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Back to topic pls.
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Update on inflation : Weekly sensitive price index that defines inflation is 15.85% up.
Lead by wheat flour which is 41.78% up from the previous week.
Dollar 193.50
Just saying..
So they came into govt with all the hype and can't make any hard decisions. The fact that they have destroyed the economy in 3 weeks and caused chaos at the behest of America is even more shameful
So they came into govt with all the hype and can't make any hard decisions. The fact that they have destroyed the economy in 3 weeks and caused chaos at the behest of America is even more shameful
They are self-proclaimed slaves. No one should expect anything from these types of people. You wouldn't believe how much support these thieves are losing by the day, some people from my family were die heart supporters of PMLN and now even they refuse to support these corrupt thieves.
Times are changing and hopefully the youth will kick these leeches out of Pakistan, permanently.
They don't need to be just kicked out but Pakistan needs to set an example out of these corrupt mafia. Hang them, best would be if public drags them out and hangs them but that would be too vicious of an example and impractical but it will be a lesson that generations ll read and remember if it were to happen.
PDM fans have gone into hiding. Why don't they post anything in this thread?
When the dollar rate increased from $100 to $187 in 3.5 years of PTI rule, the cult didn’t have the moral courage to say a word.
However, now that the dollar has gone from $187 to $193 - which is again, a consequence of PTI's decision to not meet meet IMF conditions - PTI cult-followers are on fire now.
The same goes for other issues like inflation. They have started to feel the pinch all of a sudden.
In fact, for 3 years, they claimed there was no inflation because their messiah told them so.
The same goes for pulling down the GDP rate from 5.8 to zero during pre-COVID days.
Moreover, since Imran has nothing to say on the economic front which he has badly damaged in the last 3.5 years, he has come up with a "U.S. conspiracy" against him in which all political parties, military and judiciary are part of the conspiracy.
When the dollar rate increased from $100 to $187 in 3.5 years of PTI rule, the cult didn’t have the moral courage to say a word.
However, now that the dollar has gone from $187 to $193 - which is again, a consequence of PTI's decision to not meet meet IMF conditions - PTI cult-followers are on fire now.
The same goes for other issues like inflation. They have started to feel the pinch all of a sudden.
In fact, for 3 years, they claimed there was no inflation because their messiah told them so.
The same goes for pulling down the GDP rate from 5.8 to zero during pre-COVID days.
Moreover, since Imran has nothing to say on the economic front which he has badly damaged in the last 3.5 years, he has come up with a "U.S. conspiracy" against him in which all political parties, military and judiciary are part of the conspiracy.
It was never a 100 rupees to a $1 when PTI took over, please look again.
When PTI took over, the $ was at 128 (or around that) and fell drastically because of the previous government's policies.
What was wrong with signing an energy deal with Russia? Buying discounted wheat?
When the dollar rate increased from $100 to $187 in 3.5 years of PTI rule, the cult didn’t have the moral courage to say a word.
However, now that the dollar has gone from $187 to $193 - which is again, a consequence of PTI's decision to not meet meet IMF conditions - PTI cult-followers are on fire now.
The same goes for other issues like inflation. They have started to feel the pinch all of a sudden.
In fact, for 3 years, they claimed there was no inflation because their messiah told them so.
The same goes for pulling down the GDP rate from 5.8 to zero during pre-COVID days.
Moreover, since Imran has nothing to say on the economic front which he has badly damaged in the last 3.5 years, he has come up with a "U.S. conspiracy" against him in which all political parties, military and judiciary are part of the conspiracy.
When the dollar rate increased from $100 to $187 in 3.5 years of PTI rule, the cult didn’t have the moral courage to say a word.
However, now that the dollar has gone from $187 to $193 - which is again, a consequence of PTI's decision to not meet meet IMF conditions - PTI cult-followers are on fire now.
The same goes for other issues like inflation. They have started to feel the pinch all of a sudden.
In fact, for 3 years, they claimed there was no inflation because their messiah told them so.
The same goes for pulling down the GDP rate from 5.8 to zero during pre-COVID days.
