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ICC T20 World Cup 2022: Group 1 - Points table, scenarios discussion
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NZ NRR is awesome - SF material right there. Also SL have laid the marker now.
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Big game coming for the hosts and their ambitions to hold on to the T20 title!
Visaal-E-Yaar
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NZ already have one leg in semi's. Tomorrow aus gonna thrashed SL very hard
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After Australia's 7 wicket win over SL
Boxer
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New Zealand will be fighting for the 2nd spot. Sl vs NZ match will be interesting. Eng will take the 1st spot. Aussie will be hoping SL thrash NZ
What if NZ wins all its matches?
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Australia’s win over Sri Lanka in their second match of the Super 12 stage has kept their hopes alive of reaching the semi-finals.
It’s all to play for in Group 1 as six teams jostle for two places in the final four of the ICC Men’s T20 World Cup 2022. We take a look at the state of play as things stand.
Who’s in the driving seat to reach the semi-finals?
New Zealand and England are the only unbeaten teams in Group 1 so far, with the top two playing their second matches of the Super 12 stage on Wednesday in Melbourne.
The margin of New Zealand’s 89-run win over Australia has given them a big edge in the Net Run Rate column too. A NET RR of +4.450 is almost as good as an extra point, barring a crushing defeat of their own in the remaining four matches.
England’s steady start against Afghanistan has got them up and running, but the games they would have earmarked prior to the tournament as key are still to come.
Australia’s comeback is on
The crushing nature of Australia’s loss to New Zealand in the opening match of the group had put them in a perilous position, not only because of the result but also because of its impact on NRR.
The tournament hosts know that they cannot afford to lose another game – two defeats isn’t mathematically terminal to a team’s qualification chances, but it will likely take a lot of fortune to qualify with just three wins in the Super 12 stage.
And that is even more true for Australia given their negative net run rate.
After two games the Aussies have a NRR of -1.555 and will be looking for at least one and preferably two big wins in the remainder of their matches to attempt to remove that factor from their qualification equation.
But the chances of a successful title defence have increased courtesy of the win over Sri Lanka in Perth on Tuesday, particularly thanks to Marcus Stoinis’ late flurry of runs which saw them chase down the target with more than three overs remaining, cutting some of that NRR deficit in the process.
Key Upcoming Matches
Australia v England – Friday 28 October
It doesn’t get much bigger than this. Any meeting between Australia and England is huge, but the MCG is about to host a truly crunch fixture in the context of this tournament.
A loss for Australia would leave them needing a bit of a miracle escape to make it to the semi-finals, and they are coming up against one of the form teams in the world and a side who are many pundits’ favourites to win the tournament.
Recent results don’t bode well for the home side. England won the warm-up series in Australia 2-0 just prior to this tournament, and it looked set to be a clean sweep before rain interrupted the third and final match in Canberra.
And of the last seven completed men’s T20I matches between these two nations, Australia have won just once.
When these teams met in the Group Stage of the last T20 World Cup, Jos Buttler inspired England to a crushing win after Australia had been bowled out for 125, with England chasing down the target in just 11.4 overs.
But history is just that. And Australia will be looking to land a blow on their old rivals on Friday night in Melbourne and save their World Cup campaign in the process.
New Zealand v Sri Lanka – Sat 29 October
The make-up of Group 1 will be far clearer by the end of New Zealand’s fixture against Sri Lanka on Saturday.
The Asia Cup 2022 Champions have hopes of springing a surprise and finishing in the top two of this group. But to do so they will likely need to beat at least one, if not two of the teams ranked above them in the MRF ICC Men’s T20I Team Rankings.
Sri Lanka have already come on the wrong side of the result against the tournament hosts, and can’t really afford another loss.
But in New Zealand they are coming up against a formidable force. The 2021 T20 World Cup finalists have a well-balanced attack and a powerful batting unit, as they showcased in that big win over Australia earlier in the tournament.
Remaining Group 1 Fixtures
Wednesday 26 October: Ireland v England, MCG, Melbourne
Wednesday 26 October: New Zealand v Afghanistan, MCG, Melbourne
Friday 28 October: Afghanistan v Ireland, MCG, Melbourne
Friday 28 October: Australia v England, MCG, Melbourne
Saturday 29 October: New Zealand v Sri Lanka, SCG, Sydney
Monday 31 October: Australia v Ireland, The Gabba, Brisbane
Tuesday 01 November: Afghanistan v Sri Lanka, The Gabba, Brisbane
Tuesday 01 November: England v New Zealand, The Gabba, Brisbane
Friday 04 November: Ireland v New Zealand, Adelaide Oval
Friday 04 November: Australia v Afghanistan, Adelaide Oval
Saturday 05 November: Sri Lanka v England, SCG, Sydney
ICC
It’s all to play for in Group 1 as six teams jostle for two places in the final four of the ICC Men’s T20 World Cup 2022. We take a look at the state of play as things stand.
Who’s in the driving seat to reach the semi-finals?
New Zealand and England are the only unbeaten teams in Group 1 so far, with the top two playing their second matches of the Super 12 stage on Wednesday in Melbourne.
The margin of New Zealand’s 89-run win over Australia has given them a big edge in the Net Run Rate column too. A NET RR of +4.450 is almost as good as an extra point, barring a crushing defeat of their own in the remaining four matches.
England’s steady start against Afghanistan has got them up and running, but the games they would have earmarked prior to the tournament as key are still to come.
Australia’s comeback is on
The crushing nature of Australia’s loss to New Zealand in the opening match of the group had put them in a perilous position, not only because of the result but also because of its impact on NRR.
