I would switch up the XI a little.
1. Saim Ayub
2. Sahibzada Farhan
3. Agha Ali Salman (C)
4. Babar Azam
5. Fakhar Zaman
6. Shadab Khan
7. Faheem Ashraf
8. Usman Khan (WK)
9. Salman Mirza
10. Abrar Ahmed
11. Usman Tariq
I can’t get the right balance. I would to bring in Naseem, but it would mean Faheem has to drop out & his late order batting is key.
Nawaz has to be dropped as he is a hindrance with the bat & with the ball can be expensive. Fakhar Zaman coming in made sense with his experience considering the complete opposite for Khawaja Nafay, however Fakhar isn’t a No.5 but you need his experience.
After he scored runs against USA, dropping Babar will be impossible unfortunately.