Pakistan economy under the PDM government & now the caretaker administration

Long-term foreign investors injected a four-month high capital at net $170.6 million during April 2022, in major sectors of Pakistan’s economy including power, banks, electronics and communication despite global as well as domestic political and economic uncertainties.

The foreign direct investment (FDI) recorded a turn-around in the month under review as compared to a net outflow of $30.4 million in the prior month of March, according to the central bank data.

The FDI inflows remained almost flat in the month as compared to $169 million recorded in the same month of the previous year.

The financial sector has continued to attract foreign investment amid its transition from conventional to digital banking. Most of the investment in the financial sector is believed to have been attracted by growing Fintechs.

Similarly, more people are buying home appliances like splits, LED TV and water dispensers following the rise in their income amid higher economic activities in the country. The trend encouraged the investors to put capital in electronic goods.

Communication sector has kept updating itself to cater rising demand for mobile phone connectivity and advanced 3G/ 4G mobile internet. Communication sector was also playing an important role in digitalising the economy. App-based growing e-commerce, startups and transportation sectors are also aggressively using communication tools.

China stood as a lead investor in the power sector under the banner of China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) projects in Pakistan.

Cumulatively, in the first 10 months of the current fiscal year 2021-22, the FDI slightly reduced by 1.6% to $1.45 billion as compared to $1.48 billion in the same period of the previous year.

Commenting on the latest FDI inflows at $170.6 million in April, Overseas Investors Chamber of Commerce and Industry (OICCI) Secretary General M Abdul Aleem said “the inflows are well below Pakistan’s potential, but this is not unusual in view of the uncertain environment not only in Pakistan but in the region as well”.

He said foreign investors have continued to invest in the ongoing projects in Pakistan despite the global geo-political situation like Russia-Ukraine conflict and Pakistan’s political and economic instability these days.

“Besides, the flow of Chinese investment into the new projects in Pakistan under CPEC has slowed down.”

Earlier, Covid-19 pandemic did not allow global investors to take new investment decisions for emerging markets including Pakistan, he underlined.

The foreign investment would surge once the situations at global and domestic levels are cleared soon. “Pakistan remains high on global investors’ radar considering the country remains largely an untapped market from the point of investment into almost all the sectors of the economy.”

However, there is a great need that the government aggressively market the projects in which it wants to invite foreign investment, he added.

Multinational companies (MNCs) are doing small-scale expansions and new projects in the range of $50-200 million value each. “The expected improvement in political and economic conditions will help attract projects of the value in the range of $500 million to $1 billion in near future.”

Another official, who remains in contact with foreign investors, said on the condition of anonymity that international investors remained keen to put capital in Pakistan’s long-term projects.

They, however, remained uncertain due inconsistency in economic policies including abrupt changes in rate of taxes.

He revealed that he had received new inquiries from foreign investors for investment in the sectors “including foods for exports and hospitals”.

The top global economy – the United States – emerged as the single largest investor in Pakistan during April 2022. Its MNCs invested net $40.3 million in the month, followed by the second largest global economy China which injected net $22.3 million in the domestic economy.

The United Arab Emirates (UAE), Kuwait and Germany stood other notable investors. They injected in the range of $16.5-17.5 million each in the month under review.

Published in The Express Tribune, May 21st, 2022.
 
Where are they getting the stats from?

Pakistan GDP was US$ 314 billion in 2018 .. went down to US$ 262 Billion in 2020, as per World Bank.
Did Pakistan Magically earn Super EXPLOSIVE GDP growth rates of 20% for the last two years???
GDP per captia was US$1189 in 2020, so how on earth did it become US 1676 despite incredible fall in rupee??

Maybe WorldBank is also anti Imran Khan :p

To anyone who wants to bother about actual stats
https://data.worldbank.org/country/pakistan

PS: Pakistan's economic woes are caused by much more fundamental decay of systems rather than poltical leaders fighting for power.

You're truly living up to your username with this one.

Pakistan's government rebased its national accounts in 2021 by adding unlisted industries to the national accounts, which caused Pakistan's overall GDP to increase substantially.

Every country rebases its GDP every 5 years, it's common practice. Pakistan rebased its economy after something like 10 years, although Pakistan still doesn't include industries like IT in its GDP, doing so would increase Pakistan's total GDP by a large margin.

The World Bank and the IMF will update their stats by the end of the year, as is the norm. Keep in mind that the current rebase has been endorsed by The World Bank and the IMF.

The National Accounts Committee (NAC) approved the rebasing of GDP from 2005-06 to 2015-16, resulting in an increase in the growth rate from 3.94 percent to 5.4 percent, and an expansion in the size of the economy from $296 billion to $346.76 billion
 
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I found some statistics on Twitter and I thought I'd share them here.

Imports:
FY2018: $60.1 BN
FY2022E: $73BN
Growth percentage: 21.46%📈

Exports:
FY2018: $23.6BN
FY2022E: $32BN
Growth percentage: 35.5%📈

Overall, export growth is more than imports. It's wrong to say it was import-led Growth in the previous tenure.

Source: https://twitter.com/Pakistanomy/status/1527972717592555522

Also note that these are just exports of goods, if we add exports of commodities the total exports would be around $40 billion in 2022.
 
I found some statistics on Twitter and I thought I'd share them here.

Imports:
FY2018: $60.1 BN
FY2022E: $73BN
Growth percentage: 21.46%��

Exports:
FY2018: $23.6BN
FY2022E: $32BN
Growth percentage: 35.5%��

Overall, export growth is more than imports. It's wrong to say it was import-led Growth in the previous tenure.

Source: https://twitter.com/Pakistanomy/status/1527972717592555522

Also note that these are just exports of goods, if we add exports of commodities the total exports would be around $40 billion in 2022.

To add
Increase in imports is mostly oil gas related and commodity related and we have also spent around 5bn on Vaccine imports.
 
To add
Increase in imports is mostly oil gas related and commodity related and we have also spent around 5bn on Vaccine imports.

Yeah I know, a large portion of our imports in 2021-22 are one-time imports. I strongly believe that if these were normal times Pakistan's imports in 2022 would be on par with our imports in 2018 if now lower.
 
