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Will Pakistan qualify for the 2019 World Cup semi-finals?

Will Pakistan qualify for the 2019 World Cup semi-finals?

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Beating NZ and RSA is the simplest equation now for Pakistan

Given they will comfortably crush Afghanistan and will see off Bangla threat.

With these 5 wins and 1 wash out point, Pakistan will be a contender for the 3rd or 4th spot

It’s not all lost.

Pakistan is capable of pulling this off
 
Can the team management take tough decisions. I would also make Sarfaraz step down as he is just not worth a spot in the team
 
lol. Seriously?

Bangladesh will fancy their chances against us. We lost to them in Asia cup. They may win against us. May be we are sure of Afghanistan, but after warm up, not so sure.

NZ is hard to beat. They have good spin playing batsmen. And their new ball bowling will make it harder for us. They also won in UAE lol.

South Africa may be easier, but not sure if we can win against them.
 
We will believe we can beat these teams, but I am sure New Zealand and South Africa will think the same after seeing us in the last few months. I think if the games become tight, I would back NZ and South Africa to get over the line. We don’t seem to be able to handle the pressure. You can call these teams chokers as much as you want, they have reached the semi finals more times than us since 92. What do you call that? I don’t call that being a tournament team. Sounds like a choker to me.
 
no use of discussion in my opinion. semi finals have already been set. new zealand have a better net rate

australia, england, india, new zealand. the rest of the matches are just for fun.
 
Savak said:
Can the team management take tough decisions. I would also make Sarfaraz step down as he is just not worth a spot in the team
Click to expand...

Sarfraz never accepts his own mistakes. I remember against south africa, when batting was crumbling and he was performing very poor, he blamed it on bowlers. And when he couldn't take catches well, he blamed it on something else.
 
I think Bangladesh will fancy their chances but Pakistan are still favourites to win.

Let’s be logical. WI was Pakistan’s only upset and they balanced it out by beating England. Sri Lankan washout hurt them which is why they need 4 straight wins now and can’t afford a washout for loss.

Head to head Pakistan are favourites to win against Bangladesh, Afghanistan.

Given South Africa’s form I would call Pakistan their equal.

NZ will be the most crucial game now for them I believe because I firmly put NZ above them on form.
 
I want malik and hassan ali out of the team,they are a liability.We can still win some matches if these two are out of the team.
 
pakistan and west indies are out of the race, especially with the washed out matches.

india and australia, have almost definitely set their spots in semi final. don't see pak winning against new zealand. new zealand will also make the semi finals most likely.


and i dont see england messing up, it would take a herculean effort for them to not make it in the semi finals

the semi finals are kind of already decided, its a waste of time hoping for dreaming of pak making it in the semis. if the rain did not wash out games, then maybe we could hope against all hope, but now its already gone. pak should now think of the future
 
Savak said:
Can the team management take tough decisions. I would also make Sarfaraz step down as he is just not worth a spot in the team
Click to expand...

Not much they can do really. Perhaps bench Malik for Haris. I would have been all for replacing Sarfaraz as the captain but we don't even have a suitable replacement. Don't think changing anything will change our fate in this tournament. Just need to go and play aggressive cricket without thinking about winning or losing and salvage some pride. Playing with the attitude and body language (esp the captain's) with which we played this match won't get us anywhere.
 
Team doesn’t look interested at all. I think it’s better for them that they loose all games and head back home.

Some tough decisions need to be made.

But knowing PCB and it’s history, it’s gonna he rinse and repeat. Watch Umar Akmal make a likely comeback.

As a fan, felt like punching Shadabs face when he was smiling with his teeth out, even though we lost.
 
The good thing is we have a week off. They should send Malik and Hafeez home. Hasan needs more time on the sidelines, his form is still not there, bring in hasnnain and shaheen
 
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It’s over for Pakistan..they are at the bottom of the table,above afghans..don’t emtertain false hopes..it’s done and dusted
 
So Do pakistan Still has a chance of qualifying?