The tournament hosts know that they cannot afford to lose another game – two defeats isn’t mathematically terminal to a team’s qualification chances, but it will likely take a lot of fortune to qualify with just three wins in the Super 12 stage.
And that is even more true for Australia given their negative net run rate.
After two games the Aussies have a NRR of -1.555 and will be looking for at least one and preferably two big wins in the remainder of their matches to attempt to remove that factor from their qualification equation.
But the chances of a successful title defence have increased courtesy of the win over Sri Lanka in Perth on Tuesday, particularly thanks to Marcus Stoinis’ late flurry of runs which saw them chase down the target with more than three overs remaining, cutting some of that NRR deficit in the process.
Key Upcoming Matches
Australia v England – Friday 28 October
It doesn’t get much bigger than this. Any meeting between Australia and England is huge, but the MCG is about to host a truly crunch fixture in the context of this tournament.
A loss for Australia would leave them needing a bit of a miracle escape to make it to the semi-finals, and they are coming up against one of the form teams in the world and a side who are many pundits’ favourites to win the tournament.
Recent results don’t bode well for the home side. England won the warm-up series in Australia 2-0 just prior to this tournament, and it looked set to be a clean sweep before rain interrupted the third and final match in Canberra.
And of the last seven completed men’s T20I matches between these two nations, Australia have won just once.
When these teams met in the Group Stage of the last T20 World Cup, Jos Buttler inspired England to a crushing win after Australia had been bowled out for 125, with England chasing down the target in just 11.4 overs.
But history is just that. And Australia will be looking to land a blow on their old rivals on Friday night in Melbourne and save their World Cup campaign in the process.
New Zealand v Sri Lanka – Sat 29 October
The make-up of Group 1 will be far clearer by the end of New Zealand’s fixture against Sri Lanka on Saturday.
The Asia Cup 2022 Champions have hopes of springing a surprise and finishing in the top two of this group. But to do so they will likely need to beat at least one, if not two of the teams ranked above them in the MRF ICC Men’s T20I Team Rankings.
Sri Lanka have already come on the wrong side of the result against the tournament hosts, and can’t really afford another loss.
But in New Zealand they are coming up against a formidable force. The 2021 T20 World Cup finalists have a well-balanced attack and a powerful batting unit, as they showcased in that big win over Australia earlier in the tournament.
Remaining Group 1 Fixtures
Wednesday 26 October: Ireland v England, MCG, Melbourne
Wednesday 26 October: New Zealand v Afghanistan, MCG, Melbourne
Friday 28 October: Afghanistan v Ireland, MCG, Melbourne
Friday 28 October: Australia v England, MCG, Melbourne
Saturday 29 October: New Zealand v Sri Lanka, SCG, Sydney
Monday 31 October: Australia v Ireland, The Gabba, Brisbane
Tuesday 01 November: Afghanistan v Sri Lanka, The Gabba, Brisbane
Tuesday 01 November: England v New Zealand, The Gabba, Brisbane
Friday 04 November: Ireland v New Zealand, Adelaide Oval
Friday 04 November: Australia v Afghanistan, Adelaide Oval
Saturday 05 November: Sri Lanka v England, SCG, Sydney
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Go figure!
After Ireland's win over England
After Ireland's win over England
AamchiMumbaikar
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AFG winning against NZ today will open this group 
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After the AFG v NZ game abandonment
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The second round of matches has thrown Group 1 wide open, with Australia’s hopes of reaching the semi-finals still very much alive.
It’s all to play for in Group 1 as six teams jostle for two places in the final four of the ICC Men’s T20 World Cup 2022. We take a look at the state of play as things stand.
Who’s in the driving seat to reach the semi-finals?
New Zealand are the only unbeaten team in Group 1 after two matches, and the margin of their 89-run win over Australia has given them a big edge in the Net Run Rate column too.
A Net RR of +4.450 is almost as good as an extra point, barring a crushing defeat of their own in the remaining four matches.
The washout and shared points against Afghanistan could yet go against the Kiwis, but with the rest of the group taking points off each other it is still advantage Black Caps in the qualification race.
Sri Lanka and England hold the edge over the rest of Group 1 on NRR, and by a reasonable margin, but with three rounds of matches still remaining there’s plenty of time for that to flip around. And England's loss to Ireland has changed the face of the group.
Australia’s comeback is on
The crushing nature of Australia’s loss to New Zealand in the opening match of the group had put them in a perilous position, not only because of the result but also because of its impact on NRR.
The tournament hosts know that they cannot afford to lose another game – two defeats isn’t mathematically terminal to a team’s qualification chances, but it will likely take a lot of fortune to qualify with just three wins in the Super 12 stage.
And that is even more true for Australia given their negative net run rate.
After two games the Aussies have a NRR of -1.555 and will be looking for at least one and preferably two big wins in the remainder of their matches to attempt to remove that factor from their qualification equation.
But the chances of a successful title defence have increased – firstly courtesy of the win over Sri Lanka in Perth on Tuesday, particularly thanks to Marcus Stoinis’ late flurry of runs which saw them chase down the target with more than three overs remaining, cutting some of that NRR deficit in the process.
And England’s subsequent loss to Ireland in Melbourne has given Australia some leeway.
Australia v England – Friday 28 October
It doesn’t get much bigger than this. Any meeting between Australia and England is huge, but the MCG is about to host a truly crunch fixture in the context of this tournament.
A loss for either side would leave them needing a bit of a miracle escape to make it to the semi-finals.
Recent results don’t bode well for the home side. England won the warm-up series in Australia 2-0 just prior to this tournament, and it looked set to be a clean sweep before rain interrupted the third and final match in Canberra.
