lets see how the contest goes? I am liking it.

I dont think batting will be easy but blocking and just waiting for a ball with your name on it isnt the way to go.

90 runs per session is not that bad a target if your positive without being wreckless, pakistans batsmen put pressure back on Aussie bowlers there will be more defensive fields, less men round the bat.

if Azhar and co tuk it means Aussie bowlers can hold up an end and also attack knowing pakistan have no interest in scoring runs.

Any 300+ run chase has always been done with positive batting.

Inzi, Lara, stokes, pant, butcher etc.. all put pressure back on Aussies to chase 300+ totals down in last 30 years.

even when WI and SA chased 400+ totals in tests vs Aussies it was done being positive.
 
I am sorry to say Australia is still favorite to win. When the ball gets older it will reverse and then the collapse...

If Pakistan can go against this trend then a memorable Pakistani win.

I want the 2nd
.
 
Aussies have to be favourites surely.

Day 5 pitch, pressure, and a batting unit that lost 7 wickets for 20 runs in the first innings.
 
Aussies have to be favourites surely.

Day 5 pitch, pressure, and a batting unit that lost 7 wickets for 20 runs in the first innings.

If we had lost a couple of wickets by the end of day 4? then surely yes.

But we have 10 wickets. We should be able to bat at least one full day - and if we did, we will probably win the game.

It's an interesting read, where MoYo advised the batters to pre-emptively treat every ball as if it's an in-swinger, and let it come to the bat. And don't chase if it turns out to be an out swinger.

A solid technique famously used by the great Martin Crowe to defy Wasim's fierce bowling.

However, Moyo didn't say much on how to treat the Aussie spinners? I hope he has a word or two for them. Lyon hasn't been earth shattering during this tournament, so I still think it's a 60/40 in Pak's favor.
 
Blockathon marathon
Safety first.

We have long tail. So just block block and if there are poor balls, those must be punished.
 
Draw

Too tough to take 10 wickets in a day on this track.

Pak will play safe too.
 
If we had lost a couple of wickets by the end of day 4? then surely yes.

But we have 10 wickets. We should be able to bat at least one full day - and if we did, we will probably win the game.

It's an interesting read, where MoYo advised the batters to pre-emptively treat every ball as if it's an in-swinger, and let it come to the bat. And don't chase if it turns out to be an out swinger.

A solid technique famously used by the great Martin Crowe to defy Wasim's fierce bowling.

However, Moyo didn't say much on how to treat the Aussie spinners? I hope he has a word or two for them. Lyon hasn't been earth shattering during this tournament, so I still think it's a 60/40 in Pak's favor.

The biggest problem for Pakistan is that the tail starts at number 7.

If they lose a couple of wickets before lunch then there is no way they will go for the win.
 
The biggest problem for Pakistan is that the tail starts at number 7.

If they lose a couple of wickets before lunch then there is no way they will go for the win.

Tail starts at number 5, as soon as fawad comes in. Cummins will bring starc on unless hes already bowling. He will clean him up again.

its like watching anytime england play pakistan in the early 90s. Hick would come out to bat and pakistan skipper would bring waqar on to send him packing.

Rizwans form has been all over place as well.

lets be honest once Aussies get past babar the rest will fold like a pack of cards.
 
I would have Babar and Rizwan promoted up as they can score at the required rate. If they fail then the rest can just block as they do. (Azhar, Fawad)
 
I would have Babar and Rizwan promoted up as they can score at the required rate. If they fail then the rest can just block as they do. (Azhar, Fawad)

This actually makes a lot of sense, especially if openers don't fall early. Sending in Babar ahead of Azhar at minimum would be preferred. I'd still keep Rizwan down the order though.
 
I dont think batting will be easy but blocking and just waiting for a ball with your name on it isnt the way to go.

90 runs per session is not that bad a target if your positive without being wreckless, pakistans batsmen put pressure back on Aussie bowlers there will be more defensive fields, less men round the bat.

if Azhar and co tuk it means Aussie bowlers can hold up an end and also attack knowing pakistan have no interest in scoring runs.