Nervous times ahead for fans.
Do we stand a chance ?
Or All is Lost
 
Start calculating our chances of qualifying for WC23. WC19 is over for us.
 
Pak have two things they need to do from now on:

1. Win all 4 games

2. Hope the rain stays away from those four games but rains in games for other teams
 
Scenario for Pakistan to qualify for WC semi final spot without the requirement of NRR

1st they must win all of their remaining games

Only important games. Not adding the possibility of an upset game or dead rubbers

Scenario
1. New Zealand vs South Africa - New Zealand should not win
2. England vs New Zealand - New Zealand should not win.
3. Australia vs New Zealand - New Zealand should not win.

These games matters the most. Other matches results don't matter as long as there is not an upset
 
Even one washout will mean Pakistan are out
Basically we have to win all 4
And make sure we win big in atleast 2 games then we might have some chance
 
Why would anyone want to see this pathetic team in the Semis?

They need to go back to Pakistan and take a long hard look at themselves in the mirror.
 
hashimafzal said:
Why would anyone want to see this pathetic team in the Semis?

They need to go back to Pakistan and take a long hard look at themselves in the mirror.
Click to expand...

Kickout hafeez malik
Play
Fakhar
Imam
Babar
Haris
Sarfraz
Imad
Shadab
Hassan
Amir
Wahab
Hasnain/shaheen
Even if we lose all the games pak should play this 11
 
We won’t qualify. We aren’t good enough. We don’t deserve the luck of getting a point from washouts as well.
 
Here we go boys game by game
This is what needs to happen.

West Indies vs Bangladesh, Match 23 - Bang
England vs Afghanistan, Match 24 - Eng
New Zealand vs South Africa, Match 25 - SA
Australia vs Bangladesh, Match 26 - Aus
England vs Sri Lanka, Match 27 - Eng
India vs Afghanistan, Match 28 - Ind
West Indies vs New Zealand, Match 29 - WI
Pakistan vs South Africa, Match 30 - Pak
Bangladesh vs Afghanistan, Match 31 - Bang
England vs Australia, Match 32 - Eng
New Zealand vs Pakistan, Match 33 - Pak
West Indies vs India, Match 34 - Ind
Sri Lanka vs South Africa, Match 35 - SA
Pakistan vs Afghanistan, Match 36 - Pak
New Zealand vs Australia, Match 37 - NZ
England vs India, Match 38 - Doesn’t matter
Sri Lanka vs West Indies, Match 39 - WI
Bangladesh vs India, Match 40 - India
England vs New Zealand, Match 41 - Eng
Afghanistan vs West Indies, Match 42 - WI
Pakistan vs Bangladesh, Match 43 - Pak
Sri Lanka vs India, Match 44 - Ind
Australia vs South Africa, Match 45 - SA

Bang 9 points
Windies 9 points
SA- 9 points
Aus- 10 points
NZ- 9 points
Pak 11 points

The most implausible results out of the above look like our games!!!!

The main games I feel are the NZ and Aus games, as we need them to NOT get to 11 points.

We are fans so we have to pray/hope/believe

@mehndi
[MENTION=136383]MSaad[/MENTION]
[MENTION=51324]aqeelPK[/MENTION]
 
Abdullah said:
Here we go boys game by game
This is what needs to happen.

West Indies vs Bangladesh, Match 23 - Bang
England vs Afghanistan, Match 24 - Eng
New Zealand vs South Africa, Match 25 - SA
Australia vs Bangladesh, Match 26 - Aus
England vs Sri Lanka, Match 27 - Eng
India vs Afghanistan, Match 28 - Ind
West Indies vs New Zealand, Match 29 - WI
Pakistan vs South Africa, Match 30 - Pak
Bangladesh vs Afghanistan, Match 31 - Bang
England vs Australia, Match 32 - Eng
New Zealand vs Pakistan, Match 33 - Pak
West Indies vs India, Match 34 - Ind
Sri Lanka vs South Africa, Match 35 - SA
Pakistan vs Afghanistan, Match 36 - Pak
New Zealand vs Australia, Match 37 - NZ
England vs India, Match 38 - Doesn’t matter
Sri Lanka vs West Indies, Match 39 - WI
Bangladesh vs India, Match 40 - India
England vs New Zealand, Match 41 - Eng
Afghanistan vs West Indies, Match 42 - WI
Pakistan vs Bangladesh, Match 43 - Pak
Sri Lanka vs India, Match 44 - Ind
Australia vs South Africa, Match 45 - SA

