Nice to wake up to better news. Both sides are making conciliatory noises.
- Trump's been toning down. From 'only total surrender' to 'ending soon' to 'very complete'. He's stopped demanding regime change as well
- Iran's been using the right language as well. No hawkish conditions - reparations or 'we'll restart our nuclear program' etc. They've more or less indicated they'll swallow the assassination of their supreme leader and destruction of most of their infrastructure as long as they get a ceasefire.
China and Russia are stepping in to give both sides a face saving opportunity to exit. I think it'll hinge on a couple of things
- Do Israel believe they've destroyed the nuclear and missile programs or at least set them back 5 years or so? They won't stop without that.
- Can some kind of deal be reached on control of the Straits - say a multinational naval force including let's say a couple of Russian and Chinese ships for appearance sake?