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Glory at the doorstep | Preview of Pakistan vs Australia | ICC Men's T20 WC 2nd Semi-final

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"This is my backyard"


Prelude : A team desperately searching for the right combination in the backdrop of a complete management overhaul. The initial Squad announced for the world cup stuns many and then they were subjected to the worst humiliation by a shocking last minute pull out by kiwi's.


Empty stands of UAE have been mute spectator's of Pakistan Scripting historic wins against all kind of opposition. When the Great Virat Kohli would have walked out for toss he might have wondered "They know the surface, the length of the grass and not just the dew, Gosh this is the toughest opener I could have got. Playing Pakistan on there own backyard".


The preview: If New Zealand have been India's Nemesis in the ICC event's, so has been Australia for Pakistan. The most heart breaking was the Semi-final if 2010 where Hussey committed a daylight robbery to blank out a shell shocked Pakistan.

The bad news for Pakistan is they can still meet the same fate. Aussies walked into this World Cup as unfancied as Malik form but we all have witnessed turn of fortune for both. I believe this side has the attack to bare bone Pakistan batting weakness and thrash them silly.

What will worry Aussies is that in spite of being scratchy with their batting Pakistan has shown an amazing Calmness of a Zen. This Calmness must be so unnerving for the opposition because it gives an impression that Pakistan surely knows something which they don't.

Pakistan has made a virtue out of their limitation by going at a snail pace in first 10 overs. I believe they are pulling a fast one on the likes of Butler "This is T20 cricket mate, What's wrong with you". On a serious note they seem to believe that 150 is enough. the problem is they have yet to bat first and defend that sort of total.

Pakistan real worry is Fakhar at no.3. Given they would make 37 odd in Power play and spook the universe. He is a total misfit to start against spinners on these tracks he should have been opening and given a license to thrash the blade of the grass. Malik should come at no.3 the best batsmen in the world right now against spin and either Fakhar opens or he plays as finisher.

He is followed by Hafeez at no.4. These are two walking wickets between over no.6 and 10. Australia will bury Pakistan if they give them a sniff and this batting order with the Defensive strategy and leaving everything to lower order is almost suicidal and biggest threat to Pakistan chances.

Aussies have their test specialist Pace attack, which knows how to take wickets. Like's of Malik and Asif will be facing heavy artillery firing on there throats and That is another bummer in Pakistan current strategy. Using them as finisher. I would rather have Malik at no.3 Asif at 4 followed by Hafeez and fakhar.

Where Pakistan makes a comeback in the equation is with arguably the best all round bowling attack against an uncertain Aussies batting. They might be hitting the form off late but few early blows put them under relentless pressure and they can self implode.

In a way its a battle of two great bowling units with equally suspect batting order and it will be a question of who blink first.

Dubai, Surface have some moisture initially before they become batting friendly however in knock out games would Pakistan fancy chasing anything especially anything over 150. It may be a good toss to loose for a change.

In all fairness this is Pakistan tournament to loose now. Any team defeating them will be an upset and the team most likely to do that is the one they are facing in the semi's. How many of you have had opportunity to meet a "Zen" someone who makes a mockery of everything while be so calm and self assured.

In spite of few rough edges it's their calmness which is really driving me nuts maybe they know something which no one else. Afterall, its their own backyard.


Fight_Club
 
I am really really worried about starc vs rizwan/babar match up. Starc has shown that he can do a shaheen afridi on them multiple times. I think Starc/Zampa vs Pakistan batting line up is the real match up and if we win that, we will win the match

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lp4cU55c4V8

Babar will be fine but not sure about Rizwan.
Dont forget hazy, cummins and in form zhampa. There is just no let up
 
Going by my gut feeling -
Australia to win easily Pakistan and will face England in Finals..
Warner and Finch to smash Afridi and co allround the park with only Babar giving some resistance..
Maxwell and starc to play important role with ball.
 
Going into semi-finals , Pakistan feels like India of the past month: complacent, arrogant and yet another game mantra. The media, fan base and the team have already won the world cup. The hunger and passion that were so obvious at the start of the world cup seem to be missing from players. I was very upbeat about this team as I was following them closely and telling others that this group is now ready to take off. What a waste of this talent, if this attitude brings their downfall in the knock out stages.

Australia is a very dangerous opponent and if not planned and executed per plans , playing out of their skins it will take them down
 
Going into semi-finals , Pakistan feels like India of the past month: complacent, arrogant and yet another game mantra. The media, fan base and the team have already won the world cup. The hunger and passion that were so obvious at the start of the world cup seem to be missing from players. I was very upbeat about this team as I was following them closely and telling others that this group is now ready to take off. What a waste of this talent, if this attitude brings their downfall in the knock out stages.

Australia is a very dangerous opponent and if not planned and executed per plans , playing out of their skins it will take them down

Boss our last three matches have been Afghanistan, Namibia and Scotland. If you are expecting boys to show same intensity that they showed against India or New Zealand then you are mistaken.