Yeah I know, a large portion of our imports in 2021-22 are one-time imports. I strongly believe that if these were normal times Pakistan's imports in 2022 would be on par with our imports in 2018 if now lower.

We have started to address the structural imbalances and the imports and sponsors got worried.
 
Really crazy scenario inflation jumping above 20 percent what will the salaried class do let alone the poor and below the poverty line
 
Really crazy scenario inflation jumping above 20 percent what will the salaried class do let alone the poor and below the poverty line

The PDM crooks are super scared to increase the petrol prices that will result in more inflation. And this will effectively put an end to their political careers of looting.

So they are depleting whatever little reserves are left; however, they got what they wanted - their names removed from the exit control list.

Hardly any of them imbeciles will be interested in elections.

Soon as this PDM drama govt dies it’s death, they will all leave the country, leaving PTI in an economic mess bigger than this country has ever faced.

No TV host is asking any PDM leader as to why the EFF did you come into power if now you think that you can’t handle it?
 
The PDM crooks are super scared to increase the petrol prices that will result in more inflation. And this will effectively put an end to their political careers of looting.

So they are depleting whatever little reserves are left; however, they got what they wanted - their names removed from the exit control list.

Hardly any of them imbeciles will be interested in elections.

Soon as this PDM drama govt dies it’s death, they will all leave the country, leaving PTI in an economic mess bigger than this country has ever faced.

No TV host is asking any PDM leader as to why the EFF did you come into power if now you think that you can’t handle it?

It's a classic case. Like Rajapaksas all of them will be leaving as soon as things go out of hand.
 
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-partner="tweetdeck"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">For our govt, Pakistan's interest was supreme but unfortunately the local Mir Jafars & Mir Sadiqs bowed to external pressure forcing a regime change, and are now running around like a headless chicken with the economy in a tailspin. <br>2/2</p>— Imran Khan (@ImranKhanPTI) <a href="https://twitter.com/ImranKhanPTI/status/1528059601614151680?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">May 21, 2022</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 
A case study to developed from this...Mismanagement and nepotism:Benign Crooks and Lunatik Plundering through indecisiveness, Evidence from Pakistan economy
 
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-partner="tweetdeck"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">For our govt, Pakistan's interest was supreme but unfortunately the local Mir Jafars & Mir Sadiqs bowed to external pressure forcing a regime change, and are now running around like a headless chicken with the economy in a tailspin. <br>2/2</p>— Imran Khan (@ImranKhanPTI) <a href="https://twitter.com/ImranKhanPTI/status/1528059601614151680?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">May 21, 2022</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

This is how he indoctrinates his people into ignorance. 1) Petrol is priced highest in India with insane govt taxes because the govt wants to move to electric, do this cut is not a big deal. 2) Petrol is not subsidized in India but in Pakistan it is subsidized atleast Re 80/litre. 3) India can afford to cut prices of petrol not because of purchase from Russia ( < 4% of their purchase ), but because they have the fiscal space.

It's foolhardy to think that Russia would have given Pakistan the same price on the basis of one visit. India has 70 years of integrated ties with Russia. Historically, US has provided the highest aid to Pakistan followed by Israel. US is the biggest market and trading partner for exports for Pakistan.
 
This is how he indoctrinates his people into ignorance. 1) Petrol is priced highest in India with insane govt taxes because the govt wants to move to electric, do this cut is not a big deal. 2) Petrol is not subsidized in India but in Pakistan it is subsidized atleast Re 80/litre. 3) India can afford to cut prices of petrol not because of purchase from Russia ( < 4% of their purchase ), but because they have the fiscal space.

It's foolhardy to think that Russia would have given Pakistan the same price on the basis of one visit. India has 70 years of integrated ties with Russia. Historically, US has provided the highest aid to Pakistan followed by Israel. US is the biggest market and trading partner for exports for Pakistan.

The Russians agreed to give the discount, the deal was done. Its your imports that turned it down
 
This is how he indoctrinates his people into ignorance. 1) Petrol is priced highest in India with insane govt taxes because the govt wants to move to electric, do this cut is not a big deal. 2) Petrol is not subsidized in India but in Pakistan it is subsidized atleast Re 80/litre. 3) India can afford to cut prices of petrol not because of purchase from Russia ( < 4% of their purchase ), but because they have the fiscal space.

It's foolhardy to think that Russia would have given Pakistan the same price on the basis of one visit. India has 70 years of integrated ties with Russia. Historically, US has provided the highest aid to Pakistan followed by Israel. US is the biggest market and trading partner for exports for Pakistan.

Ok Mr. Putin's PS but we dont bu your self structured theories
 
This is how he indoctrinates his people into ignorance. 1) Petrol is priced highest in India with insane govt taxes because the govt wants to move to electric, do this cut is not a big deal. 2) Petrol is not subsidized in India but in Pakistan it is subsidized atleast Re 80/litre. 3) India can afford to cut prices of petrol not because of purchase from Russia ( < 4% of their purchase ), but because they have the fiscal space.

It's foolhardy to think that Russia would have given Pakistan the same price on the basis of one visit. India has 70 years of integrated ties with Russia. Historically, US has provided the highest aid to Pakistan followed by Israel. US is the biggest market and trading partner for exports for Pakistan.

Let’s talk about real and practical solutions that PDM is going to implement if PTI’s approach to connect with Russia for business and trade was all wrong.

Does PDM have any real and practical solution to fix it?

If not, and they can’t fix or improve it or provide any relief to the general public, then what was the point of toppling PTI?
 
Let’s talk about real and practical solutions that PDM is going to implement if PTI’s approach to connect with Russia for business and trade was all wrong.

Does PDM have any real and practical solution to fix it?

If not, and they can’t fix or improve it or provide any relief to the general public, then what was the point of toppling PTI?

1. Power is everything to these people.
2. They know there is still a small chunk of people who will support them and convienetly forget their crimes.
3. Imran Khan was relentless in pursuing their criminal history. PMLN mostly suffered the wrath.
4. The justice system barely saved PDM criminals, and it's important PDM keep the same enterprise happy.
5. This isn't about Pakistan. It's about the Status Quo and hierarchy.