Bang 9 points
Windies 9 points
SA- 9 points
Aus- 10 points
NZ- 9 points
Pak 11 points

The most implausible results out of the above look like our games!!!!

The main games I feel are the NZ and Aus games, as we need them to NOT get to 11 points.

We are fans so we have to pray/hope/believe

@mehndi
[MENTION=136383]MSaad[/MENTION]
[MENTION=51324]aqeelPK[/MENTION]
Click to expand...

tomorrow we need west indies win

west indies have no chance vs new Zealand

and we have to hope somehow SA Beats New Zealand
 
Abdullah said:
Here we go boys game by game
This is what needs to happen.

West Indies vs Bangladesh, Match 23 - Bang
England vs Afghanistan, Match 24 - Eng
New Zealand vs South Africa, Match 25 - SA
Australia vs Bangladesh, Match 26 - Aus
England vs Sri Lanka, Match 27 - Eng
India vs Afghanistan, Match 28 - Ind
West Indies vs New Zealand, Match 29 - WI
Pakistan vs South Africa, Match 30 - Pak
Bangladesh vs Afghanistan, Match 31 - Bang
England vs Australia, Match 32 - Eng
New Zealand vs Pakistan, Match 33 - Pak
West Indies vs India, Match 34 - Ind
Sri Lanka vs South Africa, Match 35 - SA
Pakistan vs Afghanistan, Match 36 - Pak
New Zealand vs Australia, Match 37 - NZ
England vs India, Match 38 - Doesn’t matter
Sri Lanka vs West Indies, Match 39 - WI
Bangladesh vs India, Match 40 - India
England vs New Zealand, Match 41 - Eng
Afghanistan vs West Indies, Match 42 - WI
Pakistan vs Bangladesh, Match 43 - Pak
Sri Lanka vs India, Match 44 - Ind
Australia vs South Africa, Match 45 - SA

Bang 9 points
Windies 9 points
SA- 9 points
Aus- 10 points
NZ- 9 points
Pak 11 points

The most implausible results out of the above look like our games!!!!

The main games I feel are the NZ and Aus games, as we need them to NOT get to 11 points.

We are fans so we have to pray/hope/believe

@mehndi
[MENTION=136383]MSaad[/MENTION]
[MENTION=51324]aqeelPK[/MENTION]
Click to expand...

There are other permutations- so If WI win tomorrow and lose to NZ, its OK as we can be joined by another team on 11 points.

I guess we enjoy the games until next Saturday and I can draw this up again and see where we stand.
you never know- Bang could lose to WI and then beat Aus, which is fine also

We are on a tight rope though. We HAVE to win 4 games of cricket.
I think we are capable with a bit of luck. We will not see Hasan or Malik again in the tournament, so that can only help.
 
Win the last four matches then see what happens. May get through the back door if we are lucky. Could still depend on other results as well. It is to early to predict as to who we need to win and lose to get through.
 
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So this is it:

Pakistan has to win all the remaining games.

And hope New Zealand drops some points.

NZ vs SA - most probably a washout or we need SA to win.

NZ vs WI - NZ win, a NZ loss will benefit us for sure.

NZ vs Pak - Pak win.

NZ vs Eng - Eng win.

NZ vs Aus - Aus win.

