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‘Pakistan can add $12bn to its export proceeds by 2024’

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ISLAMABAD: Pakistan can increase its exports by up to $12 billion by 2024 even after taking into account disruptions due to Covid-19, according to the International Trade Centre’s latest export potential assessment for the country.

More than half of the country’s exporters struggle with domestic and foreign regulatory barriers, says Invisible Barriers to Trade — Pakistan 2020: Business Perspectives. The report was prepared in collaboration with the World Bank Group’s country office here.

Market frictions such as regulatory obstacles and lack of information transparency put up to $7bn of this untapped export potential at risk — especially for small businesses looking to trade more across borders, says ITC’s acting Executive Director Dorothy Tembo.

“There is great scope for the government of Pakistan to streamline processes, improve quality management and work with exporters to provide consistent, transparent and timely information,” she said.

The report, based on a survey of 1,152 importers and exporters, identifies the toughest trade hurdles facing Pakistani businesses.

Almost half of these hurdles are homegrown, which means the government can fix many of the problems holding back exporters. The report suggests ways for the government and the private sector to crank up competitiveness by addressing issues such as export inspections, tax refunds, and certification.

It identifies the most challenging non-tariff measures that Pakistani businesses face which include: complying with technical requirements, lack of trade-related information and inadequate domestic infrastructure. Women entrepreneurs also face social constraints and a general lack of support in government agencies and other institutions.

The NTM Business Survey in Pakistan finds that 49 per cent of small enterprises and 57pc of medium-sized firms have trouble with non-tariff measures, while 54pc of large companies consider them to be burdensome.

Almost half of the challenges these firms reported stem from Pakistani rules on matters such as export inspections, tax refunds, and export certification. These invisible barriers to trade affect exporters and importers differently, and their impact varies across sectors.

The publication finds that regulations and the procedures to comply with them are difficult for 51pc of Pakistani exporters and 46pc of importers. Most agricultural exporters (60pc) — especially those dealing with fresh and processed foods — experience difficulties with these measures, as most countries have stringent regulations in place to protect human health and the environment.

In comparison, 47pc of the Pakistani companies that export manufactured goods face problems. Conformity assessment is the top challenge with requirements like testing and product certification are a bigger concern (41pc) than rules related to quality standards, safety, and production processes (4pc).

Pakistani exporters say complying with European rules is difficult and the accompanying conformity assessment procedures are too strict. The neighbouring SAARC countries account for only 5pc of the problems that local exporters experience with foreign regulations.

At the individual partner country level, the United Arab Emirates and the United Kingdom are responsible for the most reported regulations, each accounting for 8pc. German measures account for 6pc, while Oman and the United States for 5pc each.

Domestic regulations create obstacles
Meanwhile, local regulations account for about 45pc of the troublesome measures that exporters face. Most of these involve export inspections (31pc), tax refunds (27pc), and export certification (10pc).

Pakistani policies cause 55pc of the problems reported by exporters of manufactured goods, and one-third of agriculture. Large firms (52pc) face more problems with domestic export regulations than small and medium-sized businesses (45pc).

Exporters say the regulations are overly strict or compliance is difficult in just 12pc of the cases. In contrast, the procedures are the problem in 70pc of the cases — and most of these occur in Pakistan itself. The remaining 18pc are difficult due to both the regulation and related procedures, of which more than two-thirds occur in the country.

The most important ones are slow processes on the necessary paperwork and high fees and charges to obtain required certification or testing. Informal payments and inadequate facilities for testing and certification in Pakistan were also frequently reported.

As a way forward, the survey identifies numerous challenges, especially regarding export-quality management and infrastructure in the country. For instance, Pakistan should increase the capacity of local laboratories to carry out required testing and certification.

Efforts need to be made to strengthen the capacity of small and medium-sized enterprises to comply with international market access requirements. The absence of a proper warehouse and cold storage facilities at major borders points is a serious problem that must be fixed. Trade procedures need to be streamlined and paperwork at government and customs offices be automated to reduce the administrative burdens and costs shouldered by Pakistani exporters.