You don't end up with billions in your accounts and multi properties across UK, Manhattan, Dubai and Europe by being honest.
 
Let’s talk about real and practical solutions that PDM is going to implement if PTI’s approach to connect with Russia for business and trade was all wrong.

Does PDM have any real and practical solution to fix it?

If not, and they can’t fix or improve it or provide any relief to the general public, then what was the point of toppling PTI?

For the record, I don’t think IK was wrong to talk with Russia. In fact it was ingenious in some ways. The issue was timing and rashness. Geo politics doesn’t work like this. I think IK understood that the new alliance of Pak China Russia and Possibly India as a neutral partner can stabilize the region and Pakistan’s economic interest in long run. Even Bhutto recently defended his visit.

Of course all the conspiracy non sense he has made up which has been lapped up by his gullible fans, is what most politicians do when they are desperate and looking for survival. Part of the narrative is that Russia would have immediately started disbursing oil at discounted price. Perhaps in 2-3 years, yes. But Russian geo strategy is risk averse and needs very long term trust building. For the bare minimum business that Pakistan can bring, Russia will not make overnight shifts.
 
Can you share any link to confirm this ? I mean from Russian side.

"The new power minister claims that there is no correspondence regarding the purchase of oil and gas from Russia at lower rates. Like the story of the breakdown of 27 power plants, this is a white lie. Imran Khan as the Prime Minister presided over two meetings on this issue and our target was to buy the first consignment in April." - Hammad Azhar

Source - https://twitter.com/Hammad_Azhar/status/1523962927023538181?t=5PTVkRi_05dKjIdVjYESqA&s=19
 
"The new power minister claims that there is no correspondence regarding the purchase of oil and gas from Russia at lower rates. Like the story of the breakdown of 27 power plants, this is a white lie. Imran Khan as the Prime Minister presided over two meetings on this issue and our target was to buy the first consignment in April." - Hammad Azhar

Source - https://twitter.com/Hammad_Azhar/status/1523962927023538181?t=5PTVkRi_05dKjIdVjYESqA&s=19

But the PK public are paying 30% extra so that America doesnt get angry and ditch them.
 
But the PK public are paying 30% extra so that America doesnt get angry and ditch them.

The Pakistani public doesn't care about what America thinks, only PDM cares about that.

Hopefully, PTI wins the next election by a landslide so that we can permanently cure this country of the PDM disease.
 
For the record, I don’t think IK was wrong to talk with Russia. In fact it was ingenious in some ways. The issue was timing and rashness. Geo politics doesn’t work like this. I think IK understood that the new alliance of Pak China Russia and Possibly India as a neutral partner can stabilize the region and Pakistan’s economic interest in long run. Even Bhutto recently defended his visit.

Of course all the conspiracy non sense he has made up which has been lapped up by his gullible fans, is what most politicians do when they are desperate and looking for survival. Part of the narrative is that Russia would have immediately started disbursing oil at discounted price. Perhaps in 2-3 years, yes. But Russian geo strategy is risk averse and needs very long term trust building. For the bare minimum business that Pakistan can bring, Russia will not make overnight shifts.

OK and what now?

Where is the PDM going to lead the country from here, and how are they going to provide relief to the general public?
 
What IK claimed has come true for Ind, so unless you have other information, there is no reason to assume, its not true.

Far from it. IK can claim anything. India is purchasing less than 4% of their pur Hase from Russia and fuel is priced highest in subcontinent without subsidies. So India has lot of room. India basically uses fuel to collect taxes.
 
Far from it. IK can claim anything. India is purchasing less than 4% of their pur Hase from Russia and fuel is priced highest in subcontinent without subsidies. So India has lot of room. India basically uses fuel to collect taxes.

At this stage but they will purchase more and rightly so. When IK told us that the he was desperate to help his public your crooks called him a liar. What have your crooks done- nothing. Confused and dazed with no idea what to do.
 
OK and what now?

Where is the PDM going to lead the country from here, and how are they going to provide relief to the general public?

I think here we might have to reconcile with some realities. There will be no relief. If you don't have money you can not subsidize oil. India doesn't subsidize. The only way out is loans to save the day and then investments for new businesses and jobs in that time.

Honestly it's bad situation. No matter how much anyone talks of GDP growth, this is clear case bankruptcy. Best alternative is to go to Iran for oil and completely defy US. Or as they are doing now, going to US and asking for more aid.

Fact is all politicians including Imran are distracting the people. The reality is so stark that most people won't be able to take it. Economic emergency is only way out. Ration food grains and oil. Cut all non essential imports. Incentivize remittances to control $. Open trade with India to meet foodgrain requirements. Democracy and parliament doesn't mean much now. Someone has to save the people on titanic. And it's already hit the iceberg.
 
I think here we might have to reconcile with some realities. There will be no relief. If you don't have money you can not subsidize oil. India doesn't subsidize. The only way out is loans to save the day and then investments for new businesses and jobs in that time.

Honestly it's bad situation. No matter how much anyone talks of GDP growth, this is clear case bankruptcy. Best alternative is to go to Iran for oil and completely defy US. Or as they are doing now, going to US and asking for more aid.

Fact is all politicians including Imran are distracting the people. The reality is so stark that most people won't be able to take it. Economic emergency is only way out. Ration food grains and oil. Cut all non essential imports. Incentivize remittances to control $. Open trade with India to meet foodgrain requirements. Democracy and parliament doesn't mean much now. Someone has to save the people on titanic. And it's already hit the iceberg.

None of it warrants or is a solid ground to topple pti
It looks like PDM and their supporters didn’t have the foggiest of ideas as how to provide relief to the general public and put together a solid plan to what they stated was a problem with PTI.

They just kept in crying about mehngai and mehngai and PTI being the cause of this mehangai. And they promised to cut the inflation to some magical numbers.

