Totally pathetic schedule. You do not deserve to play in the WTC Final without playing an away series in one of the top 4 sides.
This schedule should be scrapped and rejected.
Besides, those who think Pakistan will walk into the WTC final based on this are actually mistaken.
West Indies will probably beat Pakistan at home, and beating the likes of Australia, England and New Zealand in Pakistan will not be easy.
These teams will enjoy Pakistani conditions more than the UAE ones and will put up a much better show.
Pakistan can easily lose one or two of these series.
Based on the fixtures, India vs Australia final seems possible.
Australia will win all home series and although they will get rinsed in India, if they can avoid a defeat in either Pakistan or Sri Lanka, they will enough points to qualify for the final.
Somehow New Zealand is playing the current WTC Final after playing almost all their series at home.
The WTC will favour a team by making them play most of their series at home, because it is impossible to essentially create a "fair cycle".
In the upcoming cycle, Pakistan can count themselves as being extremely lucky. We showed no intent on our tours to AUS, ENG, and NZ throughout this current WTC cycle, but we have a better chance at least in Pakistan.
I agree that Australia, England, and New Zealand will enjoy Pakistani conditions. However, if Pakistan can get a few more stadiums renovated (particularly the Multan Stadium, which has hosted some good spinning tracks in the past), we will have a better opportunity.
Against Australia, England, and New Zealand, the pitch will need to have the least support for fast bowlers and maximum support for spinners. The dead QEA trophy wickets should be the benchmark we use to make these pitches.
As for Pakistan's tour to the West Indies, I believe that Pakistan has a good chance of winning that series, though it will not be easy by any means. West Indies are capable of bringing even the best oppositions down to their knees in their home conditions.
It would be embarrassing if we don't whitewash Bangladesh and Sri Lanka on our away tours, but it is worth looking at how poorly our batsmen play spin. Babar will have to watch out because Taijul and Embuldeniya would enjoy bowling to him on a spinning wicket.
Pakistan's goal should be to whitewash West Indies, Sri Lanka, and Bangladesh to have inroads to the final. They need to target a series win against one of England, Australia, and New Zealand. They need to also assume that they will lose one of those three series, but must avoid a whitewash.
If our team plays really well, we can expect to gain maximum points from WI, BD, and SL.
We will most likely lose to Australia unless their major middle order batsmen are injured.
I back us to roll England over if Yasir Shah is given a square turner, though Moeen Ali and Jack Leach could be a bit of a problem in spinning conditions.
New Zealand should be an easy series win for us, Watling is retiring and they have no capable spinner right now.
Bottom line comes down to what you said: we are lucky that we aren't touring large cricketing nations, but at the same time, we cannot be complacent in the games that we do play.
Even if Pakistan makes the WTC Final, I doubt we'll win if we're up against IND, NZ, AUS, or ENG.