And of the last seven completed men’s T20I matches between these two nations, Australia have won just once.
When these teams met in the Group Stage of the last T20 World Cup, Jos Buttler inspired England to a crushing win after Australia had been bowled out for 125, with England chasing down the target in just 11.4 overs.
But history is just that. Australia will be looking to land a blow on their old rivals on Friday night in Melbourne, while England seem to have misplaced their swagger at the start of the Super12 stage.
New Zealand v Sri Lanka – Sat 29 October
The make-up of Group 1 will be far clearer by the end of New Zealand’s fixture against Sri Lanka on Saturday.
The Asia Cup 2022 Champions have hopes of springing a surprise and finishing in the top two of this group. But to do so they will likely need to beat at least one, if not two of the teams ranked above them in the MRF ICC Men’s T20I Team Rankings.
Sri Lanka have already come on the wrong side of the result against the tournament hosts, and can’t really afford another loss.
But in New Zealand they are coming up against a formidable force. The 2021 T20 World Cup finalists have a well-balanced attack and a powerful batting unit, as they showcased in that big win over Australia earlier in the tournament.
And with their point from the rained-out Afghanistan fixture, and that superior Net RR, another win for New Zealand would put them in control of the group.
Remaining Group 1 Fixtures
Friday 28 October: Afghanistan v Ireland, MCG, Melbourne
Friday 28 October: Australia v England, MCG, Melbourne
Saturday 29 October: New Zealand v Sri Lanka, SCG, Sydney
Monday 31 October: Australia v Ireland, The Gabba, Brisbane
Tuesday 01 November: Afghanistan v Sri Lanka, The Gabba, Brisbane
Tuesday 01 November: England v New Zealand, The Gabba, Brisbane
Friday 04 November: Ireland v New Zealand, Adelaide Oval
Friday 04 November: Australia v Afghanistan, Adelaide Oval
Saturday 05 November: Sri Lanka v England, SCG, Sydney
sweep_shot
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Australia gained the most from the last Irish win and the NZ-AFG washout.
The group is now truly wide open.
The group is now truly wide open.
Still the most likely scenario is
England and New Zealand advancing to the semi finals.
Dont think England will
Lose any further games in group stages.
Nzl have 3 points in bag already
Loss against England will put them on 7 points
Sri lanka no chance
Afghanistan + ireland no chance as well.
It is likely to be India v New zealand Semi final
Which means yet another world cup final for Kiwiz.
While Pakistan will face England in 2nd Semi final
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sweep_shot
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You are overlooking the prospect of rain.
If rain washes out a few more games, things can become very unpredictable.
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After the Afghanistan v Ireland washout
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After the Australia v England washout at the MCG!
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Everybody now knows that net run rate is almost certain to be a huge factor in Group 1 of the ICC Men’s T20 World Cup 2022, but with two must-win rounds of games left it’s too early to focus on only that.
England and Australia’s washout in Melbourne has left both teams on three points and with all six teams in Group 1 still able to qualify.
Results are still the most important thing, with both teams knowing they will need to win each of their remaining two games to qualify in all likelihood. And yet one eye will have to be kept on the issue of the net run rate.
The net run rate situation
Of the teams who have played three games in Group 1, it is England who have the superior NRR. But margins are small.
England: +0.239
The loss to Ireland and a tentative chase against Afghanistan has left England with a lower run rate than they would have hoped for at this stage.
Afghanistan: -0.620
Two no-result games have left Afghanistan behind on points but still in with an outside chance of qualifying if results go their way. A big win is needed though.
Ireland: -1.169
With fixtures against Australia and New Zealand to come, Ireland face a tricky task to reach the semi-finals. And they’ll probably need a decent margin of victory in one of those games to overturn the damage of the nine-wicket loss to Sri Lanka
Australia: -1.555
The hammering by New Zealand dented Australia’s NRR right from the off, but Marcus Stoinis’ flurry against Sri Lanka improved it a little.
England’s qualification equation
This is a position neither side wanted to be in, with England arriving at this point thanks partly to two games being impacted by rain.
“Unfortunately we've had two games affected by weather,” England captain Jos Buttler said after the points were shared against Australia following the shock loss to Ireland on DLS Method.
“You don't want to be involved in those games, but it's going to happen wherever you play, you're generally going to be affected by some weather at some point.”
It was put to Buttler in his post-match media conference that the team’s next match against New Zealand is now effectively a World Cup Final for the English.
“We'd do well to live up to that one, wouldn't it?” Buttler joked, referring back to England’s 2019 triumph over New Zealand at Lord’s.
“For us, we knew, having lost the game against Ireland, the way the format is anyway, every game is pretty much a must-win.”
If England beat New Zealand in that “must-win” game, they will have the advantage of playing last in the final round of matches, meaning they will know exactly what they need in terms of net run rate to qualify.
“It could be a small advantage, but to make use of that, of course, we need to win the game against New Zealand,” Buttler said, keen not to look too far ahead.
“We'll travel up to Brisbane, everyone's rested and ready to go. There's a lot of frustration as well from the last game. People want to right that performance. So we'll train well and look forward to a tough challenge against New Zealand.”
Australia look for big wins
Australia’s task is simple: win twice and win big.
Two large margins of victory against the two lowest-ranked teams in the group, Ireland and Afghanistan, could be enough in themselves to send Australia through.
But that fact won’t impact player selection, according to coach Andrew McDonald.
“Net run rate is going to come into it,” he said. “We knew that at the start of the tournament.
“When you only play five games, net run rate can decide and influence who goes through into the final four," McDonald continued. "We feel as though we've been here before.
