Make the case. ... I don't want to hear random stats. ..
I want a coherent argument. ... I want to hear a story that analyses the stats. ... That analyses why he will be different to the others. ..
It can be done in a single post.... doesn't need a thread.
Show me why he is better than Sarfraz. .. And Potentially better than kami
Amazing thread but no-one has ever tried to analyse the impact the drops have had on results so thought I would have a go (though limited it to tests).
Have been generous to Kamran and only calculated the extra runs scored. In reality, on many occasions a wicket would have helped with momentum (the old adage of one wicket brings two) and put us in a better position.
England v Pakistan 1st Test Lords 2006
1)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/engvpak/...iew=commentary
63.2 Collingwood was on 79(Final Score = 186)
Umar Gul to Collingwood, no run, gone, out, no! Dropped! Leg-cutter, outside edge straight to Kamran Akmal ? dreadful shot from Collingwood I might add ? and, somehow, Akmal shelled it. Deafening silence from the captain Inzamam-ul-Haq, and not much more being said from the slips. Ooh, that?s a shocker
Scorecard
http://www.espncricinfo.com/engvpak/...ch/225255.html
England declared at 8 wickets down setting pakistan 380 to win. Let us assume that the chase would have been 280. It would have set up a possible Pakistan win but I will assume the match would still have been drawn.
England v Pakistan 3rd Test Headingley 2006
2)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/engvpak/...iew=commentary
38.2 Collingwood was on 21(Final Score = 31)
Shahid Nazir to Collingwood, no run, yikes, Collingwood hangs his bat out to dry ? good away-swing from Shahid again ? but it passes his outside edge. Nevertheless, Akmal somehow drops a clanger and the ball bobbles from his gloves
3)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/engvpak/...iew=commentary
5.4 ME Trescothick was on 7(Final Score = 58)
Umar Gul to Trescothick, no run, DROPPED, Kamran Akmal has dropped him. A terrific ball from Gul rising on Trescothick who feathers an edge. Gul goes up to celebrate but Akmal, with iron gloves, clangs a sitter
Scorecard
http://www.espncricinfo.com/engvpak/...ch/225257.html
England were bowled out leaving a target of 323. Without the Akmal drops the target would have been 262. Notwithstanding that Pakistan were bowled out for 155, I am confident that without scoreboard pressure the complexion of the match would have been different and Pakistan would have scraped home.
England v Pakistan, 4th Test Oval 2006
4)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/engvpak/...iew=commentary
40.3 Mahmood was on 0 (Final Score = 15)
Danish Kaneria to Mahmood, 4 byes, ah, should have been out. Mahmood came down the wicket aiming to hoick that over mid-on; instead he completely missed it and should have been stumped by yards but Akmal didn’t even move and the ball flew past his gloves really easily
5)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/engvpak/...iew=commentary
36.1 KP Pietersen was on 15 (Final Score = 96)
Danish Kaneria to Pietersen, no run, oooh, outside edge and dropped. Snorter of a delivery, Pietersen's caught in two minds, and Akmal can't hold on to the feather. Kaneria's just not having the luck today.
Scorecard
http://www.espncricinfo.com/engvpak/...ch/225258.html
The infamous Inzy/Hair test. Pakistan protested when England were still 33 runs in arrears with 6 wkts left. They would have been 129 runs in arrears without the Akmal blunders. In fact if he had caught Pietersen it is likely that England would have folded before Hair penalised Pakistan for ball tampering. Remember also that the probable reason for the ball getting scuffed was Pietersen smashing a few boundaries against the hoardings. If Kamran could catch none of this would have happened and Pakistan would have won comfortably without any controversy.
So overall, in that series, rather than suffering a humiliating 3-0 loss, we would most likely have won 2-1, and possibly even 3-1 which would have been a great achievement against a very strong England.
Pakistan v West Indies, 3rd test Karachi 2006
6)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/pakvwi/e...iew=commentary
83.1 DBL Powell was on 1 (Final Score = 1)
Umar Gul to Powell, no run, DROPPED! good length delivery wide outside the off stump, pitches and moves away, comes forward and feels for it, gets the edge to the right of Akmal, who dives across and puts down the catch.
7)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/pakvwi/e...iew=commentary
63.3 Ramdin was on 10 (Final Score = 25*)
Abdul Razzaq to Ramdin, no run, Dropped! fraction short on the off stump, swinging away nicely, Ramdin moves back to defend, gets squared up by the outswinger, thick edge and Akmal dives to his right and fails to catch.
Scorecard
http://www.espncricinfo.com/pakvwi/e...ch/257767.html
Luckily we still won comfortably so Kamran's blunders were inconsequential.