Moreover, since Imran has nothing to say on the economic front which he has badly damaged in the last 3.5 years, he has come up with a "U.S. conspiracy" against him in which all political parties, military and judiciary are part of the conspiracy.
When the dollar rate increased from $100 to $187 in 3.5 years of PTI rule, the cult didn’t have the moral courage to say a word.
However, now that the dollar has gone from $187 to $193 - which is again, a consequence of PTI's decision to not meet meet IMF conditions - PTI cult-followers are on fire now.
The same goes for other issues like inflation. They have started to feel the pinch all of a sudden.
In fact, for 3 years, they claimed there was no inflation because their messiah told them so.
The same goes for pulling down the GDP rate from 5.8 to zero during pre-COVID days.
Moreover, since Imran has nothing to say on the economic front which he has badly damaged in the last 3.5 years, he has come up with a "U.S. conspiracy" against him in which all political parties, military and judiciary are part of the conspiracy.
Growth at 5.5%, Exports up by a 1/3rd, imports down, tax collection up and will double from when he took over, remittances up by 1/3 rd and 5mn jobs created more than the Nooras ever did and this during Corona. Try again loser.
It was never a 100 rupees to a $1 when PTI took over, please look again.
When PTI took over, the $ was at 128 (or around that) and fell drastically because of the previous government's policies.
What was wrong with signing an energy deal with Russia? Buying discounted wheat?
Government imports 12 cargos of LNG at the highest price in history of Pakistan for May 2022.
Price $22.88 MMBTU.
IK government had last imported it for $15.61 MMBTU
124 to be precise.
Nice to see you in the economy thread.
1.) PTI stopped artificially pumping up the rupee because we simply couldn't afford to do that anymore. PMLN only left $7.6 billion in the SBPs(State Bank of Pakistan) reserves when they left. We were on the verge of bankruptcy in 2018 as admitted by PML-N's Shahid Khaqan Abbasi live on TV.
Unless you wanted Pakistan to turn into Lebanon 2.0 there was no way for us to maintain the Rupees value.
2.) Pakistan's GDP "growth" in 2018 was entirely artificial and due to PMLN's import-oriented policies. This import-led "growth" led to Pakistan having a CAD(Current Account Deficit) of over $19 billion in 2018 despite record low fuel and commodity prices globally.
PMLN decreased Pakistan's export of goods from $24.8 Billion to $24.7 Billion in 5 years while increasing Pakistan's imports from $43.7 billion to $63.1 billion in 5 years, and as I said before PMLN managed to mess up this badly despite record low fuel and commodity prices globally. This level of incompetence is unparalleled. You would struggle to find a government as incompetent as PMLN anywhere in the world.
PTI has increased Pakistan's exports of goods from $24.7 Billion to more than $30.6 Billion in 3.5 years and we were on track to hit $50 billion in exports of goods and services by 2025.
Total Earnings (Exports + Remittances) have averaged over $6 billion per month for a few consecutive months in 2022 which is an improvement of over 50% compared to 2018 when we averaged less than $4 billion per month. If we continue with average earnings of $6 billion per month we will have earnings of around $72 billion in 2022. PTI has built a very nice foundation for Pakistan to grow from but it looks like PDM is too incompetent to take advantage of PTIs hard work.
3.) Your last point is simply untrue. Pakistan's GDP growth rate was 3.12% in 2019, -1.00 in 2020(entirely due to covid), and 5.57% in 2021.
The difference between PTI and PMLN's GDP growth rate is that PTIs growth rate was due to its export-oriented policies whereas PMLNs growth rate was due to its import-oriented policies. PTIs growth policies were sustainable, PMLNs policies weren't sustainable.
Corona + a major war in Europe after almost a century.
It was 131 , when IK won came down to 124 . If he says it was 187 then it's also wrong, Dolar was 181 on the day shibaz took over.
