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Australia [334/7] beat Sri Lanka [247] by 87 runs in 20th match of 2019 World Cup

I don't think so.

They have won 3 already, has lost one game joint top seed. After today’s game (considering they lose it, which is not likely), they’ll have 6 points with games left against ENG, BD, NZ & SAF - two wins can take them, 3 will confirm SF, and they are quite capable of doing that. If AUS win today, they’ll walk into SF.
 
Imagine an Ind vs Pak semi final which is quite possible if Pakistan replaces Australia and India replaces England...

It will be at Old Trafford I guess.
 
They have won 3 already, has lost one game joint top seed. After today’s game (considering they lose it, which is not likely), they’ll have 6 points with games left against ENG, BD, NZ & SAF - two wins can take them, 3 will confirm SF, and they are quite capable of doing that. If AUS win today, they’ll walk into SF.

I hope sri lanka wins today cause the remaining fixtures of Australia are really tough and there is an chance they will loose most of their matches and crash out.
 
Sri Lanka is the first team who broke the monopoly of "Bat First - Win it" policy and gave a new hope and dimension for chasing! (First team to win WC by chasing!) That's why they will always surprise you with a chase even when they have a weakest side! Even if they don't win this match, their effort is commendable when nobody expects them to do so!
 
Sri Lanka is the first team who broke the monopoly of "Bat First - Win it" policy and gave a new hope and dimension for chasing! (First team to win WC by chasing!) That's why they will always surprise you with a chase even when they have a weakest side! Even if they don't win this match, their effort is commendable when nobody expects them to do so!

None of their players feel the pressure while chasing. They proved in SA tests. In CT against India. Pressure is the reason why most teams falter in big chases rather than the ability.
 
None of their players feel the pressure while chasing. They proved in SA tests. In CT against India. Pressure is the reason why most teams falter in big chases rather than the ability.
That south africa test where out of no where kusal pererea single handedly won sri lanka the test match and series is the greatest innings I have seen in my life.
 
Regarding Starc and Cummins, i am surprised they dont have slower ball in their armory. It will double your wicket taking ability.
 
The weather seems good for tomorrow as well in London. Why not shift the Indo-Pak match to either Lords or Oval?

The weather has been known for a while to be horrible and this is a marquee match for the ICC.
 
The weather seems good for tomorrow as well in London. Why not shift the Indo-Pak match to either Lords or Oval?

The weather has been known for a while to be horrible and this is a marquee match for the ICC.

Whats the weather update in Manchester?
 
On good batting surfaces where fast bowlers don't get anything, change ups are important. Isrul Udana showed. This is a poor ODI bowling unit. Jhye Richardson is a very clever bowler.
 
I hope sri lanka wins today cause the remaining fixtures of Australia are really tough and there is an chance they will loose most of their matches and crash out.

AUS are a tournament team - they gradually improve with the tournament, a bit like Germany of Soccer. I expect them to impolite by the last week of preliminary round. Yes, they are looking loose right now, but I am sure by the time they reach KO stage, if they qualify, they’ll be in business.

For tournaments, unless you are overwhelming favourites like those WIN & AUS teams, it’s better to get stronger with the tournament and struggle pass few initial games, which I expect from Aussies.
 
AUS are a tournament team - they gradually improve with the tournament, a bit like Germany of Soccer. I expect them to impolite by the last week of preliminary round. Yes, they are looking loose right now, but I am sure by the time they reach KO stage, if they qualify, they’ll be in business.

For tournaments, unless you are overwhelming favourites like those WIN & AUS teams, it’s better to get stronger with the tournament and struggle pass few initial games, which I expect from Aussies.

Fair point but this Australian bowling is pretty bland.
 
I don't think so.

Depends on Westindies and PAkistan too. If Any of them dont have resurgence in next part of the tourney Australia will make it easily

Though I believe SA can beat Aussies but still I would put them ahead of Pakistan and WI as of now
 
Most of the runs are going to third man. Why can't Finch have a fly slip. One of them would have been out by now
 
AUS are a tournament team - they gradually improve with the tournament, a bit like Germany of Soccer. I expect them to impolite by the last week of preliminary round. Yes, they are looking loose right now, but I am sure by the time they reach KO stage, if they qualify, they’ll be in business.

For tournaments, unless you are overwhelming favourites like those WIN & AUS teams, it’s better to get stronger with the tournament and struggle pass few initial games, which I expect from Aussies.

No they seem to have too many weak points. They will only make Semis because Pak and WI havent taken their chances
 
Depends on Westindies and PAkistan too. If Any of them dont have resurgence in next part of the tourney Australia will make it easily

Though I believe SA can beat Aussies but still I would put them ahead of Pakistan and WI as of now
obivously we have to win remaining matches to qualify.
 
No they seem to have too many weak points. They will only make Semis because Pak and WI havent taken their chances

Then that means Pakistan and Windies have bigger problems. It is a case of which team have less problems. That is the way i see this world cup. All teams have weaknesses. Just that England batting is too good to cover all their weakness.
 
