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Will COVID-19 lead to the demise of Imran Khan?

Will COVID-19 lead to the demise of Imran Khan?


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HussainRx8

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It seems that Imran Khan's intransigence is preventing him from making the right policy choices.

I'm not sure what the best approach is. But at least according to the WHO, Pakistan should impose a two-week lockdown to control the spread of the virus. I completely understand the impact it has on the economy and the most vulnerable.

But this can get out of control really quickly, and cost him the next election. Herd immunity probably works but it will come with a lot of deaths.
 
I assumed that when he would lift the lockdown, he would fully empower the police and military to take action against those people who violate the SOPs. How wrong I was
 
On the flip side, while I have personally been disappointed by PTI’s policy of not imposing a lockdown in the initial phase of the pandemic, part of the reason they didn’t do it could have been political. The average Pakistani doesn’t believe in a lockdown. A strict lockdown during Ramzan and Eid with mosques closed would have been extremely unpopular and hurt their electoral prospects. It is just disappointing that political considerations influence policies that could mean the difference between life and death for thousands.
 
Hopefully.

The country cannot survive under his incompetence for long. He has running the country into the ground.
 
Hopefully.

The country cannot survive under his incompetence for long. He has running the country into the ground.

Yes, we need the conpetent Sharifs and Zardaris :p

Khan will IA will win majority next elections as the people did not want a lockdown. The likes of you will be left moaning on a forum :)
 
On the flip side, while I have personally been disappointed by PTI’s policy of not imposing a lockdown in the initial phase of the pandemic, part of the reason they didn’t do it could have been political. The average Pakistani doesn’t believe in a lockdown. A strict lockdown during Ramzan and Eid with mosques closed would have been extremely unpopular and hurt their electoral prospects. It is just disappointing that political considerations influence policies that could mean the difference between life and death for thousands.

Totally agree with that. Regardless of whether it's right or wrong the easing of lockdowns was inevitable, not just in Pakistan but around the world. But the reason for it certainly isn't the welfare of the people, not in Pakistan, not in any country of the world. A little logic, a little mathematics and it's quite obvious how "protecting the common man" is just rhetoric to avoid the political fallout of extended restrictions.

At the start of April we had around 2000 cases, by the start of May this had increased to 18000, and by June to almost 70000. That's an increase of 9 times and 4 times month on month. If you factor in the explosion of activity that occurred at the end of May, these numbers will surely rise exponentially. Even if we assume a conservative doubling or trebling of numbers (most probably it will be a larger factor) during the next two months we will have around 300,000 or 600,000 cases by the end of July. Assuming the same fatality rate that implies a total of 6,000 -12,000 deaths. And that's just June and July and it certainly won't be the peak. People talking about Pakistan peaking in July are missing the fact that Italy and US peaked under strict lockdowns. Here we are in a completely opposite situation so its unlikely that the virus will start peaking in July. I am sure IK had solid projections at his disposal but certainly can't see how more people could've died of hunger if a strict lockdown had been enforced at the initial stages of the outbreak. Keeping in view our resources and constraints, to have had any chance of defeating this disease we required decisiveness, foresight and practicality. Instead we first relied on hope and fatalism and then half-baked policies and half-hearted measures amidst constant political bickering until the problem became larger than what we could manage with our resources.
 
Imran’s brilliant leadership during this pandemic can be summarized as following:

Pakistan’s problem: the people are not being careful

Imran’s solution: the people should start being careful.
 
For whom the bell tolls - Najam Sethi’s editorial

“The PM has managed to throttle the economy and infected the populace at the same time even as he has constantly portrayed himself as a savior of both.”

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“Naya Pakistan” is a constant reminder of two wise sayings.

“He who knows not, and knows not that he knows not, is a fool; shun him.”

“In a democracy, the people get the government they deserve”.

Unfortunately, there is no Democracy in Pakistan, only a Selectocracy which the people don’t deserve. The problem is the people cannot shun the fools who preside over this Selectocracy because the people are disempowered, divided and helpless.

But the Miltablishment has stopped repeating the “same page” mantra because it is sounding embarrassingly hollow. Indeed, things are so bad that it has also stepped in to take direct charge of sensitive policy areas. Not just Pakistanis but the international community too has noted that Pakistan’s finance advisor, interior minister, interior secretary, national security advisor, heads of NDMA, NCOC, CPEC, etc., are all Selectocrats.

