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I had mentioned it when Shehbaz Sharif took over that i can't imagine in India ever a major political group trying to get power for 12-18 months when it's known the economic mess can't be controlled. Sharif saab will end up taking the blame for this mess when he could have just shown some patience and let Imran go down with economy.
Major crash is inevitable. IMF loan is just a stop gap arrangement. How will they provide food grains ? The reforms that are required will be extremely painful and party which has to do it may never come to power. Cycles of fiscal crisis are shrinking. Next one could come up in 6 months. Tough days ahead.
It's inevitable the country will eventually default and there will be mass civil unrest and people starving .
But this is a global plan as well to reduce population don't be surprised In near future when you have Ethiopian or yemen like situation In pakistan kids dying from hunger and people eating leaves .
Question remains when the attack dogs attack and carve up the country like usa nato and India.
The generals will ultimately be forced to dismantle the nuclear programme.
India also wants to amend the Indus water treaty which will inevitably cause more water stress for Pakistan and reduce food production .
And since pakistan can't afford fuel and fertiliser prices farmers were struggling anyhow .
220 million plus 40 million + Afghans cannot be sustained by our agriculture.
It's a global plan by zionists to reduce the world population and Asia and Africa are their main targets.
It's inevitable the country will eventually default and there will be mass civil unrest and people starving .
But this is a global plan as well to reduce population don't be surprised In near future when you have Ethiopian or yemen like situation In pakistan kids dying from hunger and people eating leaves .
Question remains when the attack dogs attack and carve up the country like usa nato and India.
The generals will ultimately be forced to dismantle the nuclear programme.
India also wants to amend the Indus water treaty which will inevitably cause more water stress for Pakistan and reduce food production .
And since pakistan can't afford fuel and fertiliser prices farmers were struggling anyhow .
220 million plus 40 million + Afghans cannot be sustained by our agriculture.
It's a global plan by zionists to reduce the world population and Asia and Africa are their main targets.
These losers creating destructive records by the day. With this massive devaluation inflation will hit 50% in Ramadan and petrol will have to go up massively along with all the essentials. Bajwa and his crooks have destroyed PK economy. The Hafiz has continued the same policies
Chalo. Yeh bhi thik hai. Zionist forced Pakistan to subsidize fuel, to build an import based economy, to let military establishment rule the roost.
It would have been the same under ik
Because due to ukraine invasion fuel , energy prices rocketed , edible oil and grain also increased.
Along with price and shortage of fertiliser.
Also ik would have been hamstrung by the same imf conditions and cold shoulder from so called brotherly countries .
Ik is lucky he was removed or otherwise he would be facing a similar situation.
It would have been the same under ik
Because due to ukraine invasion fuel , energy prices rocketed , edible oil and grain also increased.
Along with price and shortage of fertiliser.
Also ik would have been hamstrung by the same imf conditions and cold shoulder from so called brotherly countries .
Ik is lucky he was removed or otherwise he would be facing a similar situation.
Maybe and maybe not. But with a free floating exchange rate we wouldnt have reserves of $3bn and remittances would have crashed because of the duality of the real and faked exchange rate. The rp wouldnt be at 280+ and inflation wouldnt have been 40% +. and Exports wouldnt have droped like they have. IK warned Bajwa that economy was too weak to stand shocks like these that the traitors planned and as always he was right.
It would have been the same under ik
Because due to ukraine invasion fuel , energy prices rocketed , edible oil and grain also increased.
Along with price and shortage of fertiliser.
Also ik would have been hamstrung by the same imf conditions and cold shoulder from so called brotherly countries .
Ik is lucky he was removed or otherwise he would be facing a similar situation.
We simply don't have the enlightend or educated population to move towards a hi tech innovation and cutting edge manufacturing economy even the UK doesn't have that anymore and is more service and finance based.
