How well have teams done since the last ICC World Cup in 2019?

owenhcricket

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Aug 18, 2023
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This will be a statistical overview of the teams in the current tournament and how they have fared in the previous 4 years. It's not going to be an ocean deep dive, mainly because I'm not getting paid for it and nor do I have that stamina for it but hopefully it'll be a fun and intriguing discussion that focuses on the cricket (and not everything else surrounding the sour build up to the tourney).

I'll cover the basics here, runs scored, averages, strike rate, wickets and of course, win/losses and home vs away form.

So let's start with the obvious here, wins and losses.
TeamWinsLossesWin %
Pakistan
24​
10​
71%​
India
40​
22​
65%​
Sri Lanka
40​
24​
63%​
New Zealand
24​
16​
60%​
South Africa
21​
15​
58%​
Bangladesh
29​
21​
58%​
England
22​
16​
58%​
Australia
24​
20​
55%​
Afghanistan
14​
14​
50%​
Netherlands
8​
24​
25%​

Curiously it is Pakistan who sit atop the table with the best win percentage. India occupies second place and surprisingly Sri Lanka in 3rd, while second hot favourites England are all the way down at 7th and Australia even lower at 8 with just Afghanistan and Netherlands below.

The context behind this will be that England haven't taken the format amazingly seriously, with a large focus of their time post 2019 set on winning at least 1 more T20 world cup and becoming the only team to be reigning champion in both formats. Could England look deceivingly bad and be one of the big boys in this tournament? Money has it they will be guaranteed semi-finalists.

Sri Lanka and New Zealand could be the quiet dark horses here, both of whom have hit their strides in the last few months.

The away stats, usually an indicator of a teams resilience and and skill away from home comforts shed a bit more light, with India winning 18 of 32 and Australia 13 of 31, those are great signs for the former as they are near invincible and winners of 20 out of 27 home contests. Sri Lanka are almost as good with 20/30 and Pakistan look great on paper with 16 out of 20 but that feels a long way away, especially with a debacle of an Asia Cup behind them but the adage of Asian sides being favourites in Asia seems to be ringing true.

1696256324969.png

The above is even better reading for the Indian fans, they certainly are the batting giants this time around, with close to 17,000 combined runs and a whopping team batting average of 40.38. They are also one of only 3 teams to have scored 400 or more, having made a score of 300+ on 21 occasions. There is a caveat here though, 13 of those innings came in Asia. It's also important to note India are a terrific side batting first but not as good chasing, with 17 of those 300+ scores coming while batting first, yet failing to defend on 3 occasions and all 3 times against teams that have troubled them in crunch moments: England and New Zealand.

These days however, its not just about how many runs but how quickly and the next table is as obvious as many would have expected. Batting first:
1696257326517.png
England sit at the very top with a mind boggling 6.38 runs per over and with the likes of Johnny, Roy (not in this tournament), Buttler, Livingstone and co, that is to be expected. India are unsurprisingly second with South Africa, Australia and Pakistan rounding off the top 5. For a lot of the negativity surrounding Pakistan and recent talk of the top 4 batting options, it seems as a team Pakistan have scored quite quickly and better than those regarded as harder hitting, such as New Zealand. There is a thought though that any team that is going to win this tournament has to score at 6+ an over, as pitches across the warm ups have looked flat and lifeless.

But that's all batting I hear you say and as the old adage goes, batsmen win you games but bowlers win you tournaments. Prime examples include Starc in 2015 and Archer, Plunkett and Rashid in 2019.

Team bowling average:
1696257781160.png
Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and Afghanistan are at the top here, all averaging less than 30, a lot of which is likely due to them playing lesser opponents more often but it is also a sign of some underrated bowlers in those sides.

India and Pakistan are next best, both averaging a tad over 30 and so little between them there isn't much to right home about. India have a terrific spin line up and a decent enough fast bowling unit, whereas Pakistan have a great fast bowling line up but a spine department which was ok when Shadab was firing but has fallen off a cliff in recent times.

In fact, the disparity between Pakistan's pace bowling in this period of 2019-2023 is easy to see, the pace unit is averaging 27.01 with India at 29.30. This is also including a chunk of time when Shaheen, Shah and Rauf did not bowl together. The spin is of serious concern, with Pakistan averaging 40.42, second only to Netherlands. India however are surprisingly middling here, averaging 34.40. Very surprisingly for me, their home spin form doesn't look so special either, in fact the average is higher at 36.36. This year however seems to be key, with India averaging 31 at home and Pakistan dropping down to a lowly 40 at home. The Shadab factor yet again.

To make matters worse, look at this:
1696258630494.png

Those are not promising numbers for two spinners who are supposed to hold the middle of the innings together although Nawaz's average is pretty decent.

Zampa however being so far at the top is a bit of a surprise but a boon for Australia, even if his recent run wasn't great. The other names are straightforward but the question is, how much will spin have an effect on tracks which are set to be spectacularly flat?

So here we have it, from a statistical stand point, across the board Pakistan look more than solid, India look favourites and England, Sri Lanka and Australia/New Zealand bring up the rear. It's am ore even World Cup than many make it out to be but those home comforts make India the favourites.
 
India with Ashwin will be more potent in the spin department. Axar was backed mainly for his batting not bowling. So was Jaddu who could be economical. Not a strike force like Kuldeep. Regarding pace department India used Mukesh, Unadkat, Umran, Chahar, Kuldeep sen, Saini lot of bit part pacers during the absence of Bumrah. Shami missed several matches. Siraj became a force only recently. Bumrah missed like 46 matches. Shami missed 41 matches. Siraj did not play 40 matches as he is only a recent addition. Bumrah and SIraj have played together only in 6 matches.
 
Shadab is also there mostly due to that spell against Nepal. Otherwise he would be sitting lower than Nawaz.
 
Pakistan played weaker teams in that period and also they kept playing same team , they rarely gave chance to others , that is why they have non existent bench !
 
Shadab bowling form seems to be going downwards that is the big concern for team Pakistan. His overs in the middle of the innings will surely made a huge difference in the success/failure of the team.
 
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