Traders need a proper portal that can provide reliable export- and import-related information which should also guide on trade regulations and procedures, provide facts about relevant agencies, port authorities, and customs.

Finally, Pakistani trade regulations and processes must be streamlined to facilitate exports. A policy rethink is needed on advance payment restrictions on raw material imports and processes involving the duty drawback scheme. Export inspection processes at the customs also should be improved.

https://www.dawn.com/news/1573798/pakistan-can-add-12bn-to-its-export-proceeds-by-2024
 
It's shocking that a country the size of PK exports so little. We should be aiming exporting somewhere in the region of $60bn in the medium term and closer to $80bn in the longer term. Ultimately, we need to produce goods that the world wants.
 
This would be a massive increase! Hope not an empty claim and is backed by proper and verifiable numbers.
 
This seems same like how IT exports were expected to increase to $10b by 2020
 
Export to GDP ratio for India, BD, SL etc is in 15-20% range.

Pakistan is around 8-12%.

Additional 12B should be possible. If Pakistan gets to 20% range like other countries with similar background then export will double.

Economy has been simply underperforming.

Now export to GDP ratio is not constant for all countries. Singapore, Vietnam etc have 100% plus due to economy mainly relying on trade. On other hands, country like US depends more on internal consumption and it's closer to 11-12%.

Now Pakistan shouldn't be near 10%. It should be at least around 20% and aim to be higher to get economic engine going. Main thing would be to pick 3-4 industries and make it world class hub around them.
 
It's shocking that a country the size of PK exports so little. We should be aiming exporting somewhere in the region of $60bn in the medium term and closer to $80bn in the longer term. Ultimately, we need to produce goods that the world wants.

A lot of the big Pakistani textile barons moved their operations to Bangladesh in the last 10 years because of conducive policies and cheap electricity and labour rates. Need to get our textile barons reinvesting in the country. Global textile trade is above $500b, we should be aiming to atleast have 10% of the share.


Government is focusing on other sectors as well, for example this year was the first time that tractors were exported. 5000 were sold to Kenya I believe. While the volume is low we can only hope the trend continues. Another industry of focus is pharma.
 
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A lot of the big Pakistani textile barons moved their operations to Bangladesh in the last 10 years because of conducive policies and cheap electricity and labour rates. Need to get our textile barons reinvesting in the country. Global textile trade is above $500b, we should be aiming to atleast have 10% of the share.


Government is focusing on other sectors as well, for example this year was the first time that tractors were exported. 5000 were sold to Kenya I believe. While the volume is low we can only hope the trend continues. Another industry of focus is pharma.

Totally agree, whilst our elite were busy looking for off shore banking and money laundering, we have fallen way behind.
 
A lot of the big Pakistani textile barons moved their operations to Bangladesh in the last 10 years because of conducive policies and cheap electricity and labour rates. Need to get our textile barons reinvesting in the country. Global textile trade is above $500b, we should be aiming to atleast have 10% of the share.


Government is focusing on other sectors as well, for example this year was the first time that tractors were exported. 5000 were sold to Kenya I believe. While the volume is low we can only hope the trend continues. Another industry of focus is pharma.

Vietnam will take over many manufacturing capabilities esp Textile, such a remarkable growth story that was inclusive in nature, their location helps as well.


https://www.textiletoday.com.bd/will-vietnam-overtake-bangladesh-rmg-export/
 
I have a feeling dollar value is gonna decrease by 20-30% does this study take that into account?
 
with the rupee so weak and getting weaker, surly they should be targeting a lot more than $12B
 
with the rupee so weak and getting weaker, surly they should be targeting a lot more than $12B

Yes they can target what Mian Saanp did and take exports from $25b to $23b.
 
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$5 billion target set for export remittances through IT in next 3 years

ISLAMABAD: The government has set a target of $5 billion for export remittances through information technology and IT-enabled services during the next three years.