A short war with India. And despite this IK did well. We were on course for around 5.5% this year and that would have been amazing. Just imagine if Kaptaan had the stability the Nooras had where NS spent 25% of his time on holiday. There were times where he would turn up to a food festival in Outer Mongolia just to get out of the country. I cant remember a week when the Kaptaan wasnt dealing with mafia and their silly games
Before the Sazish it was 177. I had this debate with [MENTION=135038]Major[/MENTION]. And the average hovered around 173-175. Many felt that it should have been in the 160s( based on the fundamentals) before The Russo- Ukraine war
Thank you for saving me time to respond to this garbage post.He has no idea how rupee was artificially supported by PML N and it takes a lot of courage to stop artificially management of the currency which PTI did . He is blaming PTI for the inflation by not implementing IMF conditions why is his corrupt competent government unable to follow Suite.
Jut for the purpose of getting myself updated, can you please tell me how they did keep rupees value high artificially.
When the dollar rate increased from $100 to $187 in 3.5 years of PTI rule, the cult didn’t have the moral courage to say a word.
However, now that the dollar has gone from $187 to $193 - which is again, a consequence of PTI's decision to not meet meet IMF conditions - PTI cult-followers are on fire now.
The same goes for other issues like inflation. They have started to feel the pinch all of a sudden.
In fact, for 3 years, they claimed there was no inflation because their messiah told them so.
The same goes for pulling down the GDP rate from 5.8 to zero during pre-COVID days.
Moreover, since Imran has nothing to say on the economic front which he has badly damaged in the last 3.5 years, he has come up with a "U.S. conspiracy" against him in which all political parties, military and judiciary are part of the conspiracy.
Has anyone seen a more terrible interview. [MENTION=131701]Mamoon[/MENTION] can you make sense of this rubbish
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Absolute disaster. No plan, no clarity, no clue in the face of economic crisis<a href="https://t.co/yz4xNcb0xJ">pic.twitter.com/yz4xNcb0xJ</a></p>— Sana Jamal (@Sana_Jamal) <a href="https://twitter.com/Sana_Jamal/status/1525568204256514048?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">May 14, 2022</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
Yes, hospitals are continuing to accept Sehat Card after the new government resolved the issue. There was a temporary stop as a result or the previous government not being able to meet its commitments. Not rocket science, is it?
Am i reading it correct??????????? )
Time for SS to sell his clothes its a disaster all the rebuilt done by IK down in the gutter
What rebuilt? Imran destroyed the economy. He had no economic plan and changed his finance minister every 6 months because of a lack of vision and clarity on how to mode forward.
Pakistan’s economy declined on every single metric during his disastrous reign.
update : PSX drops another 1000 pts
What rebuilt? Imran destroyed the economy. He had no economic plan and changed his finance minister every 6 months because of a lack of vision and clarity on how to mode forward.
Pakistan’s economy declined on every single metric during his disastrous reign.
What rebuilt? Imran destroyed the economy. He had no economic plan and changed his finance minister every 6 months because of a lack of vision and clarity on how to mode forward.
Pakistan’s economy declined on every single metric during his disastrous reign.