Pakistan relied on agriculture and low tech textiles
Only decent thing we produced is sports equipment and some medical tools
Since our agriculture has been failing over the years and floods we are not self sufficient in edible oil cotton or wheat etc.
Our textile industry was always on cliff edge since energy and raw product import could always cripple it as we have seen under the crooks today
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-partner="tweetdeck"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Total mismanagement of our economy by a corrupt & incompetent imported govt has crushed masses & salaried class with latest hike in petrol & diesel prices & Rs33/$ devaluation to Rs262.6/$. Elec & gas price hike & 35% unprecedented inflation expected with Rs200bn mini budget.</p>— Imran Khan (@ImranKhanPTI) <a href="https://twitter.com/ImranKhanPTI/status/1619616555045904385?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 29, 2023</a></blockquote>
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In terms of parameters it’s fair to say PDM has made it worse. I don’t believe there is any way around this. Although the issue is structural. IK would have only delayed the trouble at best. Let’s also not forget that he subsidized oil prices while seeking IMF loan knowing fully well the economic consequences. For record, in neighborhood, not one country is subsidizing fuel and their fiscal situation is better than Pakistan.
So, I know for some the issue is political. For me it’s plain and simple misplaced priorities of 70 years. Lack of critical reasoning and education in the system. Over zealous and bloated army establishment. Building the nation into a security state for ransom. Radicalization through religion. And above fabricated history. A civilization that doesn’t address its history correctly cannot chart it’s future appropriately.
Our biggest problem is the appallingly low level of exports and IK realised this and managed to get Our textiles working and exporting and a real effort was made to increase exports across the board. Our mafia families have no interest in real reforms and they along with the Generals are holding PK hostage. Bar IKs 3 years, they have been in power for nearly 70 years and they will never relinquish power without a fight.
Lets face it. Exports were never propping up Pakistan, debt was. Endless amounts of debt servicing which could never be matched by even record export money pouring in. And Pakistan did try to increase exports via CPEC but ended up with more debts and pretty much nothing else!
China has pulled the plug on Pakistan after taking them to the brink. SA is only pouring in token amount. IMF is the only available source of money, but they will demand austerity which will be really hard on the population. And IK’s stunt of taking money from IMF and providing fuel subsidies has made things much harder - in an election year, IMF thinks it is not beyond the present govt to do that again.
The only option any Pakistani govt will have will be to accept IMF’s severe conditions or declare sovereign bankruptcy. In a way, IK is lucky not to be facing this choice - his image would have taken a beating like nothing else.
I disagree that debt servicing is the problem in isolation. Our total external debt is around $125bn which by most Standards is pretty low. Our problem is that we never used the borrowed billions into productive industries and things like Dams and Universities. Our Politicians and Generals treated the loans as a free money.
We have a natural advantage in textiles, we have cotton and we have the businesses to be able to supply the world with clothes. Our exports in this area alone should be well $50bn and what's more if we built dams, not only would have cheap electricity for most of the year, we would produced enough food for ourselves and exports to the middle East. A criminal elite without any humanity, morals or respect for the law has put PK on the brink of catastrophe. The Generals have learnt nothing and their pathetic machinations have brought us to that edge.
Where are PP's Simia and Equus ala [MENTION=131701]Mamoon[/MENTION] [MENTION=135038]Major[/MENTION] to enlighten us
Where are PP's Simia and Equus ala [MENTION=131701]Mamoon[/MENTION] [MENTION=135038]Major[/MENTION] to enlighten us
Hafeez Sheikh doesn't get enough credit. Under him our FX reserves rose from $6-8 billion to $27 billion at one point in 2021. He handled the economy well during tough circumstances.
Munshi has destroyed everything
I remember having a discussion with two former army officers about 4 years ago just as Khan was getting settled in. One was a medical doctor and our discussion was centred around healthcare in pak and how it could be improved. Reasonable stuff..except for his "The NHS isn't as great as yu make out which I corrected him on"...with colonel sahib it was hard work..the man was adamant Khan was an idiot and the pmln shabaz were competent because he turned lahore into Paris..