“I don't think it will shift team selection too much. We've picked a pretty powerful batting line-up, and we've got bowlers that we think in certain conditions against certain opposition can do the job. So we feel as though we're pretty well covered for the options we have.”
Even if Australia win their two remaining games heavily, that may not be enough given England and Sri Lanka play last in this group, handing them a potential advantage. But that scenario is some way off still.
“It depends on England and New Zealand really, doesn't it?” McDonald said.
All eyes on England v New Zealand in Brisbane on Tuesday, then!
ICC
England and Australia’s washout in Melbourne has left both teams on three points and with all six teams in Group 1 still able to qualify.
Results are still the most important thing, with both teams knowing they will need to win each of their remaining two games to qualify in all likelihood. And yet one eye will have to be kept on the issue of the net run rate.
The net run rate situation
Of the teams who have played three games in Group 1, it is England who have the superior NRR. But margins are small.
England: +0.239
The loss to Ireland and a tentative chase against Afghanistan has left England with a lower run rate than they would have hoped for at this stage.
Afghanistan: -0.620
Two no-result games have left Afghanistan behind on points but still in with an outside chance of qualifying if results go their way. A big win is needed though.
Ireland: -1.169
With fixtures against Australia and New Zealand to come, Ireland face a tricky task to reach the semi-finals. And they’ll probably need a decent margin of victory in one of those games to overturn the damage of the nine-wicket loss to Sri Lanka
Australia: -1.555
The hammering by New Zealand dented Australia’s NRR right from the off, but Marcus Stoinis’ flurry against Sri Lanka improved it a little.
England’s qualification equation
This is a position neither side wanted to be in, with England arriving at this point thanks partly to two games being impacted by rain.
“Unfortunately we've had two games affected by weather,” England captain Jos Buttler said after the points were shared against Australia following the shock loss to Ireland on DLS Method.
“You don't want to be involved in those games, but it's going to happen wherever you play, you're generally going to be affected by some weather at some point.”
It was put to Buttler in his post-match media conference that the team’s next match against New Zealand is now effectively a World Cup Final for the English.
“We'd do well to live up to that one, wouldn't it?” Buttler joked, referring back to England’s 2019 triumph over New Zealand at Lord’s.
“For us, we knew, having lost the game against Ireland, the way the format is anyway, every game is pretty much a must-win.”
If England beat New Zealand in that “must-win” game, they will have the advantage of playing last in the final round of matches, meaning they will know exactly what they need in terms of net run rate to qualify.
“It could be a small advantage, but to make use of that, of course, we need to win the game against New Zealand,” Buttler said, keen not to look too far ahead.
“We'll travel up to Brisbane, everyone's rested and ready to go. There's a lot of frustration as well from the last game. People want to right that performance. So we'll train well and look forward to a tough challenge against New Zealand.”
Australia look for big wins
Australia’s task is simple: win twice and win big.
Two large margins of victory against the two lowest-ranked teams in the group, Ireland and Afghanistan, could be enough in themselves to send Australia through.
But that fact won’t impact player selection, according to coach Andrew McDonald.
“Net run rate is going to come into it,” he said. “We knew that at the start of the tournament.
“When you only play five games, net run rate can decide and influence who goes through into the final four," McDonald continued. "We feel as though we've been here before.
“I don't think it will shift team selection too much. We've picked a pretty powerful batting line-up, and we've got bowlers that we think in certain conditions against certain opposition can do the job. So we feel as though we're pretty well covered for the options we have.”
Even if Australia win their two remaining games heavily, that may not be enough given England and Sri Lanka play last in this group, handing them a potential advantage. But that scenario is some way off still.
“It depends on England and New Zealand really, doesn't it?” McDonald said.
All eyes on England v New Zealand in Brisbane on Tuesday, then!
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After New Zealand's 65-run win vs SL
Mesozoic
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New Zealand are almost through. Even if they lose to England.
I think we'll have NZ, Eng and Aus all tied up on 7 points and it will come down to which two teams have the better NRR. And NZ's NRR is stupendous.
I am guessing Australia will have better NRR than England eventually as they'll be up against Afghanistan and Ireland in their remaining 2 games.
New Zealand and Australia to go through from group 1.
I think we'll have NZ, Eng and Aus all tied up on 7 points and it will come down to which two teams have the better NRR. And NZ's NRR is stupendous.
I am guessing Australia will have better NRR than England eventually as they'll be up against Afghanistan and Ireland in their remaining 2 games.
New Zealand and Australia to go through from group 1.
sweep_shot
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If New Zealand beat Ireland, England win all games, and Australia win all games, all three teams can end up with 7 points.
In that case, New Zealand and England are probably through. Australia have to improve that NRR.
In that case, New Zealand and England are probably through. Australia have to improve that NRR.
I disagree cenozoic on this point
You can not assume that Afghan bowlers will be taken to cleaners by Australia. Australia nrr is still in negative.
Mesozoic
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Australia have games against Ireland and Afghanistan where they can really put the foot down and get a massive NRR boost. Uphill task for England to match those margins against NZ and Sri Lanka.
Mesozoic
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Australia will play Afghanistan at the Adelaide Oval. Proper flat batting wicket with short boundaries. Lot of runs there for the taking..
Kianig89
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Hopefully the defending champions crash out in group stage to make it exciting WC already marred by rain
nextover666666
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In the event 2 or more teams are tied with the same number of points what is the first thing they look at to determine who advance, number of wins or net run rate.
SpiritOf1903
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BYE BYE BACKWARDISTAN. Clowns
Nrr.