⦿ Sehat Sahulat Card
https://t.co/md9r40BNsA
⦿ Ehsaas Program
https://t.co/FoEAd29wLm
⦿ Pakistan Citizen Portal
https://t.co/AvGDH9NFFB
⦿ Ten Billion Tree Tsunami
https://t.co/ZEA0FcrzUH
⦿ NCOC COVID Response
https://t.co/gNbMBAiVx7
⦿ Locust Attack Handled
https://t.co/mNiKlC1NxH
⦿ Free floated currency
⦿ Legislated government must not meet deficit by simply printing money (HUGE)
https://t.co/uOBymJehJ7
⦿ Created a record 5.5 million jobs in 3 years
https://t.co/ssSzE4xQ5G
⦿ Negotiated away $1 billion fine on Karkay Rental Power Plant
https://t.co/pDYeaZkhxh
⦿ Negotiated away $11 billion penalty on Reko Diq Copper Mine case, instead Pakistan will now RECEIVE $10 billion investment
https://t.co/L7pLFPb5za
⦿ Instituted reforms in civil and criminal law and brought them to the 21st century
https://t.co/5OFoslnQij
⦿ Produced record harvests of cotton
https://t.co/w3omaWnWPL
⦿ Produced record harvests of wheat
https://t.co/3cLBC3LSjd
⦿ Produced record harvests of sugarcane
https://t.co/c6uQdyKGiQ
⦿ Produced record harvests of potato
https://t.co/nW668H8C2k
⦿ On track to plant forty million olive trees to position Pakistan as a major producer in coming years
Link 1:
https://t.co/mpmeoba9rX
Link 2:
https://t.co/d2qt2qrqmW
⦿ Exports on target to hit $50Bn by end of his tenure. $35Bn this year
Link 1:
https://t.co/UtaJQwGkso
Link 2:
https://t.co/ufomwNajry
⦿ Foreign Exchange reserves at record high - $24Bn
https://t.co/mGr163Spvz
⦿ Highest share of capacity-enhancing capital goods in imports
Link 1:
https://t.co/cOUs89QiH6
Link 2:
https://t.co/VBFeQ715lv
⦿ Reduced Current Account Deficit to 2.5% of GDP
https://t.co/czZmTcxYAB
⦿ Renegotiated the Qatar LNG deal, saving Pakistan $3 billion over 10 years, new deal 31% cheaper than what PMLN had negotiated
https://t.co/veqBT6e7eC
⦿ Renegotiated terms with IPPs to save Pakistan Rs836 billion over 10 years
https://t.co/FedDxu5hY0
⦿ Increased tax revenue (on target for Rs6T this year), on target to increase tax as % of GDP from 10% to 16% by 2024
https://t.co/btpeXUjSaX
⦿ Achieved Primary Surplus
https://t.co/FId273tWBf
⦿ Regularized remittance flow - highest remittances received. Roshan Digital Accounts
Link 1:
https://t.co/QRuqN8x4jW
Link 2:
https://t.co/ZPhXSFEVaL
⦿ Achieved stable GDP growth rate of 5.7% for FY2021 and now headed towards 5.5% for FY2022
https://t.co/btpeXUjSaX
⦿ Has started construction of 10 large dams that will see completion beyond his present tenure
https://t.co/BF7PZQny7j
⦿ On track to build 6000 km+ of national highways during present tenure (more than any previous government)
https://t.co/Cke5XmHfia
⦿ On track to indigenize cellphone manufacturing - 82% of cellphones now at least assembled within country. Was less than 1% when PTI came in power
https://t.co/8K7zQ4RFbq
⦿ Introduced Pakistan's first truly integrated electricity capacity enhancement plan, also called Indicative Generation Capacity Expansion Plan (IGCEP) 2021-30 - which prioritizes indigenous, low-cost and green sources of electricity generation, whilst also making sure there are adequate measures in place for evacuation/transmission and billing/recovery
https://t.co/5G24xeXza9
The list goes on and on....
Before MiftahIsmail lies again. Let me write a long thread with FIGURES where PTI left the economy.
Thread of Numbers only.
1. GDP growth outperformed global markets
• GDP growth accelerated to 5.6% in FY2021
• In comparison, USA economy contracted -4%, EU -8%
4%, EU -8%, India -7.3% and the Gulf states by -5%.
2. No other govt. achieved 5.6% growth in their first 3 years. PMLN 3.3%, PPP 2%
3. Economy on target to achieve GDP growth above 5% in FY2022
4. LSM growth 7.6% during first seven months of FY2022
5. • Exports $ 23.3bn in first 9months of FY2022 – on current path will cross $ 30bn for first time in history
6. Remittances at record level of $29bn in FY2021, to grow to $ 34bn in FY2022
7. $ 4bn investment from overseas Pakistanis in RDA
8. Profitability of the top
100 companies listed on PSX posted the growth of 62% in 2021, the highest growth in the last 10 years.
9. IT package, over $ 350mn investment in Pakistani startups in 2021 – higher than all previous years combined.
10. WB DB index Top 10 reformers; 28 points
8 points (108/190)
11. Moody’s rating agency upgraded outlook to ‘Stable’ from ‘under review for downgrade’ (August 2020)
NOW JOB CREATION FACTS.