I assume this line of thinking has a large base in the fauj amongst some of our officers. Unfortunately many now occupation the main positions. I truly wish gen tariq had become the chief. Instead we got this lot..
This is great discussion between Miftah and Atif Miya. Atif was supposed to be brought by IK. But god forbid, he is an Ahmediyya. The most pre eminent economist from Pakistan can’t help Pakistan because of his belief system. Question is can such a country be saved.
https://youtube.com/live/pMn7jA0DwKY?feature=shares
Fun fact :- Between 1990 and 2022 Pakistan gdp grew more than 6% only two times in 2004 and 2005. Meanwhile India and Bangladesh grew more than 6% in 20 years during that time.
This is 13 th IMF bail out for Pakistan. Pakistan approaches IMF every 3-4 years.
When Zaidi said two years back that the country is bankrupt, people criticized him. Truth is it’s complete messed up structural failure. It has no solution to solve its circular debt situation. There are no new investments happening. But population is fastest growing.
It’s better to distract the people with politics, war or religion. Reality is so stark that I don’t think anyone can take it.
Also funfact when were the other two consecutive years in which Pakistan achieved growth of greater than 5.5% ? That's right when IK was PM. Sharif worshippers will conveniently skip that fact.
Secondly you mention Atif Mian was fired by IK because of his faith. So IK didn't know about his faith when he appointed Mian? It was the beloved Sharif khandaan and PML-N that initiated protests in conjunction with mullahs right when IK formed the cabinet, and IK didn't want turbulence right at the beginning of his government.
Atif has no magic wand that will make any difference. Its not rocket science -As a country put all the criminals in jail and hang their handlers. Make a determined effort to export everything we can, even give free electricity( or give at least grants in solar power projects) for our textile industry. Force farmers in cotton growing areas to grow cotton and get exports of textiles towards $50bn. And build the kalabagh dam ASAP. No easy way out after 70 years rule by a self serving mafia running the benefit of 15,000 people.
One can be determined as one wants but competence is not developed overnight. Overnight one doesn't become energy independent. Rarely have countries overcome bane of circular debt. To think that solution to these complex problems already there, we just can't implement it is simplistic. Even IK knows it. Its just that he can't engage his supporters in complex nature of the problem. He simplifies it to keep the message simple. Great minds are needed to solve complex issues.
do not see any way Pakistan can recover from this. The national assets will be sold and Pakistan will be the slave of IMF. No foreign company is willing to invest in Pakistan.
do not see any way Pakistan can recover from this. The national assets will be sold and Pakistan will be the slave of IMF. No foreign company is willing to invest in Pakistan.
do not see any way Pakistan can recover from this. The national assets will be sold and Pakistan will be the slave of IMF. No foreign company is willing to invest in Pakistan.
I can almost feel the joy and glee in your post. This time will pass too. Its bad. Very bad but the nation will overcome it. As Khan showed with some deft management and smart leadership Pakistan can easily grow at 6 and above..
I can almost feel the joy and glee in your post. This time will pass too. Its bad. Very bad but the nation will overcome it. As Khan showed with some deft management and smart leadership Pakistan can easily grow at 6 and above..
It's the reason why they wanted these thugs back. Ind has won( the destruction of our economy) without firing a bullet.
These things are usually temporary and can be recovered from in not a very long time.
If there's anything good to come out of this, PDM tried to bite more than it could chew by removing IK. They took short term gain for long term pain for their brand, and now their brand is tarnished for the foreseeable future.
PDM or PTI, the choices would have been the same. IMF would have put the same conditions. Both were pushing for IMF loan. PTI was subsidizing fuel while also pursuing IMF loan. I would love someone to explain this economic logic. Usually countries approach IMF when they don’t have conventional alternatives for funding. However PTI wasn’t trying to control currency like PDM, which was the right decision. PDM has screwed up reserves situation.