New Zealand will end up with 9/10 points with these scenarios and given Pakistan wins all the remaining matches, Pakistan will end up with 11 points :)
 
I don't see us winning any game from here on. Our team is pathetic and won't qualify for the semis.
 
3 losses, 1 win and 1 Washout out of 5 matches.

Yet, team will somehow win the remaining 4 matches and reach the semis when NZ loses all 4 matches.

Yeah and pigs will fly.
 
pakistan and west indies are out of the race, especially with the washed out matches.

india and australia, have almost definitely set their spots in semi final. don't see pak winning against new zealand. new zealand will also make the semi finals most likely.


and i dont see england messing up, it would take a herculean effort for them to not make it in the semi finals

the semi finals are kind of already decided, its a waste of time hoping for dreaming of pak making it in the semis. if the rain did not wash out games, then maybe we could hope against all hope, but now its already gone. pak should now think of the future
 
So Pakistan has 4 games left , against South Africa, New Zealand, Bangladesh and Afghanistan ??

So that means there's still potential for more embarassment looking at the last two teams in the list - just winning those two games alone would be a good enough result for Pakistan.
 
Dr_Bassim said:
3 losses, 1 win and 1 Washout out of 5 matches.

Yet, team will somehow win the remaining 4 matches and reach the semis when NZ loses all 4 matches.

Yeah and pigs will fly.
Click to expand...

When ever I read ur posts , picture if basit Ali comes in my head
 
Abdullah said:
Here we go boys game by game
This is what needs to happen.

West Indies vs Bangladesh, Match 23 - Bang
England vs Afghanistan, Match 24 - Eng
New Zealand vs South Africa, Match 25 - SA
Australia vs Bangladesh, Match 26 - Aus
England vs Sri Lanka, Match 27 - Eng
India vs Afghanistan, Match 28 - Ind
West Indies vs New Zealand, Match 29 - WI
Pakistan vs South Africa, Match 30 - Pak
Bangladesh vs Afghanistan, Match 31 - Bang
England vs Australia, Match 32 - Eng
New Zealand vs Pakistan, Match 33 - Pak
West Indies vs India, Match 34 - Ind
Sri Lanka vs South Africa, Match 35 - SA
Pakistan vs Afghanistan, Match 36 - Pak
New Zealand vs Australia, Match 37 - NZ
England vs India, Match 38 - Doesn’t matter
Sri Lanka vs West Indies, Match 39 - WI
Bangladesh vs India, Match 40 - India
England vs New Zealand, Match 41 - Eng
Afghanistan vs West Indies, Match 42 - WI
Pakistan vs Bangladesh, Match 43 - Pak
Sri Lanka vs India, Match 44 - Ind
Australia vs South Africa, Match 45 - SA

Bang 9 points
Windies 9 points
SA- 9 points
Aus- 10 points
NZ- 9 points
Pak 11 points

The most implausible results out of the above look like our games!!!!

The main games I feel are the NZ and Aus games, as we need them to NOT get to 11 points.

We are fans so we have to pray/hope/believe

@mehndi
[MENTION=136383]MSaad[/MENTION]
[MENTION=51324]aqeelPK[/MENTION]
Click to expand...

Great work!

Pakistan are 13.5 to 1 to reach the SF, and 120 to 1 to win the World Cup on Betfair - these odds are rubbish, considering an accumulator on the above would net in over 10000 to 1!
 
The key game is Pak vs NZ

Pakistan needs to beat SA, Afg & Bang - which given SAs fork in this competition shouldn't be an issue inshallah

NZ needs to lose to Aus & Eng - which given Aus and Engs form shouldn't be an issue inshallah

After that if Pak beats NZ both teams will end on 11 points and NRR comes into it
 
After the abysmal showing in the world cup part of me now wants pakistan to lose all their remaining games so they get hammered by the fans with abuse and eggs. After their disgusting performance in this world cup like ramiz raja perfectly put squad needs a full revamp. The only players that deserve to be part of the future team is babar azam, mohammed amir and maybe to an extent shadab khan. Rest are sitting ducks.
 