This was revealed in a called on meeting of Dr Ishrat Hussain, Advisor to the Prime Minister on Institutional Reforms with Federal Minister for Information Technology and Telecommunication Syed Aminul Haq here on Monday.

Talking to Business Recorder, a senior official of the ministry who attended the meeting stated that digitalization, broadband, payment gateways, IT exports and e-governance were discussed during the called-on meeting.

The advisor was informed that the ministry was taking steps to provide broadband services in the country through the IT Universal Service Fund.

The minister further stated that plans for laying fibre optics in remote areas and providing fastest internet were also under way. The Information Telecommunication (IT) and IT-enabled Services (ITeS) export remittances comprising computer services and call centre services surged by 23.71 percent to $1.230 billion in the fiscal year 2019-2020 compared to $994.848 million during the same period last year (2018-2019).

After record export remittances through IT exports, the next target was $5 billion during the next three years, said Haq.

Payment gateway and e-office projects would be completed soon, the Federal Minister for IT said.

Covid-19 provided important and basic IT structure for the National Command Operation Center (NCOC) on the situation, said the minister, adding the main role of the human resource system was to collect data from hospitals.

Dr Ishrat Hussain said the important role of the Ministry of IT in the development of the country could not be ignored.

The Ministry of IT deserved congratulations on the significant increase in IT exports, said Dr Ishrat, adding there was a great need to pay attention to human resources.

https://www.brecorder.com/news/4001...export-remittances-through-it-in-next-3-years
 
Massive increase in export of fruits, vegetables despite Covid-19

KARACHI: Pakistan’s fruits & vegetables exports have witnessed a healthy growth during the last fiscal year despite coronavirus global pandemic.

Overall, export of fruits and vegetables posted a 12.5 percent or $730 million growth, which is highest-ever revenue in terms of foreign exchange generation. During last year, the export of fruits moved up by 3.8 percent while the vegetables exports registered an increase of 28 percent. Export of fruits fetched $431.27 million while export of the vegetables generated $30 million.

https://www.brecorder.com/news/4001...-export-of-fruits-vegetables-despite-covid-19
 
Have exports turned the corner for real?

The world is still in the process of resettling and the trade outlook is marred with the risk of a second wave of Covid-19 cases. But Pakistan has surprised itself with the export performance in July after toeing the global trend of hitting historic trade lows in the April-June quarter.

Pakistan managed to post 5.8 per cent growth in exports in July on a year-on-year basis after recording an annual drop of 54pc in April as the health disaster–forced lockdown disrupted the mobility of men and merchandise.

The downward swing started in March 2020 when exports fell 8pc. After a vertical fall in April, May fared relatively better as exports shrank by 33.4pc. June witnessed a drop of 6pc after which exports entered the positive zone.

In a rare display of mutual admiration, the exporters’ community is thanking the government for its relentless support while government officials are singing the praises of progressive entrepreneurs, techies and fruit and vegetable traders who did not let the health scare numb their competitive spirit and succeeded in beating all odds in the worst phase for trade in recent history.

Abdul Razak Dawood, adviser to the prime minister on commerce, was excited as the current data, he thought, endorsed his position on incentivising exports through subsidies and concessions for the economic turnaround. Talking to Dawn, he expressed confidence in the future of exports, assuming the gradual return to normalcy around the globe. He promised to lift the ban on the export of personal protection equipment (PPE) in Tuesday’s cabinet meeting to expand Pakistan’s footprint in this niche market.

“The people in the health ministry feared a disaster in Pakistan back in March. Their paranoia made the government ban the export of PPE, compromising the full utilisation of the installed production capacity of such items in the country. We later made an exception for cotton facemasks and activated commercial attachés to hook locals with overseas clients.”

He acknowledged that the lingering price hike in essential food items and power supply disruptions are two most crucial issues that need urgent government attention. He said he has been approached to take up the issue of frequent power supply disruptions to industries in Karachi with K-Electric. “I intend to call the CEO of KE soon to impress on him the economic cost of power supply disruptions on the industry and its fallout on the economy,” he said.

