Pakistan is most likely going to play:
1. Imam
2. Fakhar
3. Babar
4. Hafeez
5. Malik
6. Sarfaraz
7. Imad
8. Shadab
9. Hasan
10. Amir/Junaid/whoever else
11. Shaheen
Pakistan's biggest problem starts at Sarfaraz . . number 6, 7 and 8 . . aren't reliable . . although Imad batted well in SA and is a better LOI batsman than shadab, I just fear that number 7 is too high for him . . that's where Pakistan has gone wrong . . they never took this position seriously . . they needed to have developed a fast bowling all rounder who is a reliable batsman . . whether it was hussain talat or amir yameen or whoever . . they wasted all this time on Faheem Ashraf who can't bat!
I think Pak's bowling will be decent . . I am not too bothered about it . . I am worried about putting up 300+ runs on the board consistently . .
Given the dopey nature of Sarfaraz, Imad and Shadab . . that means, Pak can not be 4 down in the first 35 overs . . so unfortunately, unlike other teams . . Pak won't have the liberty to score quickly in the beginning . . would have to resort to an old-ish style of cricket:
10 overs - 50/1
20 overs - 95/2
30 overs - 155/3
35 overs - 185/4
43 overs - 240/5
50 overs - 310/8
For Pak to have any chance of going deep, these are the pre-reqs:
1. Fakhar needs to be in form . . (I'll take an average of 35 at S/R 110)
2. Babar needs to have a HUGE world cup . . not make pretty 30s and 40s . .
3. Not lose more than 4 wickets in the first 35 overs . . even if it means a RR of 5 at over number 35.
If Pak can do that, then we may have a chance at going to the semi final . .
If we go too hard at the top and end up with say 120/3 and 180/5 in 30 overs . . we will get knocked out for 260 . . we just don't have the depth to go hard from the beginning unfortuantely!