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Buying shares?

IKA nice. If it breaks 60p I will buy more. Yes I increase my position as conviction increases. Sometimes the simple fact a share price increases above a certain level makes it more attractive.

'Breaking out' is a process not an event. So just because it is above 60p now does not trigger more buys from me. I will see if it closes above 60p today and then see how it retests 60p as support intraday or over coming days.

p.php
 
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From ADVFN

molatovkid 30 Jan'14 - 14:04 - 276 of 277 1 0

Read a presentation from July 2013:

Partners; Toyota, Toshiba, Shell amongst others. Talking with the US Military......they are targeting high margin Defence markets first and then mass market consumer electronics later
 
IKA some investors starting to compare it to another concept stock NANO which is valued at c.£250m

IKA is only about £25m at the moment
 
Buying Shares?

Thanks for the great tip s28. I got in at 45 yesterday. Not sure how big this can be in the next 2-3 months but seems to have pi sentiment behind it now, despite the big seller.
 
Griffiths is the ex Evolution Securities guy who has been buying GCM lately so I'm hoping he has a hot hand on GCM eventually. On IKA he seems to have helped clear the overhang which stopped the rise on the day of the news. I expect he will have been given the full story regarding what the plans are going forward and I expect some serious continuing newsflow from IKA now. I will buy some more tomorrow at around 60p. It's tightly held and I don't think given the potential it is that well known about yet so once it does sign a big name commercial deal it could really go up with little resistance because it will be in uncharted territory literally. Remember it has the likes of Toyota already as partners on this battery so it shouldn't be too hard to get other big Companies to agree to licence as they have ready validation in the the form of a fellow blue chip Company.
 
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IF you look at the chart of IKA just prior to the recent January RNSes it looks very much like CPX at the moment. So I'm also hoping at some point CPX will have some positive news and get commercialising their technology at last. If anything CPX is further ahead in their development as they have already had prototypes out at some of these big Companies so just waiting for someone to sign up to a Commercial deal now. And they have plenty of plant capacity internally and through likes of Murata.
 
IKA well this should be just the start. Still looking for some sort of retest of 60p.
 
jaspa888 said:
Rumours of a big IKA write up / story in the weekend press according to advfn poster.
Click to expand...

I can imagine it will.

How many people own a smartphone ?
How many people who own a smartphone complain about battery performance ?

This story is massive I can't believe it has not had wider coverage already.

Once it goes mainstream people will go mad for these shares. I'm expecting it to go up 100p in a day at some point.

So far Techinvest seem to have ignored IKA. It is not in their portfolio at present. New issue out this weekend. I expect them to cover IKA and CPX as both had news this month.
 
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Buying Shares?

76 and rising. Takes bow s28...

As always, wish I'd bought more.

Advice required: top slice or not?
 
I think there will definitely be weekend coverage so Monday will be better time to topslice.

IKA is very illiquid so if it does get a good write up and the crowd descend on it I expect it to go up 100p in a day at some point.

My target Market Cap range is £250-500m which makes it a 10 bagger +
 
By the way, did anyone else see the Crazy ride for Blinkx yesterday?

Down 50% then gained back half of it!
 
When a stock is going up like this... setting higher highs and higher lows it suggests there is a big persistent buyer/buyers in the background from my experience

p.php
 
We are in uncharted territory... this could go anywhere to the upside frankly as there is no resistance

p.php
 
s28 said:
I think there will definitely be weekend coverage so Monday will be better time to topslice.

IKA is very illiquid so if it does get a good write up and the crowd descend on it I expect it to go up 100p in a day at some point.

My target Market Cap range is £250-500m which makes it a 10 bagger +
Click to expand...

well done mate. Stock is going bonkers right now!

250% for the year. Why did I not come in here!
 