I will not take any match lightly. Afghanistan, Bangladesh any match. No win is guarantee. Bit of rain if the opposition needs 120 in 20 both BD and Afghanistan can chase it down.
 
Then that means Pakistan and Windies have bigger problems. It is a case of which team have less problems. That is the way i see this world cup. All teams have weaknesses. Just that England batting is too good to cover all their weakness.

India has an very balanced team of all the teams in the world cup ,whether its batting or bowling .They deserve to be in the semifinal and so does england.
 
Win predictor SL 29% :)))

Who comes up with these numbers?


They do it in a mathematical simulator with past results as reference. These days, often chasing sides are given (calculated) lower percentage (of win) than it should be, because of the recurring past record. The average scoring is much higher than 20 years back and these days with 8 wickets at hand, chasing 150 in last 20 overs is quite possible- in even contest should be more than 60% chance, but put even the best of the best (say WIN of 1979 or AUS of 2003) - in 2003s contest, that percentage might not be even 50%...... put 1987s context, it’s near impossible.
 
As i said it has come down to T20 scenario 160 in 20.2 overs. 160 is not a bad total with no bowling restriction for bowlers.
 
No they seem to have too many weak points. They will only make Semis because Pak and WI havent taken their chances

Chance favours the prepared mind - it doesn’t happen that PAK or WIN didn’t take their chances - they don’t know how to take chances. Making chance doesn't win you games, taking them does.
 
This aussie team reminds me of 92 WC team

So lacklustre other than Starc and Cummins not even 1 good quality bowler
 
Not sure if SRL noticed that Maxwell got away with 43 in 9 overs chasing 335.
 
Chance favours the prepared mind - it doesn’t happen that PAK or WIN didn’t take their chances - they don’t know how to take chances. Making chance doesn't win you games, taking them does.

That's not my point. Just that this Aus team is not a great one. They might make Semi final but that is doe to incompetency of Pak/WI not because Aus are a tournament team
 
Not sure if SRL noticed that Maxwell got away with 43 in 9 overs chasing 335.

He stifled them with angle. Theoritically we expect part timers must go for runs and main bowlers should not go for runs. Quiet often reverse happens. Part timer gets away. Main bowlers go for plenty.
 
SL has left themselves wtih too much to do . . last 10 overs were poor
 
This aussie team reminds me of 92 WC team

So lacklustre other than Starc and Cummins not even 1 good quality bowler

They have three inform top order. Once they bring in Lyon or Zampa they will become a better bowling force. Mitch Marsh will replace Kane.
 
Mathews is best man to have for Srilanka in this situation

I havent followed his recent form but he's a good chaser
 
They have three inform top order. Once they bring in Lyon or Zampa they will become a better bowling force. Mitch Marsh will replace Kane.

Not really even though Warner scored ton against us. I wont say he's in form

Finch has genuine technical issues and Smith though a very good player is just not level of Kohli, Root, williamson in ODIs
 
Required rate almost 9 , Lanka need to find couple of big overs here to keep themselves in this game.
 
That's not my point. Just that this Aus team is not a great one. They might make Semi final but that is doe to incompetency of Pak/WI not because Aus are a tournament team

No, your point is flawed. You are putting too much weights on PAK & WIN, which they are not worthy. This AUS side is coming from 8-2 in Asia, and PAK is coming from 0-12 run, WIN coming from 3 losses to minnow Bangladesh in a week. WIN looked great in a game they beat PAK - that’s it, which I don’t think should draw that much attention. PAK & WIN has their chances yet - win next 5 games both will be in SF. BD also can do that - win against WIN, AUS, AFG, IND & PAK - we are there.

Australia is a tournament team - that’s why they have won it 5 times, made finals twice more. And, out of those 7, they were favourites probably 3 times, max 4. Tournament team are those that can cope up with the pressure and can answer in crucial times - bring a better team to do that than Aussies, I’ll accept.
 
One of this batsmen need to take on the bowlers , a couple of big overs can bring them close.
 
No, your point is flawed. You are putting too much weights on PAK & WIN, which they are not worthy. This AUS side is coming from 8-2 in Asia, and PAK is coming from 0-12 run, WIN coming from 3 losses to minnow Bangladesh in a week. WIN looked great in a game they beat PAK - that’s it, which I don’t think should draw that much attention. PAK & WIN has their chances yet - win next 5 games both will be in SF. BD also can do that - win against WIN, AUS, AFG, IND & PAK - we are there.

Australia is a tournament team - that’s why they have won it 5 times, made finals twice more. And, out of those 7, they were favourites probably 3 times, max 4. Tournament team are those that can cope up with the pressure and can answer in crucial times - bring a better team to do that than Aussies, I’ll accept.

Again you are thinking that I am comparing Aus with WI/Pak which I am not. They are comfortably better thn them. Just stressing the fact that they are not a great team and have many weak links. They won't win WC with basically a 2 man attack. Their tournament teams didnt have this kind of bowling attack. Batting wise they are no match to Eng and India who are real favourites
 
Matthews is having an Inzi-like WC. Single digit scores.
 
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