Expanding on his commitment to free trade, he shared details of his efforts directed towards geographical and product diversification, duty-free import of raw materials and tariff rationalisation strategy over the remaining three years of the PTI government.

He also resented the dumping of sub-quality products in the market that hurt the local industry while hinting indirectly at China. “We are working closely with the Ministry of Industries and the Ministry of Science and Technology to strengthen the Pakistan National Accreditation Council to expand certification infrastructure and make it credible.

“We are engaging with sectoral trade leaders and chambers to remove hurdles in exports.”

The hierarchy in the ministry sounded the same: high on claims and low on homework. Ayesha Humair, spokesperson for the Ministry of Commerce, boasted that the ministry’s role in facilitating e-commerce translated into better export performance by techies. On the request to share the structured assessment of the export industry or new potential markets in the changed global environment, she said the ministry is in the process of getting input from chambers of commerce and trade bodies to later put the strategy on paper. Other officials mentioned subsidised power rates, cheap credit and release of withheld duty drawback claims, but nothing in terms of guidelines for old players and new entrants into the export business.

The top guns of the business world, however, put in a word of caution. They cited persistent long power breakdowns in Karachi and the limitations of control-addicted bureaucracy resistant to shake off old habits to swiftly spring into action to respond to the demands of the changing times.

“Enjoy as long as it lasts,” a Karachi-based businessman mocked the euphoria in the government circles over July export data. “When the industry is in stress in Pakistan, it would be silly to assume stellar performance in exports. You need a wide stream of value-added products to sustain and gain export markets. Besides, in the absence of better compliance with international standards and a credible certification infrastructure to check the health and sanitary status of each consignment headed abroad in a world enduring a pandemic, one mishap related to a contaminated container sourced from Pakistan anywhere can compromise the scope of all exports.

“How far can greens, call centres and facemasks take us in exports? Today, business as normal can’t work. Please address the real issues. The loss of jobs and the drop in income of families cannot possibly be addressed till the base of the economy is widened through fast-paced industrialisation.

“Talking about geographical and product diversification is a farce when the industry is crippled and the balance sheets of leading business groups are in red for the drop in demand,” he warned.

The few who did well on the strength of switching operations to digital platforms and changing production lines said they trusted the current team in the Ministry of Commerce as for once they were entertained and not snubbed by the higher-ups.
https://www.dawn.com/news/1574757/have-exports-turned-the-corner-for-real
 
Govt allows export of N95, surgical masks

ISLAMABAD: Federal Minister for Science and Technology Fawad Chaudhry on Tuesday announced that the government had agreed to allow export of N95 and surgical masks.

According to the Ministry of Science and Technology, orders worth $100 million for export of personal protective equipment (PPE) made in Pakistan have been received from around the world, particularly Europe.

Pakistan is expected to receive orders for such equipment worth $500m by the end of this year.

https://www.dawn.com/news/1575199/govt-allows-export-of-n95-surgical-masks
 
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Pakistani olive oil producers are preparing to enter the global market as 27.5 million olive trees on more than 30,000 acres of land have been planted in the country. <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/BeautifulPakistan?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#BeautifulPakistan</a> <a href="https://t.co/xDfvmmldFs">pic.twitter.com/xDfvmmldFs</a></p>— Danyal Gilani (@DanyalGilani) <a href="https://twitter.com/DanyalGilani/status/1296063809715687424?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 19, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">I have been informed that we have exported 125,000 tons of mangoes so far this year, against an annual target of 80,000 tons. Export of $72 Million has been achieved and it is expected that we will accomplish export of $150 Million. 1/2</p>— Abdul Razak Dawood (@razak_dawood) <a href="https://twitter.com/razak_dawood/status/1296069853246300166?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 19, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 
IT minister projects $5bn exports by FY23

ISLAMABAD: Federal Minister for Information Technology and Telecommunication Syed Amin Ul Haque on Wednesday said the target for IT exports has been set at $5bn to be achieved by FY23.

