mominsaigol
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This thread is focused on X factors vs consistent accumulators and why I am against consistent accumulators.
Their is a myth that consistent accumulators like bavuma, Babar, Root, Misbah, Imam are blessings to their sides and are oxygen for their respective teams. While players like fakhar, Haris, Sharjeel, saim ayub are all hacks and shouldn't be given the rope over consistent accumulators because atleast they are consistent and are ranked no 1- 10 in icc rankings.
I wish to debunk those myths and set all arguments aside.
No 1: Stats argument
A common argument presented is stats. Consistent accumulators have superior stats then impact players for example babar azam and imam average 50+ scores and on paper look good. Whereas X factors average lower stats in general.
The issue is on paper alot of atg's look bad.
Sanath Jaysuria averages only 32 with a Sr of 91. On paper it would seem that having someone like Misbah or Imam bodes better. After all both avg 44 and 50+ respectively and despite a lower sr, one would take misbah and imam over sanath any day.
However anyone who has actually watched the game would know the match winning impacts jaysuria has created, the impact that the man had on winning games, an impact that misbah or imam can't ever achieve and won't ever achieve.
This is the benefit of X factors. Players who have the capability of single handidely winning you games.
The 2nd factor is the X factors will obviously have lower stats then consistent accumulators, and that's because they take more risks and usually play for the crest on their chest and not personal milestones. Hence on paper they will look inferior.
Note: Certain all format players like rohit sharma, Virat kohli, ab de villers aka players who have both stats + Sr + impact aren't being counted cause their Atg's in the class of the top 10 best ever, So yes their are certain outliers to what I've claimed, but a kohli or rohit doesn't fall from the sky 24/7.
No 2: Consistent accumulators often lead to losing more games then winning.
A key issue with consistent accumulators is that more often then not, they will lose you more games due to rr increase, then actually win you games.
Yes again their are certain cases where these accumulators will win you games.
Let's take rizwan amd babar for an example: Rizwan scored a brilliant 131 against Sri Lanka, it was a great innings and without him taking the game deep we would have never defeated Sri lanka.
Similarly in 2019 babar scored an impressive 100 to steer the team home against NZ, despite having a sr of 78, he played on a difficult pitch steering the team home.
However
These 2 players have lost games more often then not. Rizwan played a match losing innings in the asia cup final when the match was in grasp and in our reach. Babar did the same in the semi final against aus in 2021 scoring a 39 of 34. Yes our bowlers failed, yes hasan Ali dropped a catch, however a 39 of 34 in a semi final against Australia for a t20 opener is nor acceptable, irrespective of the team sport drama.
Misbah, root and bavuma are in the same boat, their have been countless times where these guys have played molasses innings which have caused teams to lose.
Take Steven Smith for an example. Australia was looking good against India, and whether they would have beaten India or not is a different matter, but Steven Smith played a 46 of 74 which was the primary reason Australia lost to India this WC due to Smith crippling the rr, so irrespective of his past prime performances, in current form as an accumulator he's costly in a team composed of Warner, Maxwell, Marsh etc
No 3: X factors play innings that consistent accumulators can't ever play
Stats wise, on paper Steve Smith looks a million times better then maxwell as a batsmen, But can Smith ever hit a 100 of 44? Or single handiedly hit a 200 and win from an impossible situation? Smith isn't ever doing that even if the opposition is Nepal.
Fakhar zaman in this WC alone has been responsible for exceeding the RR against NZ scoring a massive 100 of 63 getting us over the drs line. One can only imagine what would have happened if imam who on paper has superior avg stats to fakhar would have done in such a situation.
No 4: The myth of dropping X factors cause they've been poor in a format.
Fakhar at opening In t20 may have been poor, however the solution was to either
A) Give him a longer rope at opening.
B) Replace him with a More Consistent X factor
However that did not happen, instead rizwan was given opening and despite being more consistent with a 50+ average, he's cost us more games at t20 opening, the t20 world cup and t20 Asia cup results are their to see.
Another example is England's mistake of Replacing Malan at opening with Roy and taking Brooks in his place. Irrespective of Roy's form, he was the ultimate X factor at opening, and dropping him proved costly, as malan just wasn't as impactful and deprived England of their bazzball approach this WC.
Rohit sharma was out of form in 2021 and 2022, yet not once did bcci consider removing his captaincy and dropping him, because they know what rohit is capable of achieving on his day, case in point 2023 has to show for it, where rohit in one year alone has hit more sixes in then babar azam has in 8 years of his extended career.
So what should be done?
The solution is replace consistent accumulators with X factors period, irrespective of the results. Pakistan cricket had many problems and this solution sadly will not solve things, it will not make us better then India, nor are we likely to compete against SENA anytime soon, however its a step in the right direction.
We saw fakhar zaman's impact this tournament.
If we look at India, Their 1-6 are all impact X factors.
Rohit can take the game away single handidely. Gill has shown the ability to hit those 200's and dominate the game, kohli has too many chasing achievements to count, Sheryas and Rahul have played blinders this cup.
Pandya is a loss but sky has a few t20 knocks to justify his X factor role.
Now compare that to Pakistan where before fakhar's inclusion we had
Abdullah, Imam, Babar, Rizwan, Saud, Iftikhar as 1-6.
Chacha has clearly shown he's not a finisher due to his lack of 6 hits and is another misbah clone of ducking and occasionally attacking. To his credit he plays for the team but he remains medicore due to lack of X factor impact.
The ones > Him are non impact and haven't achieved much, soft run scorers on which neither one of them have the ability to single handidely win you games.
When fakhar was included, Babar himself claimed that if fakhar bats for 30 overs Pakistan wins.
So shouldn't the goal be to include All X factors? Like saim ayub and fakhar and haris and groom them? Irrespective of their current skill? Something babar himself has claimed, but does not advocate for?
