I disagree with most of the hand-wringing about Pakistan's Abu Dhabi Test defeats in 2017 and 2018 chasing less than 200 against Sri Lanka and New Zealand.
To me the problem is really, really simple.
Pakistan's batsmen can't bat.
And there are no emerging batsmen who can bat.
So you need to get as many runs out of Numbers 6-10 as you get from Numbers 1-5.
It's not that hard. The Top Five batsmen are frequently at the crease inside the first 30 overs anyway, whereas Six To Ten should be batting against the old ball.
I'm sick of people saying "pick the best four bowlers". Let's be frank, Mohammad Abbas is the only world class bowler, with Yasir Shah being useful in Asia and Mohammad Amir being useful in England and Ireland.
And there it ends.
The recall of Mohammad Hafeez has, let's be honest, gone as badly as it possibly could have.
Hafeez scored 126 on a slow, flat pitch at Dubai, since which time he has scored 17, 4, 6, 20 and 10.
Yes, in those three Tests he averages 30.50.
But actually in his last five Test innings in straightforward conditions Mohammad Hafeez averages 11.40.
And in those 3 Test matches he has only bowled 13 overs!
So of course Mohammad Hafeez must go. But even without him, Imam-ul-Haq and Babar Azam and Asad Shafiq have clear psychological frailties while Azhar Ali is a geriatric limited batsman in age-related decline.
Pakistan's batsmen are not going to score enough runs in South Africa next month or in Australia in 12 months.
So the team outside Asia needs to be selected to ensure enough runs from Numbers 6 (Sarfraz Ahmed), 7 (Shadab Khan), 8 (Faheem Ashraf) and 9 (Mohammad Amir) to convert 150-5 into 260 all out.
To me the problem is really, really simple.
Pakistan's batsmen can't bat.
And there are no emerging batsmen who can bat.
So you need to get as many runs out of Numbers 6-10 as you get from Numbers 1-5.
It's not that hard. The Top Five batsmen are frequently at the crease inside the first 30 overs anyway, whereas Six To Ten should be batting against the old ball.
I'm sick of people saying "pick the best four bowlers". Let's be frank, Mohammad Abbas is the only world class bowler, with Yasir Shah being useful in Asia and Mohammad Amir being useful in England and Ireland.
And there it ends.
The recall of Mohammad Hafeez has, let's be honest, gone as badly as it possibly could have.
Hafeez scored 126 on a slow, flat pitch at Dubai, since which time he has scored 17, 4, 6, 20 and 10.
Yes, in those three Tests he averages 30.50.
But actually in his last five Test innings in straightforward conditions Mohammad Hafeez averages 11.40.
And in those 3 Test matches he has only bowled 13 overs!
So of course Mohammad Hafeez must go. But even without him, Imam-ul-Haq and Babar Azam and Asad Shafiq have clear psychological frailties while Azhar Ali is a geriatric limited batsman in age-related decline.
Pakistan's batsmen are not going to score enough runs in South Africa next month or in Australia in 12 months.
So the team outside Asia needs to be selected to ensure enough runs from Numbers 6 (Sarfraz Ahmed), 7 (Shadab Khan), 8 (Faheem Ashraf) and 9 (Mohammad Amir) to convert 150-5 into 260 all out.