The Federal Minister was addressing the IT Export Awards 2019 ceremony here, organised by Pakistan Software Export Board (PSEB) and said all necessary arrangements have been made to establish an IT Park in Islamabad and its groundbreaking will be done at the end of this year.

“While the IT Park in Gilgit will be inaugurated soon and the work is also underway on development of IT Park in Karachi,” he added.

He said that the role of IT in the country’s development and economic growth was vital, and the government is keenly interested in working closely with the sector and implementing policies and measures that will effectively energise both exports and domestic technology adoption.

Haque highlighted that IT export earnings reached a record level of $1.23bn in FY20, recording 23.71 per cent year-on-year growth.

“We are setting a target of $5bn in IT export remittance by FY23 and will provide all the necessary support to achieve it,” the Federal Minister for IT added.

He said that Pakistan’s IT industry has reached an important milestone in its journey and has positioned itself to become one of the leading countries in the software and outsourcing services market.

The speakers highlighted that the coronavirus pandemic has opened new doors for the IT sector, stressing the importance of digitisation in almost all spheres of life.

https://www.dawn.com/news/1575410/it-minister-projects-5bn-exports-by-fy23
 
Govt asked to promote export of Pakistani motorcycles

KARACHI: Pakistan’s exports have to be worth $40 billion at a minimum this fiscal year to avoid another balance of payment crisis, current account deficit and big gap in our trade deficit, said Ateeq-ur-Rehman, an economic and financial analyst. He said the country had to evade its traditional exports and discover new markets overseas for its products.

Elaborating on his suggestions, he said the country could export indigenously manufactured motorcycles to the world because of their good quality.

If the cost of power was reduced it would reduce the cost of production, making Pakistani products more competitive globally. Except for one or two items, 90% of motorcycle parts were being manufactured locally.

https://www.brecorder.com/news/40014519/govt-asked-to-promote-export-of-pakistani-motorcycles
 
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">… our trade balance continues to improve. Exporters are encouraged that despite the calamity of rain and flooding, we must pursue Make in Pakistan policy and export-led growth. I have every confidence in our exporters that they will make up for the loss of August 2020. 2/2</p>— Abdul Razak Dawood (@razak_dawood) <a href="https://twitter.com/razak_dawood/status/1301446342196236294?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">September 3, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 
Rupee depreciation: a boon for Pakistan’s IT exports

Rupee depreciation against the US dollar coupled with the widely adopted work-from-home culture during the lockdown period in Pakistan has benefited exports of information technology (IT) from the country.

At an analyst briefing for Systems Limited on Friday, company officials pointed out that currency devaluation helped it expand its topline significantly.

It is pertinent to mention that the share of company’s exports in its total revenue stands around 80% and this chunk is received in local currency, according to a report of Insight Research. The company specialises in the production of next-generation IT services and business process outsourcing (BPO) solutions.

“Due to the rupee devaluation against the US dollar, Pakistan’s competitiveness has increased in the international arena,” said Insight Securities’ investment analyst Muhammad Ahmed.

So far this year, Pakistan has registered a 22% growth in IT exports to $1.23 billion, revealed data of the Pakistan Software Export Board.

Pakistan, which was already among the top five destinations for freelancers, registered a further growth in freelance work during the pandemic, he said.

According to the Pakistan Telecommunication Authority (PTA), internet utilisation rose 15% in Pakistan during the pandemic.

In addition, online marketplaces and digital banking also registered a spike, he said. “Government has also classified internet among essential services,” he said.

During the briefing, the company management highlighted that international companies had begun accepting remote jobs performed by Pakistani companies. Before Covid-19, foreign companies preferred to utilise services of only those Pakistani companies which had offices in their country or city, it said.

According to company officials, the Covid-19 pandemic has opened a unique sweet spot for IT-based companies, which would have taken much longer had the pandemic not surfaced.