Let’s be very clear. Pakistan economy is addicted to loan because of structural issues. Even 8% GDP growth will need IMF loan to fund it. So the inflation and BoP crisis is inevitable and long term decline unavoidable unless structural issues are addressed. Pakistan has gone to IMF 22 times.
I can almost feel the joy and glee in your post. This time will pass too. Its bad. Very bad but the nation will overcome it. As Khan showed with some deft management and smart leadership Pakistan can easily grow at 6 and above..
So it’s not IK and PTI’s fault that the economy is in shambles and inflation has gone thru the roof?
At least that’s what Shehbaz Shareef said to be the case. Do you disagree with him?
And what happened with the foreign reserve depletion under PDM?
And did you notice IMF stated that they don’t trust Shehbaz Shareef and ishaq dar? Did IMF say the same about IK and his finance ministers?
I take no joy but there is no pain in this for me.
If Pakistan had fought India in terms of technological advancements, science and human development instead of Guns and Tanks, situation in subcontinent would have been different.
The paranoia of Pakistan has resulted in current situation. Yahood or Hanood cannot be blamed for this situation.
Unfortunately, this is not just PDM's fault. People deserve the govt they get. If Imran Khan can subsidize oil when he doesn't have money, then I cannot put the entire blame on one party. It's too simplistic.
I think all in all the blame is on the people of Pakistan including overseas. When one doesn't ask the right questions, when one doesn't address the right concerns, when one has misplaced sense of understanding of oneself and one's history, when one doesn't learn from one's mistakes, it is a collective failure.
The issues are rooted in the very formation of Pakistan. Elite capture, rent seeking and army stronghold were established in it's foundations. Once the foundations are weak, the structure cannot be strong.
That's what your are reduced to now..blame the foundation. The fact is every problem has a solution but the pdm don't care. At least try but they don't care..
Unfortunately, this is not just PDM's fault. People deserve the govt they get. If Imran Khan can subsidize oil when he doesn't have money, then I cannot put the entire blame on one party. It's too simplistic.
I think all in all the blame is on the people of Pakistan including overseas. When one doesn't ask the right questions, when one doesn't address the right concerns, when one has misplaced sense of understanding of oneself and one's history, when one doesn't learn from one's mistakes, it is a collective failure.
The issues are rooted in the very formation of Pakistan. Elite capture, rent seeking and army stronghold were established in it's foundations. Once the foundations are weak, the structure cannot be strong.
So then, why there was a need to topple PTI govt?
Because IK subsidized oil prices that shielded the nation from inflation? But mysteriously he also managed to increase the foreign reserve and foreign investment (in correspondence to your hogwash of him not having the money)?
So, PDM toppled PTI, removed the oil subsidiary and crushed the nation under inflation, and depleted the entire $22 billion foreign reserves. Is that why PDM took over?
So then, why there was a need to topple PTI govt?
Because IK subsidized oil prices that shielded the nation from inflation? But mysteriously he also managed to increase the foreign reserve and foreign investment (in correspondence to your hogwash of him not having the money)?
So, PDM toppled PTI, removed the oil subsidiary and crushed the nation under inflation, and depleted the entire $22 billion foreign reserves. Is that why PDM took over?
Let me explain. Pakistan is a fiscal deficit economy. When the GDP grows, the fiscal deficit increases. This is the structure of the economy. In this structure of economy, when the country is asking IMF for loan ( which is lender of last resort ), IK chooses to increase subsidy on fuel. This is like asking a local Pathan for loan while mortgaging your house. But you also admit your child to an international school because you think he deserves a great school.
In a financially unsound country, this kind of political gimmicks further sinks the economy. It was a great political move which effectively forced the increase on PDM. But it was a bad economic decision.
