Arham_PakFan
ODI Debutant
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- Nov 10, 2015
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if it has to be, it will be an India/Pak semi final.
I think so too.
Ind/Pak and Eng/Aus Semifinals.
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if it has to be, it will be an India/Pak semi final.
My guess is he is referring to Afghanistan or Bangladesh.Who's the 4th Asian team?
Warner looking completely out of touch and, Head and Stoinis nothing special. If anything, their bowling have to lead the Aussies this time.
India, New Zealand and Eng are the 3 spots fixed with, Pak, Aus and Sa fighting for the 4th spot.
Will be surprised if we don't make it to the semis in the upcoming wc.
India says what the...England
Australia
Pakistan
South Africa
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The word is DhoniKohli's captaincy may cost us![]()
The 2019 WC format will theoretically hurt Pakistan the most.
Pakistan has enough talent to lift the trophy. But their biggest challenge has always been consistency.
The 2019WC format is such that only the 4 most consistent teams will make it into the semis.
If Pakistan can overcome that hurdle and reach the semis, then they stand as much chance as anybody to lift the trophy.
India says what the...
Will be surprised if we don't make it to the semis in the upcoming wc.
I think exactly opposite - 2019 format is best suited for teams like PAK. If you explain the bold line why, I'll definitely tell you why not.
Rest part of your post is more or less agreed.
I mentioned the reason in my post. Pakistan's biggest hurdle has been consistency.
For the 2019WC, if a team has to qualify for the SF, it has to win 6 out of 9 matches. Pakistan are usually slow starters in WCs. And they struggle with consistency so I don't know if they can win 6 or 7 matches out of 9.
But like I said, if Pakistan get on a roll and win 6+ matches in the round robin, then I'm giving them as much chance as any team to lift the trophy.
This team has enough talent. But it needs to play consistent cricket.
Your own comment is self contradictory bro - read it again. One point you are saying, slow starter, on other point you are saying inconsistency. Interestingly, your both issues are correct, but they are linked complimentary, not adversely. For slow starters, inconsistency can only reduce with time - unless there is off the game issues (injuries, corruption, ban ...)
More or less, once any team is in SF, it's basically matter of 2 great days - therefore, key is to reach the SF when you are in upward curve, not in down slope. PAK's current position is hanging in between 5 to 7 (AUS are behind in ranking, but they are better team). So, on papers, it's actually a matter of W/L in 1, may be 2 games. We can safely say that PAK won't finish as top from preliminary rounds (after 9 games), neither it'll finish as 10th.
Why this format (& fixture) is suitable for PAK, let me explain -
If you do a SWOT of PAK team, for English condition, there are one major strength - seem & swing bowling, backed by decent spin. And, that bowling is not restrictive, like the SAF attack of 90s, which was brilliant in choking teams, but this PAK attack is penetrative - if you are not careful, from 91/1, it can easily become 128/4, or you can go to 1st drinks 65/4 against new ball.
Weakness is fragile top order batting, lack of a batting leader, and inexperience in English condition. Almost every World Champ had one master batsmen at prime form to lead the batting - even in 1983, Amartnah was in between his unreal purple patch, from early 1982 to late 1983, he was probably the best or among top 2/3 batsmen in world.
Opportunity is late order batting & hitting ability - since Wasim, A Razzak & Moeen, this batting line-up has the best depth and quite decent hitting power - if top order can carry the batting till 40th over, that lower order will make a difference. Sarfraz's captaincy I put as opportunity, rather than strength.
Threat is inconsistency - the day team plays poor, it doesn't drizzle, it pours. And, that day can be against AFGs - opposition hardly matters. It has a positive as well - can smash like top seeded ENG, even at their best. I take corruption out of context.
Business rule is, if you are to better your position, you have to maintain your strength if not gain on it, must improve on weakness, take advantage of opportunities and must be prepared with a plan B for the threats.
Now, obviously bowlers have to keep their level, keep fitness and must be supported by fielders - no compromise on that. In early English condition, at least acclimatization won't be an issue, rather fitness can be one, which is a function of selection, conditioning and rotation; not format or fixture as every team will suffer the same work load (IND even more as they are starting their 1st game late).
