Operationally it is not possible for Pakistan Army to defend Baluchistan (44% of Pakistan) and it is not possible to fight protracted battle with TTP, they don't have the means and the resources. The Junior officers (major & below), NCO and JCO who generally pay with their blood on a daily basis are demoralized and don't have the heart.
There are active duty service members of Pakistan SSG who have defected to TTP and also defected to BLA and
of course India provides arms, training, intelligence and other support to both of these (and 20+ other active Terrorist) organizations.
The
43 Intelligence organizations are weary, resource-less and fighting a losing battle against BLA, TTP and other 20 (active Terrorist organizations).
Under the circumstances there is no other choice but the following:
- Focus on Terrorist organizations and intelligence gathering
- Focus on laser-sharp Kinetic operations against Terrorist leadership. Hit them hard and keep hitting them!
- Upgrade and ensure swift Judicial punishments for Terrorists and introduce safeguards to stop "common people being caught up in the net under the guise of Terrorism"
- Engage local population in Baluchistan and KP to deny them the ability to melt into local population
- Alleviate grievances of both people of Baluchistan and KP and include them into the state envelope
- Quickly open channels with IEA (Taliban Afghanistan) and regain lost ground (to India) and engage diplomatically (foremost being patriotic religious channels inside Pakistan)
- Engage with Iran and deny the ability of BLA to cross border into Iran and find safe havens
Pakistan Army has no ability to fight this and I am not saying it after listening to the likes of Adil Raja, Haider Mehdi and Wajahat Saeed Khan, I am saying it based on solid knowledge.
None of this can happen without a popular Government and even then it will take years to undo the damage inflicted by the Pakistan military. The popular Government will have to diplomatically engage with TTP, BLA and other 20 (active Terrorist organizations), no matter how abhorent this sounds.
Until then,
"A son a day is the price Pakistan will pay" until its sons refuse to die for baseless, causeless, faceless COIN operations.