Right on. I think there is going to be a major dip in broadcast rights for the Indian market in the next cycle. Which comes up in about a years time. Which in turn affects the distribution $$$ from ICC events to all the boards.I would start a thread to genuinely discuss what a cricketing world in which India and Pakistan completely cut off ties looks like but I'm reluctant to do so for a couple of reasons
- First of course, it would be invaded by the usual mob taunting and trolling each other
- Second, there are so many dependancies
> Yes India and Pakistan can be kept apart at ICC tournaments but what to do if they meet in a knockout or even a final - split points? share the trophy?
> How badly will India/BCCI take this now that the last restraints will be off? Will there be threats that anyone who plays in the PSL will never get a chance in the IPL? Will there be preferential treatment with lucrative extra India tours for countries that refrain from touring Pakistan?
> How far will the leagues go - 3 months? 6 months? more?
The whole thing is very unpredictable.
One thing is for certain - if the match on the 15th doesn't happen, world cricket will have to go through fundamental changes - for the good or bad depending on your viewpoint.
In fact, even if it does, the seed is now sown and the last red line crossed. No broadcaster is going to hand the ICC so much money knowing that the slightest incident or insult could result in the most lucrative game vanishing.
The smaller $$ pool will have a detrimental effect on many boards. That is where the current situation has brought things to.
Also, the Indian broadcaster is already inclined/leaning on spending less $$ towards India internationals and ICC events and more on IPL. Net result, the next IPL broadcasting rights could be big. Or bigger than it is now (since it's already big).
So, result of this saga could very well mean that IPL will be the big winner, many of the boards the biggest losers.