They were hell bent to take PTI out, and now they are running around like a headless chicken with a begging bowl.
IK, allegedly had the trade deal in talks with Russia and was moving away from USA. And you had over $30 BILLION coming in as foreign remittance. Inflation was NOT as bad in Pakistani as it is in almost all other countries in the world. Things were actually running very smooth.
And now, PDM wants take more loans under extra strict IMF conditions and super inflate the inflation rate, to solve what? mehangai caused by pti? lol

I think PTI had things under a fairly good control - and and PDM is in panic mode after destroying it all and not knowing what to afterwards.

The general public will have to face an episode of inflation floodgates opening up on them. That’s the solution PDM has so Let PDM open these gates and face the music from the public.

IK should sit n watch.
 
The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on Monday increased the interest rate by 150 basis points to 13.75% for the next six weeks to maintain the balance between inflation and economic growth.
 
The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on Monday increased the interest rate by 150 basis points to 13.75% for the next six weeks to maintain the balance between inflation and economic growth.

It will be 16% in next two weeks. The only way now is to increase the interest rate and slow down the economy into a recession. We are anyway in a recession. GDP growth will have to be slowed down.
 
State Bank of Pakistan &#55356;&#56821;&#55356;&#56816; officially increased interested rate by 1.5% to 13.75%
 
KARACHI: Pakistan’s central bank has increased the benchmark interest rate by 150 basis points to 13.75% for the next six weeks.

At a scheduled meeting on Monday, the bank revised the rate upwards ahead of the likely revival of the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) $6 billion loan programme, which has been on hold for the past 11 months.

The surge in the interest rate was necessary to counter the growing economic headwinds in the country.
 
So when IK did everybody was gung-ho on him but now its appreciated, anyways good thing out of this is N-S, or Chor League all their leftover credibility if any is being completely smacked during this tenure
 
It will be 16% in next two weeks. The only way now is to increase the interest rate and slow down the economy into a recession. We are anyway in a recession. GDP growth will have to be slowed down.

And 6 weeks were stable. The imports have destroyed our economy and brought us to the verge bankruptcy
 
The important thing is that the Zardari's and Shareef's money is kept safe. It will be a travesty if they lose their billions, industries, international properties etc.

I'm sure experts Maryam Nawaz and Bilawal Bhutto are devising a plan for the best interest of Pakistan

/s
 
Amid external account challenges, Pakistan borrowed more than $15.5bn in foreign loans in the first 10 months of the current fiscal year, about 70pc more than borrowing from foreign sources in the same period last year.

In its monthly report on foreign economic assistance, the Ministry of Economic Affairs said it received about $13.03bn foreign assistance in 10MFY2022.

The ministry’s monthly report on foreign inflows showed that the government crossed almost 92.5pc of the $14.09bn target for foreign assistance set for the whole fiscal.

This does not include more than $1.5bn of expensive foreign debt in Naya Pakistan Certificates from overseas Pakistanis or the over $1bn secured from the International Monetary Fund, which arrived in February. Both these loans are reported separately by the State Bank of Pakistan.

As a result, the total foreign debt from external sources since 2018 has reached $51.03bn. The total foreign loans jumped to $55.13bn when slightly more than $4.5bn in IMF funds were also taken into account during the same period.

The data showed that the size of foreign loans had been steadily increasing over the last three and half years; from $10.59bn in FY2018-19 to $10.662bn in FY2019-20 and then reaching $14.28bn in FY2020-21 followed by $13.03bn in the first 10 months of the current fiscal year.

While the annual budget target for foreign debt in 2021-22 was set at $14.088bn, the government borrowed ended up $13.03bn in the first 10 months alone.

There were four major sources of foreign inflows, including $4.05bn from multilateral lenders, followed by $3bn of time deposit from Saudi Arabia, about $2.623bn in commercial loans from private banks and $2.041bn worth of international bonds.

The largest among the bilateral loans came from Saudi Arabia at $201 million, followed by China at $153 million and $64 million from the United States. Total loans from bilateral lenders stood at $486 million in 10 months.

Published in Dawn, May 24th, 2022
 
Extremely dysfunctional policy making in Pakistan not restricted to one party. Imagine running out of reserves, increasing three fold in borrowing, increasing fiscal deficit but will continue to subsidize oil. Inspite of what has happened in Sri Lanka recently. Blizzard beyond belief.
 
Extremely dysfunctional policy making in Pakistan not restricted to one party. Imagine running out of reserves, increasing three fold in borrowing, increasing fiscal deficit but will continue to subsidize oil. Inspite of what has happened in Sri Lanka recently. Blizzard beyond belief.

That's why this PDM circus was never needed at this time, The biggest blunder even I think PTi was not doing great but PDM has hit another level.
 
PSX continues sliding, down 434 points as country on brink of political confrontation

The Pakistan Stock Exchange's (PSX) benchmark KSE-100 index shed more than 400 points on Monday, with analysts attributing the fall to the central bank's hike in the interest rate coulped with the current political situation.

According to the PSX website, the KSE-100 index had gone down by 434.15 points, or 1.02 per cent, around 2:15pm.

Ahsan Mehanti of Arif Habib Corporation attributed the slump to the political deadlock in the country in light of the PTI's long march to Islamabad and the government's reaction to it, saying the situation was making investors anxious.

He said "investors are withdrawing capital from the market while foreign investors are prioritising selling shares," adding that the shares of cement and textile companies were witnessing a sharp decline.

The government has decided to ban the holding of the march by the PTI, blocking routes across Punjab and sealing entry points to the capital a night after it raided houses of PTI activists and leaders across the province.

Imran, on the other hand, has refused to back down and has vowed to continue with the march to the capital along with his supporters, saying it is his right to conduct a peaceful protest.

Mehanti also said the State Bank of Pakistan' s (SBP) decision to hike the interest rate by 150 basis points had also dented sentiment

"It was expected that the rate would be increased by one per cent," he said, adding that the slump could continue for some time.

Ali Malik, chief executive of First National Equities Limited, also echoed similar views, stating that the hike in the policy rate had impacted the market negatively. Malik said investors were choosing to put money in fixed-income securities due to a favourable interest rate.

The country's political scenario, he added, with PTI Chairman Imran Khan calling for a long march on May 25 (tomorrow), had also forced investors to exit the market.

