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Venezuela’s Collapse

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Venezuela has more oil than Saudi Arabia and more poverty than Colombia. Once one of Latin America’s richest countries, it’s now plagued with shortages of everything from toilet paper to antibiotics and food. It’s been a steep downward spiral since the heady days when the late President Hugo Chavez set out to use an oil boom to light a socialist path to prosperity, not just for the poor in Venezuela but across Latin America. Chavez died in 2013, about a year before oil prices fell sharply. His protégé and successor, Nicholas Maduro, has tightened his grip on power as opponents complain of economic mismanagement, corruption and political oppression. Critics inside and outside the country hope for Maduro’s departure but no solution has emerged that would protect Venezuela’s 30 million people from further harm.

The Situation
Maduro, 55, overwhelmingly won a new six-year term in a May 20 election widely seen as a charade. U.S. Vice President Mike Pence called it a "sham." Most of the opposition either boycotted the contest or were barred from entering it. Many Venezuelans didn't bother to vote: The electoral authority said turnout was 48 percent, the lowest in two decades. Hundreds of thousands have fled to nearby countries in response to a violent crackdown on street protests, the lack of jobs and the inability to feed their families. In 2017, one aid agency said more than 11 percent of children under age 5 were suffering from moderate to severe malnutrition, yet Maduro has rejected humanitarian aid. Oil output has plunged to 1940s levels, partly for lack of money for maintenance but also because famished workers have grown too weak for heavy labor. Late last year, Venezuela defaulted on a portion of its debt. That included the $3 billion in so-called hunger bonds that Goldman Sachs Group Inc. bought at a deep discount, leading to criticism it was helping finance a regime that prioritized paying bondholders over feeding starving Venezuelans. Creditors have begun seizing the assets of the state oil company. The U.S. and European Union have imposed sanctions against the country for human-rights abuses, political repression and graft. Early this year, Venezuela introduced the world’s first state-issued cryptocurrency, the Petro. The U.S. called it a scam and promptly forbade Americans from purchasing it. While Venezuela no longer publishes basic statistics, the International Monetary Fund estimated that inflation exceeded 2,400 percent in 2017 and would zoom higher in 2018. In a ranking of countries by corruption level, the non-profit group Transparency International puts Venezuela at number 169 out of 180 nations.
https://www.bloomberg.com/quicktake/venezuela-price-revolution
 
It’s a shame as socialism had a chance to work there but the country had been run into the ground by incompetence and corruption.
 
Venezuela detains two Americans over speedboat incursion

President Nicolás Maduro says the Venezuelan authorities have arrested 13 people, including two US citizens whom he described as mercenaries.

The announcement came a day after Venezuelan security forces claimed to have foiled what they described as an incursion by men in speedboats from Colombia.

Officials in Washington denied any US government involvement.

Mr Maduro has often accused the US of trying to overthrow him.

Venezuelan authorities said eight armed men were killed during Sunday's alleged coup attempt.

In a live broadcast on Monday, Mr Maduro displayed what he said were the passports of the two arrested Americans - Airan Berry and Luke Denman - who work for a Florida-based security company.

He told viewers: "They were playing Rambo, they were playing hero."

The Venezuelan government said the group of "terrorist mercenaries" left Colombia and landed in the town of Macuto, about 21 miles (34km) north of the capital Caracas, on Sunday, before they were intercepted and arrests were made.

Jordan Goudreau, a former member of the US Army special forces who leads a Florida-based private security firm called Silvercorp USA, has since told Reuters news agency he was one of the plot's organisers.

When he was asked about the Americans' arrest, he said: "They're working with me. Those are my guys."

According to a recent investigation by the Associated Press news agency, Mr Goudreau had previously plotted cross-border incursions which had failed to get off the ground. It said he was working alongside retired Venezuelan military men, who have allegedly been training deserters from Venezuela's security forces at secret camps in Colombia.

AP said it had found no evidence of US government involvement.

