Regardless of whether the ball is swinging or not . .
India and England are way ahead of any other team so you'd expect them to be top 2 . .
In fact, with India's spin variety, this is India's world cup . .
I think NZ looks decent too . . in Guptill, Williamson and Taylor . . they will hardly completely fail with the bat . . in Boult, Southe, Ferguson, hency and co, they aso have a good bowling line up . .
For the remaining spot, I actually give 4 teams an equal chance . . Aus, SA, Pak, WI
For WI . . I think in Hope, Hetmeyer, return of darren bravo . . holder, roach, gabriel, alzarri .. WI has a strong and fast developing core group of players . . they have a chacne to spring a surprise or 2 . .
Bang batting looks okay . . but on those pitches, I don't think Bang bowling can lead them to a semi final
SL . . well, batting and bowling is dope-y . .
So for me:
India and England are ahead of the pack
NZ i think is slightly better than the remaining
and 4 teams stand an equal chance for the 4th spot . . depends on how form, confidence and pitches play out