Hamza Shehzad, chief executive of Alpha Beta Core, said: "Until we embark on a comprehensive reforms programme and unless all, or majority, of political parties agree on a common agenda i.e. charter of democracy, and work towards achieving a common goal for the country by running a reform process to undo and redo the system, we will continue to return to such vulnerabilities."

On Monday, the central bank increased the policy rate by 150 basis points to 13.75 per cent in a bid to arrest inflation. The move was aimed at cooling down the overheated economy, which is expected to grow at almost 6pc in 2021-22. Economic growth is expected to moderate to 3.5-4.5pc in 2022-23 on the back of monetary tightening and assumed fiscal consolidation.

The Monetary Policy Committee’s (MPC) baseline outlook assumed continued engagement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) as well as the reversal of fuel and electricity subsidies together with the normalisation of the petroleum development levy (PDL) and general sales tax on fuel in 2022-23.

Headline inflation is likely to increase temporarily and may remain elevated throughout the next fiscal year, the SBP said, adding that it’s expected to fall to the 5-7pc target range by the end of 2023-24.

https://www.dawn.com/news/1691285/p...s-country-on-brink-of-political-confrontation
 
The Pakistan Stock Exchange's (PSX) benchmark KSE-100 index shed more than 400 points on Tuesday, with analysts attributing the fall to the central bank's hike in the interest rate coupled with the current political situation.

According to the PSX website, the KSE-100 index had gone down by 434.15 points, or 1.02 per cent, around 2:15pm. By the day's end, the benchmark index had lost 489.93 points, or 1.15pc.

Ahsan Mehanti of Arif Habib Corporation attributed the slump to the political deadlock in the country in light of the PTI's long march to Islamabad and the government's reaction to it, saying the situation was making investors anxious.

He said "investors are withdrawing capital from the market while foreign investors are prioritising selling shares," adding that the shares of cement and textile companies were witnessing a sharp decline.

The government has decided to ban the holding of the march by the PTI, blocking routes across Punjab and sealing entry points to the capital a night after it raided houses of PTI activists and leaders across the province.

Imran, on the other hand, has refused to back down and has vowed to continue with the march to the capital along with his supporters, saying it is his right to conduct a peaceful protest.

Mehanti also said the State Bank of Pakistan' s (SBP) decision to hike the interest rate by 150 basis points had also dented sentiment

"It was expected that the rate would be increased by one per cent," he said, adding that the slump could continue for some time.

Ali Malik, chief executive of First National Equities Limited, also echoed similar views, stating that the hike in the policy rate had impacted the market negatively. Malik said investors were choosing to put money in fixed-income securities due to a favourable interest rate.

The country's political scenario, he added, with PTI Chairman Imran Khan calling for a long march on May 25 (tomorrow), had also forced investors to exit the market.

Hamza Shehzad, chief executive of Alpha Beta Core, said: "Until we embark on a comprehensive reforms programme and unless all, or majority, of political parties agree on a common agenda i.e. charter of democracy, and work towards achieving a common goal for the country by running a reform process to undo and redo the system, we will continue to return to such vulnerabilities."

On Monday, the central bank increased the policy rate by 150 basis points to 13.75 per cent in a bid to arrest inflation. The move was aimed at cooling down the overheated economy, which is expected to grow at almost 6pc in 2021-22. Economic growth is expected to moderate to 3.5-4.5pc in 2022-23 on the back of monetary tightening and assumed fiscal consolidation.

The Monetary Policy Committee’s (MPC) baseline outlook assumed continued engagement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) as well as the reversal of fuel and electricity subsidies together with the normalisation of the petroleum development levy (PDL) and general sales tax on fuel in 2022-23.

Headline inflation is likely to increase temporarily and may remain elevated throughout the next fiscal year, the SBP said, adding that it’s expected to fall to the 5-7pc target range by the end of 2023-24.

https://www.dawn.com/news/1691285/p...s-country-on-brink-of-political-confrontation
 
The Pakistan Stock Exchange's (PSX) benchmark KSE-100 index shed more than 500 points on Wednesday as clashes between PTI protesters and police officials in Lahore dampened investor sentiment.

According to the PSX website, the KSE-100 index had gone down by 572.63 points, or 1.37 per cent, by 12:35pm.

Ahsan Mehanti of the Arif Habib Corporation said the stock market was witnessing a slump due to the central bank's decision to hike the key interest policy rate and the political instability.

"Stocks fell across the board on investor fears over the impact of the opposition's protest call to initiate fresh elections and massive State Bank of Pakistan policy tightening this week," he said.

"Domestic and foreign investors are withdrawing their capital from the market. Political matters have deteriorated to such an extent that the market has not improved despite Saudi Arabia's announcement regarding the extension of the kingdom's $3 billion deposit to Pakistan," he said.

He added that reports of a delay in the resumption of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) programme and falling rupee played a catalyst role in the bearish activity.

Raza Jaffrey, head of research at Intermarket Securities, said that equities continue to come down with the "risk of confrontation on the streets very much playing itself out".

"The balance of payments situation remains precarious as before. Everything looks cheap but the market has been akin to a falling knife this month. Investors are waiting for the dust to settle before entering equities again," he said.

Meanwhile, Salman Naqvi of Aba Ali Habib Securities attributed the slump in the market to the high interest rate and the fall in the value of the rupee.

"If we do not get the bailout package from the IMF, then the market could go down further." He said that investors were also being cautious over the possibility of heavy taxes being imposed in the upcoming budget.

"Investors are also prioritising selling shares due to the possible law and order situation that could arise out of Imran Khan's long march call," he said.
Dawn
 
The Pakistan Stock Exchange's (PSX) benchmark KSE-100 index shed more than 500 points on Wednesday as clashes between PTI protesters and police officials in Lahore dampened investor sentiment.

According to the PSX website, the KSE-100 index had gone down by 572.63 points, or 1.37 per cent, by 12:35pm.

Ahsan Mehanti of the Arif Habib Corporation said the stock market was witnessing a slump due to the central bank's decision to hike the key interest policy rate and the political instability.