1. Inclusive growth strategy adopted by PTI government with focus on labor intensive constructions, export industry, SMEs, tourism, and agriculture.
2. PTI govt created 5.5mn jobs in first three years, the highest by any govt on record.
3. Average of 1.84mn jobs per year is higher than PPP (1.4mn) and PMLN (1.1mn).
4. Current trajectory suggests that we are on target to achieve the 10mn jobs promised by Imran Khan in 2018 manifesto.
5. According to the WB, Pakistan outperformed all regional economies during the 2020-2022 COVID period, with the lowest unemployment rate in the South Asia region at 4.3% compared to India 8%, Bangladesh 5.4%
NOW ENERGY SECTOR REFORMS
1. Debt stock of PHPL Rs. 806 bn shifted to public debt, to protect consumers from tariff surcharges
2. NEPRA approved CTBCM (Competitive Trading Bilateral Contracts Market)
3. MoUs with 53 IPPs to save Rs 836bn in 20 years. Shutting of inefficient power plants. 3-4 plants closed.
4. WACOG bill.
5. 5 hydel damns under construction, first time since the 1970s will reduce dependence on imports and reduce cost of energy for consumers.
6. None of these reforms or investments were made in any of the previous regimes.
NOW SANCTIONS AND PENALTIES.
1. Resolve Karkey rental power plant issue saved $1.2bn
2. Resolved Reko Diq issue, penalty of $ 11bn saved. New investment of $10bn for Balochistan.
3. FATF financial sanctions ‘ black list’ saved. Significant progress achieved under PTI government. Pakistan has completed 26 of the 27 action items in its 2018 action plan.
NOW COVID RESPONSE.
1. IMF termed COVID as the biggest crisis since the 1930s great depression.
2. WHO hailed Pakistan COVID response as one of the best in the world.
3. Economist magazine ‘ Normalcy Index’ rated Pakistan as the top country in the world in Nov 2021. Lawrence Summers, WB Chief Economist stated ‘US should have emulated Pakistan in
mulated Pakistan in handling coronavirus’.
4. • Bill Gates hailed remarkable progress by Pakistan on COVID and Polio eradication
5. 80% of target population provided 2 does of vaccines free of cost ($ 5bn subsidy).
6. Pakistan introduced the concept of Smart
lockdowns to contain the spread, the world followed our lead.
7. Record fiscal and monetary stimulus package of Rs 2.5 trillion (6% of GDP or $ 16 billion).
8. 15 million families received EHSAS cash payment
9. SMEs pre-paid power bills Rs 50bn (95% commercial
72% industrial users benefitted)
10. Subsidy to Households (USC, power & gas bills)
11. Construction package Rs 300bn new spending for low cost housing & jobs creation.
12. Industrial Support package – 50% discount on additional power consumption; 25% for 3 years
13. 1.6 mn businesses loan deferrals (Rs 657 bn).
14. • 1.7 mn jobs protected under Rozgar scheme.
15. SBP TERF led to Rs 435 bn of new investments in Pakistan.
Still some of the things i have missed.
Mamoon will ignore all of this guaranteed. There's no way someone would support PDM due to their economic "competency", there has to be an ulterior motive.
Abay yaar vo sanghi hay. Ignore kuro is ko. How haven't you guys figured it out yet?
Look I'm just waiting for speed minister to turn Pakistan into Paris. How is he doing? Lol
Kahan hay tajarba? Where is it? They have failed miserably. They can't make any hard decisions at all because Khan has destroyed their political capital.
They are stuck in a trap now their own making. That choar in London can only watch as he sees his future vanish slowly before his eyes. The incompetence has reached guiness book of records levels..
Jahalat of our Crime Minister.
Today he called the President money exchange Malik Bostan to ask that why UsD is gaining its value.
Just woow, and then we have a whole finance ministry for this purpose.
[MENTION=1269]Bewal Express[/MENTION] [MENTION=140234]DRsohail[/MENTION] [MENTION=156349]Hextro[/MENTION]
Jahalat of our Crime Minister.