Any 300+ run chase has always been done with positive batting.

Inzi, Lara, stokes, pant, butcher etc.. all put pressure back on Aussies to chase 300+ totals down in last 30 years.

even when WI and SA chased 400+ totals in tests vs Aussies it was done being positive.

If we had a stronger lower order we would have the confidence to play more positively. As soon as Babar falls we will be in trouble. Our tail is basically 5 number 10s.
 
Short answer

Most likely : Australia will win

Theoretically possible : a draw.

Miracles do happen in cricket : Pak win
 
Heart says survive for draw. Mind says it's an Aus win and they would deserve it for their persistence and hard work whole series.

Crazy story would be Hasan ali coming out to bat with 10 overs, 70 runs and 3 wickets and striking 5 sixes and plenty more to get us over the line.
 
Since this is a poll and there is no if and but, Pak wins!

Even if Pak loses, thank you OZs to make one of the most daring declarations ever! I do realize that it is Pak batting, but It shows the OZ aggressive intent - BRAVO for being a good guest. I can't believe that OZs proved to be a far more sporting guests vs Kiwi phattoos.
 
Sport is unscripted, it is very difficult to judge what will happen. Just few minutes ago Euro Champions and four time world cup winners Italy has been knocked out of Fifa world cup qualification by minnow North Macedonia.
In karachi no one predicted that pak will survive 2 days. So we do not know. Pak might fold in 1 session tomorrow or might have their Karachi 94 moment or moght be a normal draw with 3/4 wickets still left.
 
Cummins will regret his decision to declare lol

No he wont, his only other option was to let the match meander along for a draw. Cricket is sport and you job is to entertain the crowd that pay and watch. Win of lose Cummins has done his job.
 
I don’t know why, but I think Rizwan will get the job done tomorrow
 
Would have thought Pakistan could win , but losing last 7 , 8 wickets for 20 with long tail, it's Australia game to lose.. I won't believe Pakistan can win untill the winning run...
 
Likely will result in a win. Australian spinners have been dealt with quite well, so unless there is reverse, Pakistan should be able to pull it off.
 
Draw, most likely.
Thanks anyway to Australia's determination to try to make a contest of each of these dull games.
 
Reverse swing again would likely to be the key. 20 odd overs with this ball (starting in 3-7 overs or so) and then the 2nd ball after its 30 odd over old would be the key period. Its not a fast pitch and its a 5th day so chasing is not going to be easy. However, if Pak plays the first session well then there can be a good chance.

On a side note yes Aussies declared but, they did not do it to make a match out of it rather to win it. They gave themselves enough overs to be able to bowl two reverse swing spells and as they were able to bowl out Pakistan for 268 here, 148 in Karachi with reverse swing so its more to do with the thinking of having a chance to win the match then to do a sporting declaration. Yes kudos to them that they didnt wanna settle for a draw but, they are the no 1 ranked team and are trying for a chance for that test championship final.
 
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Tail starts at number 5, as soon as fawad comes in. Cummins will bring starc on unless hes already bowling. He will clean him up again.

its like watching anytime england play pakistan in the early 90s. Hick would come out to bat and pakistan skipper would bring waqar on to send him packing.

Rizwans form has been all over place as well.

lets be honest once Aussies get past babar the rest will fold like a pack of cards.

spot on comments from me. i said our tail started at number 5.
 
Tail starts at number 5, as soon as fawad comes in. Cummins will bring starc on unless hes already bowling. He will clean him up again.

its like watching anytime england play pakistan in the early 90s. Hick would come out to bat and pakistan skipper would bring waqar on to send him packing.

Rizwans form has been all over place as well.

lets be honest once Aussies get past babar the rest will fold like a pack of cards.

spot on comments from me. i said our tail started at number 5.

You sure did nail it!
We were being hopeful and optimistic to give Pakistan a chance.

The defeat is worse than I expected. We hardly put a fight on.
 
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