You will see same intensity as shown in the start of the WC when boys step out to face Aussies. Bobby to smash Starc for a couple of crisp cover drives to stamp authority. :bobs
 
Going into semi-finals , Pakistan feels like India of the past month: complacent, arrogant and yet another game mantra. The media, fan base and the team have already won the world cup. The hunger and passion that were so obvious at the start of the world cup seem to be missing from players. I was very upbeat about this team as I was following them closely and telling others that this group is now ready to take off. What a waste of this talent, if this attitude brings their downfall in the knock out stages.

Australia is a very dangerous opponent and if not planned and executed per plans , playing out of their skins it will take them down

That's what I like to see, positive vibes.
 
They have no fifth bowler which is let down and pakistan can take a chance there

That's correct but In suspect they might bring Aston. Especially after watching India vs Nambia game. Other thing is if this pakistan loose 2 early wicket then you wouldn't need a fifth bowler. Marsh, stoinis and Maxi can easily share the burden.
 
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Babar and Rizwan versus Starc/Hazlewood/Cummins will be the key battle.

If Babar and Rizwan can see them off whilst maintaining a decent run-rate, the match can be Pakistan's.
 
Babar and Rizwan versus Starc/Hazlewood/Cummins will be the key battle.

If Babar and Rizwan can see them off whilst maintaining a decent run-rate, the match can be Pakistan's.

We need to be ~ 45/1 out of PP and then target their 5th bowler if playing first.
 
I can't waite to watch the contest between Pakistan openers and Australia opening bowlers.Also Shaheen vs Warner
 
We need to be ~ 45/1 out of PP and then target their 5th bowler if playing first.

The highest Pakistan has scored in pp is 42/0 vs India in Dubai. However if one of the opener get out
early and fakhar get in score can be different. Real deal is how Play Zampa and over no.6 to 10.

I can't waite to watch the contest between Pakistan openers and Australia opening bowlers.Also Shaheen vs Warner

Watching Nambia vs India pitch was petty flat and pacers were easier to hit then spinner. That will be great for Pakistan. The Challenge Australian pace attack poses is bounce they are able to obtain.
I hope Pakistan comes out with Positive intent to take on these bowlers and unsettle them like England does but that seems to be wishful thinking looking at the tactics so far.

Fakhar, has best chance to perform in Dubai is the surface is not slower
 
I am really really worried about starc vs rizwan/babar match up. Starc has shown that he can do a shaheen afridi on them multiple times. I think Starc/Zampa vs Pakistan batting line up is the real match up and if we win that, we will win the match

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lp4cU55c4V8


Against such bowling, your best bet is to play late, play late and play late.

ALWAYS assume that it's going to be an inswinger and get ready to play the inswinger.

If it turns out to be an outswinger, leave it alone - don't touch it, don't follow it, don't poke at it.

If it's an inswinger, you are already ready for it.

Simple rule that increases your chances of survival against this type of bowling.
 
The highest Pakistan has scored in pp is 42/0 vs India in Dubai. However if one of the opener get out
early and fakhar get in score can be different. Real deal is how Play Zampa and over no.6 to 10.



Watching Nambia vs India pitch was petty flat and pacers were easier to hit then spinner. That will be great for Pakistan. The Challenge Australian pace attack poses is bounce they are able to obtain.
I hope Pakistan comes out with Positive intent to take on these bowlers and unsettle them like England does but that seems to be wishful thinking looking at the tactics so far.

Fakhar, has best chance to perform in Dubai is the surface is not slower

IMO, Fakhar has better chances to hit a couple of big shots against Zampa or Maxi. And that too, he is a one shot pony where he smacks it over the cow corner. He doesn't have too much of an innovation or a wide range of strokes.

And then as we all know, Fakhar seems to struggler against pacers.
Short ball is his biggest weakness. 9 out of 10 times, he will pop it up.

And against pacers, he is a yet again a one shot pony where he can play the half volleys thru covers, and that's about it.
 
IMO, Fakhar has better chances to hit a couple of big shots against Zampa or Maxi. And that too, he is a one shot pony where he smacks it over the cow corner. He doesn't have too much of an innovation or a wide range of strokes.

And then as we all know, Fakhar seems to struggler against pacers.
Short ball is his biggest weakness. 9 out of 10 times, he will pop it up.

And against pacers, he is a yet again a one shot pony where he can play the half volleys thru covers, and that's about it.


The issues lies in his stance. It provides him best swing on the leg side , he was a very good off side player and timer of the ball at the off. However if pace is slow then he wouldn't get much power on the off and that's why he is seem's to be having just one hoick against spinners. He will never be good on slow surfaces because of that.

Against pace he is fine as long as ball is not aimed at his head. but a little low and he can deposit them out of the park. I don't understand what coaches are telling him but he seems to have got possessed about hitting sixes especially in T20's that's why he fails. He does need some time at the crease.