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After Australia's 42-run win over Ireland
Visaal-E-Yaar
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What is the purpose of number of wins then? Curious to know about
Wins can be unfair especially if multiple matches have been rained out. NRR rewards consistent performance and dominance so its right to have that as the first tie breaker
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State of Play in Group 1: Australia go joint-top to leave England vulnerable
Australia’s win over Ireland has moved them level with New Zealand at the top of Group 1 having played a game more, but all teams could still mathematically qualify.
The tournament hosts are firmly back in the mix to qualify for the semi-finals with one game against Afghanistan to play. The margin of victory against Ireland has improved their Net Run Rate, but not as much as it looked like it would at one stage.
The Irish are extremely unlikely to qualify following the loss, now requiring a win over New Zealand in their final game and by a huge margin to overturn the relevant run rate permutations, as well as relying on a string of other results to go their way.
But there’s plenty still to be determined in Group 1 at the ICC Men’s T20 World Cup 2022, with one fixture in particular looking likely to be decisive. We take a look at the state of play as things stand.
Who’s in the driving seat to reach the semi-finals?
New Zealand are the only unbeaten team in Group 1 after three matches, and the margins of their 89-run win over Australia and 65-run win over Sri Lanka have given them a big edge in the Net Run Rate column too.
A Net RR of +3.850 is almost as good as an extra point, barring a crushing defeat of their own in the remaining matches.
The washout and shared points against Afghanistan could yet go against the Kiwis, but with the rest of the group taking points off each other, it is still very much advantage Black Caps in the qualification race.
All five other teams in the group could theoretically leapfrog New Zealand in the final two matchdays, but that scenario is extremely unlikely, and the Kiwis already have one foot in the semi-finals and can effectively guarantee that with a win against England next time out.
It looks like at least one of the top two will be decided on run rate, where after New Zealand it is England who currently hold the edge over the rest of Group 1.
Can Australia still defend their title?
The crushing nature of Australia’s loss to New Zealand in the opening match of the group had put them in a perilous position, not only because of the result but also because of its impact on NRR.
The tournament hosts knew that they couldn’t afford to lose another game – two defeats isn’t mathematically terminal to a team’s qualification chances, but it will likely take a lot of fortune to qualify with just three wins in the Super 12 stage.
However, the chances of a successful title defence have increased – firstly courtesy of the win over Sri Lanka in Perth last Tuesday, particularly thanks to Marcus Stoinis’ late flurry of runs which saw them chase down the target with more than three overs remaining, cutting some of that NRR deficit in the process.
England’s loss to Ireland, plus the washout between the Aussies and English in Melbourne, gave Australia a chance to take a grip on their own fate, and they took it against Ireland on Monday.
The 42-run win has moved Australia to five points and into the top two, with a great deal hinging on the fixture between New Zealand and England on Tuesday morning. Should England lose that then Australia will only have to beat Afghanistan to qualify.
Should England beat New Zealand then Net RR could well be a factor.
England in trouble?
Momentum is not in England’s favour. A rain-impacted loss to Ireland was followed by a washout against Australia, leaving Jos Buttler’s side in a spot of bother in Group 1.
The upcoming meeting with New Zealand is now even more significant. Win that and England can make a real statement going into the final match day. Lose and qualification will be completely out of their hands.
What England do know is that two big wins in their final two matches, first against the Kiwis and then Sri Lanka, should be enough to send them through.
It could well come down to run rate, and England still have the edge over everyone in the group except New Zealand in that column.
Where England also have an advantage in the Net RR conundrum is that their final game is the last to be played in the group. If qualification hopes are still alive at that stage, England will know exactly what they need against Sri Lanka to qualify.
Key Upcoming Match
England v New Zealand - Tue 01 November
This huge clash at The Gabba was one of the standout fixtures of the Super 12 stage even before a ball was bowled. But the situation in Group 1 means it is now even more massive.
Should New Zealand win they will be through to the semi-finals.
But if England win, it blows the whole group wide open. That result would draw them level with New Zealand on five points and set up a final round of games in which five of the six teams could still make it into the top two – albeit with Net RR making the task very difficult for at least one of those teams.
All eyes will be on The Gabba, this result will have far-reaching consequences.
Remaining Group 1 Fixtures
Tuesday 01 November: Afghanistan v Sri Lanka, The Gabba, Brisbane
Tuesday 01 November: England v New Zealand, The Gabba, Brisbane
Friday 04 November: Ireland v New Zealand, Adelaide Oval
Friday 04 November: Australia v Afghanistan, Adelaide Oval
Saturday 05 November: Sri Lanka v England, SCG, Sydney
Australia’s win over Ireland has moved them level with New Zealand at the top of Group 1 having played a game more, but all teams could still mathematically qualify.
The tournament hosts are firmly back in the mix to qualify for the semi-finals with one game against Afghanistan to play. The margin of victory against Ireland has improved their Net Run Rate, but not as much as it looked like it would at one stage.
The Irish are extremely unlikely to qualify following the loss, now requiring a win over New Zealand in their final game and by a huge margin to overturn the relevant run rate permutations, as well as relying on a string of other results to go their way.
But there’s plenty still to be determined in Group 1 at the ICC Men’s T20 World Cup 2022, with one fixture in particular looking likely to be decisive. We take a look at the state of play as things stand.
Who’s in the driving seat to reach the semi-finals?
New Zealand are the only unbeaten team in Group 1 after three matches, and the margins of their 89-run win over Australia and 65-run win over Sri Lanka have given them a big edge in the Net Run Rate column too.
A Net RR of +3.850 is almost as good as an extra point, barring a crushing defeat of their own in the remaining matches.