A report of Taurus Securities stated that the company was investing significantly in human capital and technology and hiring new talent aggressively.

“During the Covid-19 pandemic, the company’s business was not significantly impacted,” it said. “However, the retail segment was impacted, which constituted 15-20% of the US revenue.”

The company “is mostly focused on the US market for now, which is quite huge, while the company aims to expand in Europe as well”, it added. Moreover, the management was also aggressively working to expand its retailers’ segment, the report said.

The management indicated that around 40-45% of revenue was related to just 10% of their clients. Similarly, 90-95% of revenue was recurring in nature, it said.

https://tribune.com.pk/story/2262691/rupee-depreciation-a-boon-for-pakistans-it-exports
 
Exports jump 6pc in September

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s exports bounced back in September following a steep fall in the previous month, data released by the Ministry of Commerce showed on Friday.

The new fiscal year started on a positive note as export proceeds grew 5.8 per cent in July but fell over 19pc in August, as per data from the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics. A steep fall was seen in exports since March when the government imposed lockdowns to contain the spread of coronavirus.

During the third month of FY21, export proceeds were reported at $1.872 billion, as against $1.769bn over the corresponding period of last year, showing a growth of 5.8pc.

In rupee terms, export proceeds increased 12.7pc year-on-year in September.

Between July and September, exports fell by 1pc to $5.457bn, from $5.513bn over the corresponding months of last year.

In FY20, exports fell by 6.83pc or $1.57bn to $21.4bn, compared to $22.97bn the previous year. Visible improvement was observed in export orders from international buyers, mainly in the textile and clothing sectors since May.

First quarter sees decline of 1pc

The government has also allowed exports of personal protection equipment including surgical masks. Pakistan is receiving orders from international markets with the return of coronavirus in the western countries.

Adviser to PM on Commerce and Investment Abdul Razak Dawood said that the export growth is better than the decrease of 15pc in August. “I still feel that with sufficient backlog of orders we can do much better”, he remarked.

Besides executing current orders, he urged exporters to pursue more orders from existing markets and reach out to untapped markets. “I am hopeful that in October 2020 we will have further growth”, Dawood said.

Meanwhile, imports posted a positive growth of 2.6pc in September to $3.884bn, as against $3.785bn over the corresponding month of last year. During 3MFY20, overall import bill dropped by 2.99pc to $10.882bn, down from $11.218bn over the corresponding months of last year.

The continuous decline in imports has provided some breathing space to help the government manage external account despite a downward trend in exports. However, imports are now expected to bounce back in the coming months following abolishing of regulatory duty on imports of raw materials and semi-finished products.

In 2019-20, the import bill witnessed a steep decline of $10.29bn or 18.78pc to $44.509bn, compared to $54.799bn last year.

The country’s trade deficit also decreased by 0.2pc in September, mainly due to a growth in export proceeds. In absolute terms, the trade gap narrowed to $2.012bn, as compared to $2.016bn over the corresponding month of last year.

In the first three months, trade deficit narrowed by 4.94pc to $5.425bn, as against $5.707bn over the last year.

During FY20, it narrowed to $23.099bn, from $31.820bn.

https://www.dawn.com/news/1582970/exports-jump-6pc-in-september
 
Opening Early Helped Pakistan Boost Exports During Pandemic

Pakistan’s decision to loosen pandemic restrictions early has helped the nation’s exports emerge stronger than its South Asian peers.

Outbound shipments have grown at a faster pace than Bangladesh and India as textiles, which account for half of the total export, led the recovery, data show. Islamabad saw total shipments grow 7% in September, compared with New Delhi’s 6% and Dhaka’s 3.5%.

Pakistan Prime Minister Imran Khan’s administration was the first in the region to ease pandemic restrictions, allowing export units to reopen in April, a month after locking them down to stem the spread of Covid-19. That’s helped draw companies from Guess? Inc., Hugo Boss AG, Target Corp. and Hanesbrands Inc. to the South Asian nation, according to people familiar with the matter, who requested anonymity since details about buyers is private.