Today he called the President money exchange Malik Bostan to ask that why UsD is gaining its value.
Just woow, and then we have a whole finance ministry for this purpose.
[MENTION=1269]Bewal Express[/MENTION] [MENTION=140234]DRsohail[/MENTION] [MENTION=156349]Hextro[/MENTION]
Jahalat of our Crime Minister.
Today he called the President money exchange Malik Bostan to ask that why UsD is gaining its value.
Just woow, and then we have a whole finance ministry for this purpose.
[MENTION=1269]Bewal Express[/MENTION] [MENTION=140234]DRsohail[/MENTION] [MENTION=156349]Hextro[/MENTION]
Jahalat of our Crime Minister.
Today he called the President money exchange Malik Bostan to ask that why UsD is gaining its value.
Just woow, and then we have a whole finance ministry for this purpose.
[MENTION=1269]Bewal Express[/MENTION] [MENTION=140234]DRsohail[/MENTION] [MENTION=156349]Hextro[/MENTION]
PMLN media back to their media game, their ads are at front page of every major news paper, news channel, news websites. But guess what? Most of the info given is wrong.
the govt is showing economic progress by going back in history.
Also, many things are wrong in ad like Fiscal deficit, it was 2566BN till April & it says 5500BN, adding own expenses too, same with tax collection failure in these months. Wrong flour price for both.
Unemployment should be in %age & its lower, adding new population directly to unemployment numbers don't make sense. Same with loans, it should be a percentage of GDP & they are lower. They will obviously grow with our economy. Electricity & Gas prices are also wrong, is it 25Rs?
Also Urea price turned 1800Rs in their tenure & stayed almost stable in the last one.
According to media reports : Pakistan Bureau of Statistics under pressure to announce lower growth numbers, as good numbers will be positive for the previous government.
PTI was one who revised the GDP growth rate of 2017-2018 from 5.8% to 6.1% & now
https://tribune.com.pk/story/2356920/gdp-growth-to-range-from-45-55
[MENTION=1269]Bewal Express[/MENTION] [MENTION=140234]DRsohail[/MENTION] [MENTION=156349]Hextro[/MENTION]
Dollar update : 200 RS open Market.
But, all the journos are silent, all of the economic experts from this thread has already ran away.
Rs. 75 Million spent on updating the SWIMMING POOL in the PM house for the pleasure of Mr. Shehbaz Shareef.
Wah g wah.
He doesn't seem a beggar, does he?
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="ur" dir="rtl">شہبازکی شوبازیاں صرف اپنی عیاشیوں اور نوازشات تک محدود ہیں حکومت میں آئےایک مہینہ نہیں ہواساڑھے7کروڑ کی رقم سے وزیراعظم ہاؤس کاسوئمنگ پول مرمت کروالیا ملک دیوالیہ ہونے کےقریب اورمعیشت کا بیڑہ غرق کرکے عوام کو اضطراب میں مبتلاکرکےامپورٹڈ بمعہ خاندان عوام کےپیسوں پرعیاشیاں کررہےہیں <a href="https://t.co/zAfSvus9j9">pic.twitter.com/zAfSvus9j9</a></p>— Imran Ismail (@ImranIsmailPTI) <a href="https://twitter.com/ImranIsmailPTI/status/1526513596523548673?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">May 17, 2022</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
“ Pakistan faces its gravest political, constitutional, financial and diplomatic crisis since the catastrophic war with India that culminated in the secession of Bangladesh in December 1971. The coalition government headed by Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Foreign Minister Bilawal Bhutto Zardari, vilified ad nauseum as Cherry Blossom, a boot polish brand and Billo-Rani respectively by Imran Khan faces an existential dilemma.
The ousted PTI government left its successor a financial landmine when it recklessly subsidized petrol and diesel prices 30% below their global prices and thus deliberately sabotaged an IMF program that has led to a run on the State Bank's foreign exchange reserves and the plunge in the rupee to almost 200 against the US dollar, down from 152 last June. Pakistan now has a mere one month import cover and its sovereign bond yields 14% in USD.
