Just saw the squad - not an encouraging one but probably this is what it is there - I don’t see many options outside this.
I think, biggest weakness will be the bowling, though the popular belief is always opposite. Over the last couple of years I see change in AUS wickets again - it’s more bowling friendly now (compared to last two PAK tours) and going by the last Ashes, may be 350 on first innings will be a great score. I don’t see PAK attack to restrict Australia below 400 and they’ll score at close to 4 rate, means there will be enough time to take 20 PAK wickets.
Still, I think by better tactics & preparation, PAK can be more competitive than the last tours. Some key areas outside basic game skills that PAK can improve, which eventually will add to the strength is catching & fitness of the fast bowlers. As I said, I don’t see AUS batting for 170 overs, bowling innings will be shorter, helping PAK pacers preserving energy.
Looking at the squad, I think PAK is planning to go with 2 even three all-founders which for this squad might not be a bad idea as it lacks specialist bowlers.
Imam, Abdullah
Shan, Babar, Saud
Rizwan/Sarfraz (I’ll take Rizwan)
Are the top 6 - those 5 batsmen are selected almost unanimously because there is no other options - may be Saim can replace Imam, but that’s not before 2nd Test.
Shaheen, Hasan Ali & Abrar are three bowlers almost certainly should play & for the core of bowling. However, 1st Test is at Perth - not the best place for spinners. PAK might (should actually), play first Test with three pacers (Hamza) & two pace all-rounders.
Of the three picked, I have no clue about Khurram, but probably he is picked based on ongoing domestic season, means he should be in good form. Wasim should play, because of his bowling alone - he was the most disciplined pacers from PAK in this WC, may be he can be the work horse that PAK will need to bowl 23-25 tight overs in a 90 overs day.
So, the last spot is between Faheem & Khurram - this spot I’ll pick based on who is better batsman, which I think Faheem is. Khurram will fight for this spot with Waseem, means he is not playing 1st Test.
The playing XI at Perth for me -
1. Imam
2. Abdullah
3. *Shan
4. Babar
5. Saud
6. +Rizwan
7. Faheem
8. Wasim
9. Shaheen
10. Hasan
11. Hamza/Abrar
It’ll be hell o a task to compete with Australia at Perth, just coming into the country from dead slow & low PAK tracks.
@Junaids