His stance allows him to play pace and short pitch stuff easily and he is the most destructive batsmen
all he needs is a little guidance and a proper batting no. like on these surface's either he opens or come at no.5

This guys has a batting avg of 48 and he will be a great asset in Australia where next world cup is due
it's just that Pakistan management has to work out how to use him best. If you give him 5 games as opener you will understand what he can do because unlike babar and rizwan if this guy gets in and stay till 14th 15th over he can bat the opposition out of the game
 
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Babar and Rizwan versus Starc/Hazlewood/Cummins will be the key battle.

If Babar and Rizwan can see them off whilst maintaining a decent run-rate, the match can be Pakistan's.

If these 2 get off to a decent start and don't go too much into their shells, we have enough to hurt the Aussie 4th and 5th bowler. If we bat 1st anything less than 170 will not be enough unless one of our guys has an amazing day. If they bat 1st we need to keep them to around 160 or lower. Its a proper 50/50 game-IA the boys can do it.
 
To say it's Pakistan's game to lose is extremely over confident. It is very much 50-50. Aus in fact have far less pressure and expectation which could make a huge difference.
Also, at this stage, one batsman out of form is absolutely no issue (Fakhar). No side has every player on form. Aus have even more batters arguably not in form. At this stage, this really is no issue in a T20. if anything, the 5th bowler is the more pressing for both teams (and hence evens itself out).

It is a 50-50 game and the result most likely to be decided by which team handles the pressure best. Unfortunately, the pressure is more on Pakistan. Aussies can play with freedom and less expectation. Do not be surprised if Aus win fairly easily - but hopefully, Pak will get through inshaallah.
 
Any team that has 3 world class pacers, the leading spinner in the tournament and hitters such as Warner, Finch and Maxwell are extremely dangerous. When you add this to the fact they go into the game as 2nd favourites, they have less expectations and pressure and hence the freedom to play and the determination to prove doubters wrong. Australia are very dangerous.
 
Being on Fakhar, I was going through the replay of 2nd ODI against SA in Wanderers, one of the fastest surface in SA. Everyone including Babar, Rizwan etc got out to short ball but didn't mishit anything in that innings. He stood head and shoulder above everyone. This guys is a Champ and match winner. Though he
prefer leg side and that will be natural with his stance but doesn't slog rather choose a ball with line on the leg side.

Once he is set he is the most destructive batsmen Pakistan. What a pity he has been wasted
 
There were 5 other teams that Australia played against in group stages and only two teams had decent bowling (England and South Africa) and their batsmen struggled mightily against both opponents.

Games are all about matchups and we have a very favorable matchup against their batting. If we are batting first, a score of 150+ will be more than enough to put enough pressure on them and take wickets. If batting second, we won't be chasing a lot and can always afford to see off their opening burst and attack their spinners and 5th bowler.

Of course Australia is capable of showing up to the occasion and playing a great game and upset Pakistan, but that is what it will take for them to win. Yes Starc is capable of swinging the ball at a very good speed but hasn't done so in a long time. Yes their batsmen scored some runs but those were against some very ordinary bowling/fielding teams. They will have to turn the script around to upset Pakistan.

These are our home conditions and the way Pakistan is playing (a lot of credit must be given to the coaching staff) and how they are reading the condition and adjusting their approach has been phenomenal and very un-Pakistan like actually. I back Pakistan to win this game irrespective of us winning or losing the toss (unlike the Indian team that relies heavily on toss outcomes).
 
There were 5 other teams that Australia played against in group stages and only two teams had decent bowling (England and South Africa) and their batsmen struggled mightily against both opponents.

Games are all about matchups and we have a very favorable matchup against their batting. If we are batting first, a score of 150+ will be more than enough to put enough pressure on them and take wickets. If batting second, we won't be chasing a lot and can always afford to see off their opening burst and attack their spinners and 5th bowler.

Of course Australia is capable of showing up to the occasion and playing a great game and upset Pakistan, but that is what it will take for them to win. Yes Starc is capable of swinging the ball at a very good speed but hasn't done so in a long time. Yes their batsmen scored some runs but those were against some very ordinary bowling/fielding teams. They will have to turn the script around to upset Pakistan.

These are our home conditions and the way Pakistan is playing (a lot of credit must be given to the coaching staff) and how they are reading the condition and adjusting their approach has been phenomenal and very un-Pakistan like actually. I back Pakistan to win this game irrespective of us winning or losing the toss (unlike the Indian team that relies heavily on toss outcomes).

I doubt 150 would be enough, Australia can afford to take minimal risks with such a low score like that.
 
Yeah the Aussies are peaking nicely, the threat of Starc & all but mark my words there is no stopping this team , the 2010 heist will be avenged in style
 
Australia in knock outs are totally dangerous team

adding one more spinner would help
 
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