The news agency says Mr Goudreau turned his focus to Venezuela in February 2019, after he worked on security at a benefit concert on the Colombian-Venezuelan border arranged by UK billionaire Richard Branson and supported by Venezuelan opposition leader Juan Guaidó.

Mr Goudreau has also repeatedly made claims about past associations with Mr Guaidó, who is recognised by more than 50 countries as Venezuela's legitimate leader.

On Monday, Mr Guaidó denied having anything to do with the ex-Green Beret. In a statement, he said he had "no relationship nor responsibility for any actions" taken by the US war veteran.

He also accused President Maduro's administration of trying to distract people from recent outbreaks of violence - including a deadly prison riot on Friday and a gang battle in Caracas on Saturday night.

Mr Guaidó has the backing of Washington, which has vowed to use tough sanctions to force President Maduro and the Socialist Party out of office.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-52543033
 
this is why having natural resources is such a poison chalice, firstly it becomes an excuse to avoid investment in human capital, secondly you are left at whims of the markets pricing of your natural resource, and thirdly you need barely a few thousand people to take control of the entire nation resources, even easier when its in the name of socialism
 
this is why having natural resources is such a poison chalice, firstly it becomes an excuse to avoid investment in human capital, secondly you are left at whims of the markets pricing of your natural resource, and thirdly you need barely a few thousand people to take control of the entire nation resources, even easier when its in the name of socialism

Well depends. There are nations like Norway who have done exceptionally well with their resources.
 
Venezuelan security forces arrested dozens of people, including two Americans, after a beach invasion allegedly aimed at overthrowing President Nicolas Maduro - a plot said to involve US-backed opposition leader Juan Guaido.

US President Donald Trump on Tuesday said the Venezuela situation "has nothing to do with our government".

"We'll find out. We just heard about it," Trump said when asked about the incident and the Americans' arrest.

Maduro held up a pair of blue US passports, reading off the names and birth dates on them in a nationwide broadcast on state television on Monday.

He showed images of the fishing boats the alleged attackers rode in on and equipment such as walkie-talkies and night-vision glasses. He blamed the attacks on the Trump administration and neighbouring Colombia, both of which have denied involvement.

"The United States government is fully and completely involved in this defeated raid," Maduro said, praising members of a fishing village for cornering one group and netting the "professional American mercenaries".

A person familiar with the matter told Reuters news agency the two US citizens were captured on Monday in a second-day roundup of accomplices, and were believed to be in the custody of Venezuelan military intelligence. The source, speaking on condition of anonymity, said the details came from contacts with Venezuelan security forces.

A Florida-based ex-Green Beret Jordan Goudreau told The Associated Press he was working with the two American men in a mission launched early on Sunday to "liberate" Venezuela. The operation left eight people dead at a beach near the port city of La Guaira.

He identified the two former US military veterans taken into Venezuelan custody as Luke Denman and Aaron Berry. The two served alongside him in Iraq and Afghanistan, Goudreau said.

Goudreau said the men were part of an mission called Operation Gideon.

Opposition politicians and US authorities issued statements suggesting Maduro's allies fabricated the assault to draw attention away from the country's problems.

Venezuela has been in a deepening political and economic crisis under Maduro's rule.

Crumbling public services such as running water, electricity and medical care have driven nearly five million people to migrate.

But Maduro still controls all levers of power despite a US-led campaign to remove him. It recently indicted Maduro as a drug trafficker and offered a $15m reward for his arrest.

Venezuela and the US broke diplomatic ties last year amid heightened tensions, so there is no US embassy in Caracas.

"I've tried to engage everybody I know at every level," Goudreau said of the attempt to help his detained colleagues. "Nobody's returning my calls, It's a nightmare."

Goudreau said he signed a contract with the US-backed Venezuelan opposition leader Juan Guaido to overthrow Maduro, which Guaido has denied. The opposition leader said he had nothing to do with Sunday's raid.

Venezuela's attorney general said the contract was valued at $200m and alleged he had seen Guaido's signature on it.