TalhaSyed said:
The key game is Pak vs NZ

Pakistan needs to beat SA, Afg & Bang - which given SAs fork in this competition shouldn't be an issue inshallah

NZ needs to lose to Aus & Eng - which given Aus and Engs form shouldn't be an issue inshallah

After that if Pak beats NZ both teams will end on 11 points and NRR comes into it
Click to expand...

Our net run rate is battered. Need kiwis to lose to SA and then beat windies
 
People are thinking about 4 out of 4 wins. Lol. Pakistan will lose 3 out of those 4. Afghanistan would be a nailbiter.
 
If Pakistan can win all their matches, I am pretty sure they won't miss out on a semifinals berth then, because:

Only games that we want to happen according to our will are:

South Africa beating New Zealand
New Zealand beating West Indies

Rest should fall in place, if the better team wins as we are directly competing with New Zealand and West Indies, although Australia too could lose out. South Africa, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Afghanistan winning and causing upsets will further strengthen our case. So we should support these sides from now on.

Ideally it would end like:

1) England 8 Wins, 1 Loss 16 Points
2) India 7 Wins, 1 Loss, 1 NRR 15 Points
3) Australia 7 Wins, 2 Loss 14 Points
4) Pakistan 5 Wins, 3 Loss, 1 NRR 11 Points

5) New Zealand 4 Wins, 4 Loss, 1 NRR 9 Points
6) West Indies 4 Wins, 4 Loss, 1 NRR 9 Points
7) South Africa 4 Wins, 4 Loss, 1 NRR 9 Points
8) Bangladesh 2 Wins , 6 Loss, 1 NRR 5 Points
9) Sri Lanka 1 Win, 6 Loss, 2 NRR 4 Points
10) Afghanistan 0 Win, 9 Loss 0 Points
 
wasimjunior said:
Our net run rate is battered. Need kiwis to lose to SA and then beat windies
Click to expand...

Yup unfortunately for us now we have to play the NRR game to have a chance to got through.

I'm sure you know alot of this already, however, here's a summary of at least how I see things can go down inshallah.

Ok - let's get a couple of things out the way early:

Numbe 1: Yes Pakistan has played horrendous cricket so far in the world cup and they should have performed alot better and won alot more games

Number 2: The "they don't deserve to play the semi final" statement is absolutely garbage. If some how Pakistan qualify for the semi finals - then they will deserve to be there. End of.

Number 3: If fans think a poor performance here will trigger some drastic change across Pakistani cricket they are extremely deluded and I would question whether they have followed Pakistani cricket for more than 2 years or not.

Now let's get down to the nitty gritty of it.

Pakistan has already played - what should be - it's three toughest games in the competition. I think their are three teams guaranteed a semi final spot - England, Australia & India - and we have played all 3 of them and won 1 of those matches.

We were unlucky for the SL game to be rained off, however, managed to get a point & the WI game obviously resulted in no points.

What all this means is we can end up on a maximum of 11 points by winning our remaining games. Given SAs recent form, I don't think it's unrealistic for Pakistan to achieve this & yes sure I know alot of posters will disagree.

Of course it will not be easy - however, in my mind it's not imossible for us to win the remaining 4 games and end up on 11 points.

So for the sake of this analysis let's assume that Pakistan win their remaining games and end up on 11 points inshallah for.

Now the question is - apart from the 3 teams I mentioned above who I believe have guarunteed qualification spots and Pakistan - who else can end up on 11 points or more?

Afg can get a maximum of 8 points so they are out.

For Bang to get to 11 points they need to beat Aus & Ind so I think it's fair to say that is unlikely

SA need to beat Pak to get to 11 points and if that happens then it will be game over for Pakistan, so no point discussing this here.