In the latest twist, the Foreign Minister has been excluded from Foreign Policy making: he was conspicuous by his absence when the COAS, DGISI and Special Envoy made a strategic trip to Kabul last week for facilitating talks between the Taliban and Afghan regime aimed at smoothing the American exit from Afghanistan.

Not to be left out, our gallant PM has tweeted his readiness to help the Indian PM in alleviating poverty-related COVID issues with his brilliant cash transfer program. Never mind that the ownership of the program rests squarely with Benazir Bhutto.

Never mind also that only half the cash pledged by the PM to the poor and needy at home has actually been transferred in two agonising months and the proposed budgetary outlay of Rs 71 billion for the next twelve months is peanuts for catering to 40 million in need.

It is unprecedented for any government to create or mismanage a sugar, wheat and petrol crisis in the country simultaneously, especially since there are adequate stocks of each commodity at hand.

It is unbelievable for a PM to first claim that there is no life threatening COVID19 risk to the people (ghabraana nahin) because it is no more than a common flu and then to turn around and warn the same people to follow impossible SOPs in the face of the most dangerous infection spike in June and July.

Worse, when the WHO points out persistent errors in government policy and recommends an urgent course of action, the PTI’s federal and provincial health ministers and advisors are quick to line up and drown out its sane advice.

Not to be left out, the PM proudly proclaims his Islamic credentials by taunting the leaders of the Muslim World that he allowed mosques to remain open when they were shutting them down to stop COVID19 from infecting the masses.

It is incredible that the irony was lost on the PM that the opening of the mosques during a general lockdown was one of the main reasons why that lockdown was unsuccessful.

In the same vein, the PM has speeded up the repatriation of Pakistanis in foreign lands, despite the fact that over 50% of them are infected when they land and can’t be effectively tested or quarantined, thus spreading the infection far and wide.

Best international practices of banning incoming flights during lockdowns were blithely ignored. Unforgivably, the PM has managed to throttle the economy and infected the populace at the same time even as he has constantly portrayed himself as a savior of both.

For four months the PM and his cabinet members have beamed before cameras without masks sending out the message of “all is well” when all is definitely not well. Now we are increasingly paying the price for their ignorance, recklessness and callousness.

The situation is fraught with peril because the people are squarely pinning responsibility for the chaos in their lives not just on the government but increasingly on the Miltablishment that has brought it to power.

This is leading to two developments: members of the cabinet are blaming one another for the various problems that have erupted and leaking their dissatisfactions to the media; and Miltablishment Big Wigs are silently distancing themselves from the disastrous decisions of the government and scratching their heads for honourable exit strategies.

It is time for them to admit that their latest experiment in governing Pakistan has gone awry. It is taking an unprecedented toll of state and society. Propping it up much longer risks irreparably damaging the permanent institutions of the state like NAB, FIA, Judiciary and Bureaucracy, all of which have been railroaded into doing its illegal biddings.

Meanwhile, there is no silver lining on the horizon. The outlook for the economy and COVID19 is so bad that it is only a matter of time before the people erupt to demand an end to this unaccountable disaster of a government. On top of it, if India creates a conflict on Pakistan’s borders that we cannot win, the price of failure will trigger the tolling of the bell for many in Pakistan.

https://www.thefridaytimes.com/for-whom-the-bell-tolls-by-najam-sethi/
 
Excellent write-up by Sethi with some thought provoking points. People will obviously deflect and shoot the messenger (Sethi) but it is worth a read anyway.
 
Imran Khan is perilously close to taking over the title of the worst PM in Pakistan history.
 
Excellent write-up by Sethi with some thought provoking points. People will obviously deflect and shoot the messenger (Sethi) but it is worth a read anyway.

Really, where was he when $64 bn was borrowed to find the lavish lifestyles of the crooks, this is a guy who supported both the PPP and the Nooras. Where was he when the IPPs have been paid over $50bn to generate electricity when it would have cost less to build all the Dams we need? Where was he when the rulers were building property abroad. Here is an interesting video from Klasra on the lavish lifestyles of these crooks and yesterday's budget. BTW Klasra is anti IK these days. After you ghulams watch this, don't all drown yourself at once.

 
Imran Khan is perilously close to taking over the title of the worst PM in Pakistan history.

He is the best we have ever had, the first to grasp that crooked families don't own PK. Your ghulami to the crooks is admirable but I am sure Billo and David as the first couple will inspire you soon.
 
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