'Mercenaries'

Goudreau said the opposition politician never fulfilled the contract, but he pushed ahead with an underfunded operation with just 60 fighters, including the two US veterans.

He said he last communicated with Denman and Berry when they were adrift in a boat "hugging" the Caribbean coast off Venezuela. They were still in their boat following an initial confrontation with the Venezuelan navy early Sunday, he said.

"They were running dangerously low on fuel," Goudreau said. "If they had gone onto landfall, they would have gone to a safe house."

Goudreau said the two were waiting for a boat on the Caribbean island of Aruba with emergency fuel to help extract them.

Venezuelan authorities said on Monday they arrested another eight "mercenaries" in a coastal town and showed images on state TV of several unidentified men handcuffed and lying prone in a street.

Among them was a National Guardsman Captain Antonio Sequea, who participated in a barracks revolt against Maduro a year ago. Goudreau said Sequea was a commander working with him in recent days on the ground in Venezuela.

Venezuelan state TV showed authorities handling a shirtless Sequea in handcuffs.

Maduro ally and Attorney General Tarek William Saab said in total they arrested 114 people suspected of involvement in the attempted attack and they are on the hunt for 92 others.

Officials in Venezuela's government accuse Colombia and the US of organising and carrying out the attack aiming to overthrow Maduro. Both US and Colombian officials have denied the Venezuelan allegations.

Goudreau, a three-time Bronze Star US combat veteran, said the deadly seaborne raid was launched from Colombia.

An AP investigation published on Friday found Goudreau had been working with a retired Venezuelan army general - who now faces US narcotics charges - to train dozens of deserters from Venezuela's security forces at secret camps inside Colombia.

Guaido on Monday denied having anything to do with the ex-Green Beret. In a statement, he said he has "no relationship nor responsibility for any actions" taken by the US war veteran.

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020...-nabbed-failed-coup-plot-200505025057889.html
 
Well depends. There are nations like Norway who have done exceptionally well with their resources.

norway had a tiny population when they discovered oil, roughly 3 million people, furthermore the country and its institutions are far older than the oil discoveries of the north sea, sweden and denmark have very similarly high living standards with virtually no oil.

of course i made a sweeping generalisation which isnt right in all cases, malaysia is perhaps the best exception, but for developing countries with large populations discoveries of natural resources will rarely materially improve anything for the common person.
 
Not surprised to see the U.S and the C.I.A in the thick of the mess.

They honestly have nothing better to do then stick their noses in wherever they can and make as much a mess as possible
 
Venezuela's state TV has shown a video of a US citizen apparently confessing to plotting to overthrow President Nicolás Maduro and bring him to the US.

Luke Denman is one of 13 people arrested over the weekend. Venezuela says they are "mercenaries" whose armed incursion was foiled.

Mr Maduro has often accused US President Donald Trump of trying to invade the country and overthrow him.

Mr Trump earlier this week denied any US involvement.

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo has said the US government will use "every tool" to secure the return of the Americans.

What did Venezuelan TV broadcast?

In Wednesday's video, Mr Denman, 34, appeared to explain that he was hired to train Venezuelans in Colombia before returning to Caracas and taking control of an airport to allow Mr Maduro to be taken out of the country.

"I was helping Venezuelans take back control of their country," Mr Denman, a former special operations forces member, is seen as saying.

Mr Denman said he and Airan Berry, 41, were contracted by Jordan Goudreau, an American military veteran who leads a Florida-based Silvercorp USA firm, to carry out the operation.

Venezuela said it would seek extradition of Mr Goudreau, who has admitted he was involved in the operation.

According to Mr Maduro, Silvercorp signed a contract with opposition leader Juan Guaidó, a politician seen by the US and many European countries as Venezuela's legitimate leader.

"Donald Trump is the direct chief of this invasion," Mr Maduro said during a press conference, after the video of Mr Denman was broadcast.

The Venezuelan president said the Americans would have a fair trial.

He did not provide any information as to the whereabouts of the detained men. It is unclear if they have access to a lawyer.