Their is a myth that consistent accumulators like bavuma, Babar, Root, Misbah, Imam are blessings to their sides and are oxygen for their respective teams. While players like fakhar, Haris, Sharjeel, saim ayub are all hacks and shouldn't be given the rope over consistent accumulators because atleast they are consistent and are ranked no 1- 10 in icc rankings.
I wish to debunk those myths and set all arguments aside.
No 1: Stats argument
A common argument presented is stats. Consistent accumulators have superior stats then impact players for example babar azam and imam average 50+ scores and on paper look good. Whereas X factors average lower stats in general.
The issue is on paper alot of atg's look bad.
Sanath Jaysuria averages only 32 with a Sr of 91. On paper it would seem that having someone like Misbah or Imam bodes better. After all both avg 44 and 50+ respectively and despite a lower sr, one would take misbah and imam over sanath any day.
However anyone who has actually watched the game would know the match winning impacts jaysuria has created, the impact that the man had on winning games, an impact that misbah or imam can't ever achieve and won't ever achieve.
This is the benefit of X factors. Players who have the capability of single handidely winning you games.
The 2nd factor is the X factors will obviously have lower stats then consistent accumulators, and that's because they take more risks and usually play for the crest on their chest and not personal milestones. Hence on paper they will look inferior.
Note: Certain all format players like rohit sharma, Virat kohli, ab de villers aka players who have both stats + Sr + impact aren't being counted cause their Atg's in the class of the top 10 best ever, So yes their are certain outliers to what I've claimed, but a kohli or rohit doesn't fall from the sky 24/7.
No 2: Consistent accumulators often lead to losing more games then winning.
A key issue with consistent accumulators is that more often then not, they will lose you more games due to rr increase, then actually win you games.
Yes again their are certain cases where these accumulators will win you games.
Let's take rizwan amd babar for an example: Rizwan scored a brilliant 131 against Sri Lanka, it was a great innings and without him taking the game deep we would have never defeated Sri lanka.
Similarly in 2019 babar scored an impressive 100 to steer the team home against NZ, despite having a sr of 78, he played on a difficult pitch steering the team home.
However
These 2 players have lost games more often then not. Rizwan played a match losing innings in the asia cup final when the match was in grasp and in our reach. Babar did the same in the semi final against aus in 2021 scoring a 39 of 34. Yes our bowlers failed, yes hasan Ali dropped a catch, however a 39 of 34 in a semi final against Australia for a t20 opener is nor acceptable, irrespective of the team sport drama.
Misbah, root and bavuma are in the same boat, their have been countless times where these guys have played molasses innings which have caused teams to lose.
Take Steven Smith for an example. Australia was looking good against India, and whether they would have beaten India or not is a different matter, but Steven Smith played a 46 of 74 which was the primary reason Australia lost to India this WC due to Smith crippling the rr, so irrespective of his past prime performances, in current form as an accumulator he's costly in a team composed of Warner, Maxwell, Marsh etc
No 3: X factors play innings that consistent accumulators can't ever play
Stats wise, on paper Steve Smith looks a million times better then maxwell as a batsmen, But can Smith ever hit a 100 of 44? Or single handiedly hit a 200 and win from an impossible situation? Smith isn't ever doing that even if the opposition is Nepal.
Fakhar zaman in this WC alone has been responsible for exceeding the RR against NZ scoring a massive 100 of 63 getting us over the drs line. One can only imagine what would have happened if imam who on paper has superior avg stats to fakhar would have done in such a situation.
No 4: The myth of dropping X factors cause they've been poor in a format.
Fakhar at opening In t20 may have been poor, however the solution was to either
A) Give him a longer rope at opening.
B) Replace him with a More Consistent X factor
However that did not happen, instead rizwan was given opening and despite being more consistent with a 50+ average, he's cost us more games at t20 opening, the t20 world cup and t20 Asia cup results are their to see.
Another example is England's mistake of Replacing Malan at opening with Roy and taking Brooks in his place. Irrespective of Roy's form, he was the ultimate X factor at opening, and dropping him proved costly, as malan just wasn't as impactful and deprived England of their bazzball approach this WC.
Rohit sharma was out of form in 2021 and 2022, yet not once did bcci consider removing his captaincy and dropping him, because they know what rohit is capable of achieving on his day, case in point 2023 has to show for it, where rohit in one year alone has hit more sixes in then babar azam has in 8 years of his extended career.
So what should be done?
The solution is replace consistent accumulators with X factors period, irrespective of the results. Pakistan cricket had many problems and this solution sadly will not solve things, it will not make us better then India, nor are we likely to compete against SENA anytime soon, however its a step in the right direction.
We saw fakhar zaman's impact this tournament.
If we look at India, Their 1-6 are all impact X factors.
Rohit can take the game away single handidely. Gill has shown the ability to hit those 200's and dominate the game, kohli has too many chasing achievements to count, Sheryas and Rahul have played blinders this cup.
Pandya is a loss but sky has a few t20 knocks to justify his X factor role.
Now compare that to Pakistan where before fakhar's inclusion we had
Abdullah, Imam, Babar, Rizwan, Saud, Iftikhar as 1-6.
Chacha has clearly shown he's not a finisher due to his lack of 6 hits and is another misbah clone of ducking and occasionally attacking. To his credit he plays for the team but he remains medicore due to lack of X factor impact.
The ones > Him are non impact and haven't achieved much, soft run scorers on which neither one of them have the ability to single handidely win you games.
When fakhar was included, Babar himself claimed that if fakhar bats for 30 overs Pakistan wins.
So shouldn't the goal be to include All X factors? Like saim ayub and fakhar and haris and groom them? Irrespective of their current skill? Something babar himself has claimed, but does not advocate for?