The washout and shared points against Afghanistan could yet go against the Kiwis, but with the rest of the group taking points off each other, it is still very much advantage Black Caps in the qualification race.
All five other teams in the group could theoretically leapfrog New Zealand in the final two matchdays, but that scenario is extremely unlikely, and the Kiwis already have one foot in the semi-finals and can effectively guarantee that with a win against England next time out.
It looks like at least one of the top two will be decided on run rate, where after New Zealand it is England who currently hold the edge over the rest of Group 1.
Can Australia still defend their title?
The crushing nature of Australia’s loss to New Zealand in the opening match of the group had put them in a perilous position, not only because of the result but also because of its impact on NRR.
The tournament hosts knew that they couldn’t afford to lose another game – two defeats isn’t mathematically terminal to a team’s qualification chances, but it will likely take a lot of fortune to qualify with just three wins in the Super 12 stage.
However, the chances of a successful title defence have increased – firstly courtesy of the win over Sri Lanka in Perth last Tuesday, particularly thanks to Marcus Stoinis’ late flurry of runs which saw them chase down the target with more than three overs remaining, cutting some of that NRR deficit in the process.
England’s loss to Ireland, plus the washout between the Aussies and English in Melbourne, gave Australia a chance to take a grip on their own fate, and they took it against Ireland on Monday.
The 42-run win has moved Australia to five points and into the top two, with a great deal hinging on the fixture between New Zealand and England on Tuesday morning. Should England lose that then Australia will only have to beat Afghanistan to qualify.
Should England beat New Zealand then Net RR could well be a factor.
England in trouble?
Momentum is not in England’s favour. A rain-impacted loss to Ireland was followed by a washout against Australia, leaving Jos Buttler’s side in a spot of bother in Group 1.
The upcoming meeting with New Zealand is now even more significant. Win that and England can make a real statement going into the final match day. Lose and qualification will be completely out of their hands.
What England do know is that two big wins in their final two matches, first against the Kiwis and then Sri Lanka, should be enough to send them through.
It could well come down to run rate, and England still have the edge over everyone in the group except New Zealand in that column.
Where England also have an advantage in the Net RR conundrum is that their final game is the last to be played in the group. If qualification hopes are still alive at that stage, England will know exactly what they need against Sri Lanka to qualify.
Key Upcoming Match
England v New Zealand - Tue 01 November
This huge clash at The Gabba was one of the standout fixtures of the Super 12 stage even before a ball was bowled. But the situation in Group 1 means it is now even more massive.
Should New Zealand win they will be through to the semi-finals.
But if England win, it blows the whole group wide open. That result would draw them level with New Zealand on five points and set up a final round of games in which five of the six teams could still make it into the top two – albeit with Net RR making the task very difficult for at least one of those teams.
All eyes will be on The Gabba, this result will have far-reaching consequences.
Remaining Group 1 Fixtures
Tuesday 01 November: Afghanistan v Sri Lanka, The Gabba, Brisbane
Tuesday 01 November: England v New Zealand, The Gabba, Brisbane
Friday 04 November: Ireland v New Zealand, Adelaide Oval
Friday 04 November: Australia v Afghanistan, Adelaide Oval
Saturday 05 November: Sri Lanka v England, SCG, Sydney
sweep_shot
World Star
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Australia and New Zealand are looking good to qualify.
Aussie NRR got fixed quite a bit after their big wins against Ireland and Sri Lanka. Their final game is against Afghanistan which should fix their NRR more.
Aussie NRR got fixed quite a bit after their big wins against Ireland and Sri Lanka. Their final game is against Afghanistan which should fix their NRR more.
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As it stands
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After England's 20-run win over NZ
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After England's 20-run win over NZ
England’s crucial win over New Zealand on Tuesday kept their semi-final qualification hopes alive and tees up a fascinating final round of matches where net run rate could be crucial.
Three teams (New Zealand, England and Australia) are now tied on five points, each with one match to play and only separated on Net RR in that order.
No one team is yet confirmed as through to the semi-finals. We take a look at the state of play as things stand.
Who’s in the driving seat to reach the semi-finals?
New Zealand have the edge over their qualification rivals at the top of the group thanks to their excellent net run rate of +2.233, which was set up by that 89-run hammering of Australia in their opening game.
That Net RR is almost as good as a point for the Black Caps, meaning it is very much advantage New Zealand in the qualification race.
The Kiwis would need to lose to Ireland in their final match and by a significant margin to give Australia and England the opportunity to deny them a top-two spot.
The Net Run Rate equation
If all three of New Zealand, England and Australia win their final matches then it will come down to Net RR.
Australia’s -0.304 puts them on the back foot in that column, but Aaron Finch’s side play a day before England, so can lay down a marker and put the pressure on if they manage a large margin of victory over Afghanistan on Friday.
Playing the following day means England will know exactly what they require to qualify when they face Sri Lanka on Saturday.
Should Australia fail to catch England (+0.547) and New Zealand (+2.233) on run rate then both of those sides will know that victory by any margin in their respective final matches will send them into the semi-finals.
The rest of the group
Ireland are mathematically still in with a chance, but it is the slimmest of opportunities, with the Irish needing a huge margin of win and then two other results to go their way to finish in the top two. The big aim for Andrew Balbirnie’s side will be to finish in the top four and seal an automatic qualification spot for the next ICC Men’s T20 World Cup.
Sri Lanka could yet qualify. A win over England in the last game of the group would see them into the semi-finals should one of New Zealand or Australia have lost the day before.