"Stocks fell across the board on investor fears over the impact of the opposition's protest call to initiate fresh elections and massive State Bank of Pakistan policy tightening this week," he said.

"Domestic and foreign investors are withdrawing their capital from the market. Political matters have deteriorated to such an extent that the market has not improved despite Saudi Arabia's announcement regarding the extension of the kingdom's $3 billion deposit to Pakistan," he said.

He added that reports of a delay in the resumption of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) programme and falling rupee played a catalyst role in the bearish activity.

Raza Jaffrey, head of research at Intermarket Securities, said that equities continue to come down with the "risk of confrontation on the streets very much playing itself out".

"The balance of payments situation remains precarious as before. Everything looks cheap but the market has been akin to a falling knife this month. Investors are waiting for the dust to settle before entering equities again," he said.

Meanwhile, Salman Naqvi of Aba Ali Habib Securities attributed the slump in the market to the high interest rate and the fall in the value of the rupee.

"If we do not get the bailout package from the IMF, then the market could go down further." He said that investors were also being cautious over the possibility of heavy taxes being imposed in the upcoming budget.

"Investors are also prioritising selling shares due to the possible law and order situation that could arise out of Imran Khan's long march call," he said.
Dawn

Competence personified.
 
I want to share an interesting stat.

The PTI government borrowed loans of around $ 52 billion in three years eight months and retired $36.05 billion. PML-N borrowed $49.761 billion dollars in five years, it retired a debt of 27.071 billion dollars during that period.

PTI took 4.4% more loans than PMLN but at the same time paid back 33.1% more than PMLN. This indicates that most of the loans PTI took were just to keep up with the interest of the loans PMLN took, which indeed is the case.

I hope this stat throws out the "PTI took more loans than PMLN" excuse.
 
I want to share an interesting stat.

The PTI government borrowed loans of around $ 52 billion in three years eight months and retired $36.05 billion. PML-N borrowed $49.761 billion dollars in five years, it retired a debt of 27.071 billion dollars during that period.

PTI took 4.4% more loans than PMLN but at the same time paid back 33.1% more than PMLN. This indicates that most of the loans PTI took were just to keep up with the interest of the loans PMLN took, which indeed is the case.

I hope this stat throws out the "PTI took more loans than PMLN" excuse.

Can You please explain it a bit with some details. Thanks.
 
I want to share an interesting stat.

The PTI government borrowed loans of around $ 52 billion in three years eight months and retired $36.05 billion. PML-N borrowed $49.761 billion dollars in five years, it retired a debt of 27.071 billion dollars during that period.

PTI took 4.4% more loans than PMLN but at the same time paid back 33.1% more than PMLN. This indicates that most of the loans PTI took were just to keep up with the interest of the loans PMLN took, which indeed is the case.

I hope this stat throws out the "PTI took more loans than PMLN" excuse.

If old loans were retired by PTI, how did debt increase three fold.
 
If old loans were retired by PTI, how did debt increase three fold.

PTI came to power in September 2018. Pakistan Central Government's debt in September 2018 was 25.8 trillion. Pakistan's exchange rate in September 2018 was 123.2. Pakistan Central Government's debt in September 2018 dollar terms was $209.4 billion.

PTI lost power in April 2022. Pakistan Central Government's debt in April 2022 was 43.1 trillion. Pakistan's exchange rate in April 2022 was 188.1. Pakistan Central Government's debt in April 2022 dollar terms was $229.1 billion.

That's an increase of just 9.4%.
 
Corrupt but competent PML and their group of cronies have brought Pakistan to its knees. We’re about 1-2 months away from becoming Sri Lanka.
 
Finally the price hike of Oil. Well done. Country's interest is more important than appeasement. Another one or two hikes needed.
 
Rs.30 increase in petrol though it is req. but that will completely bend the middle class and poor
 
The Pakistan Stock Exchange's benchmark KSE-100 index opened in the green on Friday, continuing its momentum from the previous day and soaring more than 800 points in the first hour of trading, just hours after the government raised the prices of petroleum products to comply with International Monetary Fund (IMF) stipulations.

According to the PSX website, the index reached 43,422.88 at 10am — more than 2 per cent, the day's highest so far — after gaining 880.29 points from the previous day's close of 42,541.71.

The rally in the stock market is being attributed to the government's move to end a months-old fuel price freeze, introduced by the previous PTI government in February.

“The market is reacting to the government's move to withdraw fuel subsidies. It shows the government's resolve to address teething issues in the economy and will pave the way for the IMF programme and other funding sources,” Saad Hashemy, executive director at BMA Capital Management, told Reuters.

DAWN
 
As expected, markets respond positively to economics. Markets don't care for politics. Don't know if this govt has the ability to do what's necessary. Another two hikes in oil prices and rate hikes. It will slow down the economy but prevent risk if hyper inflation.
 
Amazed just amazed that people still believe that SS will lead the country out of crisis
 
Truth doses that one needs to take now to understand the situation in Pakistan. Last 3.5 years and before, politicians were busy distracting the people from the Tsunami coming and now it's here.

<iframe width="700" height="713" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/z4p9Ww6z2JI" title="YouTube video player" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen></iframe>
 
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Amazed just amazed that people still believe that SS will lead the country out of crisis

He is trying.

The thing is that the definition of "crisis" is different for those in charge and the rest of the world.

For Cherry and co the crisis is the NAB, electoral reforms and EVMs. Get rid of them and he has led "them" out of the crisis.

The rest of the country can go to hell in a handcart .
 
He is trying.

The thing is that the definition of "crisis" is different for those in charge and the rest of the world.

For Cherry and co the crisis is the NAB, electoral reforms and EVMs. Get rid of them and he has led "them" out of the crisis.

The rest of the country can go to hell in a handcart .

You see people sharing videos and giving us the impression that savior has arrived lol
 
On the one hand the mafia are claiming we are bankrupt and then spend billions on ads. Do they believe everyone is as dumb as you?
 