For those who don't want to pay up on a stock going vertical and already up 300% for the year have a look at CPX which is in a related field and setting up in a similar fashion to IKA just prior to its news.
 
s28 - great tip on IKA- did you buy more at .60p?

also, with CPX, can you elaborate on what they have in the pipeline - there haven't been any director deals showing on them so what makes you optimisitic?
thanks bro
 
Buying Shares?

Target is to topslice @90, and get back into PLE as FDA approval is expected soon.

RRL is dead to me as PLs ******** powers have waned. I'm thinking if moving all my GKP to XEL too.

How's your portfolio doing?
 
hi guys - i can understand the jist of the term topslice but can you explain in layman's terms and also if it there is a formula or gut of what amount to topslice out of a holding?
 
Buying Shares?

Topslicing is done when you are up on a share and want to release some profit, but still retain some holding in that share.

You can release as little or as much of your holding as you want, so no formula.

However, a popular strategy is to sell enough of your profit that covers your initial investment. This means you now have no risk as your money is out, and is known as a 'free ride'.
 
jaspa888 said:
Target is to topslice @90, and get back into PLE as FDA approval is expected soon.

RRL is dead to me as PLs ******** powers have waned. I'm thinking if moving all my GKP to XEL too.

How's your portfolio doing?
Click to expand...

I am in and out these days.

Currently holding STGR and SCLP. Its ok so far waiting on some news. I have high hopes of stgr this year if they can produce high grade graphite in good amounts. We should soon find out in the next couple of weeks. I think they are the only graphite producer listed in UK. If the positive news flow begins, it could explode. Mcap of around £9.5m.

I had GKP and XEL but find them really frustrating. One the face of it, the best oilers on AIM but they never seem to progress on their aims. I will get back in gkp in 140s and XEL high 80s.

PLE is on my list too. I was hoping for it to drop down to sub 10p.
 
cool bro - i suspected this was the case.
And also how do you look and react to a growing market cap - say in the case of IKA - does this become the key determinant of when to topslice or sell on a growing position?
 
jaspa888 said:
Doesn't CPX have funding issues, or are they now resolved?
Click to expand...

Recently raised at 5.5p
Options set for Management at 8.5p

Have enough cash for a year at least.

Supercapacitors for Cars and Mobile phones. Can improve batteries or replace. Seems on the face of it similar markets to IKA.

If CPX have news imminently which they could given they said they have sent prototypes to potential customers and are in licensing discussions with multiple parties then people will start to compare with IKA

CPX £4m vs IKA £30m vs NANO £250m
 
Buying Shares?

Eagle_Eye said:
I am in and out these days.



Currently holding STGR and SCLP. Its ok so far waiting on some news. I have high hopes of stgr this year if they can produce high grade graphite in good amounts. We should soon find out in the next couple of weeks. I think they are the only graphite producer listed in UK. If the positive news flow begins, it could explode. Mcap of around £9.5m.



I had GKP and XEL but find them really frustrating. One the face of it, the best oilers on AIM but they never seem to progress on their aims. I will get back in gkp in 140s and XEL high 80s.



PLE is on my list too. I was hoping for it to drop down to sub 10p.
Click to expand...


PLE will go boom if FDA forthcoming so I don't mind +/- 2p.

GKP - the politics are getting even murkier with the pipeline and elections. Fear of offending GoI seems to be scaring off takeover suitors.

XEL - nearly there with DECC approval and then it will be bought out
 
Buying Shares?

s28 said:
Recently raised at 5.5p

Options set for Management at 8.5p



Have enough cash for a year at least.



Supercapacitors for Cars and Mobile phones. Can improve batteries or replace. Seems on the face of it similar markets to IKA.



If CPX have news imminently which they could given they said they have sent prototypes to potential customers and are in licensing discussions with multiple parties then people will start to compare with IKA



CPX £4m vs IKA £30m vs NANO £250m
Click to expand...


Thanks yaar. I was in briefly abt 2 years ago at your advice but got bored. Will look again.
 
Buying Shares?

Pakistani tigers said:
cool bro - i suspected this was the case.
And also how do you look and react to a growing market cap - say in the case of IKA - does this become the key determinant of when to topslice or sell on a growing position?
Click to expand...