Let me explain. Pakistan is a fiscal deficit economy. When the GDP grows, the fiscal deficit increases. This is the structure of the economy. In this structure of economy, when the country is asking IMF for loan ( which is lender of last resort ), IK chooses to increase subsidy on fuel. This is like asking a local Pathan for loan while mortgaging your house. But you also admit your child to an international school because you think he deserves a great school.
In a financially unsound country, this kind of political gimmicks further sinks the economy. It was a great political move which effectively forced the increase on PDM. But it was a bad economic decision.
Thats were PDM has missed the trick. They should have let IK continue after massive reduction on fuel.
You will not get an answer. Except it was IK's fault. By the aay can somebody who is well versed in economics explain why our reserved have deplet3d so quickly? And why aren't they going up?
So his "political gimmicks" were about to fall out, but PDM took over JUST IN TIME to get all the heat?
By the way, how was IK INCREASING THE OIL SUBSIDARY AND INCREASING THE FOREIGN RESERVES at the same time? He got it to $22 Billion. How?
Can PDM pull the same "political gimmick" and increase the foreign reserve back to $22 Billion and give oil subsidiary AT THE SAME TIME? Please?
lol exactly.
We should all give a fair round of applause with big claps to PDM for taking over from PIT and taking all the heat from the public.
Good Job PDM for being sympathetic enough to IK and PTI, and you guys shielded IK/PTI from public anger by taking it upon yourselves.
It looks like PDM is true hard fan and true supporter and a well wisher of PTI/IK than any one of us can ever be.![]()
You have conceptual misunderstanding. Govt doesn’t pay for subsidy from foreign reserves. They pay from their fiscal deficit.
You have conceptual misunderstanding. Govt doesn’t pay for subsidy from foreign reserves. They pay from their fiscal deficit.
Unfortunately, this is not just PDM's fault. People deserve the govt they get. If Imran Khan can subsidize oil when he doesn't have money, then I cannot put the entire blame on one party. It's too simplistic.
I think all in all the blame is on the people of Pakistan including overseas. When one doesn't ask the right questions, when one doesn't address the right concerns, when one has misplaced sense of understanding of oneself and one's history, when one doesn't learn from one's mistakes, it is a collective failure.
The issues are rooted in the very formation of Pakistan. Elite capture, rent seeking and army stronghold were established in it's foundations. Once the foundations are weak, the structure cannot be strong.
You have conceptual misunderstanding. Govt doesn’t pay for subsidy from foreign reserves. They pay from their fiscal deficit.
Expected redirection from a Sharif supporter. PTI and IK had only set aside 50-60b for the petrol subsidy. It is PDM who removed his government and then were scared to remove the subsidy which led it to ballooning to over Rs300b. Even that is not a huge amount for even Pakistan. Less than $2b for 2022 exchange rate (almost $1b now thanks to your PDM government).
The bigger jolt has been the sharp decline in exports and remittances. That is all due to PDM policies. Both metrics were showing double digit growth under PTI. You can't just brush PDM failures with PTI just because it suits your agenda.
Reading your post it seems everybody and their aunt is responsible for the economic mess except for the Sharif khandaan who have had four terms in office since 1990. Do remember not everyone subscribes to Sharif worship like you do.
PTI fans never talk logically or reasonably. There response would be, Nani, sharif, bilo, zardari, etc.......
Not once have I seen them respond logically and on topic. They use these 3-4 phrases
QUOTE=Colorblind Genius;11744709]Yep, you and PDM has all the understanding. And pretty evident when we see the situation on ground zero under PDM command.
You keep repeating the same nonsense. I don’t care for Sharif or IK. They are public servants. You are too caught up in political partisan contest. Your goal should be accountability. Yes, I thought Shabaz Sharif could do better but he hasn’t delivered. And as it happens in democracy he should go.
For the record, I have said that Ik should come back in free and fair election and dismantle the establishment. Only he could do this. But that doesn’t mean everything he touches is gold. He should also be held accountable. He should be able to select the brightest and best minds from across the world.