South Africa v Pakistan, 2nd Test, Port Elizabeth 2007
8)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/rsavpak/...iew=commentary
17.2 AG Prince was on 2 (Final Score = 2)
Mohammad Sami to Prince, no run, ooh, dropped by Akmal. That was a long way across Prince, who slashes a thick edge through and it pops in and out of Akmal's gloves at chest height. What a costly miss that could be - Prince has been in such good form
9)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/rsavpak/...iew=commentary
22.3 Gibbs was on 2 (Final Score = 2)
Danish Kaneria to Gibbs, no run, ooh! Edge again - but dropped. Kaneria sent the ball bending back in at the right hander, taking the edge and spilled again by Akmal. Good bowling, this
10)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/rsavpak/...iew=commentary
40.4 Prince was on 17 (Final Score = 22)
Danish Kaneria to Prince, no run, stumping chance missed! A lovely teasing flighted delivery, again Prince comes down the track and is beaten by the flight and the dip. The ball threads through the bat and pad gap and is just outside off stump and Akmal clangs it. Would have been definitely out had he gathered.
11)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/rsavpak/...iew=commentary
70.1 Kallis was on 63 (Final Score = 91)
Danish Kaneria to Kallis, no run, oh no - has Akmal dropped yet another one? Ooh, not sure - Kallis went chasing that one and seemed to feather it through to Akmal who drops it. But the replays are inconclusive. Akmal's having a poor match anyway.
12)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/rsavpak/...iew=commentary
103.1 MV Boucher was on 27 (Final Score = 46)
Mohammad Hafeez to Boucher, no run, Akmal drops another one! tossed up and this one turned back in sharply, Boucher defends on the back-foot and the ball clips the inside edge and goes behind but Akmal fails to hold on to a fairly easy chance. He is clearly having a tough time out there
13)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/rsavpak/...iew=commentary
117.3 MV Boucher was on 44 (Final Score = 46)
Danish Kaneria to Boucher, 2 runs, cuts and gets an edge, DROPPED! by Akmal, who lets another chance go by
Scorecard
http://www.espncricinfo.com/rsavpak/...ch/250666.html
A tricky 191 chase which at one stage we looked like failing to get would have been a stroll in the park 139.
South Africa v Pakistan, 3rd test Cape Town 2007
14)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/rsavpak/...iew=commentary
62.5 Prince was on 58 (Final Score = 59)
Shahid Nazir to Prince, no run, oh no! Akmal's had a(nother) shocker there. Prince got a big inside edge and there was a regulation catch, low to his right, which slips out of his gloves while the players are busy celebrating. It's unlikely to have made a huge difference, in truth, but it won't have done Akmal's confidence, nor his reputation, any good
Scorecard
http://www.espncricinfo.com/rsavpak/...ch/250667.html
The match was gone when he dropped Prince so it was of no consequence to the result.
Pakistan v South Africa, 1st test Karachi 2007
15)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/pakvrsa/...iew=commentary
54.5 Kallis was on 36 (Final Score = 155)
Danish Kaneria to Kallis, no run, outside off, short, forcing off the back foot, DROPPED, edges, Akmal can not hold on
Scorecard
http://www.espncricinfo.com/pakvrsa/...ch/299004.html
Pakistan lost by 160 having set 424 runs. Kamran's drop was worth 119 runs but was momentum changing. Nevertheless, it might be too far fetched to imagine a Pakistan win when South Africa declared with 7 down but I am confident that Pakistan would have been able to hold out for the draw with a much lower target (I assumed the chase would have been around 350 without the Kallis drop).
Pakistan v South Africa, 2nd test Lahore 2007
16)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/pakvrsa/...iew=commentary
13.4 Smith was on 18 (Final Score = 133)
Danish Kaneria to Smith, 1 run, DROPPED, drives from the front foot, turns back from the rough, inside edge, pad, Akmal tries to get the full glove to it, hard chance put down
Scorecard
http://www.espncricinfo.com/pakvrsa/...ch/299005.html
Smith was the lucky beneficiary of the Akmal largesse and added another 115 runs. Momentum shift aside, given that South Africa had set Pakistan a mammoth 457 runs to win, they had declared with only 4 wickets down so its hard to imagine another outcome than a draw.
India v Pakistan, 2nd test Calcutta 2007
17)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/indvpak/...iew=commentary
55.6 Tendulkar was on 28 (Final Score = 82)
Mohammad Sami to Tendulkar, 1 run, dropped by Akmal. Not a surprise, actually. Only surprise is he usually catches Tendulkar. It was banged in short, outside off stump, Tendulkar decides late to go for a upper cut, doesn't connect properly and Akmal thrusts his right glove out but fails to hold on and ends up palming it behind him.