It depends on the market. FTSE shares are easier to value as they have stable assets and profits.

AIM shares are illiquid so you are basing your decisions now on future promises and lots of risk. That is why the risk and rewards are both so high.
 
"second half rally" = your envisaging that it will pick up again after intra-day? is this correct? Sorry for all the questions on the lingo
 
@jaspa888 n other seasoned brokers/investors what about arbitrage theory says arbitrage is difficult and limited do you have any experience of doing arbitrage etc :13:
 
Pakistani tigers said:
"second half rally" = your envisaging that it will pick up again after intra-day? is this correct? Sorry for all the questions on the lingo
Click to expand...

Indeed. Not that it seems to have happened in this case. :(

In many cases, when a share goes mental in the morning, many investors find their selling point and topslice, or divest completely. The SP obviously then goes down. However, a whole new set of investors, who may have been waiting for a low entry point, seize on this lower SP and buy in, sending SP back up again - often past the SP high from earlier that day.

That's why seasoned investors like s28 advise not to buy on a spike first thing in the morning, but to wait until later in the morning when you can often find a much lower entry point.
 
jaspa888 said:
Indeed. Not that it seems to have happened in this case. :(

In many cases, when a share goes mental in the morning, many investors find their selling point and topslice, or divest completely. The SP obviously then goes down. However, a whole new set of investors, who may have been waiting for a low entry point, seize on this lower SP and buy in, sending SP back up again - often past the SP high from earlier that day.

That's why seasoned investors like s28 advise not to buy on a spike first thing in the morning, but to wait until later in the morning when you can often find a much lower entry point.
Click to expand...

that is disposition effect i guess
 
Kianig89 said:
@jaspa888 n other seasoned brokers/investors what about arbitrage theory says arbitrage is difficult and limited do you have any experience of doing arbitrage etc :13:
Click to expand...


My understanding of arbitrage theory is that you can calculate the future price of share based on a set of pre-determined factors and variables.

We largely deal with AIM shares on this thread, that are illiquid, have little/no asset value, and are hugely dependent on newsflow and investor sentiment.

For this reason, it is next to impossible to ascribe arbitrage theory to these shares.
 
I think the current vogue is to value such $h!t or bust plays as simple options.

If you look at the Black-Scholes formula for valuing options one of the key determinants of price is actually volatility/risk so nothing whatsover to do with fundamentals. In the case of IKA as a simple binary option it is either worth zero or many multiples of the current price so there is scope for huge upside. The current share price is mispricing this 'optionality' because it is pricing off historic 'volatility'. But the new newsflow should lead to increased volatility going forward which is why the price should go up. Something like that. Maybe someone who understands it or cares can explain it better.

ARM supplies chips for almost every phone going and gets a small royalty per phone. ARM annual revenues about £500m. Market Cap is £13bn.

IF IKA batteries got into every phone and it got a royalty on each battery would it have similar revenue and similar valuation ? That would make IKA a 300 bagger :-p
 
This IKA story just gets better and better the more people drill down into it.

Some examples of the comments being posted on ADVFN

someuwin 30 Jan'14 - 14:19 - 284 of 344 0 0

I don't see this as risky. They have so many different paths and joint ventures to exploit their unique materials technology...


solid state batteries for mobiles, cars and consumer goods.

lead-free piezoelectric materials

Phase change high capacity memory chips

high capacity hydrogen storage materials.

Cheper fuel cells electrodes.

Thin-film photovoltaic solar cells.

Polymers to filter of stem cells from blood.

cell-specific functional coatings for multiple medical devices.

-------------------------------------------------------------

paxman 2 Feb'14 - 12:28 - 350 of 352 2 0

It seems the core of Ilika's considerable current and future value is it has industrialised the process of discovering new materials. Prior to Ilika's approach, new materials were discovered in an artisan way.