For batting, there are few factors that can't be solved over night or within 3/4 weeks preparation - top order won't fire like IND or ENG; Babar can't become Javed and that mental toughness won't come from practice only. May be, an early preparation will help, but won't eradicate the weaknesses. The only way is to get into upward curve along with the tournament. Normally, PAK team starts poor on away tours - main reason is PAK batsmen don't get the opportunity to prepare on diversified wickets. It takes lot more for batsmen to adjust out of comfort zone than bowlers, and ENG actually is a zone of strength for bowling, opposite for batting - so, it's a double impact.
So, how PAK can miss the SF cut?
By losing 5 out of 9 games (winning even 3 might be sufficient mathematically, but effectively 5 wins will be required, 6 can guarantee it). Being a slow starter, that long tournament gives batsmen to acclimatize more in match condition - that'll be the determining factor No. 1, batting success. Batsmen coming from PAK/UAE wickets will need lots of game time to acclimatize on English wickets. One interesting question that no one could answer properly here is why there is a massive difference in PAK's result in UK & in AUS - and it's not because of bowling. Batting, being a side-on game, built on body balance, it's extremely difficult to adjust on different level of bounce - most of current PAK batsmen are groomed on UAE/QeA wicket at ankle or knee height; it'll take lot more time for batsmen to adjust to thigh & waist height, because that needs a major adjustment, from front-foot to back-foot game.
2nd factor is, short tournament doesn't allow inconsistent teams to make a come back - couple of unexpected loss, you are out (even 1 was sufficient in 2007); longer tournament allows, inconsistent but capable teams to regroup and make a strong come back. The longer the tournament (or game) is, better teams can dictate terms more for their superior skills, squad depth & tactical nuances - this is universal truth for any sports. That's why T20s are so unpredictable while PAK's Test loss to Mughabe's ZIM is the biggest upset in cricket - they beat PAK after 4 innings, where the better team had 4 bites to fix the damage. If you make Grand Slam's 3 seter, or soccer game 45 minutes - lots of GS champs would surprise us and France would have been out of WC'18 at round of 16. There is a reason why only 8 teams have won FIFA WC almost in a century though it's the main game for over 170 countries in world - make WC an event of 3 games, we could have twice the number of champions.
Apart from that, if you look at the schedule, PAK's last 2 games are against BD & AFG - 2 teams might be out of WC by then and PAK should be better prepared, acclimatized. Now matter how much prepared, put AFG, BD, WIN, SRL in 1st 4 games - PAK might end-up losing 3 of the 4!!!
Historically, you'll notice that the longer the tournament, normally PAK team does better - this time, there is absolutely no excuse from the format or schedule.
You made some very good points.
But I have to disagree with you on one thing. Having seen the LOI pitches in England in the last 2-3 years, I don't think fast bowlers will get much help at all. Spin will play a bigger role than pace, in my opinion.
This WC will be about spin bowling & big scores. Pakistan has Fakhar which is great news for them. If they can find a good, aggressive opener to partner Fakhar they will greatly improve their chances.
Pakistan's shortcoming will actually be not having 2 very good spinners. If they sort out their 2nd opener and the spinners improve by June 2019, they will actually have a very good chance in the tournament.
On a separate note that's also why I think NZ might actually surprise people this WC because Ish Sodhi is a much improved bowler and along with India and England they might have the most well rounded bowling attack in the tournament. And Australia should wake up and start picking Zampa in their XI. He's their best LOI spinner.
NZ is extremely consistent side in WC, and quite good ODI team over all - their 2 strengths are ever lasting; extremely fit & outstanding fielding unit and their new ball attack. If they can find a quality 3rd pacer, backed by Sodhi & Santner - indeed they have a better shot than most favorites.
Not getting good vibes from India from their last ODI series in Eng. Dhoni & Raina in this age and on Eng pitches, give me a break!
Raina especially has been so bloody poor that it beggars belief why was he even recalled to India LoI teams? Had anyone closely seen his batting in the 2nd ODI, he'd have noticed how much past Raina is at this level.
Just having 2 good wrist spinners and of course, Kohli won't win you world titles.
I'm also not too sold on Krunal. If we have any plans for him to play next WC, we'll have to blood him in our Asia cup squad, should not be delayed any further.
As for Raina's bowling prowess or lack of it, its laughable at best. 1-2 good overs once every 5-6 ODIs doesn't render him as our 6th bowling option.