Lowest quality edible oil 10 pouch of .9ltr now selling at Rs.7500/- Flour @Rs. 40/- not to mention Petrol at Rs. 180/- and Rs
7/- Starting price of electricity welcome to the world of PDM no. Of beggars have increased on roads which will only lead to vulgarity its like eid for traders as one of them telling that due to hike in oil prices the profit ratio on hi goods has increased from 17% to 36%, as they pur goods on old rates and now selling at new rates due to excuse of oil prices, no check and balance
 
Miftah admits on CNN that Kaptaan was telling the truth about the Russian oil and they need American permission to buy it. Do you still need proof
Where is [MENTION=135038]Major[/MENTION] [MENTION=131701]Mamoon[/MENTION] [MENTION=44899]wasim-fan[/MENTION]
 
Miftah admits on CNN that Kaptaan was telling the truth about the Russian oil and they need American permission to buy it. Do you still need proof
Where is [MENTION=135038]Major[/MENTION] [MENTION=131701]Mamoon[/MENTION] [MENTION=44899]wasim-fan[/MENTION]

yes they still need proof..because IK lives rent free in their heads and nothing you say will ever change anything..bhutto zinda hay and ganja is the greatest pm ever..and Modi jee is the strongest man on earth..
 
yes they still need proof..because IK lives rent free in their heads and nothing you say will ever change anything..bhutto zinda hay and ganja is the greatest pm ever..and Modi jee is the strongest man on earth..

These losers run at away at every opportunity
 
KARACHI: The government on Tuesday shocked consumers by pushing up ghee and cooking oil rates by an unprecedented Rs208 and Rs213 to an all-time high of Rs555 per kg and Rs605 per litre, respectively, even though “these rates still do not exist in the retail markets.”

An official in the Utility Stores Corporation (USC) in Karachi confirmed to Dawn that the USC had issued a notification of this whooping jump in ghee and cooking oil rates effective June 1.

The official, however, did not comment as to why the rates had been jacked up so mercilessly which would hit the consumers badly.

The maximum rate of ghee and cooking of renowned brands in the retail markets still hovers between Rs540-560 per kg/litre.

However, Pakistan Vanaspati Manufacturers Association (PVMA) Secretary-General Umer Islam Khan hinted that the retail rates of ghee and cooking oil would soon come on a par with USC prices.

He said ghee/cooking oil manufacturers have stopped giving the products on credit to the USC as the corporation had not cleared outstanding Rs2-3 billion to the manufacturers.

Mr Umer said the Prime Minister Task Force Committee on Supply of Palm Oil comprising officials of relevant ministries and PVMA office-bearers has been holding daily zoom meetings to analyse the demand and supply situation of palm oil.

He said around 160,000 tonnes of palm oil stocks are available at the twin ports of Karachi which are sufficient for three weeks of consumption. Despite the lifting of an export ban by Indonesia on palm oil on May 23, not a single loaded vessel had been on the high seas or at Indonesia port for shipments to Pakistan.

However, the PVMA had requested the government to remove 2pc additional customs duty on the import of palm oil from Malaysia to offset the high cost of Malaysian palm oil which is costlier by 15-20pc compared to Indonesia’s.

Around 87pc of Pakistan’s total palm oil imports originates from Indonesia and the rest is met from Malaysia.

When asked why ghee and cooking oil rates did not fall despite a drop in Indonesian palm oil rate to $1,700 from $1,900-2,000 per tonne two months back, Mr Umer said the shipments booked on higher rates and a massive rupee devaluation further raised the landing cost.

Commenting on rising freight charges, he said the PVMA in its circular on May 27 had intimated its members to pay the transportation charges for their edible oil consignments to NLC/private tankers with an increase of only 22.50pc after a jump of Rs30 in diesel to Rs174.67 per litre. The increase in transportation charges is applicable on both upcountry and Karachi delivery of edible oil.

Published in Dawn, June 1st, 2022
 
KARACHI: The government on Tuesday shocked consumers by pushing up ghee and cooking oil rates by an unprecedented Rs208 and Rs213 to an all-time high of Rs555 per kg and Rs605 per litre, respectively, even though “these rates still do not exist in the retail markets.”

An official in the Utility Stores Corporation (USC) in Karachi confirmed to Dawn that the USC had issued a notification of this whooping jump in ghee and cooking oil rates effective June 1.

The official, however, did not comment as to why the rates had been jacked up so mercilessly which would hit the consumers badly.

The maximum rate of ghee and cooking of renowned brands in the retail markets still hovers between Rs540-560 per kg/litre.

However, Pakistan Vanaspati Manufacturers Association (PVMA) Secretary-General Umer Islam Khan hinted that the retail rates of ghee and cooking oil would soon come on a par with USC prices.

He said ghee/cooking oil manufacturers have stopped giving the products on credit to the USC as the corporation had not cleared outstanding Rs2-3 billion to the manufacturers.

Mr Umer said the Prime Minister Task Force Committee on Supply of Palm Oil comprising officials of relevant ministries and PVMA office-bearers has been holding daily zoom meetings to analyse the demand and supply situation of palm oil.

He said around 160,000 tonnes of palm oil stocks are available at the twin ports of Karachi which are sufficient for three weeks of consumption. Despite the lifting of an export ban by Indonesia on palm oil on May 23, not a single loaded vessel had been on the high seas or at Indonesia port for shipments to Pakistan.

However, the PVMA had requested the government to remove 2pc additional customs duty on the import of palm oil from Malaysia to offset the high cost of Malaysian palm oil which is costlier by 15-20pc compared to Indonesia’s.

Around 87pc of Pakistan’s total palm oil imports originates from Indonesia and the rest is met from Malaysia.

When asked why ghee and cooking oil rates did not fall despite a drop in Indonesian palm oil rate to $1,700 from $1,900-2,000 per tonne two months back, Mr Umer said the shipments booked on higher rates and a massive rupee devaluation further raised the landing cost.

Commenting on rising freight charges, he said the PVMA in its circular on May 27 had intimated its members to pay the transportation charges for their edible oil consignments to NLC/private tankers with an increase of only 22.50pc after a jump of Rs30 in diesel to Rs174.67 per litre. The increase in transportation charges is applicable on both upcountry and Karachi delivery of edible oil.