Materials scientist had to educated guess the most likely best new material, create it and then test it. If it showed promise they would then have to take a decision based on limited data - do we commercialise this material or delay in the hope of finding a better one?

Ilika can mass screen new materials, try new new materials based on much more performance data, and focus in on and further refine materials in the areas showing most promise. All in a fraction of the time the 'artisan' approach would take.

Maybe we shouldn't be surprised that Ilika are now coming through with some best in class materials in a number of key mass market areas.

All IMHO.
 
s28 said:
I think the current vogue is to value such $h!t or bust plays as simple options.

If you look at the Black-Scholes formula for valuing options one of the key determinants of price is actually volatility/risk so nothing whatsover to do with fundamentals. In the case of IKA as a simple binary option it is either worth zero or many multiples of the current price so there is scope for huge upside. The current share price is mispricing this 'optionality' because it is pricing off historic 'volatility'. But the new newsflow should lead to increased volatility going forward which is why the price should go up. Something like that. Maybe someone who understands it or cares can explain it better.

ARM supplies chips for almost every phone going and gets a small royalty per phone. ARM annual revenues about £500m. Market Cap is £13bn.

IF IKA batteries got into every phone and it got a royalty on each battery would it have similar revenue and similar valuation ? That would make IKA a 300 bagger :-p
Click to expand...


So you think still worth a punt on Monday?

throw in £1k and lets see how it goes. If it does not the 300 bagger I am coming after you :butt
 
s28, what is the risk of dilution for IKA?

Its my biggest fear for any AIM stock!
 
ORCP - are involved in one minor block of Thar. But yes it sounds like great news. Interesting to see Zardari AND Sharif both supporting this on the same platform. Wish the morons in Bangladesh would do something for their people on the power front ! Certainly time to keep an eye on ORCP.

Well poised after a Golden Cross. Sitting above 50 and 200 day MA.

big.chart
 
IKA - I am not worried about dilution personally but apparently there are some warrants which can be issued at 50p which should raise about £5m. Many are afraid of dilution but sometimes it can be a good thing it depends on what sort of shareholders the new shares go to. If the shares got to committed new holders who only say get 50% of the allocation they want they may commit to buy more in the aftermarket to support the shares going forward.

I'm planning to buy more IKA on Monday personally. But then I do generally prefer pound cost averaging http://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/dollarcostaveraging.asp
 
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Buying Shares?

Good call on Landau stepping down EE. I still wouldn't touch RRL as I expect him to still be pulling the strings.
 
jaspa888 said:
Good call on Landau stepping down EE. I still wouldn't touch RRL as I expect him to still be pulling the strings.
Click to expand...

The guy started out as an IT manager!! Then worked his way to being a finance manager.

Puppet appointment, I think.
 
IKA - I didn't see any write-ups. Not seen any mention of Techinvest tips at all so maybe it isn't out yet?

As I'm trying to judge top ups myself thought it might be worthwhile looking at the 15 minute chart for last 5 days

Maybe looks like sellers drying up at this level ? So maybe a move up in a couple of hours when it meets the 50 period SMA line ? (or it could be buyers drying up and a move down?)

big.chart
 
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S28 - thanks...can you outline what you said in regards to the chart in layman's terms please. Sounds really interesting.
 
I mean the last line...everything above makes sense. Perhaps you can explain the acronyms employed and shown in the chart iteself
 
SMA Simple Moving Average
No great science to it. From the 5 day chart you can see the share price 'bounced' off the 50 period SMA before so it is just my hunch it might do again. If it doesn't that will be an indicator of failure in short term momentum so you might expect to see chart traders selling out ?
Immaterial. The Long term fundamentals is why you want to buy and short term trading is just about timing short term top ups or top slices.
 
I've bought more IKA today at 80p. Quite happy if it comes back to 60p as have intention to invest more anyway. But I don't want to risk being out if they announce a major deal or get some press coverage because i think if we go over the psychological 100p level it could go vertical.
 
s28 - loving the optimism. I agree about long term potential..it is all about a license agreement and some darn good press coverage
 
Guys

Look at the stock FCR

My Avg SP in there is 2p

Stock could double in a month given the news that is expected end of the month.