Afghanistan are the first team to be mathematically denied a semi-final spot, with their loss to Sri Lanka leaving them on just two points from four games.
Ireland v New Zealand – Friday 04 November, Adelaide Oval
New Zealand can effectively seal a semi-final spot with a win over Ireland in the first of the final round of matches.
A sizeable margin of victory would make things absolutely safe, leaving Australia needing a miracle to overhaul the Black Caps on Net Run Rate.
Another shock result for the Irish would give Australia, England and Sri Lanka a chance to snatch the qualification spots.
Australia v Afghanistan – Friday 04 November, Adelaide Oval
The second match on Friday in Adelaide will see Australia look to make a huge splash against Afghanistan.
If they’ve just watched New Zealand beat Ireland then the tournament hosts will come out all guns blazing to try and gain a big raise in Net RR.
Sri Lanka v England – Saturday 05 November, SCG, Sydney
England will go into the final game of Group 1 knowing exactly what they require to qualify for the semi-finals. That could be solely a win, or it could be a win by a certain margin depending on Net RR.
Sri Lanka’s qualification hopes will still be alive if either Australia or New Zealand have dropped points in their matches.
ICC
Inspite of only last round remaining Group - 1 Scenario's are complicated, due to wash outs. It cannot get more competitive. The teams should team expect following scenario's to qualify, provided that none of the fixture is washout.
NZ, Eng, Aus and SL are in contention
NZ
Win for NZ against Ireland will ensure their Qualification, even if England and Australia win, There NRR is 2.233 (very highy) it would be difficult for Eng and Aus to surpass it. NZ will qualify with most probably Eng.
If they lose against Ireland they have to lose narrowly and hope both Australia and England to lose against AFG and Sri Lanka respectively or atleast Australia to lose against AFG (which is unlikely). In which case Srilinka will top and NZ will be seccond (which is highly unlikely)
If Eng wins and Australia lose most probably NZ and Eng will qualify
If Australia wins Eng Lose SL and Australia will Qualify
England
Win for England against Srilanka will ensure their Qualification, even if NZ and Australia win, provided that Autralia doesnt surpass thier NRR differance of 0.851 with Aussie NRR. Even if they surpass England's present NRR, England will be playing last so they know the target NRR required to qualify with the win against Sri Lanka.
If they lose against Sri Lanaka, They would be most certainly out of contention even if both Aus and NZ lose their Last Fixture. In that case SL and NZ will Qualify if both Aus and NZ Lose, SL and AUS will qualify if NZ lose and Aus Win. NZ and SL will qualify if NZ win and Aus Lose.
Australia
Australia is required to win against AFG and hope atleast one of NZ and Eng Lose their Fixture. If both NZ and ENG win they have to win big against AFG and increase their NRR to such level that ENG couldnt be able to surpass in their win against Sri Lanka (this is highly unlikely since England will be playing last so they know the target NRR required to qualify with the win against Sri Lanka)
If they lose against AFG, They would be most certainly out of contention even if both Eng and NZ lose their Last Fixture. In that case SL and NZ will Qualify if both Eng and NZ Lose, NZ and Eng will qualify if only NZ lose and ENG win. NZ and SL will qualify if NZ wins and Eng Lose.
Sri Lanka
Sri Lanka is required to win against ENG and hope atleast one of Aus and NZ Lose their Fixture. If both NZ and Aus win they are out of Semi Final Race. If NZ wins and Aus Lose, NZ and SL will qualify. If NZ lose narowly and Aus wins, NZ and SL will qualify.
If they lose against ENG, they are out of Semi Final Race.
NZ, Eng, Aus and SL are in contention
NZ
Win for NZ against Ireland will ensure their Qualification, even if England and Australia win, There NRR is 2.233 (very highy) it would be difficult for Eng and Aus to surpass it. NZ will qualify with most probably Eng.
If they lose against Ireland they have to lose narrowly and hope both Australia and England to lose against AFG and Sri Lanka respectively or atleast Australia to lose against AFG (which is unlikely). In which case Srilinka will top and NZ will be seccond (which is highly unlikely)
If Eng wins and Australia lose most probably NZ and Eng will qualify
If Australia wins Eng Lose SL and Australia will Qualify
England
Win for England against Srilanka will ensure their Qualification, even if NZ and Australia win, provided that Autralia doesnt surpass thier NRR differance of 0.851 with Aussie NRR. Even if they surpass England's present NRR, England will be playing last so they know the target NRR required to qualify with the win against Sri Lanka.
If they lose against Sri Lanaka, They would be most certainly out of contention even if both Aus and NZ lose their Last Fixture. In that case SL and NZ will Qualify if both Aus and NZ Lose, SL and AUS will qualify if NZ lose and Aus Win. NZ and SL will qualify if NZ win and Aus Lose.
Australia
Australia is required to win against AFG and hope atleast one of NZ and Eng Lose their Fixture. If both NZ and ENG win they have to win big against AFG and increase their NRR to such level that ENG couldnt be able to surpass in their win against Sri Lanka (this is highly unlikely since England will be playing last so they know the target NRR required to qualify with the win against Sri Lanka)
If they lose against AFG, They would be most certainly out of contention even if both Eng and NZ lose their Last Fixture. In that case SL and NZ will Qualify if both Eng and NZ Lose, NZ and Eng will qualify if only NZ lose and ENG win. NZ and SL will qualify if NZ wins and Eng Lose.
Sri Lanka
Sri Lanka is required to win against ENG and hope atleast one of Aus and NZ Lose their Fixture. If both NZ and Aus win they are out of Semi Final Race. If NZ wins and Aus Lose, NZ and SL will qualify. If NZ lose narowly and Aus wins, NZ and SL will qualify.