Who are the detained US citizens?

Not much is yet known about Mr Denman and Mr Berry.

Venezuelan military high command have said the pair are members of the US security forces. US media have suggested they are former members - but this has not been confirmed.

Caracas says that 11 other people were arrested, and eight armed men killed during the alleged coup attempt.

What is the background to this?

Mr Goudreau has also repeatedly made claims about past associations with Mr Guaidó.

On Monday, Mr Guaidó denied having anything to do with the ex-Green Beret. In a statement, he said he had "no relationship nor responsibility for any actions" taken by the US war veteran.

He also accused President Maduro's administration of trying to distract people from recent outbreaks of violence - including a deadly prison riot on Friday and a gang battle in Caracas on Saturday night.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-52568475
 
Trump says had nothing to do with Venezuela incursion

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Donald Trump on Friday again said the U.S. government was not behind a bungled incursion into Venezuela allegedly to overthrow President Nicolas Maduro, saying in a Fox News interview he would not rely on a small group for such an operation.

“I know nothing about it. I think the government has nothing to do with it at all, and I have to find out what happened,” Trump said. “If we ever did anything with Venezuela, it wouldn’t be that way. It would be slightly different. It would be called an invasion.”

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...-to-do-with-venezuela-incursion-idUSKBN22K1SC
 
The US have a very very long history of interferring in foreign governments, especially in Latin America, so really wouldn't be that surprising. Having said that, it's hard to offer someone like Maduro much sympathy.
 
Britain recognizes Guaido as Venezuela's president in gold dispute, judge rules

LONDON (Reuters) - Britain has recognized Venezuelan opposition leader Juan Guaido as the country’s president, the English High Court ruled on Thursday, in a case over whether Guaido or Nicolas Maduro should control $1 billion of its gold stored in London.

A four-day hearing last week had been the latest part of a tug-of-war over the gold reserves held in the Bank of England and centered on which of the two rival presidents Britain now views as Venezuela’s legitimate leader.

In early 2019, the British government joined dozens of nations in backing Guaido, head of Venezuela’s opposition-controlled congress, after he declared an interim presidency and denounced Maduro as an usurper who secured a fraudulent re-election.

High Court judge Nigel Teare handed down a judgment ruling that Britain had “unequivocally” recognized Guaido as constitutional interim president. Teare based his decision on the so-called “one voice” doctrine, in which the court must accept as conclusive an unequivocal statement by the British government recognizing the leader of a foreign nation.

“The judiciary and the executive must speak with one voice” Teare said. “There cannot be two Presidents of Venezuela.”

Maduro’s legal team has said his central bank (BCV) wants to sell the gold to fund Venezuela’s response to the coronavirus. His central bank filed a suit against the Bank of England in May claiming it had barred access to Venezuela’s gold reserves.

Sarosh Zaiwalla, one of the lawyers representing the Maduro camp, said on Thursday that the BCV would be seeking leave of the court to appeal the judgment.

The BCV on Twitter called the decision “absurd” for depriving Venezuela “of the gold it urgently needs to confront the pandemic”.

If the BCV’s appeal is granted the accelerated pace of the case means it could go to the London Court of Appeal in the coming weeks. If that appeal were to prove successful it would then go up the Supreme Court.

The opposition alleges Maduro wants to use the gold to pay off his foreign allies, which his lawyers have denied. Over the past two years, Maduro’s government has removed some 30 tonnes from its reserves in Venezuela to sell abroad for much-needed hard currency.

“We have secured the gold for the future of the Venezuelan people,” Guaido’s ambassador in Britain, Vanessa Neumann, told Reuters.

A member of Guaido’s legal team said they now expect the court to determine whether Guaido has the authority to represent Venezuela’s central bank in another legal case to decide control over the gold itself.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...ent-in-gold-dispute-judge-rules-idUSKBN2431CG
 
Venezuela: UN investigators accuse authorities of crimes against humanity

United Nations (UN) investigators say Venezuela's government has "committed egregious violations" amounting to crimes against humanity.