WI need to beat NZ, SL, Afg & Bang to end up on 11 points and they need to beat India to end up on 13 points. I think 13 points is extremely unlikely - however - 11 points is possible in which case it will come down to NRR

NZ need to lose two of their remaining 5 games to end up on 11 points. Obviously in this scenario we are assuming Pak win their remaining games (including the one against NZ) so that means NZ need to lose to either Eng, Aus, SA or WI which I think is highly likely to happen.

SL need to beat three of SA, WI, Eng and Ind to end up on 11 points which I think is quite unlikely - specially given their 2 games against Eng and Ind - however still possible.

So what that means is the teams which technically can - but are unlikely to - beat Pakistan for the 4th spot are:

Sri Lanka & Bangladesh

The teams which possibly can end up on 11 points and it will come down to NRR are:

West Indies and New Zealand

Now yes I know it won't be easy. And yes I know it's frustrating to have to rely on NRR - it would be a lot easier if we managed to secure 2 points against SL or Aus.

However - you can say what you want - it isn't over yet.

Pakistan will have to play out their skin to not just win the remaining 4 games but also get their NRR above WIs and/or NZs but it can be done.

You throw in the uncertainty regarding the rain and that could go in Pakistan's favour or against us depending on what game(s) get rained off.

Picture abhi baaki hai :msd
 
On current form, even Afghanistan will fancy their chances :sarf

Hopefully the boys fight, but we are carrying passengers, so it is hard to win any matches unless the top 3 makes 80% of the runs.

Not sure what to say about the bowling....
 
TalhaSyed said:
Yup unfortunately for us now we have to play the NRR game to have a chance to got through.

I'm sure you know alot of this already, however, here's a summary of at least how I see things can go down inshallah.

Ok - let's get a couple of things out the way early:

Numbe 1: Yes Pakistan has played horrendous cricket so far in the world cup and they should have performed alot better and won alot more games

Number 2: The "they don't deserve to play the semi final" statement is absolutely garbage. If some how Pakistan qualify for the semi finals - then they will deserve to be there. End of.

Number 3: If fans think a poor performance here will trigger some drastic change across Pakistani cricket they are extremely deluded and I would question whether they have followed Pakistani cricket for more than 2 years or not.

Now let's get down to the nitty gritty of it.

Pakistan has already played - what should be - it's three toughest games in the competition. I think their are three teams guaranteed a semi final spot - England, Australia & India - and we have played all 3 of them and won 1 of those matches.

We were unlucky for the SL game to be rained off, however, managed to get a point & the WI game obviously resulted in no points.

What all this means is we can end up on a maximum of 11 points by winning our remaining games. Given SAs recent form, I don't think it's unrealistic for Pakistan to achieve this & yes sure I know alot of posters will disagree.

Of course it will not be easy - however, in my mind it's not imossible for us to win the remaining 4 games and end up on 11 points.

So for the sake of this analysis let's assume that Pakistan win their remaining games and end up on 11 points inshallah for.

Now the question is - apart from the 3 teams I mentioned above who I believe have guarunteed qualification spots and Pakistan - who else can end up on 11 points or more?

Afg can get a maximum of 8 points so they are out.

For Bang to get to 11 points they need to beat Aus & Ind so I think it's fair to say that is unlikely

SA need to beat Pak to get to 11 points and if that happens then it will be game over for Pakistan, so no point discussing this here.

WI need to beat NZ, SL, Afg & Bang to end up on 11 points and they need to beat India to end up on 13 points. I think 13 points is extremely unlikely - however - 11 points is possible in which case it will come down to NRR

NZ need to lose two of their remaining 5 games to end up on 11 points. Obviously in this scenario we are assuming Pak win their remaining games (including the one against NZ) so that means NZ need to lose to either Eng, Aus, SA or WI which I think is highly likely to happen.

SL need to beat three of SA, WI, Eng and Ind to end up on 11 points which I think is quite unlikely - specially given their 2 games against Eng and Ind - however still possible.