A big group in Oman is buying 35% of the company


I bought into some loser stocks like ATC, MWA on advice. Also stuck in loses with KDR and SOLG.

Thinking about cashing some of those out at a loss and moving in here
 
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asifp said:
Guys

Look at the stock FCR

My Avg SP in there is 2p

Stock could double in a month given the news that is expected end of the month.

A big group in Oman is buying 35% of the company


I bought into some loser stocks like ATC, MWA on advice. Also stuck in loses with KDR and SOLG.

Thinking about cashing some of those out at a loss and moving in here
Click to expand...

Is this Ferrum Crescent Ltd? Can you provide links to where does it say a group in Oman is buying the company? thank you
 
Pakistani tigers said:
Is this Ferrum Crescent Ltd? Can you provide links to where does it say a group in Oman is buying the company? thank you
Click to expand...


You can look at the recent company RNS:
http://www.lse.co.uk/share-regulatory-news.asp?shareprice=FCR&share=ferrum_crescent

And there is press as well:

http://www.stockmarketwire.com/article/4748358/Ferrum-Crescent-set-to-get-initial-AAI-payment.html

http://www.stockmarketwire.com/article/4739254/Ferrum-Crescent-agrees-payment-schedule-with-AAI.html

http://www.4-traders.com/FERRUM-CRE...mited--Anvwar-Asian-to-wrap-up-deal-17809097/

http://trade.imara.co/free/sens/disp_news.phtml?tdate=20140115090000&seq=6&scheme=imaraco


What I have learned are these are the type of stocks to buy. All my losses are stocks I bought on spikes. The best ones are where there is no chatter. More the chatter = more day traders = more pump and dump
 
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To those with a bit of an appetitie to take risk, the pump and dump crowd are in the FRX stock right now. Same people that pumped and dumped, MARL, SOLG, SULA
 
s28 said:
FCR looks good

big.chart
Click to expand...


too bad I did not move in last week. I was telling all my friends to buy in around the 20th, 50% up since then the only idiot that did not top up...me!

Anyways stil there is time...

S28 what is your take on FRX?
 
asifp said:
You can look at the recent company RNS:
http://www.lse.co.uk/share-regulatory-news.asp?shareprice=FCR&share=ferrum_crescent

And there is press as well:

http://www.stockmarketwire.com/article/4748358/Ferrum-Crescent-set-to-get-initial-AAI-payment.html

http://www.stockmarketwire.com/article/4739254/Ferrum-Crescent-agrees-payment-schedule-with-AAI.html

http://www.4-traders.com/FERRUM-CRE...mited--Anvwar-Asian-to-wrap-up-deal-17809097/

http://trade.imara.co/free/sens/disp_news.phtml?tdate=20140115090000&seq=6&scheme=imaraco


What I have learned are these are the type of stocks to buy. All my losses are stocks I bought on spikes. The best ones are where there is no chatter. More the chatter = more day traders = more pump and dump
Click to expand...

thanks man...very interesting. Isn't the Oman news factored in to latest gains? What do you suspect is on the radar (you mention "next month")
 
Pakistani tigers said:
thanks man...very interesting. Isn't the Oman news factored in to latest gains? What do you suspect is on the radar (you mention "next month")
Click to expand...

the latest RNS suggest payment will be completed on Feb 28th.

I expect the stock price to rise to that date. However I would say if you make any profits please top slice as in AIM you never know how the market will react after the news!
 
IKA

all over the place today. Maybe shows how much demand there is if the Marketmakers are trying to shake out some of the traders on no news.

p.php
 
red day for the market in general.

AIM is not for the weak of heart given how the prices jump around!
 
been a red day today.

Atleat Share Prophets came out with a good article about my second biggest holding (BMN)
 
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