“Pakistan has seen orders shifting from multiple nations including China, India and Bangladesh,” said Shahid Sattar, secretary general at the All Pakistan Textile Mills Association. “Garment manufacturers are operating near maximum capacity and many can’t take any orders for the next six months.”

Hugo Boss said in an email that it focuses on long-term supplier partnerships while watching for “additional or new procurement channels.” Hanesbrands said it sources from many countries, including China and Pakistan, to supplement production from company-owned facilities. Neither company provided details. Guess and Target didn’t respond to requests for comment.

Even as lockdown curbs disrupted trade in India and Bangladesh for at least two months beginning late March, Pakistan was already making face masks and personal protective gear for export. The South Asian nation also gained some orders from companies looking to diversify their supply chains amid the trade war between the U.S. and China, the world’s top textile exporter, despite factories there reopening as early as April.

“This war between two giants has given us new opportunities in polyester-cotton products,” said Khalid Mehmood, head of garment and home textile operations at Nishat Mills Ltd., the nation’s largest textile maker. “So there is a six-month slot for Pakistan now to capture maximum number of customer that were China based.”

Executives from Nishat Mills and Interloop Ltd., one of the world’s largest manufacturers of socks that counts Nike Inc. and Adidas AG among its clients, said they have seen some orders diverted to them from China. Meanwhile, Gadoon Textile Mills Ltd. has received orders redirected from Bangladesh, the world’s second-largest apparel exporter, and India, the third-largest textile exporter.

“The orders we were exporting to Europe and the U.S. have not recovered,” Muhammad Imran Moten, chief financial officer at Gadoon, said during an analyst briefing. “But diversion of orders from China and Bangladesh is the compensating factor.”

Increase in exports, which account for some 10% of Pakistan’s gross domestic product, can help spur growth in the economy after its first contraction in 68 years in the year ended June. Khan’s government is targeting a growth of 2.1% in the current financial year.

But there are risks on the horizon that may temper growth prospects for the economy. Khan’s government announced measures this week to contain a second wave of Covid-19 infections, including mandatory wearing of masks in public and early closure of markets and restaurants. Then there’s the issue of competitiveness.

“Despite a relatively rapid recovery of exports, following the ease of the lockdown imposed by the Covid-19 pandemic, a long-term view reveals stagnation,” said Gonzalo Varela, senior economist at the World Bank. “Pakistan needs an across the board tariff rationalization to encourage manufacturers to export and the nation to compete with other nations.”

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...helped-pakistan-boost-exports-during-pandemic
 

Onion exports: How Pakistan briefly won at India’s cost in unlikely matchup​


Pakistani onion farmers and exporters are celebrating a windfall due to an unprecedented surge in exports over the past few months, an unlikely win at the cost of their counterparts across the border in India.

The South Asian nations, bitter rivals in myriad arenas, are also major onion producers. But India is also the world’s second-largest onion exporter after China, and is a dominant force in the global market for the vegetable, its produce often crowding out onions from smaller nations.

So, in December, when India imposed an export ban due to a decline in local onion production, ahead of national elections, Pakistani farmers and exporters jumped at what they recognised was a rare opportunity. In 2023, India exported nearly 2.5 million tonnes of onions. Suddenly the world onion market had a gap — one that Pakistan partly filled.

Pakistan managed to export more than 220,000 tonnes of onions between December and March this year, which was a little more than its usual annual onion export volume.

Waheed Ahmed, patron-in-chief of the All Pakistan Fruit and Vegetable Exporters, Importers and Merchants Association (PFVA), attributed this success to quick thinking — and a government willingness, at least for a while, to allow exports without placing a ban similar to India’s.

“When India placed the ban, we urged the government to allow us to avail the opportunity, and by our timely action, we managed to earn more than $200m in revenue for the country,” Ahmed told Al Jazeera.