So what that means is the teams which technically can - but are unlikely to - beat Pakistan for the 4th spot are:

Sri Lanka & Bangladesh

The teams which possibly can end up on 11 points and it will come down to NRR are:

West Indies and New Zealand

Now yes I know it won't be easy. And yes I know it's frustrating to have to rely on NRR - it would be a lot easier if we managed to secure 2 points against SL or Aus.

However - you can say what you want - it isn't over yet.

Pakistan will have to play out their skin to not just win the remaining 4 games but also get their NRR above WIs and/or NZs but it can be done.

You throw in the uncertainty regarding the rain and that could go in Pakistan's favour or against us depending on what game(s) get rained off.

Picture abhi baaki hai :msd
Click to expand...

They don't need NRR, check the above the post.
 
Pakistan has to go all out against SA and Kiwis .

This is do or die now , no looking back.

Aamir , Hasnain , Wahab , shadab , Imad should play as specialist bowlers.
 
Arsalan Pro said:
They don't need NRR, check the above the post.
Click to expand...

In the above post their are a number of results which we are unlikely to see such as:

> Bang beating WI - I know Bang have had the better of WI in recent times, however, in the WC WI have really shown up and seem to have a dangerous attack

> SA beating NZ - on current form this seems unlikely

> WI beating NZ - WI have been good but thing they may struggle to topple NZ

> NZ beating Aus - looking unlikely on current form

> SA beating Aus - looking unlikely on current form

I think even 1 of the above results occurring is improbable. Expecting ALL the above to occur is extremely unlikely.

In the situation I proposed the most unlikely thing is probably Pak winning all 4 remaining games, however, that is what they need to do now to get through. Meanwhile the other results is what you would expect to see
 
Abdullah said:
Here we go boys game by game
This is what needs to happen.

West Indies vs Bangladesh, Match 23 - Bang
England vs Afghanistan, Match 24 - Eng
New Zealand vs South Africa, Match 25 - SA
Australia vs Bangladesh, Match 26 - Aus
England vs Sri Lanka, Match 27 - Eng
India vs Afghanistan, Match 28 - Ind
West Indies vs New Zealand, Match 29 - WI
Pakistan vs South Africa, Match 30 - Pak
Bangladesh vs Afghanistan, Match 31 - Bang
England vs Australia, Match 32 - Eng
New Zealand vs Pakistan, Match 33 - Pak
West Indies vs India, Match 34 - Ind
Sri Lanka vs South Africa, Match 35 - SA
Pakistan vs Afghanistan, Match 36 - Pak
New Zealand vs Australia, Match 37 - NZ
England vs India, Match 38 - Doesn’t matter
Sri Lanka vs West Indies, Match 39 - WI
Bangladesh vs India, Match 40 - India
England vs New Zealand, Match 41 - Eng
Afghanistan vs West Indies, Match 42 - WI
Pakistan vs Bangladesh, Match 43 - Pak
Sri Lanka vs India, Match 44 - Ind
Australia vs South Africa, Match 45 - SA

Bang 9 points
Windies 9 points
SA- 9 points
Aus- 10 points
NZ- 9 points
Pak 11 points

The most implausible results out of the above look like our games!!!!

The main games I feel are the NZ and Aus games, as we need them to NOT get to 11 points.

We are fans so we have to pray/hope/believe

@mehndi
[MENTION=136383]MSaad[/MENTION]
[MENTION=51324]aqeelPK[/MENTION]
Click to expand...

Absolutely spot on. You have got it absolutely right with what needs to happen for Pakistan to qualify.

Can someone make this post of Abdullah's a sticky as we can then follow and keep tabs on Pakistan's likelihood of qualifying based on Abdullah's excellent forecast game by game?
 
Another one from Geo News :-)


West Indies lose atleast 2 of the remaining matches, Bangladesh, South Africa, New Zealand lose all their remaining matches & Pakistan wins all its remaining matches with a good NRR than Pakistan will reach Semis.



Being a Pakistani I want Pakistan to qualify no matter what but it’s highly unrealistic. Let’s hope against hope.
 