If they lose against ENG, they are out of Semi Final Race.
JibranAnsari
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England and Nz just have to win but australia needs to completely annihilate the opposition.
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-partner="tweetdeck"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Either England or Australia set to crash out of the tournament even if they win their last games as New Zealand has a much superior NRR <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/T20WorldCup?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#T20WorldCup</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/NZvsIRE?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#NZvsIRE</a> <a href="https://t.co/BCmVxlHKnt">pic.twitter.com/BCmVxlHKnt</a></p>— Saj Sadiq (@SajSadiqCricket) <a href="https://twitter.com/SajSadiqCricket/status/1588436430208262145?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 4, 2022</a></blockquote>
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-partner="tweetdeck"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">If England beat Sri Lanka England go through<br><br>If England lose to Sri Lanka, England are out<br><br>If England v Sri Lanka is rained off then Australia go through<a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/T20WorldCup?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#T20WorldCup</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Cricket?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Cricket</a> <a href="https://t.co/AIfFHI1fkA">pic.twitter.com/AIfFHI1fkA</a></p>— Saj Sadiq (@SajSadiqCricket) <a href="https://twitter.com/SajSadiqCricket/status/1588498186448285696?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 4, 2022</a></blockquote>
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Group 1 of the ICC Men’s T20 World Cup 2022 will come down to the final game.
Tournament hosts and defending champions Australia face the prospect of an early exit unless Sri Lanka beat England on Saturday. But one team is already through to the final four.
We take a look at the state of play in Group 1 with one game left to play.
Who’s through to the semi-finals?
New Zealand are qualified for the semi-finals thanks to their win over Ireland on Friday.
That result took the Black Caps up to seven points and with a vastly superior Net RR over Australia, who are also on seven points.
Only England can now knock them off top spot with a huge margin of victory against Sri Lanka, but in that improbable circumstance the Kiwis would still go through as group runners-up.
All eyes on England and Sri Lanka
The meeting between England and Sri Lanka in Sydney on Saturday will decide who joins New Zealand in the final four from Group 1.
The Sri Lankans would have been praying for Rashid Khan to get Afghanistan over the line in his incredible late flurry against Australia on Friday, but the Aussie win in that match means that Sri Lanka can now no longer finish in the final two.
And the narrow margin of victory for Australia over Afghanistan means that Net RR is no longer a decisive factor.
So, for England the equation is simple: Beat Sri Lanka and they go through at the expense of Australia.
There is still a scenario in which England can top Group 1, but it would require an enormous and extremely unlikely margin of victory, around 125 runs, to leapfrog New Zealand into top spot.
A win for Sri Lanka at the SCG would see Australia qualify in second place in the group.
Key Final Match
Sri Lanka v England – Saturday 05 November, SCG, Sydney
It all hinges on this game for England and nervous onlookers Australia.
An England win would send them through, while Australia need a favour from Sri Lanka.
Sri Lanka have looked good in their two Super 12 wins – over Ireland and Afghanistan – but haven’t beaten England in a T20I since 2014. The seven results since that victory at The Oval in London have all gone England’s way, most recently with a 26-run win in last year’s T20 World Cup.
ICC
Tournament hosts and defending champions Australia face the prospect of an early exit unless Sri Lanka beat England on Saturday. But one team is already through to the final four.
We take a look at the state of play in Group 1 with one game left to play.
Who’s through to the semi-finals?
New Zealand are qualified for the semi-finals thanks to their win over Ireland on Friday.
That result took the Black Caps up to seven points and with a vastly superior Net RR over Australia, who are also on seven points.
Only England can now knock them off top spot with a huge margin of victory against Sri Lanka, but in that improbable circumstance the Kiwis would still go through as group runners-up.
All eyes on England and Sri Lanka
The meeting between England and Sri Lanka in Sydney on Saturday will decide who joins New Zealand in the final four from Group 1.
The Sri Lankans would have been praying for Rashid Khan to get Afghanistan over the line in his incredible late flurry against Australia on Friday, but the Aussie win in that match means that Sri Lanka can now no longer finish in the final two.
And the narrow margin of victory for Australia over Afghanistan means that Net RR is no longer a decisive factor.
So, for England the equation is simple: Beat Sri Lanka and they go through at the expense of Australia.
There is still a scenario in which England can top Group 1, but it would require an enormous and extremely unlikely margin of victory, around 125 runs, to leapfrog New Zealand into top spot.
A win for Sri Lanka at the SCG would see Australia qualify in second place in the group.
Key Final Match
Sri Lanka v England – Saturday 05 November, SCG, Sydney
It all hinges on this game for England and nervous onlookers Australia.
An England win would send them through, while Australia need a favour from Sri Lanka.
Sri Lanka have looked good in their two Super 12 wins – over Ireland and Afghanistan – but haven’t beaten England in a T20I since 2014. The seven results since that victory at The Oval in London have all gone England’s way, most recently with a 26-run win in last year’s T20 World Cup.
ICC
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-partner="tweetdeck"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">The hosts, the reigning champions and many people's favourites, Australia crash out of the tournament <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/T20WorldCup?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#T20WorldCup</a> <a href="https://t.co/lZYT9Ev6HM">pic.twitter.com/lZYT9Ev6HM</a></p>— Saj Sadiq (@SajSadiqCricket) <a href="https://twitter.com/SajSadiqCricket/status/1588855742609920001?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 5, 2022</a></blockquote>
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Front Foot Pull
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At the end of the super 12. IND at the top of their group with more points and better NRR than anybody else. But the actual struggle begins now.
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