Published in Dawn, June 1st, 2022

Looks like Mehangai mukao march is in full swing.

Shame on every single person who have voted these incompetent and shameless people to reach our national and provincial assemblies.

The nation is still sleeping - otherwise, by now there should’ve been a civil war against the govt.

A huge chunk of our public is also haram khore - rampant corruption and injustice everywhere. No wonder they don’t have the heart to get out and grab these politicians by the neck.

Only the poorest of the poor and weakest of the weak will brutally suffer by this inflation - haram khores will carry own - zulm ki INTEHAA hai!
 
Miftah admits on CNN that Kaptaan was telling the truth about the Russian oil and they need American permission to buy it. Do you still need proof
Where is [MENTION=135038]Major[/MENTION] [MENTION=131701]Mamoon[/MENTION] [MENTION=44899]wasim-fan[/MENTION]

Russia never replied back. Even before IK and after
 
Inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), rose to a nearly two-and-a-half-year-high at 13.76 per cent in May, on the back of increasing transport and food prices, according to data shared by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) on Wednesday.

Inflation accelerated from 13.37pc year-on-year (YoY) in April, marking a 0.44pc month-on-month (MoM) rise in May.

This is the highest CPI inflation since January 2020 when it was 14.6pc.

According to the PBS, inflation increased by 12.36pc in urban areas and 15.88pc in rural areas.
 
Russia never replied back. Even before IK and after

The reality is that you are an imported set of crooks with no morals and even less competence. And Miftah admitted that they need permission, why does he need permission? Did Ind need permission or the EU countries that have continued buying Russian oil and Gas.
 
The reality is that you are an imported set of crooks with no morals and even less competence. And Miftah admitted that they need permission, why does he need permission? Did Ind need permission or the EU countries that have continued buying Russian oil and Gas.

Plz read the miftah cnn thread, posters there have already given a logical response there
 
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PDM and their bandy of merry followers are a cult.

They're prepared to put their clammy hands over their ears and not let facts get in the way of opinions.
 
PDm fellas should be stripped to run naqed in streets literally whats left for aam aadmi petrol flour oil electricity urea everything has shooted up why not SC now take sou motto for then sake of common mam
 
Plz read the miftah cnn thread, posters there have already given a logical response there

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="ur" dir="rtl">وزیرِ خزانہ کا اپنی ہی حکومت کے سیاسی بیانیے پر خودکُش حملہ ۔۔۔ <a href="https://t.co/dIvP0j6D8i">pic.twitter.com/dIvP0j6D8i</a></p>— Gharidah Farooqi (@GFarooqi) <a href="https://twitter.com/GFarooqi/status/1532026637025419271?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">June 1, 2022</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 
Plz read the miftah cnn thread, posters there have already given a logical response there

No they haven't and what's more it shows all the mafia chumps to be brain dead. Look at the response of your mafia journalists
 
Prices are going up.

Cherry and his mates are living it up. Building swimmimg pools, billing the state for his and his cronies high living, doing away with welfare programmes, bring back rampant corruption, corrupts and criminals, wasting millions in "advertising". Repressing people, bringing back loadshedding to "save" money.

Beggars can't be choosers spending untold millions to anounce the important fact that Cherry and his mates will live it up at the State's expenses in Turkey.

When will this madness end?
 
Pakistan is facing tough economic challenges and its key concerns are the external deficit and the mounting debt, which are pushing the country towards a deep financial crisis.

A major task for the government is to stabilise the dwindling foreign exchange reserves as well as provide resources for development work and ensure relief to the people reeling from the runaway inflation.

According to industry executives, by repairing the damage done to the economy by illegal trade and smuggling, the government can provide resources for managing the deficit without increasing the debt burden.

Many foreign institutions have issued comprehensive reports on the economic losses caused by the illegal trade, tax evasion and smuggling in Pakistan.

A global research report of Ipsos on tax evasion stated that the shadow economy in Pakistan accounted for about 40% of gross domestic product (GDP) and about 6% of GDP was being stolen every year.

This is a significant amount that can be used to improve the living standards of people by developing the economy on a sound footing.

According to the report, the top five products/ sectors that have caused annual tax evasion of Rs310 billion include the illicit trade in tea (Rs35 billion), tobacco (Rs80 billion), tyres and lubricants (Rs90 billion), medicines (Rs45 billion) and real estate (Rs60 billion).

The volume of goods smuggled into Pakistan increased nearly threefold from 2014 to 2018. The smuggled goods have penetrated several sectors of the economy.

Around 53% of diesel, 43% of engine oil, 40% of tyres and 16% of auto parts sold in the country were smuggled. Apart from these, 20% of cigarettes and 23% of tea were smuggled into the country.

Alarmingly, the law enforcement and regulatory bodies have only been able to seize 5% of the smuggled goods.

Ghandhara Tyre and Rubber Company (formerly General Tyres) Chief Executive Officer Hussain Kuli Khan urged the government to take urgent steps to curb smuggling and import irregularities.

“In the current scenario, Pakistan could not afford a massive spending of foreign exchange in the form of imports or smuggling,” he remarked.

Khan pointed out that the annual consumption of tyres in Pakistan was estimated at 14 million units, of which around 15-18% is met by domestic production, more than 50% by smuggled tyres and 35% by legal imports.

He called on the government to provide a better business environment to improve the competitiveness of domestic industries and meet the challenges by increasing investment and employment opportunities.

National Foods CEO Abrar Hasan, while endorsing Khan’s views, stated that fake consumer goods such as spices and other such items were posing a threat to the fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) market and denting the revenues at the same time.

“We as a company is also facing this problem as a large part of the population settled in sub-urban and rural parts is having uncontrolled supply of counterfeit consumer products,” he said.

“We have voiced concern many a time, asking the authorities concerned and regulators to develop a stringent anti-counterfeit strategy to effectively curb this menace.”

Similarly, the cigarette industry has been pushing for the equal application of laws and policies to all manufacturers to prevent illicit trade.

Published in The Express Tribune, June 2nd, 2022.
 
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