What the people are smoking here?? What they think they can demolish Indian batting to a total of 200-220; and that too on a flat deck with small boundaries. Even in that case, there is 95% chance that we will lose the game.
We have history of making small targets complicated..We made those small 140ish targets in WC 2007 T20 look difficult (If not for resurgent Misbahs batting, we would have lost both games in 15 overs); we succumbed under pressure in 2011 chase; gave easy wickets to the likes of UV, Munaf patel, etc., and somehow dragged to the point that we did not even had batsman except misbah to play in power plays.
2015 WC : Even after first innings, everyone knew we had no chance; we threw away the start provided by Shehzad and Haris; and from 88/1 we went to the point of no return to 94/5.
2004 CT : Thankly the target was small and we had Inzi and Yousuf to absorb pressure; and allowed afridi to smash, even at that time we were at one point 20/3.
I think IK is right..even if we restrict India to 200-240s score, it will be very difficult for us to chase that total, which I dont see happening..Indian fielding puts a lot of pressure in second innings, and makes their mediocre bowling attack looks dangerous!!
Batting first negates Indian fielding, and they tends to make mistakes in first innings, while in second innings these guys become ruthless; and puts more pressure on our batting.
Don't just go by Bangladesh game; its a no match, and it never was..Only in recent years Bangladesh batting has improved, their bowling is monotonous as hell; that's why whatever their victories have come against big teams is while chasing. And btw, Bangladesh did not deserve to even be in the semis, thanks to rain that they got 1 point for the already lost game against Australia; and they were lucky also in 2015 WC game , when again they got 1 point from rain curtailed game against Australia; Had that match was completed, Bangladesh would never be in the Quarters as well.
Folks here assumed that we can happily restrict India to 200-240 score, what if they scored 320+ ; then its game over for us, that's what happened in 1st match, we need Azhar and Fakhar to play their natural game for at least 10-15 overs, which can ensure strong platform for us; in second innings with 300+ score to chase, Azhar will try to slog and will throw his wicket away, and panic button will be pressed by the subsequent batsman..
Batting first, we need Azhar and Fkhar to play out 20 overs and give us 100-120 runs..that will be good start, and will give good confidence for the rest of our game..
If we somehow cross that 300 mark ( which can happen in first innings ); it will not be easy for India to chase that; as usual Rohit/Dhawan will take their time to start their innings, which will put a lot of pressure on their batsman; and this will also force Sarfaraz and bowlers to take wickets. Even Indians know this is not Bangladesh bowling attack, going extravagant will definitely hurt them the most..
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