Regarding Jadeja, I think he was bowling way too flat and perhaps too fast which I think led to end of his effectiveness as a LoI bowler especially on flat decks and hence ouster from India's LoI teams. As the success of KulCha has shown, you've to give ball sufficient air even in LoIs to be successful. Jadeja as an international cricketer would've surely noticed that. He is still very young, fit and a supreme fielder, there is no reason why he can't return to India's LoI teams provided he can sort out his primary cricketing skill.
Also, taking wickets is the best strategy to stem flow of opposition runs as KulCha have so effectively shown for more than an year now.
So don't think Jadeja would just be there to stem the flow of runs as that would prove to be counter productive on true decks of England.
Pakistan often start slowly. If I had to predict the outcome of their games.
vs West Indies - L
vs England - L
vs Sri Lanka - W
vs Australia - W
vs India - L
vs New Zealand - L
vs Afganistan - W
vs South Africa - W
vs Bangladesh - W
Will 5 wins out 9 be enough ? Who knows - Could be decided on run-rate or games could get rained off.
Chances of Afghanistan winning the world cup >> Chances of india NOT making semisThis kind of format can provide unpredictable result. I am still not sure if India will make top 4. India with a top order collapse can pretty much lose to any team in the world except may be Bangla boys.
This kind of format can provide unpredictable result. I am still not sure if India will make top 4. India with a top order collapse can pretty much lose to any team in the world except may be Bangla boys.
If players like Rayudu,Dhoni,Khaleel,Siraj,Bhuvi,DK are in the XI then yes India do have a problem.This kind of format can provide unpredictable result. I am still not sure if India will make top 4. India with a top order collapse can pretty much lose to any team in the world except may be Bangla boys.
I'll stick to this.
India
England
New Zealand
Australia / Pakistan / South Africa
England
Pakistan
South Africa
New Zealand
India won't qualify for the SF's.
I'll stick to this.
India
England
New Zealand
Australia / Pakistan / South Africa
why do you say that?
why do you say that?
I'd say Ind, Eng, AUS. 4th spot is in between Pak and NZ
In my opinion, those four teams are best suited for English conditions.why do you say that?
Why not SA?
In my opinion, those four teams are best suited for English conditions.
What English conditions. It's gonna be dry,.flat pitches. That's bread and butter for Indian spinners. Watch cricket much?
By indian spinners u only mean Yadav right?
Chahal flopped badly in the 3 odi series against eng last year.
My idea of wishful thinking involves Australia holding the cup.It's called wishful thinking. India will be the first team to book SF spot. They will be robotic in their qualification with ruthless execution during group games
My idea of wishful thinking involves Australia holding the cup.
Your fantasies are documented in the above post.
India are a strong team, but there is no reason to call them ruthless. There is no standout team.
In English conditions, India will be extremely vulnerable.
Why do Indian cricket fans seem so insecure?
It's weird.
You won the 1 day series 2-1 against Australia, and you consider that a ruthless execution?Coz they don't accept ignorance
You won the 1 day series 2-1 against Australia, and you consider that a ruthless execution?
As an Aussie fan, I'd be satisfied with a 5th place finish. We're clearly not in the best 4 teams.People here rating the Aussies way to high Imo. I wouldn't be surprised if they finish 5th or 6th in the group.
2-1 against AUS C
Pakistan and SL beat much much better AUS teams in 2002 and 2010 respectively
You won the 1 day series 2-1 against Australia, and you consider that a ruthless execution?
As if Pandya and Bumrah were playing
2-1 against AUS C
Pakistan and SL beat much much better AUS teams in 2002 and 2010 respectively
That might be a tough fight for you but 2nd and 3rd games were Indian standard templates. Chahal bamboozled Aussies in the 3rd as he did with Saffers and India will hunt down the targets at their leisure pace. NZ cant even bat for 50 overs. Saffers didnt have a clue except for 1 game. Pakistan had 2 of the heaviest defeats in their history aginst India in Asia cup. As I said, Indians are robotic and they will cruise through with ruthless efficiency as they have shown against all the quality teams in the last 1 year. Even the first ODI against Eng was a breeze. They lost the next 2 ODIs to the best team in the world. If thats not a standout performance then I dont know what is.
lol as if pandya would have made a difference.
bumrah i can agree with, best bowler in the world currently.