If Pakistan does not secure a new IMF deal in the next few weeks, Islamabad cannot hope for a financial lifeline from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, the EU, the US and the ADB. Yet an IMF deal necessitates the immediate abandonment of Imran Khan's petrol/diesel subsidies which would lead to another spike in inflation at a time when the Ukraine war has wrecked havoc on global crude oil, natural gas and wheat prices.
This is the reason the coalition government just cannot afford an immediate election now, particularly since Imran Khan's populist rhetoric and toxic accusations of treason against Prime Minister Sharif have led to a quantum increase in political polarization and taken Pakistan to the brink of potential civil war.
It is also sad to see the PTI leader insinuate that the Pakistani generals who gave the green light for the vote of no confidence that ended his tenure as PM of a minority government are the modern equivalence of Mir Jafar, the Commander in Chief (Chief of Army Staff?) of the Nawab of Bengal's army defeated by Lord Clive's East India Company sepoys at the Battle of Plassey, which changed the course of Indian history.
The urban middle class's visceral anger against the Pretorian pashas in the Rawalpindi GHQ is surely a national security nightmare for an army whose combat troops face a murderous insurgency from the Pakistani Taliban. As if this financial and political time bomb was not bad enough, the Punjab has been without a government for the past month since the PTI President and Governor will not accept the legitimacy of Hamza Shezbaz as the province's Chief Minister.
Pakistan can no longer borrow in the offshore loan syndication/Eurobond market and has no cash to pay for coal/natgas for its power plants. Without an IMF deal, the state faces a Sri Lankan/Lebanese style financial Armageddon and sovereign default. Sadly, this time the wolf is here.”
“ Pakistan faces its gravest political, constitutional, financial and diplomatic crisis since the catastrophic war with India that culminated in the secession of Bangladesh in December 1971. The coalition government headed by Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Foreign Minister Bilawal Bhutto Zardari, vilified ad nauseum as Cherry Blossom, a boot polish brand and Billo-Rani respectively by Imran Khan faces an existential dilemma.
The ousted PTI government left its successor a financial landmine when it recklessly subsidized petrol and diesel prices 30% below their global prices and thus deliberately sabotaged an IMF program that has led to a run on the State Bank's foreign exchange reserves and the plunge in the rupee to almost 200 against the US dollar, down from 152 last June. Pakistan now has a mere one month import cover and its sovereign bond yields 14% in USD.
If Pakistan does not secure a new IMF deal in the next few weeks, Islamabad cannot hope for a financial lifeline from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, the EU, the US and the ADB. Yet an IMF deal necessitates the immediate abandonment of Imran Khan's petrol/diesel subsidies which would lead to another spike in inflation at a time when the Ukraine war has wrecked havoc on global crude oil, natural gas and wheat prices.
This is the reason the coalition government just cannot afford an immediate election now, particularly since Imran Khan's populist rhetoric and toxic accusations of treason against Prime Minister Sharif have led to a quantum increase in political polarization and taken Pakistan to the brink of potential civil war.
It is also sad to see the PTI leader insinuate that the Pakistani generals who gave the green light for the vote of no confidence that ended his tenure as PM of a minority government are the modern equivalence of Mir Jafar, the Commander in Chief (Chief of Army Staff?) of the Nawab of Bengal's army defeated by Lord Clive's East India Company sepoys at the Battle of Plassey, which changed the course of Indian history.
The urban middle class's visceral anger against the Pretorian pashas in the Rawalpindi GHQ is surely a national security nightmare for an army whose combat troops face a murderous insurgency from the Pakistani Taliban. As if this financial and political time bomb was not bad enough, the Punjab has been without a government for the past month since the PTI President and Governor will not accept the legitimacy of Hamza Shezbaz as the province's Chief Minister.
Pakistan can no longer borrow in the offshore loan syndication/Eurobond market and has no cash to pay for coal/natgas for its power plants. Without an IMF deal, the state faces a Sri Lankan/Lebanese style financial Armageddon and sovereign default. Sadly, this time the wolf is here.”