TalhaSyed said:
In the above post their are a number of results which we are unlikely to see such as:

> Bang beating WI - I know Bang have had the better of WI in recent times, however, in the WC WI have really shown up and seem to have a dangerous attack

> SA beating NZ - on current form this seems unlikely

> WI beating NZ - WI have been good but thing they may struggle to topple NZ

> NZ beating Aus - looking unlikely on current form

> SA beating Aus - looking unlikely on current form

I think even 1 of the above results occurring is improbable. Expecting ALL the above to occur is extremely unlikely.

In the situation I proposed the most unlikely thing is probably Pak winning all 4 remaining games, however, that is what they need to do now to get through. Meanwhile the other results is what you would expect to see
Click to expand...

There was a mistake in that regarding South Africa only, we don't need NRR according to that and those results which you are talking about.

South Africa will finish at 7 points beating Afghanistan and New Zealand, lose to Australia.

Why did you make up other results by yourself?

Australia is beating South Africa
West Indies is beating Bangladesh
Australia is beating New Zealand
New Zealand is beating West Indies

These results are meant to happen anyway.
 
Arsalan Pro said:
There was a mistake in that regarding South Africa only, we don't need NRR according to that and those results which you are talking about.

South Africa will finish at 7 points beating Afghanistan and New Zealand, lose to Australia.

Why did you make up other results by yourself?

Australia is beating South Africa
West Indies is beating Bangladesh
Australia is beating New Zealand
New Zealand is beating West Indies

These results are meant to happen anyway.
Click to expand...

Sorry - what? :afaq

If I'm not mistaken we are talking about post 119 here right?

West Indies vs Bangladesh, Match 23 - Bang
.
.
West Indies vs New Zealand, Match 29 - WI
.
.
West Indies vs New Zealand, Match 29 - WI
.
.
New Zealand vs Australia, Match 37 - NZ
.
.
Australia vs South Africa, Match 45 - SA
Click to expand...
 
Abdullah said:
Here we go boys game by game
This is what needs to happen.

West Indies vs Bangladesh, Match 23 - Bang
England vs Afghanistan, Match 24 - Eng
New Zealand vs South Africa, Match 25 - SA
Australia vs Bangladesh, Match 26 - Aus
England vs Sri Lanka, Match 27 - Eng
India vs Afghanistan, Match 28 - Ind
West Indies vs New Zealand, Match 29 - WI
Pakistan vs South Africa, Match 30 - Pak
Bangladesh vs Afghanistan, Match 31 - Bang
England vs Australia, Match 32 - Eng
New Zealand vs Pakistan, Match 33 - Pak
West Indies vs India, Match 34 - Ind
Sri Lanka vs South Africa, Match 35 - SA
Pakistan vs Afghanistan, Match 36 - Pak
New Zealand vs Australia, Match 37 - NZ
England vs India, Match 38 - Doesn’t matter
Sri Lanka vs West Indies, Match 39 - WI
Bangladesh vs India, Match 40 - India
England vs New Zealand, Match 41 - Eng
Afghanistan vs West Indies, Match 42 - WI
Pakistan vs Bangladesh, Match 43 - Pak
Sri Lanka vs India, Match 44 - Ind
Australia vs South Africa, Match 45 - SA

Bang 9 points
Windies 9 points
SA- 9 points
Aus- 10 points
NZ- 9 points
Pak 11 points

The most implausible results out of the above look like our games!!!!

The main games I feel are the NZ and Aus games, as we need them to NOT get to 11 points.

We are fans so we have to pray/hope/believe

@mehndi
[MENTION=136383]MSaad[/MENTION]
[MENTION=51324]aqeelPK[/MENTION]
Click to expand...

Your scenarios are for Pakistan ending up ahead of both Australia and NZ, they need to be ahead of only one of those two. Most likely it will be NZ rather than Australia who will be eliminated if Pakistan makes it to the SFs.
 
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