Scorecard
http://www.espncricinfo.com/indvpak/...ch/297807.html
India declared with plenty of wickets in hand setting Pakistan 345. The 54 runs given due to Akmal's inability would only have meant India delaying their declaration and the same outcome would have prevailed.
India v Pakistan - 3rd Test, Bangalore 2007
18)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/indvpak/...iew=commentary
118.6 Pathan was on 23 (Final Score = 102)
Danish Kaneria to Pathan, no run, fullish and outside the off, played at with hard hands, the ball slips past bat, the reactions from Akmal, who gloves the ball to the floor, and the bowler, suggest that there might have been an edge to that
Scorecard
http://www.espncricinfo.com/indvpak/...ch/297808.html
A similar story at Bangalore with India setting a notional target of 374 when they still had 4 wickets in the bank. Could be argued that the chase would have been 350 with many more overs to be bowled but difficult to see any other result other than a draw. In fact Pakistan were more likely to have lost if Pathan had been caught as it would have given India more time to bowl Pakistan out second time round but I'm not giving him any credit for that!
Pakistan v Sri Lanka, 2nd Test, Lahore 2009
19)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/pakvsl/e...iew=commentary
59.4 Samaraweera was on 69 (Final Score = 214)
Danish Kaneria to Samaraweera, 1 run, dropped, Kamran this time, outside off, stretches forward and gets the edge, Kamran puts it down.
Scorecard
http://www.espncricinfo.com/pakvsl/e...ch/388994.html
Inconsequential due to the attack on the Sri Lankan bus.
Sri Lanka v Pakistan, 1st test, Galle 2009
20)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/slvpak20...iew=commentary
7.2 Jayawardene was on 0 (Final Score = 30)
Mohammad Amir to Jayawardene, no run, Dropped Akmal's the culprit, Aamer bowls it in the corridor outside off and induces a nick, Akmal didn't have to move, he's dropped a sitter
Scorecard
http://www.espncricinfo.com/slvpak20...ch/403367.html
Pakistan lost by 50 runs. Akmal's blunder cost 30 runs. I'm sure Pakistan would have chased down a target of 138 runs so this loss is attributed to Akmal's drop.
Sri Lanka v Pakistan, 3rd test, Colombo 2009
21)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/slvpak20...iew=commentary
29.3 AD Mathews was on 12 (Final Score = 31)
Saeed Ajmal to Mathews, no run, dropped, Akmal spills it, spun back in but not as much as Mathews expected, played inside the line while trying to defend, got a thin edge but Akmal could not pouch it, tried again at the second attempt but failed.
Scorecard
http://www.espncricinfo.com/slvpak20...ch/403369.html
Inconsequential - the match would have been drawn in any event.
New Zealand v Pakistan, 1st test, Dunedin 2009
22)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/nzvpak20...iew=commentary
123.3 Vettori was on 91 (Final Score = 99)
Umar Gul to Vettori, FOUR, Dropped Confusion between Farhat and Akmal, Gul holds the length back and Vettori hangs his bat out and gets a thick outside edge, the ball flies through the gap between keeper and first slip and both went for it but the ball beat them both.
Scorecard
http://www.espncricinfo.com/nzvpak20...ch/423778.html
Pakistan lost by 32 runs. Could be argued that with a slightly smaller target Pakistan would have scraped home.
Australia v Pakistan, 1st Test Melbourne 2009
23)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/ausvpak0...iew=commentary
74.6 Ponting was on 30 (Final Score = 57)
Mohammad Asif to Ponting, no run, forward with bat and pad to a good delivery that nips through the batsman's defence, if he nicked it it was of no consequence since Kamran Akmal failed to take it cleanly. Replays suggest Ponting probably got an inside edge. So perhaps we can put that one down as a drop to Kamran Akmal.
Scorecard
http://www.espncricinfo.com/ausvpak0...ch/406199.html
Pakistan lost by 170 runs so inconsequential as Pak would have got hammered anyway.
Australia v Pakistan, 2nd test Sydney 2010
24)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/ausvpak0...iew=commentary
52.6 Hussey Was on 27 (Final Score = 134)
Danish Kaneria to Hussey, no run, trying playing defensively from the crease, Hussey's beaten by a ball that rips past the outside edge of his upright bat
Subsquent replays suggest this may have been a dropped catch by Kamran Akmal. If it was it only got the faintest edge from Hussey's bat.
Oh yes, definitely an edge looking at it from front-on.
