Roshan Pakistan post-election opinion poll shows PTI consolidate support, PML-N decline further

[hussain.r97]

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">One month on, PTI is benefitting from a post-poll consolidation of support (a 3 pt increase from 25 July), while PML(N) has declined a further 2 pts, reflective of post poll disenchantment among its supporters. Figures based on our 20 August Nationwide Opinion Poll. <a href="https://t.co/JeQmoSHY1a">pic.twitter.com/JeQmoSHY1a</a></p>— Roshan Pakistan Opinion Polling (@RoshanOpinion) <a href="https://twitter.com/RoshanOpinion/status/1031766601794768899?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 21, 2018</a></blockquote>
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[hussain.r97]

Just as a measure of Roshan Pakistan's accuracy:

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-conversation="none" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Five pollsters released nationwide opinion polls in the lead up to the election. Our last poll was the closest to the actual outcome in terms of vote share of five most popular parties, at just 1.4% average error. Other pollsters' error ranged between 2.6% and 3.5%. <a href="https://t.co/XD5snEp1nf">pic.twitter.com/XD5snEp1nf</a></p>— Roshan Pakistan Opinion Polling (@RoshanOpinion) <a href="https://twitter.com/RoshanOpinion/status/1031464478410526720?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 20, 2018</a></blockquote>
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Over a couple of tweets, we will be comparing how we, and other pollsters, did in tracking the outcome of this election. Nationally, our last poll was within 2 pts of each party's actual vote share. <a href="https://t.co/1vB8fQKGNE">pic.twitter.com/1vB8fQKGNE</a></p>— Roshan Pakistan Opinion Polling (@RoshanOpinion) <a href="https://twitter.com/RoshanOpinion/status/1031460380617388033?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 20, 2018</a></blockquote>
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[hussain.r97]

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">PTI's post poll consolidation of support isn't more visible anywhere than in Punjab. It has a 42-23 lead in South, 51-30 in Northwest Punjab, and slightly trails PML(N) 37-41 in Central Punjab. It also now interestingly is PTI's strongest province in terms of support, not KP. <a href="https://t.co/uoCytrJ8hD">pic.twitter.com/uoCytrJ8hD</a></p>— Roshan Pakistan Opinion Polling (@RoshanOpinion) <a href="https://twitter.com/RoshanOpinion/status/1031774455750713344?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 21, 2018</a></blockquote>
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[mmkextreme_1]

Excellent, hopefully with this upwards trend, we can hopefully win all seats in the by-elections.

 

[hussain.r97]

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Voters in Sindh have no second thoughts one month on. PPPP should be able to repeat a sweep in interior Sindh as well as win a handful of seats in Urban Sindh. <a href="https://t.co/ChLcQE0moT">pic.twitter.com/ChLcQE0moT</a></p>— Roshan Pakistan Opinion Polling (@RoshanOpinion) <a href="https://twitter.com/RoshanOpinion/status/1031780566075678720?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 21, 2018</a></blockquote>
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[hussain.r97]

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">In KP, PTI far ahead of its main rivals as has become typical. Opposition's electoral prospects will depend entirely on their ability to make electoral adjustments, as PML(N)-PPPP-MMA-ANP tally to around 46% of the vote in the province. <a href="https://t.co/9Hs9twD03B">pic.twitter.com/9Hs9twD03B</a></p>— Roshan Pakistan Opinion Polling (@RoshanOpinion) <a href="https://twitter.com/RoshanOpinion/status/1031787618508390400?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 21, 2018</a></blockquote>
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PTI have even consolidated in KPK...

 

[saeedhk]

Great news.

 

[WhenSultansBowled]

Sweet. This is just the start.

Let South Punjab have clean water, electricity, basic health care and some human dignity. I don't see PMLN winning anything,

KPK is already PTI's. They must keep everything corruption free and depoliticize Police etc etc. So far they are doing good job.

Sindh is complicated. Vaderas still own these poor people. But I am hopeful that thanks to free information, education and Karachi PTI will have important support there.

Balochistan: IK must fulfill his promise here.

Thanks for the post for those of us who don't use social networks. Informative.

 

[hussain.r97]

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Between July 25 and now, a 3 pt swing from PML(N) to PTI would translate to PTI picking up marginal PML(N)-won seats in Punjab, ending up with a majority of its own. Figures based on regional uniform swing analysis based on data from our 20 August Nationwide Opinion Poll. <a href="https://t.co/dQSP77S1YK">pic.twitter.com/dQSP77S1YK</a></p>— Roshan Pakistan Opinion Polling (@RoshanOpinion) <a href="https://twitter.com/RoshanOpinion/status/1031800046369603586?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 21, 2018</a></blockquote>
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If elections were held today, PTI would almost win an absolute majority according to Roshan Pakistan.

Does that make a case for a snap election after a year or two?
[MENTION=142451]Mian[/MENTION] [MENTION=135]Waseem[/MENTION] [MENTION=147106]PakWarrior[/MENTION] [MENTION=138254]Syed1[/MENTION]

 

[Bewal Express]

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Between July 25 and now, a 3 pt swing from PML(N) to PTI would translate to PTI picking up marginal PML(N)-won seats in Punjab, ending up with a majority of its own. Figures based on regional uniform swing analysis based on data from our 20 August Nationwide Opinion Poll. <a href="https://t.co/dQSP77S1YK">pic.twitter.com/dQSP77S1YK</a></p>— Roshan Pakistan Opinion Polling (@RoshanOpinion) <a href="https://twitter.com/RoshanOpinion/status/1031800046369603586?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 21, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

If elections were held today, PTI would almost win an absolute majority according to Roshan Pakistan.

Does that make a case for a snap election after a year or two?

[MENTION=142451]Mian[/MENTION] [MENTION=135]Waseem[/MENTION] [MENTION=147106]PakWarrior[/MENTION] [MENTION=138254]Syed1[/MENTION]

As i said earlier, expect an early election if we get off to a solid start.

 

[Mian]

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Between July 25 and now, a 3 pt swing from PML(N) to PTI would translate to PTI picking up marginal PML(N)-won seats in Punjab, ending up with a majority of its own. Figures based on regional uniform swing analysis based on data from our 20 August Nationwide Opinion Poll. <a href="https://t.co/dQSP77S1YK">pic.twitter.com/dQSP77S1YK</a></p>— Roshan Pakistan Opinion Polling (@RoshanOpinion) <a href="https://twitter.com/RoshanOpinion/status/1031800046369603586?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 21, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

If elections were held today, PTI would almost win an absolute majority according to Roshan Pakistan.

Does that make a case for a snap election after a year or two?

[MENTION=142451]Mian[/MENTION] [MENTION=135]Waseem[/MENTION] [MENTION=147106]PakWarrior[/MENTION] [MENTION=138254]Syed1[/MENTION]

This shows the mindset of us Punjabis we always go with the wind and party of power be it PPP PMLN or PTI