The Pakistani government did eventually impose restrictions on onion exports, as the outward flood of the produce meant soaring domestic prices. But exports already under way through deals approved before the restrictions are expected to bring another $50m in revenue by the end of the fiscal year in June, said Ahmed.

By contrast, Ahmed said, the country typically earns between $110m and $150m from onion exports per year. Last year, the country was able to earn more than $235m in total from vegetable exports, with onion exports contributing about $90m.

For Pakistan, which has faced a desperate economic situation over the last two years, the export brought much-needed foreign reserves. The country’s central bank data showed that forex reserves, which were as low as $3bn last year, have recovered to $9bn this month, enough to cover imports for six weeks.

However, like onions, the feel-good story has multiple layers. The success of Pakistani onion exports resulted in a shortage of onions in the domestic market for a few months.

With more than 220,000 tonnes of the harvest being shipped overseas, the availability of onions for local consumption dwindled, pushing prices upwards between December and April, the duration when Indian onions were blocked from being exported, hitting ordinary Pakistanis hard.

The first four months of the year saw onion prices, typically 50 to 80 rupees ($0.18 to $0.29) per kilogramme, rise as high as 250 to 350 rupees ($0.90 to $1.26) per kilogramme, before gradually dropping in May.

“Onions are a staple in our daily meals,” Sumaira a housemaid in Islamabad who goes by one name, told Al Jazeera. “But with everything else getting more expensive, the rising onion price just adds to the burden,” she said.

Hamid Baloch, originally from Pasni in the southwestern province of Balochistan but currently working as a chef in a cafe in Islamabad, said the increase in onion prices impacted his business both in terms of production costs and sales.

“We buy in bulk, and one bag of 5 kilos of onions was going for 1500 rupees to 1800 rupees [$5.39 to $6.47] before it started coming down this month. Now it is available for close to 500 rupees [$1.50],” the 25-year-old told Al Jazeera while slicing onions for the chicken curry he was preparing.

According to the World Bank, more than 39 percent of Pakistanis earn less than $3.5 a day, and one of them is Muhammad Azam.

A daily wage worker in Islamabad, Azam said the rising cost of living meant people like him struggled to afford necessities.

“My children and I cannot even think about eating chicken more than once every two months. All we have are pulses and vegetables like onions or tomatoes, but in the last few months, even those were nearly impossible to buy,” he said.

However, he acknowledged that the last few weeks have seen a declining price trend in not only onions but other items as well.

Inflation data and exporters both concur with the reduction in onion price.

Government figures showed that inflation, which had hit a record high of more than 38 percent May of last year, continued its downward trend, with the inflation figure for May 2024 recorded at 11.8 percent.

According to Imtiaz Hussain, a fruit and vegetable exporter in Karachi, the declining price of onions was due to the Indian government reversing its export ban.

“In early May, the Indian government reopened its onion exports, and markets in the Gulf region and some countries in the Far East, where we were able to sell, went back to procuring their onions from India,” he told Al Jazeera.

Ahmed, the PFVA official, said that exporters and farmers showed “good sense and opportunism” to export as many onions as they could during the short time period, when the government curtailed onion exports in March.

“Our aim was to continue exporting without causing a significant shortage in the domestic market,” he said.

Countering the inflated onion prices, Ahmed said that the increase was due to retailers exploiting customers while blaming exporters.

“In our wholesale markets, onions were continuously available for less than 150 rupees ($0.54) per kilogramme, so why should we get the blame if retailers sell them for more than 300 rupees? This is for the government to address, not us,” he said.

For Ahmed, the opportunity to earn foreign exchange was a balancing act after 2022, when floods destroyed large crops, including onions, in Pakistan’s southern areas, causing immense devastation to farmers.

“We suffered due to the flood, but this opportunity was a godsend. If farmers earn from one crop, they will invest more in the next crop. We just need to work on training our farmers to learn better, modern agricultural practices to increase their yield and revenue.”

 
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