Cases of killings, torture, violence and disappearances were investigated in a fact-finding mission for the UN Human Rights Council.

The UN team said President Nicolás Maduro and other top officials were implicated.

Venezuela's UN ambassador has described the mission as a "hostile initiative".

Ambassador Jorge Valero said last year that the UN action was part of a US-led campaign. The UN team was blocked from travelling into the country.

Venezuela is suffering a severe economic and political crisis. Millions have fled in recent years.

What did the UN team say?

In the report of its findings on Wednesday, the UN team said Venezuela's security services had been engaged in a pattern of systematic violence since 2014, aimed at suppressing political opposition and generally terrorising the population.

Mr Maduro and the ministers of interior and defence were not only aware of the crimes, but gave orders, coordinated operations and supplied resources, the report said.

It called on Venezuela to hold those responsible to account and to prevent further violations from taking place.

"The Mission found reasonable grounds to believe that Venezuelan authorities and security forces have since 2014 planned and executed serious human rights violations, some of which - including arbitrary killings and the systematic use of torture - amount to crimes against humanity," the mission's chairperson, Marta Valiñas, said in a statement.

"Far from being isolated acts, these crimes were coordinated and committed pursuant to state policies, with the knowledge or direct support of commanding officers and senior government officials."

A typical operation might involve weapons being planted in an area thought to be loyal to the opposition, with security services then entering the area and shooting people at point blank range, or detaining them, torturing them, and killing them.

The report also looked into the violent response to opposition protests and the torture of people detained at them.

Investigators made their conclusions after looking into 223 cases. They said almost 3,000 others corroborated "patterns of violations and crimes".

The report will be presented to UN Human Rights Council member states next week, when Venezuela will have a chance to respond.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-54176927
 
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/exclusive-under-us-sanctions-iran-venezuela-strike-oil-export-deal-sources-2021-09-25/

Venezuela has agreed to a key contract to swap its heavy oil for Iranian condensate that it can use to improve the quality of its tar-like crude, with the first cargoes due this week, five people close to the deal said.

As the South American country seeks to boost its flagging oil exports in the face of U.S. sanctions, according to the sources, the deal between state-run firms Petroleos de Venezuela (PDVSA) and National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC) deepens the cooperation between two of Washington's foes.

One of the people said the swap agreement is planned to last for six months in its first phase, but could be extended. Reuters could not immediately determine other details of the mwpact.

The oil ministries of Venezuela and Iran, and state-run PDVSA and NIOC did not reply to requests for comment.

The deal could be a breach of U.S. sanctions on both nations, according to a Treasury Department email to Reuters which cited U.S. government orders that establish the punitive measures.

U.S. sanctions programs not only forbid Americans from doing business with the oil sectors of Iran and Venezuela, but also threaten to impose "secondary sanctions" against any non-U.S. person or entity that carries out transactions with either countries' oil companies.

Secondary sanctions can carry a range of penalties against those targeted, including cutting off access to the U.S. financial system, fines or the freezing of U.S. assets.

Any "transactions with NIOC by non-U.S. persons are generally subject to secondary sanctions," the Treasury Department said in response to a question about the deal. It also said it "retains authority to impose sanctions on any person that is determined to operate in the oil sector of the Venezuelan economy," but did not specifically address whether the current deal is a sanctions breach.

U.S. sanctions are often applied at the discretion of the administration in power. Former U.S. President Donald Trump's government seized Iranian fuel cargoes at sea bound for Venezuela for alleged sanction busting last year, but his successor Joe Biden has made no similar moves.

In Washington, a source familiar with the matter said the swap arrangement between Venezuela and Iran has been on the radar screens of U.S. government officials as a likely sanctions violation in recent months and they want to see how far it will go in practical terms.

U.S. officials are concerned, the source said, that Iranian diluent shipments could help provide President Nicolas Maduro with more of a financial lifeline as he negotiates with the Venezuelan opposition towards elections.

