Mark my words, I believe Pakistan is 70% unlikely to qualify. New Zealand will not approach this game as a must win unlike England. They will set their own targets if they some how lose the toss and have to bowl first. If England put them under the pump and pile 350, NZ will stroll their way to a casual 300-310 and virtually guaranteeing them qualification.
Our best hope is for New Zealand to bat first, Guptil, Taylor and Munro actually contributing some. Even then, New Zealand will not mind if the score is chased down after the 47th over.
Thoughts?