25)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/ausvpak0...iew=commentary
62.2 Hussey Was on 45 (Final Score = 134)
Danish Kaneria to Hussey, no run, dropped, defensively forward, inside edge onto pad, through to the keeper who spills it
26)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/ausvpak0...iew=commentary
66.4 Hussey Was on 52 (Final Score = 134)
Danish Kaneria to Hussey, no run, dropped, pushing at a ball outside off, a thick outside edge is split by the wicket-keeper Kamran Akmal.
27)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/ausvpak0...iew=commentary
113.2 PM Siddle was on 25 (Final Score = 38)
Mohammad Sami to Siddle, 1 run, dropped, short ball down leg, Siddle swishes at it, gloves it but it's dropped by the keeper to his left, should have taken it, the ball runs away for a single
Scorecard
http://www.espncricinfo.com/ausvpak0...ch/406200.html
Lost by 36 runs. Kamran's drops cost at least 130 runs (not forgetting the Watson non run-out). The lowest point. Instead of a famous innings victory, Sydney 2010 became one of Pakistan's most humiliating defeats in history all down to one man.
England v Pakistan, 1st test, Trent Bridge 2010
28)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/england-...iew=commentary
4.3 AJ Strauss was on 15 (Final Score = 45)
Mohammad Amir to Strauss, no run, 136.0 kph, dropped! Kamran, what have you done? Perfect outswinger from Aamer, Strauss edges and Akmal puts down the simplest of chances. Kamran kept so well against Australia - relatively speaking, anyway - but this is the worst possible start for him against England
29)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/england-...iew=commentary
22.4 Collingwood was on 0 (Final Score = 1)
Umar Gul to Collingwood, no run, 142.1 kph, oh no! Kamran has gone from hero back to zero! Dropped! After just pulling off a stunner he's put Collingwood down first ball, it was wide, Collingwood flashed a cut and edges it towards first slip, Akmal flew across and dropped the chance
30)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/england-...iew=commentary
70.2 Collingwood was on 48(Final Score = 82)
Danish Kaneria to Collingwood, no run, missed stumping! Kamran's really not having a good day... Collingwood charged down the track, was beaten in the air and by the turn. He was practically walking off he was so far down, but Kamran fumbled the take, and couldn't pick the ball up before the batsman got back in. Kaneria really needed that wicket - Pakistan needed it!
Scorecard
http://www.espncricinfo.com/england-...ch/426413.html
Lost by 354 runs so the drops were inconsequential to the final result.
England v Pakistan, 3rd test, The Oval 2010
31)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/england-...iew=commentary
37.3 MJ Prior was on 29 (Final Score = 84*)
Mohammad Asif to Prior, 4 leg byes, 128.9 kph, and that one's dropped, but a very tough chance for Kamran. You can't expect him to take that - it's an inside edge onto the thigh and then sneaking past the stumps, Kamran dives and just gets his left fingertip to the ball as it runs away towards fine leg for a boundary
Steve Davis has called that leg byes, but there was an inside edge on it, no question
Scorecard
http://www.espncricinfo.com/england-...ch/426415.html
Pakistan scraped home by 4 wickets but it would have been a stroll in the park had he caught Prior early on.
England v Pakistan, 4th test Lords 2010
32)
http://www.espncricinfo.com/england-...iew=commentary
115.3 Broad was on 132 (Final Score = 169)
Saeed Ajmal to Broad, no run, 94.6 kph, dropped a beauty...he played forward again and it grazes the outside edge but Kamran Akmal can't hold on. There was very little reaction from the players.
Scorecard
http://www.espncricinfo.com/england-...ch/426416.html
Without a doubt Pakistan's most shameful, humiliating and abject defeat in their entire test history for all sorts of reasons. For once, Akmal's drop was not a talking point.
OVERALL SUMMARY
By my calculation but for Akmal:
1. Pakistan could have won the Lords 2006 test rather than drawn
2. Pakistan could have won the Headingley 2006 test rather than lost
3. Pakistan would have won the Oval 2006 test rather than lost
With the above results a 3-0 loss would have been a 2-1 victory (I think Lords would have been a draw in any event though Fahat was the real villian in that test as he dropped 3 sitters) and Ovalgate would never have happened!
4. Pakistan would have drawn the Karachi 2007 test rather than lost (could be argued Pakistan could have won that test)
A 1-0 series loss would have been a 0-0 draw
5. Pakistan could have won the Galle 2009 test rather than lost
With that result a 2-0 series loss would have been 1-1
6. Pakistan could have won the Dunedin 2009 test rather than lost
With that result a 1-1 series draw would have been a 2-0 victory
7. Pakistan would have hammered Australia in the Sydney 2009 test
With that result a 3-0 series loss would have been a 2-1 loss (though who knows what effect it would have had on the last test had it been 1-1)
The only question is when will he be back..............