Sanctions on both nations have crimped their oil sales in recent years, spurring NIOC to support Venezuela - including through shipping services and fuel swaps - in allocating exports to Asia.

In a meeting at the U.N. General Assembly in New York on Wednesday, the foreign ministers of Venezuela and Iran publicly stated their commitment to stronger bilateral trade, despite U.S. attempts to block it.

Trump's tightening of sanctions contributed last year to a 38% fall in Venezuela's oil exports - the backbone of its economy - to their lowest level in 77 years and curtailed sources of fuel imports, worsening gasoline shortages in the nation of some 30 million people.

A U.S. Treasury spokesperson said the department was "concerned" about reports of oil deals between Venezuela and Iran, but had not verified details.

"We will continue to enforce both our Iran and Venezuela-related sanctions," the spokesperson said. Treasury "has demonstrated its willingness" to blacklist entities who support Iranian attempts to evade U.S. sanctions and who "further enable their destabilizing behavior around the world," the official added.

The swap contract would provide PDVSA with a steady supply of condensate, which it needs to dilute output of extra heavy oil from the Orinoco Belt, its largest producing region, the people said. The bituminous crude requires mixing before it can be transported and exported.

In return, Iran will receive shipments of Venezuelan heavy oil that it can market in Asia, said the people, who declined to be identified as they were not authorized to speak publicly.

PDVSA has boosted oil swaps to minimize cash payments since the U.S. Treasury Department in 2019 blocked the company from using U.S. dollars. Washington has also sanctioned foreign companies for receiving or shipping Venezuelan oil.

Since last year, PDVSA has imported two cargoes of Iranian condensate in one-off swap deals to meet specific needs for diluents, and it has also exchanged Venezuelan jet fuel for Iranian gasoline.

The new contract would help PDVSA secure a source of diluents, stabilizing exports of the Orinoco's crude blends, while allowing its own lighter oil to be refined in Venezuela to produce badly needed motor fuel, three of the people said.

The first 1.9 million barrel cargo of Venezuela's Merey heavy crude under the new swap set sail earlier this week from PDVSA's Jose port on the very large crude carrier (VLCC) Felicity, owned and operated by National Iranian Tanker Co (NITC), according to the three people and monitoring service TankerTrackers.com.

NITC, a unit of NIOC, did not reply to a request for comment.

The vessel was not included in PDVSA's monthly port schedules for September, which lists planned imports and exports. However, TankerTrackers.com identified it while at Jose this month.

The Venezuelan crude shipment is a partial payment for a cargo of 2 million barrels of Iranian condensate that arrived in Venezuela on Thursday, according to the three sources and one of PDVSA's port schedules.

Last year, the previous Trump administration seized over 1 million barrels of Iranian fuel bound for Venezuela and blacklisted five tanker captains, as part of a "maximum pressure" strategy, but the United States has not interdicted recent Iranian supplies to Venezuela.

The U.S. State Department declined to comment on the deal. A Treasury spokesperson did not respond to a Reuters question on how concerned the government might be that Iran-Venezuela deals would allow PDVSA to step up exports.

U.S. government officials have insisted they do not plan to ease sanctions on Venezuela unless Maduro takes definitive steps toward free and fair elections.

Trump's curbs on established companies doing business with PDVSA prompted the socialist-ruled nation to turn to swaps with Iran and other countries, while trading with a series of little-known customers.

PDVSA's new customers and swaps have allowed it to keep exports stable around 650,000 barrels per day (bpd) this year, after they zigzagged in 2020.

However, a worsening shortage of diluents has recently limited oil exports, placing the Orinoco Belt production in an "emergency", according to PDVSA documents from August and September related to its output status that were reviewed by Reuters.

PDVSA plans to mix the Iranian condensate with extra heavy oil to produce diluted crude oil, a grade demanded by Asian refiners that it has struggled to export since late 2019 when suppliers halted diluent shipments due to sanctions, the three sources said.
 
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