No, your point is flawed. You are putting too much weights on PAK & WIN, which they are not worthy. This AUS side is coming from 8-2 in Asia, and PAK is coming from 0-12 run, WIN coming from 3 losses to minnow Bangladesh in a week. WIN looked great in a game they beat PAK - that’s it, which I don’t think should draw that much attention. PAK & WIN has their chances yet - win next 5 games both will be in SF. BD also can do that - win against WIN, AUS, AFG, IND & PAK - we are there.
Australia is a tournament team - that’s why they have won it 5 times, made finals twice more. And, out of those 7, they were favourites probably 3 times, max 4. Tournament team are those that can cope up with the pressure and can answer in crucial times - bring a better team to do that than Aussies, I’ll accept.